River Flood Warning 273, NWS Atlanta, GA

407 
WGUS42 KFFC 130109
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
909 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the 
following rivers in Georgia...

  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.


&&

GAC055-131509-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0273.200413T1002Z-200414T1342Z/
/SUMG1.2.ER.200413T1002Z.200413T1800Z.200414T0742Z.NO/
909 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...The 
Flood Warning continues for 
 The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 845 PM Sunday the stage was 3.9 feet...and rising.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage Monday morning and continue
  to rise to near 17.3 feet Monday early afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding continues and expands further into 
  the woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream 
  from the gage on U.S. Highway 27 or Rome Boulevard. 

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

453 
WGUS82 KFFC 130706
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
306 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County 

 
GAC055-132106-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0273.200413T0803Z-200414T1853Z/
/SUMG1.2.ER.200413T0803Z.200413T1800Z.200414T1253Z.NO/
306 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* From early this morning until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 245 AM Monday the stage was 13.0 feet...and rising.
* No flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 17.7 feet by this afternoon. The river will
  fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* At 18.0 feet...Significant flooding expands further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the river upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on U.S. Highway 27 or Rome Boulevard. In Trion...portions 
  of the parking lot by the river at Mount Vernon Mills...Second 
  Street near the levee...and athletic fields off Dalton Street are 
  flooded with a foot of water. Also near Lyerly...portions of Lyerly
  Dam Road near the river are flooded with around one foot of water. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

492 
WGUS42 KFFC 131453
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1053 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...Observed Flooding Changed from Moderate to Moderate Severity for 
the following rivers in Georgia...

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Moderate to Major Severity for the 
following rivers in Georgia...

  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC055-140452-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0273.000000T0000Z-200414T1450Z/
/SUMG1.3.ER.200413T0754Z.200413T1800Z.200414T0850Z.NO/
1053 AM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...The 
Flood Warning continues for 
 The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 19 feet...and rising.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 20.2 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday.
* At 19 feet...Significant flooding expands further into woodlands 
  and fields along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on
  Rome Boulevard. In Trion...portions of the parking lot at Mount 
  Vernon Mills...yards of homes on First and Second Streets near the 
  levee...and athletic fields off Dalton Street are flooded with two 
  feet of water. The water reaches the personnel office foundation at
  Mount Vernon Mills. Also near Lyerly...portions of Lyerly Dam Road 
  near the river are flooded with two feet of water. 


&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

238 
WGUS42 KFFC 131717
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
117 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...Observed Flooding Changed from Moderate to Major Severity for the 
following rivers in Georgia...


  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC055-140716-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0273.000000T0000Z-200414T1450Z/
/SUMG1.3.ER.200413T0754Z.200413T1645Z.200414T0850Z.NO/
117 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 12 PM Monday the stage was 20.2 feet...and rising.
* Major flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  tomorrow.
* At 20 feet...Major flooding expands into woodlands and fields 
  along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on Rome 
  Boulevard. In Trion...portions of the parking lot at Mount Vernon 
  Mills including the personnel office...yards and homes on First and
  Second Streets near the levee...and athletic fields and other 
  structures off Dalton and Cooper Streets are flooded with up to 3 
  feet of water. Also near Lyerly...large portions of Lyerly Dam Road
  near the river are flooded with up to 3 feet of water. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

261 
WGUS82 KFFC 131852
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
252 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  West Chickamauga Creek near Fort Oglethorpe affecting Catoosa and 
  Hamilton Counties 

  Lookout Creek near New England affecting Dade and Hamilton 
  Counties 

  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County 

 
GAC047-TNC065-140852-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0272.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WCKG1.1.ER.200413T1417Z.200414T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
252 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The West Chickamauga Creek near Fort Oglethorpe.
* Until further notice.
* At 12 PM Monday the stage was 11.3 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding expands further into the woodlands 
  and fields near the creek upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  the Georgia Highway 146 or Cloud Springs Road bridge. Minor 
  flooding of the creek also expands much further downstream as it 
  crosses the Tennessee border into the south East Ridge area.

  

&&

LAT...LON 3492 8526 3500 8523 3499 8516 3486 8524


$$

GAC055-140852-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0273.000000T0000Z-200414T2017Z/
/SUMG1.3.ER.200413T0754Z.200413T1745Z.200414T1417Z.NR/
252 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 1 PM Monday the stage was 20.7 feet...and risingy.
* Major flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  late morning.
* At 200 feet...Major flooding expands into woodlands and fields 
  along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on Rome 
  Boulevard. In Trion...portions of the parking lot at Mount Vernon 
  Mills including the personnel office...yards and homes on First and
  Second Streets near the levee...and athletic fields and other 
  structures off Dalton and Cooper Streets are flooded with up to 3 
  feet of water. Also near Lyerly...large portions of Lyerly Dam Road
  near the river are flooded with up to 3 feet of water. 

  

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

GAC083-TNC065-140852-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0271.000000T0000Z-200415T0454Z/
/ENGG1.2.ER.200413T0514Z.200414T2100Z.200414T2254Z.NO/
252 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Lookout Creek near New England.
* From tomorrow early afternoon until late Tuesday night.
* At 2PM Monday the stage was 16.9 feet...and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue near 16.9 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* At 17 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Several small buildings 
  near the New England hang gliding recreation park begin to flood. 
  Several roads in Dade county will be closed including Sells Lane...
  Mason Road...and Creek Road. The water will be several feet deep on
  portions of these roads. Also moderate flooding will begin 
  downstream as the creek crosses the Tennessee border into the 
  Tiftona area. Several roads near the creek will be flooded and 
  closed.

  

&&

LAT...LON 3503 8539 3502 8533 3484 8545 3471 8549
      3473 8556 3487 8553             

$$

704 
WGUS82 KFFC 140121
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
920 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Conasauga River near Tilton affecting Gordon...Murray and 
  Whitfield Counties 

  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County 

 
GAC055-141519-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0273.000000T0000Z-200415T0130Z/
/SUMG1.3.ER.200413T0754Z.200413T2130Z.200414T1930Z.NR/
920 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 900 PM Monday the stage was 21.0 feet...and falling.
* Major flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* At 22.0 feet...Major flooding expands into sections of Summerville 
  due to tributaries backing up from near record high flow on the 
  river. The water reaches the bottom of the Rome Boulevard bridge 
  and affects The Summerville Times property. In Trion...the parking 
  lot and portions of the Mount Vernon Mills buildings including the 
  personnel office...yards and homes on First and Second Streets near
  the levee...and athletic fields and other structures off Dalton and
  Cooper Streets are flooded with 2 to 5 feet of water. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

GAC129-213-313-141519-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0277.000000T0000Z-200416T1644Z/
/TLNG1.1.ER.200414T0345Z.200415T0600Z.200416T1044Z.NO/
920 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Conasauga River near Tilton.
* From tonight until Thursday afternoon.
* At 900 PM Monday the stage was 17.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 23.8 feet by early Wednesday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* At 24.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  expands into the woodlands...fields and pastures along the river 
  upstream and downstream from the Brackett Ridge Road bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3472 8483 3463 8488 3463 8495 3471 8497


$$

845 
WGUS82 KFFC 140359
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1159 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County 


GAC055-141758-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0273.000000T0000Z-200415T0130Z/
/SUMG1.3.ER.200413T0754Z.200413T2130Z.200414T1930Z.NR/
1159 PM EDT Mon Apr 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 12 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.9 feet and falling.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and will continue.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* At 19.9 feet, significant flooding continues in the woodlands and 
  fields along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  Rome Boulevard. In Trion, portions of the parking lot at Mount 
  Vernon Mills, yards of homes on First and Second Streets near the 
  levee, and athletic fields off Dalton Street are flooded with two 
  feet of water. The water is at the personnel office foundation at 
  Mount Vernon Mills. Also near Lyerly, portions of Lyerly Dam Road 
  near the river are flooded with two feet of water. 

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

817 
WGUS82 KFFC 141431
FLSFFC
fBULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1031 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  West Chickamauga Creek near Fort Oglethorpe affecting Catoosa and 
  Hamilton Counties 

  Conasauga River near Eton affecting Murray and Whitfield Counties 

  Conasauga River near Tilton affecting Gordon...Murray and 
  Whitfield Counties 

  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton affecting Whitfield 
  County 

  Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park affecting Floyd County 


GAC047-TNC065-150431-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0272.000000T0000Z-200416T0512Z/
/WCKG1.1.ER.200413T1417Z.200414T1800Z.200415T2312Z.UU/
1031 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The West Chickamauga Creek near Fort Oglethorpe.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.2 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.3 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday evening.
* At 13 feet...Minor flooding expands further into the woodlands 
  and fields near the creek upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  the Georgia Highway 146 or Cloud Springs Road bridge. Minor 
  flooding of the creek also expands much further downstream as it 
  crosses the Tennessee border into the south East Ridge area.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3492 8526 3500 8523 3499 8516 3486 8524


$$

GAC213-313-150431-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0275.000000T0000Z-200415T0521Z/
/ETNG1.1.ER.200413T0553Z.200413T2215Z.200414T2321Z.NR/
1031 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Conasauga River near Eton.
* Until late tonight.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.1 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 14 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands...pasture and fields along the river...upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on Georgia Highway 286 or Dawnville Road.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3499 8485 3499 8475 3491 8480 3472 8483


$$

GAC313-150431-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0278.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHCG1.1.ER.200413T0700Z.200414T1315Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1031 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coahulla Creek near Keiths Mill near Dalton.
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.4 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* At 24 feet...Minor flooding becomes widespread and expands 
  further into the pastures...fields and woodlands upstream and 
  downstream from the Keiths Mill Road bridge. Areas close to the 
  creek will be under 8 feet of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3471 8489 3480 8495 3488 8495 3488 8486
      3480 8488 3474 8486             

$$

GAC129-213-313-150431-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0277.000000T0000Z-200417T0840Z/
/TLNG1.1.ER.200414T0645Z.200415T1800Z.200417T0240Z.NO/
1031 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Conasauga River near Tilton.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.5 feet by Wednesday early 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday before 
  midnight.
* At 24 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  expands into the woodlands...fields and pastures along the river 
  upstream and downstream from the Brackett Ridge Road bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3473 8489 3472 8483 3463 8488 3463 8495 3471 8497


$$

GAC055-142042-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0273.000000T0000Z-200414T2042Z/
/SUMG1.3.ER.200413T0754Z.200413T2130Z.200414T1442Z.NR/
1031 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2020

...Flood Warning extended until this afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.4 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  morning.
* At 14 feet...Minor flooding of woodlands and fields begins along 
  the river upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. Highway 27 
  or Rome Boulevard. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

GAC115-150431-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0287.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RMBG1.1.ER.200414T0836Z.200414T1345Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1031 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Coosa River near Rome Mayos Bar L & D Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.9 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* At 24 feet...Minor flooding begins of the woodlands...fields and 
  pastures along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  the old Lock and Dam behind the Trading Post. The boat ramp will be
  mostly under water at the Lock and Dam park.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3425 8524 3421 8518 3417 8526 3420 8536
      3425 8531 3423 8526             

$$

778 
WGUS82 KFFC 141458
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1058 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Chattooga River near Summerville affecting Chattooga County

 
GAC055-141528-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0273.000000T0000Z-200414T2042Z/
/SUMG1.3.ER.200413T0754Z.200413T2130Z.200414T1417Z.NR/
1058 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Chattooga River near Summerville.
* This takes effect immediately.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.7 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 14 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
* At 14 feet...Minor flooding of woodlands and fields begins along 
  the river upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. Highway 27 
  or Rome Boulevard. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3459 8539 3459 8531 3453 8526 3437 8538
      3440 8544 3453 8533             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
332 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

...INCREASED CONCERN OF SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK LATE
TODAY INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.SHORT TERM /Rest of today through Monday Night/...

Things should ramp up quickly here for a significant outbreak of
severe storms (possibly the strongest event in at least the last 2
to 3 years) having the big three main threats of strong long-
track tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail this afternoon
into the overnight. Much of the western CWA remains in a Moderate
Risk with the rest of the area in an Enhanced, though the storm
threats could occur area-wide. All the recent convective
development across the western and northern CWA has been tapping
into mostly elevated instability, though concern is increasing
with the evolution of a warm front/lingering wedge front across
portions of north Georgia (currently extending near the Atlanta
Metro to just south of Athens) as this may end up focusing some
stronger rotating convection tapping into more surface based
energy along with localized enhanced low level helicity and
frontogenetic forcing on top of the ample upper forcing/jet
dynamics. The HRRR continues to ramp up the Sig Tor Param along
and south of this feature that could slowly lift northward this
afternoon into evening and bulk shear vectors have strong veering,
so will need to watch for discrete supercell and tornado
potential even ahead of the main overnight expected storms.

Hi-res CAM consensus continues to have expected intense convective
zones/broken lines with embedded supercells pushing into the CWA
after about 04z (midnight) tonight pushing eastward through the
early morning hours. The HRRR indicates impressive swaths of updraft
helicity along these storms interacting with over 400 m2/s2 of 0-1km
SRH, so there is concern of some strong long-track tornadoes, even
more dangerous given the nocturnal timing. Regardless there will be
a widespread damaging wind threat with a robust 65 kt LLJ and 80-100
kts of bulk deep layer shear as the upper wave swings negative.

Have continued with Flash Flood Watch across the far north where
storm total QPF still looks to be in the 2-4 inch range. Also
continuing the Wind Advisory as the enhanced southerly gradient
winds will be strong especially as we get into the warm sector of
the surface low.

The storm threat looks to exit the southeastern CWA between 12-15z
Monday and west to NW winds behind the front should gradually
decrease during the day with clearing conditions.

Baker

&&

.LONG TERM /Tuesday through Sunday/...

The forecast remains mainly on track through the extended period,
with only minor changes made based on the latest guidance. The
previous discussion follows...

King

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 740 AM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020/

LONG TERM /Monday Night through Saturday/...

Region remains under a fairly active and progressive pattern through
the extended forecast period. Period starts out mainly dry behind the
strong system impacting the area today through early Monday. A short
wave sweeps along the gulf coast region Tuesday bringing rain chances
back into the forecast area, especially the southern portion of the
area. Instability is marginal at best with limited chances for
thunder with this system. Mainly dry for the latter half of the
work-week with rain chances increasing again next weekend as another
wave approaches. Temperatures remain relatively seasonal through the
period.

20

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...

IFR/LIFR cigs (300 ft near KATL) along with IFR vsbys have built
into the northern sites for this afternoon with the progression of
a lingering wedge. This should lift slowly northward and improve
by late afternoon/evening as we then get into the warm sector of a
strong storm system that could bring several rounds of severe
storms - with the most likely area of severe storms pushing
through the western sites (including KATL) in the 06-09z window,
and slightly later for the eastern sites. These storms could have
strong long-track tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail. Winds
will increase out of the SE later this afternoon at 13-17 kts
gusting in the 20s, then shift SW to west after near 06z tonight
at 18-20 kts gusting near 30kts. These should gradually decrease
through Monday day.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium on overall cig trends and storm timing.
High on all else.

Baker

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          62  76  50  73 / 100  20   5   5
Atlanta         62  73  48  72 / 100  10   5   5
Blairsville     55  66  41  66 / 100  20   5  10
Cartersville    58  69  44  69 / 100   5   5   5
Columbus        65  80  53  80 / 100  10   5  10
Gainesville     59  71  48  69 / 100  10   5   5
Macon           65  81  53  79 / 100  30   5  10
Rome            58  67  44  68 / 100   5   5   5
Peachtree City  62  75  48  74 / 100  10   5   5
Vidalia         68  84  60  83 /  90  80  10  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 6 AM EDT Monday for the following zones:
Baldwin...Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Bibb...Bleckley...Butts...
Carroll...Catoosa...Chattahoochee...Chattooga...Cherokee...
Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Crawford...Crisp...Dade...
Dawson...DeKalb...Dodge...Dooly...Douglas...Emanuel...Fannin...
Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...Glascock...Gordon...
Greene...Gwinnett...Hall...Hancock...Haralson...Harris...Heard...
Henry...Houston...Jackson...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...
Jones...Lamar...Laurens...Lumpkin...Macon...Madison...Marion...
Meriwether...Monroe...Montgomery...Morgan...Murray...Muscogee...
Newton...North Fulton...Oconee...Oglethorpe...Paulding...Peach...
Pickens...Pike...Polk...Pulaski...Putnam...Rockdale...Schley...
South Fulton...Spalding...Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...
Taliaferro...Taylor...Telfair...Toombs...Towns...Treutlen...
Troup...Twiggs...Union...Upson...Walker...Walton...Warren...
Washington...Webster...Wheeler...White...Whitfield...Wilcox...
Wilkes...Wilkinson.

Flash Flood Watch through Monday morning for the following
zones: Catoosa...Chattooga...Dade...Dawson...Fannin...Floyd...
Gilmer...Gordon...Lumpkin...Murray...Pickens...Towns...Union...
Walker...White...Whitfield.

&&

SHORT TERM...Baker
LONG TERM....20/King
AVIATION...Baker

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
615 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-131000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
615 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and
Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Rest of tonight...Sunday night...

Scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms are expected across
north and central Georgia tonight. Some significant long-track
tornadoes along with damaging winds and large hail can be expected.

Flash flooding will also be possible over parts of far north
Georgia tonight. River levels may remain high through early
next week.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

Some severe storms may linger over portions of east central
Georgia early Monday.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible Tuesday through
Wednesday, and again Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Virtual activation of storm spotters should be in effect.
Please relay any reports of severe weather to the National Weather
Service, amateur radio nets and other official sources while
following all local, state and CDC guidelines.