Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 207, NWS Atlanta, GA

February 20, 2020Baldwin County, Washington County, Wilkinson County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Feb 20, 2020, 7:43 PM EST for Baldwin County, Washington County, Wilkinson County, Georgia. It was in force for 66 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2020, 7:43 PM EST (00:43 UTC)
Expired
Feb 23, 2020, 1:40 PM EST
In force
66 hr
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Baldwin County, GA, Washington County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Oconee River at Milledgeville (MLGG1).

Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
22 ft
Moderate stage
32 ft
Major stage
38 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02223000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

968 
WGUS42 KFFC 210043
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
743 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Milledgeville affecting Baldwin...Washington and
  Wilkinson Counties


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.

The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United 
States Geological Survey.

&&

GAC009-303-319-211442-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0207.200221T0047Z-200223T1840Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.200221T0047Z.200221T0600Z.200223T1240Z.NO/
743 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a
* Flood Warning for 
  The Oconee River near Milledgeville.
* From this evening until Sunday afternoon.
* At 6 PM Thursday the stage was 21.9 feet, and slowly rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 22.3 feet after midnight. The river will then
  fall below flood stage on Sunday morning.
* At 22 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding occurs 
  upstream and downstream from the gage located around one half mile 
  upstream from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Low lying 
  portions of woodlands and pasture in the natural flood plain will 
  begin to flood. This will include portions of the sidewalks in the 
  Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream from the bridge. 
  Sinclair Dam will have one to two gates open to reach this height.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324             

$$
5 follow-up statements
566 
WGUS82 KFFC 210309
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1009 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Milledgeville affecting Baldwin...Washington and
  Wilkinson Counties 

 
GAC009-303-319-211709-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0207.000000T0000Z-200223T2000Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.200221T0100Z.200221T0600Z.200223T1400Z.NO/
1009 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Milledgeville.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 22.1 feet, and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue to rise to near 22.5 feet after midnight 
  tonight. The river will fall below flood stage on Sunday 
  morning.
* At 22 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding occurs 
  upstream and downstream from the gage located around one half mile 
  upstream from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Low lying 
  portions of woodlands and pasture in the natural flood plain will 
  begin to flood. This will include portions of the sidewalks in the 
  Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream from the bridge. 
  Sinclair Dam will have one to two gates open to reach this height.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324             

$$
522 
WGUS82 KFFC 211029
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
529 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Dublin affecting Johnson...Laurens...Washington 
  and Wilkinson Counties 

  Oconee River near Milledgeville affecting Baldwin...Washington and
  Wilkinson Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Washington and Wilkinson 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 


GAC059-133-219-220029-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0182.000000T0000Z-200224T0120Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.200219T1430Z.200220T0345Z.200223T1920Z.NO/
529 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 5 AM Friday the stage was 13.9 feet, and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will begin to fall, dropping below flood stage Sunday 
  afternoon.
* At 13 feet, minor flooding occurs along the river upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 bridge. The right 
  bank overflows into agricultural land and pastures with a foot or 
  two of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

GAC009-303-319-220029-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0207.000000T0000Z-200223T2000Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.200221T0100Z.200221T1200Z.200223T1400Z.NO/
529 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Milledgeville.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 445 AM Friday the stage was 22 feet, and nearly steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* At 22 feet, minor flooding occurs upstream and downstream from the 
  gage located around one half mile upstream from the Georgia Highway 
  22 and 24 bridge and low lying portions of woodlands and pasture in 
  the natural flood plain will be flooded. This will include portions 
  of the sidewalks in the Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream  
  from the bridge. Sinclair Dam will have one to two gates open to 
  reach this height.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324             

$$

GAC303-319-220029-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0198.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.200219T1656Z.200220T0530Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
529 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* Until further notice.
* At 445 AM Friday the stage was 19 feet, and slowly falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and minor flooding is expected to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* At 19 feet, minor flooding continues in the woodlands and wetlands 
  along the river upstream and downstream from the gage located by the 
  dirt boat ramp on the west side of the Avant Mine off Adams Road in 
  Washington County. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311             

$$

GAC167-303-319-220029-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.2.ER.200219T1800Z.200221T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
529 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* Until further notice.
* At 5 AM Friday the stage was 24 feet, and rising.
* Moderate flooding is occurring, and moderate flooding is forecast 
  to continue.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue rising, reaching near 24.3 feet this 
  afternoon, then begin falling.
* Between 23 and 25 feet, moderate flooding continues. Portions of the 
  Old Balls Ferry Road leading to the boat ramp becomes flooded with a 
  foot or more of water and the entire dirt parking lot near the boat 
  ramp is under three to five feet of water. Extensive flooding of the 
  woodlands near the river continues.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

GAC167-175-303-319-220029-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0208.200221T1007Z-000000T0000Z/
/DBNG1.2.ER.200221T0955Z.200223T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
529 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Dublin.
* From early this morning until further notice.
* At 445 AM Friday the stage was 21 feet, and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring, and moderate flooding is forecast to 
  develop.
* Flood stage is 21 feet.
* The river will continue rising, reaching near 27.6 feet by Sunday 
  evening.
* At 21 feet, minor flooding begins in the woodlands and natural flood 
  plain along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. 
  Highway 80.
  
  At 23 feet, minor flooding continues in the woodlands and natural 
  flood plain along the river upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  U.S. Highway 80. Flooding will increase on some dirt river-access 
  roads. The water level will be at least one foot deep on some   
  sections of the roads.
  
  At 25 feet, moderate flooding begins with significant flooding 
  occurring in the woodlands and agricultural areas upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on U.S. Highway 80. The flood waters will 
  be around two feet deep on Rex Miller Road, downstream left bank of 
  the Highway 80 bridge, and Old River Lane, upstream and left bank 
  from the bridge with some of the homes on these roads begin to 
  flood as well.

  At 27 feet, significant flooding expands into the woodlands and 
  agricultural areas upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. 
  Highway 80. The flood waters will be around 4 feet deep on Rex 
  Miller Road and Old River Lane with several homes on these roads 
  under two feet of water. In addition, a few homes on River Ridge 
  Road will be flooded with a foot of water and portions of the 
  Riverview Park Golf Course will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3265 8298 3267 8289 3257 8284 3238 8268
      3236 8277 3254 8293             

$$
659 
WGUS82 KFFC 211553
FLSFFC
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1053 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Flint River near Griffin Hwy. 16 affecting Fayette and Spalding 
  Counties 

  Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19 affecting Crawford...
  Talbot...Taylor and Upson Counties 

  Turkey Creek near Byromville affecting Dooly County 

  Oconee River near Milledgeville affecting Baldwin...Washington and
  Wilkinson Counties 

  Flint River near Thomaston affecting Talbot and Upson Counties 


GAC009-303-319-220553-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0207.000000T0000Z-200223T1800Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.200221T0100Z.200221T1800Z.200223T1200Z.NO/
1053 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Milledgeville.
* From this afternoon until Sunday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 21.7 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  remain just above 22 feet through early Sunday. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* At 22 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding occurs 
  upstream and downstream from the gage located around one half mile 
  upstream from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Low lying 
  portions of woodlands and pasture in the natural flood plain will 
  begin to flood. This will include portions of the sidewalks in the 
  Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream from the bridge. 
  Sinclair Dam will have one to two gates open to reach this height.

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324             

$$

GAC113-255-220000-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0185.000000T0000Z-200222T0000Z/
/GRFG1.1.ER.200219T0857Z.200219T2230Z.200221T1800Z.NO/
1053 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Flint River near Griffin Hwy. 16.
* Until this evening.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 12.0 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will end soon.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* At 12 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands...fields and pasture upstream and downstream from the 
  gage on Georgia Highway 16 or Newnan Road.

&&

LAT...LON 3330 8444 3330 8437 3318 8445 3316 8447
      3316 8447 3322 8450             

$$

GAC263-293-220553-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0197.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TMSG1.1.ER.200219T1649Z.200220T1030Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1053 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Flint River near Thomaston.
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 11.1 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will end soon.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* At 11 feet...Minor flooding occurs of the natural floodplain 
  upstream and downstream from the gage on Georgia Highway 36. 


&&

LAT...LON 3291 8447 3280 8430 3276 8437 3287 8453


$$

GAC079-263-269-293-220553-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0186.000000T0000Z-200223T1348Z/
/CLUG1.2.ER.200219T1207Z.200221T0630Z.200223T0748Z.NO/
1053 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Flint River near Carsonville Hwy. 19.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 24.7 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  Sunday morning.
* At 25 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Access Road to boat ramp 
  and parking lot to boat ramp flood. In addition...flooding of most 
  of the land at the bend of the river upstream develops.

&&

LAT...LON 3280 8430 3275 8421 3257 8398 3253 8405
      3265 8415 3276 8437             

$$

GAC093-220400-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0206.000000T0000Z-200222T0400Z/
/BVLG1.1.ER.200220T2330Z.200221T0800Z.200221T2200Z.NO/
1053 AM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Turkey Creek near Byromville.
* Until this evening.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 11 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* At 11 feet...Minor flooding expands into the woodland areas 
  upstream and downstream from the stream gage on Georgia Highway 90.
  Larger portions of creek access roads will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3229 8385 3225 8380 3218 8387 3210 8391
      3210 8398 3220 8394             

$$
813 
WGUS82 KFFC 212012
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
312 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Milledgeville affecting Baldwin...Washington and
  Wilkinson Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Washington and Wilkinson 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

  Oconee River near Dublin affecting Johnson...Laurens...Washington 
  and Wilkinson Counties 

  Oconee River near Mount Vernon affecting Montgomery...Treutlen and
  Wheeler Counties 


GAC059-133-219-221012-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0182.000000T0000Z-200223T2015Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.200219T1430Z.200220T0345Z.200223T1415Z.NO/
312 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 3 PM Friday the stage was 13.8 feet...and falling slowly.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage by late Sunday
  morning.
* At 13 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding occurs along 
  the river upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia 
  Highway 15 bridge. The right bank begins to overflow into 
  agricultural land and pastures with a foot or two of water.


&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

GAC009-303-319-221012-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0207.000000T0000Z-200223T1800Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.200221T0100Z.200221T0445Z.200223T1200Z.NO/
312 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Milledgeville.
* From this evening until Sunday afternoon.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 21.6 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river is forecast to remain at or just above 22 feet through
  Saturday, then fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* At 22 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding occurs 
  upstream and downstream from the gage located around one half mile 
  upstream from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Low lying 
  portions of woodlands and pasture in the natural flood plain will 
  begin to flood. This will include portions of the sidewalks in the 
  Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream from the bridge. 
  Sinclair Dam will have one to two gates open to reach this height.


&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324             

$$

GAC303-319-221012-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0198.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.200219T1656Z.200220T0530Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
312 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* Until further notice.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 18.8 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* At 19 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream from
  a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant Mine 
  off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will begin to 
  surround the elevated USGS gage house.


&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311             

$$

GAC167-303-319-221012-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.2.ER.200219T1800Z.200221T1330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
312 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* Until further notice.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 23.8 feet...and falling.
* Moderate flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue to fall over the next several days,
  falling to near 20 feet by Wednesday.
* At 23 feet...Moderate flooding continues. Portions of the Old 
  Balls Ferry Road leading to the boat ramp becomes flooded with a 
  foot of water or more.  The entire dirt parking lot near the boat 
  ramp is under three to five feet of water. Extensive flooding of 
  the woodlands near the river continues.


&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

GAC167-175-303-319-221012-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0208.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DBNG1.2.ER.200221T0957Z.200224T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
312 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Dublin.
* Until further notice.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 23.3 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27.4 feet by Sunday evening 
  then begin falling.
* At 27 feet...Significant flooding expands into the woodlands and 
  agricutural areas upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. 
  Highway 80. The flood waters will be around 4 feet deep on Rex 
  Miller Road and Old River Lane. Several homes on these roads will 
  be under two feet of water. Also a few homes on River Ridge Road 
  will be flooded with a foot of water. Portions of the Riverview 
  Park Golf Course will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3265 8298 3267 8289 3257 8284 3238 8268
      3236 8277 3254 8293             

$$

GAC209-283-309-221012-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTVG1.2.ER.200220T1522Z.200225T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
312 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Mount Vernon.
* Until further notice.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 17.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 20.6 feet by Tuesday evening
  then begin falling.
* At 21 feet...Significant flooding continues in the woodlands and 
  pastures upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. Highway 280.
  The lower portion of the access road to the boat ramp on the 
  Wheeler County side of the river is flooded. Around a dozen homes 
  on Dead River Road in the south end of Montgomery County become 
  flooded.  Portions of Dead River Road will be covered by at least 3
  feet of water.


&&

LAT...LON 3236 8277 3238 8268 3220 8259 3196 8251
      3195 8259 3218 8268             

$$
341 
WGUS82 KFFC 220202
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
902 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Milledgeville affecting Baldwin...Washington and
  Wilkinson Counties

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Washington and Wilkinson 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

  Oconee River near Dublin affecting Johnson...Laurens...Washington 
  and Wilkinson Counties 

  Oconee River near Mount Vernon affecting Montgomery...Treutlen and
  Wheeler Counties 

  Ohoopee River near Swainsboro affecting Emanuel and Treutlen 
  Counties 


GAC059-133-219-221603-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0182.000000T0000Z-200223T0600Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.200219T1430Z.200220T0345Z.200223T0000Z.NO/
902 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 13.6 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow 
  evening.
* At 13 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding occurs along 
  the river upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia 
  Highway 15 bridge. The right bank begins to overflow into 
  agricultural land and pastures with a foot or two of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

GAC009-303-319-220232-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0207.000000T0000Z-200223T1800Z/
/MLGG1.1.ER.200221T0100Z.200221T0445Z.200221T0950Z.NO/
902 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Oconee River near Milledgeville.
* This takes effect immediately.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 21.5 feet...and steady.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
* At 22 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding occurs 
  upstream and downstream from the gage located around one half mile 
  upstream from the Georgia Highway 22 and 24 bridge. Low lying 
  portions of woodlands and pasture in the natural flood plain will 
  begin to flood. This will include portions of the sidewalks in the 
  Oconee River Greenway Park just downstream from the bridge. 
  Sinclair Dam will have one to two gates open to reach this height.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3313 8325 3314 8317 3308 8317 3302 8313
      3297 8316 3304 8324             

$$

GAC303-319-221602-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0198.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.200219T1656Z.200220T0530Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
902 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* Until further notice.
* At 7PM Friday the stage was 19 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* At 19 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into the 
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream from
  a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant Mine 
  off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will begin to 
  surround the elevated USGS gage house.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311             

$$

GAC167-303-319-221602-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNG1.2.ER.200219T1800Z.200221T1330Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* Until further notice.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 23.6 feet...and falling.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 22.4 feet by .
* At 23 feet...Moderate flooding continues. Portions of the Old 
  Balls Ferry Road leading to the boat ramp becomes flooded with a 
  foot of water or more.  The entire dirt parking lot near the boat 
  ramp is under three to five feet of water. Extensive flooding of 
  the woodlands near the river continues.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$

GAC167-175-303-319-221602-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0208.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DBNG1.2.ER.200221T0957Z.200223T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Dublin.
* Until further notice.
* At 7PM Friday the stage was 24.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27 feet by Sunday early 
  afternoon then begin falling.
* At 27 feet...Significant flooding expands into the woodlands and 
  agricutural areas upstream and downstream from the gage on U.S. 
  Highway 80. The flood waters will be around 4 feet deep on Rex 
  Miller Road and Old River Lane. Several homes on these roads will 
  be under two feet of water. Also a few homes on River Ridge Road 
  will be flooded with a foot of water. Portions of the Riverview 
  Park Golf Course will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3265 8298 3267 8289 3257 8284 3238 8268
      3236 8277 3254 8293             

$$

GAC209-283-309-221602-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTVG1.2.ER.200220T1522Z.200225T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
902 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Mount Vernon.
* Until further notice.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 17.6 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 20.3 feet by Tuesday early 
  afternoon then begin falling.
* At 20 feet...Moderate flooding begins. Significant flooding 
  occurs in the woodlands and pastures upstream and downstream from 
  the gage on U.S. Highway 280. The access road to the boat ramp on 
  the Wheeler County side of the river begins to flood. Around a 
  dozen homes on Dead River Road in the south end of Montgomery 
  County become surrounded with water. A few homes will have some 
  flooding. Portions of Dead River Road will be covered by at least 
  two feet of water.

  

&&

LAT...LON 3236 8277 3238 8268 3220 8259 3196 8251
      3195 8259 3218 8268             

$$

GAC107-283-221602-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0203.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWOG1.1.ER.200220T0945Z.200222T0130Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
902 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River near Swainsboro.
* Until further notice.
* At 8PM Friday the stage was 19 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* At 20 feet...Minor flooding continues of the large flood plain 
  and woodlands upstream and downstream from the gage on Georgia 
  Highway 297. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3254 8262 3258 8257 3238 8224 3232 8226


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 20, 6:58 PM EST, 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 6:58 PM EST, 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
658 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

.UPDATE...
Update to cancel the Flash Flood Watch early. Only some very light
rain lingering across the southern portion of the CWA and it will
continue to taper off through 10PM.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 623 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020/

UPDATE...
Regional radar shows the back edge of the precip currently moving
across metro ATL. Will have to take a look at cancelling the FFW a
little early as the moderate rainfall pushes out of the southern
half of the CWA. As far as the north goes, do think some very
light snow/flurries will continue below the radar beam so no
changes to the WWA will for this update.

However, did tweak the hourly temps for the current conditions.
This caused a few changes to the weather grids, especially in
areas that are already below freezing.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 256 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Friday Night/...

Rain is continuing across the area with some locations across NE GA
mixing with some snow this afternoon. We currently do not have any
accumulations and things still look on track with the current Winter
Weather Advisory across NE GA. We have see .5 to 1.5 inches of
precip over the last 24 hours and still expecting another .5 to 1
inch through tonight. While normally this would not be a big deal,
with saturated soils, this additional rainfall means more runoff.
With many waterways already in flood or in an elevated state, will
continue the Flash Flood Watch 1 am.

As far as winter weather is concerned...Temperatures across N GA
have been holding fairly steady in the mid to upper 30s. We are
expecting the temps to begin to fall over the next few hours with
the rain turning into a rain snow mix...then all snow as the precip
exits the area. The back edge of the precip has already moved into
NW AL and is expected to continue pushing SE through tonight.
Expecting the back edge to push into MW GA right around sunset and
through the ATL metro area by 1 to 3am. Expecting to see some mixed
precip as far south as a Newnan to Eatonton line but not expecting
any accumulations outside of the NE GA counties. Please see the
Winter weather advisory (WSWFFC).

As the precip moves out high pressure builds in across the area
pushing out of the western great lake states. This ridge brings in a
cooler/drier airmass for friday and into the beginning of the
extended forecast.

Temperatures will into the upper 20s to mid 30s across the area with
highs Friday getting back up into the 40s. Will see temps drop back
down into the 20s for Sat morning.

01

LONG TERM /Saturday through Thursday/...

It feels like Groundhog Day. Rounds of on and off rain provided by
multiple frontal passages in combination with several upper level
disturbances will move through the area within the long term period.

The long term period starts off dry on Saturday with a surface high
sinking into the SE with upper level ridging and NW flow aloft
providing the first dry weekend through Sunday. The story begins to
change though late Sunday as the next system over the Great Plains
begins to develop and brings in SW flow to the CWA. This SW flow
will bring increased PoPs to the area on Monday and Tuesday. This
first low pressure system should bring a cold front to the area and
is expected to stall out over the far SE region.  This first low
should then dissipate near the Great Lakes region before beginning
to cycle again, developing another low pressure system over the
Great Plains. This second low pressure system should then progress
SE and push the initial stalled front offshore on Wednesday. Nearing
the end of the long term period, GFS and ECMWF are in great
disagreement in regards to timing, PoPs, and temps for the second
system. The GFS is currently hinting at a brief wintry mix for far N
Georgia Wednesday night into Thursday while the ECMWF remains dry.
Regardless, as the deep mid and upper level trough pushes into the
area, temperatures can be expected to be cold.

In terms of climate, the main theme for this period will be above
average lows with near average to slightly below average highs prior
to the cold front passage on Wednesday. On Thursday and Thursday
night, high and low temps will 5 to 15 degrees below normal.

Morgan

AVIATION...
00Z Update...
Back edge of the precip is noted on regional radar. Do think some
lingering light ra/dz will be possible for the next few hours.
Confidence is low that vsbys will be reduced in RASn overnight,
but the potential exists and will keep in the TAF for now. Winds
will try and flirt with due north overnight, but kept NNE in the
TAF. Models are progging rapid clearing around or just after 12Z
FRI.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Low confidence -RASN. Med confidence on CIGs. High confidence
remaining elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          32  46  27  56 /  60   0   0   0
Atlanta         32  45  28  54 /  50   5   0   0
Blairsville     23  44  22  54 /  40   0   0   0
Cartersville    28  46  25  55 /  40   0   0   0
Columbus        36  50  29  58 /  40   5   0   0
Gainesville     29  45  28  54 /  60   0   0   0
Macon           36  49  27  56 /  60   0   0   0
Rome            27  45  25  55 /  30   0   0   0
Peachtree City  33  47  26  56 /  50   5   0   0
Vidalia         35  48  29  56 /  80   5   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Winter Weather Advisory until 1 AM EST Friday for the following
zones: Dawson...Fannin...Gilmer...Lumpkin...Murray...Pickens...
Towns...Union...White.

&&

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....Morgan
AVIATION...NListemaa
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 20, 6:57 PM EST, 46 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
657 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-220000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
657 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect through 1 AM Friday
morning for the mountains of northeast and north central Georgia.

Rain and snow is coming to an end across the area. However, as
temperatures continue to fall at or below freezing overnight,
patchy black ice will become possible, especially over bridges and
overpasses. Wind chills will also dip into the single digits
across the higher elevations of north Georgia on Friday morning.
Those outside should take precautions from the cold.

Although the rain is coming to an end, many rivers are currently
at very high streamflows with additional river flooding is likely
through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit impact weather reports through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 20, 3:22 PM EST, 4 hours 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
322 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

GAZ001>004-011-012-019>025-027-030>039-041>060-066>068-070-210600-
Dade-Walker-Catoosa-Whitfield-Chattooga-Gordon-Floyd-Bartow-
Cherokee-Forsyth-Hall-Banks-Jackson-Madison-Polk-Paulding-Cobb-
North Fulton-Gwinnett-Barrow-Clarke-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Wilkes-
Haralson-Carroll-Douglas-South Fulton-DeKalb-Rockdale-Walton-
Newton-Morgan-Greene-Taliaferro-Heard-Coweta-Fayette-Clayton-
Spalding-Henry-Butts-Jasper-Putnam-Troup-Meriwether-Pike-Lamar-
322 PM EST Thu Feb 20 2020

...Black Ice Possible Overnight...

Across the far northern tier including Dade, Walker, Catoosa, and
Whitfield, a transition to a mix of rain and snow remains possible
before the precipitation exits late this afternoon. Initially
temperatures will be too warm for any accumulations except the
highest peaks where a dusting to up to a half an inch is possible.

Colder air will rush in behind the precipitation with temperatures
dropping below freezing shortly after midnight for the far
northern sections and the Atlanta metro sections a few hours
later. Winds will aid in drying roads but any residual water on
area roadways could result in black ice. With the abundant
rainfall over the last few weeks, there will be a higher than
normal chance of black ice conditions especially where water flows
through the higher elevations and across roadways. This will
create hazardous driving conditions where it does occur through
the rush hour Friday morning. Temperatures are expected to rise
above freezing after 10AM for most areas.

Finally, there are a few weather model solutions that suggest some
light snow is possible overnight in the Atlanta metro due to cold
air rushing over the warmer Lake Lanier. There is low chance of
this occurring and any accumulations if at all would be very
light.

Deese

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 11:23 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCJohnson, Laurens, Washington, Wilkinson9 days
Feb 21, 8:59 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningFFCNewton9 hr
Feb 21, 12:33 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDooly, Macon, Sumter3 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.