Severe Thunderstorm Warning 54, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

002 
WWUS54 KEWX 092305
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
605 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

TXC163-325-092330-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200409T2330Z/
Medina TX-Frio TX-
605 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MEDINA AND NORTHWESTERN FRIO COUNTIES...

At 604 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Frio Town, or
14 miles northwest of Pearsall, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Yancey and Frio Town. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2892 9934 2900 9940 2926 9923 2910 9903
      2905 9908 2909 9913 2909 9917
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 221DEG 23KT 2906 9923 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BMW

054 
WWUS54 KEWX 092313
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
613 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

TXC163-325-092330-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200409T2330Z/
Medina TX-Frio TX-
613 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MEDINA AND NORTHWESTERN FRIO COUNTIES...

At 613 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Yancey, or 16
miles northwest of Pearsall, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Yancey and Frio Town. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2894 9932 2900 9938 2926 9923 2910 9903
      2905 9908 2909 9913 2909 9917
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 227DEG 38KT 2911 9920 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BMW

912 
WWUS54 KEWX 092318
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
618 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

TXC163-325-092330-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200409T2330Z/
Medina TX-Frio TX-
618 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MEDINA AND NORTH CENTRAL FRIO COUNTIES...

At 618 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Yancey, or 14
miles south of Hondo, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Yancey.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2902 9924 2908 9931 2924 9920 2917 9911
      2913 9907 2908 9912 2909 9913 2909 9917
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 221DEG 23KT 2914 9917 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BMW

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
556 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

.UPDATE...
We have removed Burnet, Williamson, Blanco, Kendall and Bandera
counties from Severe Thunderstorm Watch #97. Farther south of these
counties, some instability still exists and some new development is
noted near and to the southwest of San Antonio. For now we will
continue the watch for the remainder of our counties, but will likely
clear counties from north to south as the evening progresses.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 232 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020/

SHORT TERM (Tonight through Friday Night)...
Strong to severe storms are firing along a Burnet to Boerne line
early this afternoon and are tracking ENE at 35 mph. With the front
only partially enhancing the storms near and north of Llano, it is
assumed that the explosive storm growth has not fully taken place.
Rapid refresh models have struggle the past couple days on getting
storm initiation points even remotely accurate. Nevertheless we have
active storms, and will a assume watches and warnings are imminent
in the next hour.

Satellite derived layer Pwat imagery seems to suggest this activity
more rooted in a shortwave lifting NE from W Texas toward N-Central
TX, and an 18Z special sounding confirms the front has already
passed the DRT area. So by 4 pm, the front could be more closely
aligned with the lead orientation of the storm clusters. What
appears less likely is that heavy rainfall potential may not need
inclusion for the Hill Country, and some last minute PoP adjustments
may be warranted for the first period.

By 6 pm, the front should have caught up with the leading edge of
storm, and should have moved through most of the Austin/San Antonio
metro areas. Unfortunately some of the best ingredients of high CAPE
and strong shear will be available to potentially bring some of the
stronger hail and high winds to some of our higher population
densities. The storms should accelerate slightly as the front and
storm complex become aligned, so we are not expected much more than
1 inch from some of the stronger storms. East of the metro area this
evening, we may see some of the hail reports decrease while the wind
reports increase.

By 9 pm, the front should have been through all counties with some
residual rain and storm activity lingering into midnight over
southern counties. A tranquil night should resume after midnight
with the north winds cooling us down into the mid 50s to mid 60s.

More and more, models are trending drier in the wake of the this
evening's activity, so PoPs for Friday are cropped way back from the
blended guidance. There remains a potential for strong storms near
the Rio Grande, but surface based deep convection and anything more
than some small hail is not expected. By late Friday afternoon, the
surface winds turn SE over all of South Central TX; thus Friday
night could see better coverage, but perhaps not much of a boost in
storm strength through 12Z Saturday.

LONG TERM (Saturday through Thursday)...
The wet weather pattern continues on Saturday as a warm front pushes
into our area from the Gulf waters. Dew point temperatures in the
60s and 70s ahead of a dry-line over the northeast part of Mexico
will set the stage for scattered showers and thunderstorms over most
areas. By Saturday afternoon, the dry-line is forecast to shift to
the east as well as the shower and thunderstorm activity. Some of
these storms could be strong to severe, capable of producing large
hail and damaging wind gusts. In addition, locally heavy rain is
possible.

We may see a break on Saturday afternoon into the early evening
hours across the Rio Grande and Edwards Plateau. However, a second
round of showers and thunderstorms is expected on late Saturday
evening. Some storms could be strong to severe, as an upper level
system over northern Mexico slowly moves to the east and over our
Saturday night into Sunday. Some lingering showers and storms could
affect the northeast part of the Hill Country and areas along
Interstate 35 corridor on Sunday morning, however, weather should
clear from west to east on mid-late Sunday morning. Expect plenty of
sunshine for Sunday afternoon with highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s.

A strong cold front will push across the area on Sunday night into
Monday with lows in the 40s across the Hill Country to the lower 50s
across the Rio Grande. The cooler airmass remains over the area on
Monday with highs in the 60s for most area. Dry weather conditions
persist through the week with a warming trend expected
for the latter part of the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              61  72  58  74  63 /  60  -   20  80  80
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  61  72  58  75  63 /  70  10  20  80  80
New Braunfels Muni Airport     63  73  58  76  62 /  70  10  20  80  70
Burnet Muni Airport            58  69  56  72  59 /  40  -   20  70  70
Del Rio Intl Airport           64  78  63  85  60 /  20  20  50  20  30
Georgetown Muni Airport        59  71  56  72  61 /  50  -   20  80  80
Hondo Muni Airport             64  75  60  79  60 /  30  20  40  50  60
San Marcos Muni Airport        61  73  58  75  62 /  70  10  20  80  80
La Grange - Fayette Regional   63  73  58  77  66 /  90  10  20  80  80
San Antonio Intl Airport       64  74  60  77  63 /  60  10  20  60  70
Stinson Muni Airport           65  74  60  78  64 /  60  10  20  50  70

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Short-Term/Aviation...YB
Long-Term...Platt
Decision Support...Treadway

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
446 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-102200-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
446 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered to numerous showers and storms are forecast for late
this afternoon and evening along a cold front. There is an
Enhanced Risk of severe storms east of a line Llano to Eagle Pass
while a Slight Risk extends farther west to near Del Rio and
Junction. The most intense severe storms will have the potential
to produce large hail 2 inches in diameter or greater as well as
damaging wind gusts of 70 mph or greater. In addition, isolated
pockets of heavy rainfall are possible, which could lead to
flooding. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is likely in these
storms. There is a Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect through 10
PM tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Another chance for strong to severe storms is possible Saturday
into Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please report any severe weather and flooding to the National
Weather Service.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
347 PM CDT THU APR 9 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 ESE LIBERTY HILL      30.66N 97.89W
04/09/2020  E60 MPH          WILLIAMSON         TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            WINDS ESTIMATED AT 60 MPH WITH SOME POSSIBLE
            TREE DAMAGE. TIME ESTIMATE VIA RADAR.

&&

AAT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
355 PM CDT THU APR 9 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0241 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSE GEORGETOWN        30.63N 97.68W
04/09/2020                   WILLIAMSON         TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MULTIPLE REPORTS OF POWER OUTAGES FROM
            FLORENCE, GEORGETOWN, AND TAYLOR FROM BOTH
            NEWS MEDIA AND EMS. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR
            OF IMPACTS IN GEORGETOWN.

&&

AAT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
400 PM CDT THU APR 9 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0316 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TAYLOR                  30.57N 97.41W
04/09/2020                   WILLIAMSON         TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTS OF POWER LINES DOWN AROUND THE CITY
            OF TAYLOR. GUSTY WINDS.

&&

AAT

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
411 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

TXZ218-219-228-092200-
Frio TX-Dimmit TX-Zavala TX-
411 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN DIMMIT...
SOUTHEASTERN ZAVALA AND SOUTHWESTERN FRIO COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM
CDT...

At 411 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Big Wells, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Big Wells, Las Vegas and Brundage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 2853 9976 2886 9943 2865 9927 2864 9928
      2864 9939 2850 9940 2840 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 2111Z 234DEG 20KT 2855 9958

MO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
412 PM CDT THU APR 9 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     TSTM WND DMG     JARRELL                 30.83N 97.60W
04/09/2020                   WILLIAMSON         TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WILLIAMSON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
            REPORTS A RV OVERTURNED AT A RV PARK IN
            JARRELL. IN ADDITION, SOCIAL MEDIA SHOWS
            ROOF SHINGLES ARE OFF MULTIPLE HOMES IN AND
            AROUND THE JARRELL AREA.

&&

PAY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
533 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

TXZ219-092330-
Frio TX-
533 PM CDT Thu Apr 9 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN FRIO COUNTY UNTIL
630 PM CDT...

At 533 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Divot, or 13 miles northwest of Dilley, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pearsall, North Pearsall, Moore, Divot, Bluff and Three Oaks.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 2876 9941 2889 9941 2909 9925 2909 9908
      2899 9886 2865 9932
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 220DEG 23KT 2877 9935

BMW