Severe Thunderstorm Warning 15, NWS Kansas City, MO

463 
WWUS53 KEAX 270810
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
310 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

MOC095-107-177-270845-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200327T0845Z/
Ray MO-Lafayette MO-Jackson MO-
310 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN RAY...NORTHWESTERN LAFAYETTE AND NORTHEASTERN JACKSON
COUNTIES...

At 310 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Levasy, or near
Buckner, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

Locations impacted include...
Independence, Blue Springs, Grain Valley, Oak Grove, Higginsville,
Lexington, Buckner, Orrick, Wellington, Hardin, Henrietta, Sibley,
Mayview, Levasy, Napoleon, Bates City, Camden and Fleming.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3899 9422 3917 9426 3930 9376 3928 9375
      3921 9376 3921 9372 3906 9366
TIME...MOT...LOC 0810Z 256DEG 42KT 3910 9412 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

Barham

343 
WWUS53 KEAX 270821
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
321 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

MOC095-177-270831-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200327T0845Z/
Ray MO-Jackson MO-
321 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN RAY AND NORTHEASTERN
JACKSON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for
north central and west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3901 9407 3915 9408 3921 9372 3906 9366
TIME...MOT...LOC 0821Z 256DEG 42KT 3913 9396 

$$

MOC107-270845-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200327T0845Z/
Lafayette MO-
321 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY...

At 321 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Wellington, or
near Lexington, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

Locations impacted include...
Higginsville, Lexington, Wellington, Mayview and Napoleon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3901 9407 3915 9408 3921 9372 3906 9366
TIME...MOT...LOC 0821Z 256DEG 42KT 3913 9396 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

Barham

741 
WWUS53 KEAX 270832
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
332 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

MOC107-270842-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200327T0845Z/
Lafayette MO-
332 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning has
been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for
north central and west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3901 9407 3915 9408 3921 9372 3906 9366
TIME...MOT...LOC 0831Z 256DEG 42KT 3916 9379 

$$

Barham

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1202 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

.Discussion...
Issued at 227 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2020

The forecast focus is for strong to severe thunderstorms tonight
through Friday morning. And another round of strong to severe
thunderstorms Friday evening through Saturday morning. Then gusty
winds on Saturday.

Key Messages...

1. Strong to severe thunderstorms expected from 10 PM through
tomorrow morning hail up to the size of half dollars (1.5") will
be main threat mainly along and south of the Missouri River.
Localized heavy rain may lead to isolated flash flooding.

2. Another round of strong to severe thunderstorms expected from
Friday evening through Saturday morning large hail, damaging winds,
and an isolated tornado are possible mainly across eastern KS/
western MO including the Metro area. Localized heavy rain may lead
to isolated flash flooding.

3. Strong winds behind cold front on Saturday.

Discussion...

At the surface a quasi-stationary frontal system is draped across
southern Kansas into Missouri near the Missouri River. The upper
levels feature a low over the SW US and broad ridging across the
Midwest with southwesterly flow over the Plains. Satellite showing
clouds north of Missouri River with clearing to the south along the
frontal boundary. Tonight a LLJ will develop and nose into southern
KS over-riding the frontal boundary. This will allow elevated
convection to develop which will be capable of producing large hail.
As, the overnight progresses the LLJ will shift east nosing into the
local area near midnight. Steep mid level lapse rates and modest
instability between 500-1000 J/Kg MUCAPE across the southern CWA
will allow the chance for a few severe storms capable of large hail
possible along and south of the Missouri River. Storms will weaken
but will continue through Friday morning as the LLJ weakens. Friday
it will be mostly dry as the warm front lifts to the north in
response to upper level low pushing towards Plains, however a few
showers are possible through the afternoon hours mainly across
northern Missouri.

Friday evening and Saturday morning another round of strong to
severe storms with large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated
tornado possible mainly across eastern Kansas and western Missouri
including the Metro area. LLJ will crank up again intersecting the
warm front in northern Missouri while the upper level trough to west
will create a surface low across northern Kansas with a couple of
storms forming near dryline in Kansas as it pushes east Friday
evening and Saturday morning. MUCAPE will approach 1500-2000 J/kg
and effective shear of 40 to 50 knots. Storms that form in warm
sector will likely be near surface based and discrete supercells.
The storms farther north near warm front will be elevated and more
numerous in coverage. Saturday morning dryline will push east and
storms will move out of the area. Winds will be strong from
southwest eventually turning west to northwest, wind advisories are
possible on Saturday.

Sunday and Monday will be dry with temperatures above normal. Next
chance of precipitation possible Monday evening as the next system
approaches.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1202 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2020

A line of storms has developed along the I-70 corridor, impacting
or about to impact the KC terminals. This line of storms will move
east along I-70, eventually moving out of the area around 09Z-10Z.
MVFR/IFR ceilings will start to develop north of the MO River
within the next couple of hours, and will eventually move south
behind the storms. The entire area is expected to under IFR
ceilings around dawn, with some lower visibilities. Patchy drizzle
is possible during the morning hours as well. Conditions will
gradually improve up to about HWY 36 during the day tomorrow as
the surface low and warm front lift north. Storm chances will
start to increase at the tail end of the TAF period as the main
low pressure system moves through the area.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

Discussion...Christensen
Aviation...Atkins

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
448 AM CDT Thu Mar 26 2020

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-271000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
448 AM CDT Thu Mar 26 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Severe storms are possible tonight mainly along and south of Highway
 50.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

 Another round of severe storms is possible Friday evening in
 portions of southeast Kansas and west central Missouri.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
222 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 AM     HAIL             3 W CENTERVIEW          38.75N 93.90W
03/27/2020  M1.25 INCH       JOHNSON            MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            NWS EMPLOYEE MEASURED HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

&&

SPENCER.MELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
225 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0209 AM     HAIL             HOLDEN                  38.71N 93.99W
03/27/2020  E1.00 INCH       JOHNSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

SPENCER.MELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
230 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 AM     HAIL             HOLDEN                  38.71N 93.99W
03/27/2020  M1.50 INCH       JOHNSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SPENCER.MELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
231 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 AM     HAIL             5 S WARRENSBURG         38.69N 93.74W
03/27/2020  M1.00 INCH       JOHNSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIMES TO QUARTERS.

&&

SPENCER.MELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
240 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0237 AM     HAIL             WHITEMAN AIR FORCE BASE 38.73N 93.55W
03/27/2020  M1.50 INCH       JOHNSON            MO   OTHER FEDERAL

&&

SPENCER.MELL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
246 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

MOZ030-037-038-270830-
Ray MO-Lafayette MO-Jackson MO-
246 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN RAY...WEST CENTRAL
LAFAYETTE AND CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

At 245 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Raytown, moving east at 50 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Kansas City, Independence, Lee's Summit, Blue Springs, Raytown, Grain
Valley, Oak Grove, Richmond, Sugar Creek, Buckner, Courtney, Orrick,
Wellington, Lake Tapawingo, Henrietta, Sibley, Levasy, Napoleon,
Bates City and Camden.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 70 in Missouri between mile markers 3 and 31.
 Interstate 470 between mile markers 12 and 16.
 Interstate 435 between mile markers 57 and 71.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for
west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3914 9448 3912 9446 3915 9442 3917 9437
      3916 9437 3917 9436 3921 9422 3921 9421
      3929 9394 3904 9386 3894 9455 3911 9457
TIME...MOT...LOC 0745Z 255DEG 44KT 3903 9449

Barham