River Flood Warning 71, NWS Kansas City, MO

206 
WGUS83 KEAX 250117
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
817 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020



...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Platte River At Sharps Station affecting Platte County.

  Platte River near Platte City affecting Platte County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Platte River near Agency affecting Buchanan County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC021-260116-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-200527T1948Z/
/AGYM7.1.ER.200524T0454Z.200526T0600Z.200526T1948Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Platte River near Agency.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 21.9 feet by early Tuesday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon.
* At 20.0 feet...Low-lying areas east of Agency begin to flood.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Platte River
  Agency          20   16.6   Sun 07 PM   21.9 early Tuesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3977 9480 3977 9471 3951 9464 3941 9464 3941 9472

  

$$

MOC165-250147-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-200530T0000Z/
/SSTM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Platte River At Sharps Station.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 21.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  25.2 feet Wednesday morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Platte River
  Sharps Station  26   21.3   Sun 07 PM   25.2 Wednesday morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3941 9474 3941 9464 3935 9476 3939 9479

  

$$

MOC165-250147-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-200530T0534Z/
/PLCM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
817 PM CDT Sun May 24 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Platte River near Platte City.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast below flood stage with a maximum 
  value of 19.1 feet early Wednesday afternoon.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Platte River
  Platte City     20                      19.1 early Wednesday 
afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3939 9479 3935 9476 3927 9481 3929 9484 3933 9483

  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
622 AM CDT Sun May 24 2020

.Discussion...
Issued at 408 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2020

Another warm and humid day is expected before the chance for
thunderstorms increases during the afternoon into the overnight
hours. With mostly sunny skies, temperatures will rapidly rise into
the 80s by late morning. A subtle upper wave expected to arrive
during peak heating within an environment characterized by little/no
CINH and moderate instability (~3000 MLCAPE) should lead to
convective initiation by early afternoon, with scattered
thunderstorms developing/moving northeastward during the remainder
of the afternoon and early evening hours. Marginal deep layer shear
will limit overall storm organization and longevity, so any strong
storm potential with this activity will be brief. The exception may
be across NE Kansas into far NW Missouri where slightly stronger
shear will exist, leading to some large hail and gusty wind
potential in the most robust updrafts. This initial round of
convection will tend to weaken/move out as the wave departs and
loss of diurnal heating by evening, but attention turns just to
the west of the CWA. Widespread convection is expected to evolve
along the surface cold front during the evening hours over central
Kansas into southeast Nebraska. This zone along and just ahead of
the front will have the potential for thunderstorms to train over
already saturated grounds from repeated rounds of storms. While
there remains some uncertainty with respect to the precise
geographical areas of convection overnight, near-parallel
mid/upper flow with respect to boundary and cold pool drifting
convection southeastward over time, flash flood potential exists
for portions of northeast Kansas into far northwest Missouri.
Therefore have issued a flash flood watch for late this afternoon
into mid-morning Monday for these areas.

An active pattern remains Monday into much of the upcoming week, as
a highly amplified upper trough slowly moves into the Plains states.
This upper trough may become closed off by mid/late week, drifting
over the Southern Plains with a frontal boundary extending
northeastward near/across the forecast area. What this means for our
area is periodic chances for showers and thunderstorms each day,
with temperatures cooling some from the warmth of today.
Predictability of the specific timing with respect to severe weather
and heavy rainfall potential remains challenging at this stage with
mesoscale influences expected to drive many details.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday Morning)
Issued at 619 AM CDT SUN MAY 24 2020

VFR conditions generally expected. Exceptions may occur this
morning as scattered MVFR cigs have developed near terminals, in
addition to any afternoon storm potentially impacting terminal
space, resulting in temporary reduction in vis/cig heights.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flash Flood Watch from 5 PM CDT this afternoon through Monday
     morning for KSZ025-102.

MO...Flash Flood Watch from 5 PM CDT this afternoon through Monday
     morning for MOZ001>004-011-012.

&&

Discussion...Blair
Aviation...Blair

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
501 AM CDT Sun May 24 2020

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-251015-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
501 AM CDT Sun May 24 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 The line of storms in eastern NE, may graze far northern MO this
morning, producing strong winds. Otherwise, main concern is scattered
storms developing early this afternoon through the evening. Some
storms may become severe with up to ping pong sized hail and damaging
winds up to 60 mph.

A line of storms is then expected to move into northeast KS and
northwest MO late tonight, producing moderate to heavy rain and
potentially strong winds. A flash flood watch is in effect for this
area given the multiple rounds of storms expected.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

 On and off storm chances continue Monday through the end of the work
week.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo