Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Cleveland, OH

438 
WWUS51 KCLE 271934
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
334 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

OHC043-271943-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-200727T2015Z/
Erie OH-
334 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR ERIE COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4156 8198 4136 8197 4134 8234 4143 8235
      4146 8236 4147 8229 4151 8221 4156 8203
TIME...MOT...LOC 1933Z 262DEG 21KT 4144 8226 

$$

OHC093-272015-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-200727T2015Z/
Lorain OH-
334 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN LORAIN COUNTY...

At 333 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Amherst, or
near Vermilion, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Lorain, Elyria, Western Vermilion, Vermilion, North Ridgeville, Avon
Lake, Amherst, Avon, Sheffield Lake, Sheffield and South Amherst.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4156 8198 4136 8197 4134 8234 4143 8235
      4146 8236 4147 8229 4151 8221 4156 8203
TIME...MOT...LOC 1933Z 262DEG 21KT 4144 8226 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Kahn

255 
WWUS51 KCLE 271945
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
345 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

OHC093-272015-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-200727T2015Z/
Lorain OH-
345 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN LORAIN COUNTY...

At 345 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Lorain, moving
east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines.

Locations impacted include...
Lorain, Elyria, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Amherst, Avon, Sheffield
Lake, Sheffield and South Amherst.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4156 8198 4136 8197 4135 8227 4151 8221
      4156 8203
TIME...MOT...LOC 1945Z 270DEG 21KT 4145 8216 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Kahn

601 
WWUS51 KCLE 272009
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
409 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

OHC093-272019-
/O.EXP.KCLE.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-200727T2015Z/
Lorain OH-
409 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN LORAIN COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 415 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However heavy rain
is still possible in Lorain County.

LAT...LON 4156 8198 4136 8197 4135 8227 4151 8221
      4156 8203
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 262DEG 21KT 4147 8199 

$$

Jaszka

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
227 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front associated with a low pressure centered in Quebec
will move east across the area tonight. High pressure will build
into the region on Tuesday. A weak boundary will approach the
area from the north on Wednesday, but high pressure will quickly
build back into the area for the end of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Primary concerns in the near term forecast are during the next
couple hours as a cold front approaches the area from the
northwest. Showers and thunderstorms have begun to develop along
the prefrontal trough. Dewpoints across the area have risen into
the 70s, creating very muggy conditions and very moist
conditions for storms to develop in. Although widespread cloud
cover can be seen on visible satellite imagery at this point,
the atmosphere remains rather unstable with 1000-1500 J/kg of
CAPE and strong low level lapse rates. A corridor of high DCAPE
values exists ahead of the front, along with PWAT values near 2
inches. With a very moist system moving through the area, the
primary concerns with this system remain heavy rainfall and
gusty winds. With this environment, wet microbursts are possible
in the strongest storms, resulting in locally strong and
damaging winds. Overall flooding potential is rather limited as
the ground is already rather dry across the area. Urban areas
and other areas with poor drainage may see a potential for some
ponding of water with the heaviest rainfall.

Although storms have already begun to develop across the area,
no significant cool down has begun. Temperatures are currently
in the upper 80s to low 90s across the area. This, coupled with
high dewpoints, has resulted in the heat index to be in the mid
to upper 90s across the area. Showers may provide some brief
relief to areas due to evaporative cooling, however the true
relief will be once the front moves through Tuesday morning,
bringing cooler and drier air.

The front will pass through the area by Tuesday morning.
Overnight low temperatures Monday will be in the mid to upper
80s. A few linger showers may stick around early Tuesday, but
then primarily dry conditions will move in as high pressure
builds in over the Great Lakes region again on Tuesday. High
temperatures will be in the low to mid 80s with dewpoints in the
low 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Low pressure will slowly rotate eastward from Ontario to Quebec
Tuesday night through Wednesday. The associated weak cold front
will sink south from the central Great Lakes into the area,
stalling across the area late Wednesday. Pops increase into the
slight chance/low chances range during the day Wednesday, but
some upstream convection could sneak in late Tuesday night. The
front washes out Wednesday night into Thursday, with pops
decreasing. More diurnally driven pops may sneak up into the
southeast part of the forecast area Thursday with the washed out
boundary near, but better chances will stay south of the area
through Thursday night. Highs Wednesday will reach the mid to
upper 80s, with cooler temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s
behind the front Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The region will be on the periphery of ridging building east from
the upper Midwest and an upper low/trough over NY/New England. Model
solutions diverge a bit into the weekend, but consensus suggests low
pressure tracking northeast through the Ohio valley Saturday night
through Sunday, with increasing moisture and precip chances through
the end of the weekend. Near normal temps generally expected through
the period.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Monday THROUGH Friday/...
VFR conditions still persist across the area. Showers and
thunderstorms have begun to develop across the area, increasing
cloud cover and reducing ceiling heights to near MVFR
conditions. These storms are expected to become more widespread
as the afternoon progresses. Decided to handle showers and
thunderstorms in TEMPOs to account for reduced visibilities
which may drop conditions to IFR temporally as heavy rainfall is
expected. Timing of these showers in TAFs is still broad to
account for timing uncertainty. Increased moisture in the
atmosphere is expected to bring in lower ceilings which will
range from VFR to MVFR heights throughout the day. Winds will
remain from the southwest at 10 to 15 knots, gusting to 20 to 25
knots, locally higher with thunderstorms. The front will pass
late tonight and conditions will dry out and winds will calm to
5 to 10 knots

Outlook...Non-VFR possible into Tuesday with residual low
stratus. Isolated showers and storms may result in non- VFR on
Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...
Southwest winds will increase through the day ahead of an
approaching cold front. Winds will generally be in the 15 to 20 kt
range, with some 2 to 4 ft waves on the eastern basin with the
longer fetch. Otherwise, generally 1 to 3 ft waves expected in the
nearshore waters. The front cross the lake overnight, but winds will
pick up again out of the southwest Tuesday and Tuesday night as high
pressure tries to build across the lake. Generally westerly winds
expected until a front moves south across the lake late Wednesday
night through Thursday, stalling south of the lake Thursday into
Friday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Campbell
NEAR TERM...Campbell
SHORT TERM...Greenawalt
LONG TERM...Greenawalt
AVIATION...Campbell
MARINE...Greenawalt

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
435 AM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ002-003-280845-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Southern Erie-
435 AM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected across the area today and
will produce heavy rainfall. There is a localized flood risk for the
heavy rain, especially for areas that have repeating storms or in
urban or poor drainage regions. The strongest storms will also have
the potential to produce strong winds and, in some cases, reach
severe limits.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ001-280845-
Northern Erie-
435 AM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected across the area today and
will produce heavy rainfall. There is a localized flood risk for the
heavy rain, especially for areas that have repeating storms or in
urban or poor drainage regions. The strongest storms will also have
the potential to produce strong winds and, in some cases, reach
severe limits.

There is a moderate swimming risk for the Lake Erie waters off
Northwest Pennsylvania. Waves of 2 to 4 feet are expected today.
Breaking waves and currents are expected. Stay away from dangerous
areas like piers, breakwalls, and river outlets.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-280845-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
435 AM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Lake Erie, eastern
Lake Erie and western Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
103 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

OHZ013-014-023-271800-
Geauga-Trumbull-Ashtabula Inland-
103 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN TRUMBULL...NORTHEASTERN
GEAUGA AND SOUTHERN ASHTABULA COUNTIES...

At 103 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles north of
Middlefield, or 9 miles east of Chardon, moving east at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Middlefield, Orwell, Andover, Huntsburg, Montville, Hartsgrove,
Roaming Shores, Cherry Valley and Rock Creek.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4175 8052 4146 8052 4145 8103 4146 8104
      4149 8112 4164 8114
TIME...MOT...LOC 1703Z 263DEG 24KT 4156 8103

Kahn

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
111 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

OHZ010-011-020-271800-
Medina-Lorain-Cuyahoga-
111 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN CUYAHOGA...
NORTHEASTERN MEDINA AND EAST CENTRAL LORAIN COUNTIES...

At 111 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Grafton, or 9
miles southeast of Elyria, moving east at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Cleveland, Parma, Strongsville, Brunswick, North Royalton, North
Ridgeville, Grafton, North Olmsted, Garfield Heights, Parma Heights,
Broadview Heights, Brook Park, Berea, Middleburg Heights,
Brecksville, Seven Hills, Brooklyn, Olmsted Falls, Eaton and
Hinckley.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 4144 8160 4128 8159 4128 8168 4122 8169
      4121 8203 4138 8206
TIME...MOT...LOC 1711Z 261DEG 18KT 4131 8195

Kahn

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
133 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

OHZ029-030-271830-
Richland-Ashland-
133 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN RICHLAND AND NORTHERN
ASHLAND COUNTIES...

At 132 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Shelby, or 12
miles northwest of Mansfield, moving east at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Mansfield, Ashland, Shelby, Plymouth, Savannah, Polk, Sullivan,
Bailey Lakes, Nankin, Shenandoah, Nova and Olivesburg.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4081 8272 4099 8273 4099 8244 4106 8243
      4107 8238 4106 8217 4083 8216
TIME...MOT...LOC 1732Z 261DEG 22KT 4092 8266

Kahn

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
153 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

OHZ006-008-017-018-271900-
Seneca-Wood-Hancock-Sandusky-
153 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN SENECA...SOUTHWESTERN
SANDUSKY...SOUTHERN WOOD AND NORTHERN HANCOCK COUNTIES...

At 152 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Leipsic, or 8
miles northeast of Ottawa, moving east at 35 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Findlay, Fostoria, North Baltimore, McComb, Arcadia, Van Buren, New
Riegel, Wayne, Bloomdale, Risingsun, Cygnet, Jerry City, Hoytville,
Benton Ridge, West Millgrove, Bairdstown, Bascom and Kansas.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4133 8327 4099 8325 4100 8388 4123 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 1752Z 266DEG 29KT 4112 8395

Kahn

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
238 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

OHZ017-027-271945-
Wyandot-Hancock-
238 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WYANDOT AND SOUTHERN HANCOCK
COUNTIES...

At 238 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Bluffton,
moving east at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Findlay, Upper Sandusky, Bluffton, Forest, Arlington, Rawson, Vanlue,
Marseilles, Carey, Mount Blanchard, Wharton, Benton Ridge, Jenera,
Mount Cory, Harpster, Kirby and Williamstown.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4100 8388 4101 8342 4099 8342 4099 8325
      4070 8323 4070 8330 4069 8331 4069 8343
      4070 8344 4071 8349 4082 8351 4082 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 1838Z 261DEG 25KT 4087 8386

Kahn

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
247 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

OHZ007>009-018-019-271945-
Seneca-Huron-Erie-Ottawa-Sandusky-
247 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2020

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT OTTAWA...HURON...
ERIE...SENECA AND SOUTHEASTERN SANDUSKY COUNTIES...

At 246 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Kelleys Island to Sycamore. Movement
was east at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Sandusky, Tiffin, Norwalk, Western Vermilion, Kelleys Island,
Bellevue, Clyde, Willard, New London, Plymouth, Green Springs,
Northern Milan, Milan, Wakeman, Bloomville, Castalia, Greenwich,
Monroeville, Marblehead and Attica.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4123 8318 4144 8287 4155 8284 4154 8284
      4154 8272 4150 8274 4149 8271 4150 8270
      4162 8272 4162 8271 4163 8267 4155 8270
      4145 8269 4138 8250 4142 8235 4107 8234
      4106 8244 4099 8244 4099 8324
TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 281DEG 19KT 4164 8269 4097 8319

Kahn