Severe Thunderstorm Warning 68, NWS Columbia, SC

209 
WWUS52 KCAE 050531
SVSCAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
131 AM EDT Tue May 5 2020

SCC025-050600-
/O.CON.KCAE.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-200505T0600Z/
Chesterfield SC-
131 AM EDT Tue May 5 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL CHESTERFIELD COUNTY...

At 131 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Cheraw State
Park, or 9 miles south of Cheraw, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Cheraw, Cheraw State Park and Cheraw Fish Hatchery. 

LAT...LON 3460 7981 3453 7983 3453 7984 3449 7988
      3449 7997 3450 7998 3449 8001 3467 7995
      3470 7987 3467 7985 3465 7980 3464 7980
      3461 7978
TIME...MOT...LOC 0531Z 271DEG 32KT 3456 7993 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HC

733 
WWUS52 KCAE 050547
SVSCAE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
147 AM EDT Tue May 5 2020

SCC025-050557-
/O.CAN.KCAE.SV.W.0068.000000T0000Z-200505T0600Z/
Chesterfield SC-
147 AM EDT Tue May 5 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL CHESTERFIELD
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3460 7981 3453 7983 3453 7984 3449 7988
      3449 7997 3450 7998 3449 8001 3467 7995
      3470 7987 3467 7985 3465 7980 3464 7980
      3461 7978
TIME...MOT...LOC 0546Z 271DEG 32KT 3456 7975 

$$

HC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
1048 PM EDT Mon May 4 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Front stalled from the Upstate southeast to the coast, just
south, but paralleling I-26 will begin to gradually nudge
northward overnight. This boundary will lift to the NC/SC line
on Tuesday. A cold front will approach from the west and should
through Tuesday night. A much cooler and drier airmass expect
behind this system late week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Observations show a boundary stretching from the Upstate
southeast along/just south of I-26 to the coast late this
evening. Convection has developed along and just north of the
boundary during the evening hours. Expect this boundary to
slowly lift northward through the overnight hours. Will continue
with widely scattered showers/thunderstorm. Additionally, most
of the short term models try to bring the convective
complex across TN into the Midlands/CSRA later tonight around
07Z - 08Z through around 11Z. Due to this have continue to
mention the possibility, low pop, for SHRA/TSRA overnight.
Strong and damaging winds are the main concern with thunderstorms
due to remaining dry air aloft. Lows overnight will fall into
the lower to middle 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Weak front should remain across the area early in the day, then
is expected to be lifting northward as a warm front in response
to a surface low moving through the Ohio River valley north of
the area. Best chance for showers and isolated thunderstorms
should remain close to the lifting warm front, keeping highest
pops across the northern third counties through the day. With
the best dynamics well north, and a good capping inversion being
shown south of the warm front, coverage should be somewhat
limited. Temperatures Tuesday in the warm sector will reach the
mid to upper 80s to around 90, while areas near and north of the
front only reach the upper 70s.

By Tuesday night, the surface low continues tracking north of
the region, dragging a cold front into and eventually through
the forecast area during the overnight hours. Moisture remains
limited, along with instability, so will go with mainly
isolated to scattered pops along the front. Overall rainfall is
expected to be around 0.25 inches or less. Lows Tuesday night
will remain mild in the upper 50s to lower 60s with some cloud
cover expected.

May have a few lingering light showers early Wednesday morning,
but dry and cooler conditions rapidly push in through the day.
Cooler temperatures settle in behind the front with highs
ranging from the mid 70s to around 80 degrees. Dry weather into
Wednesday night, with overnight lows falling well below normal.
Readings in the mid/ 40s up north, to the lower 50s south.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Deep trough remains across the eastern CONUS into the weekend,
with temperatures below normal through the period. Friday night
into Saturday will see the next chance for rainfall as the next
system moves through the region. Moisture will once again be
somewhat limited ahead of the front which will also limit
instability along the front. Will carry chance pops Friday
night with the frontal passage.

Cooler and drier weather is again expected Saturday and Sunday
behind the exiting cold front as high pressure settles in over
the region. High temperatures will generally be in the 70s with
lows in the 40s to lower 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR conditions will continue throughout the 24-hr TAF period.

A frontal boundary extending across the Midlands, north of the
terminals, will continue to gradually lift northward tonight.
Convection has developed in the Upstate of SC and further west,
but the bulk of the convection should remain well north of the
terminals. Removed mention of VCSH and will amend based on
radar trends if necessary. Clouds are expected to increase and
lower overnight, but should remain at VFR levels. Winds will be
variable overnight and into Tuesday morning, then will generally
be out of the southwest by midday Tuesday at around 5 to 10
knots with gusts to 18 knots during the afternoon. Isolated
convection on Tuesday afternoon is also expected to remain north
of the terminals, so have not included any mention.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...Restrictions possible at times
through Wednesday as a frontal boundary remains across the
region. A cold front will move into the area Friday into Friday
night with associated restrictions in showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
SC...None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Columbia SC
312 AM EDT Mon May 4 2020

GAZ040-063>065-077-SCZ016-018-020>022-025>031-035>038-041-115-116-
050715-
Lincoln-McDuffie-Columbia-Richmond-Burke-Chesterfield-McCormick-
Newberry-Fairfield-Kershaw-Edgefield-Saluda-Lexington-Richland-Lee-
Aiken-Sumter-Barnwell-Orangeburg-Calhoun-Clarendon-Bamberg-
Northern Lancaster-Southern Lancaster-
312 AM EDT Mon May 4 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Midlands of South Carolina
and the Central Savannah River area of Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
1229 AM EDT Tue May 5 2020

SCZ016-022-116-050500-
Chesterfield SC-Southern Lancaster SC-Kershaw SC-
1229 AM EDT Tue May 5 2020

...Strong Thunderstorms Will Impact Portions of northwestern
Chesterfield...Southern Lancaster and northern Kershaw Counties Until
100 AM EDT....

At 1228 AM EDT...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm near Buford, or 13 miles east of Lancaster,
moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...gusty winds 35 to 45 mph and pea sized hail.

  IMPACT...expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to plants,
           trees and crops is possible. Damage to windshields is
           unlikely.

Some locations in the path of this storm include...
Pageland, Carolina Sandhills Wildlife Refuge, Buford, Jefferson,
Ruby, Mount Croghan, Chesterfield Ruby Middle School, High Point Fire
Station, Tradesville, Bay Springs Fire Station, Forty Acre Rock
Preserve, Taxahaw and Central High School.

LAT...LON 3481 8012 3455 8014 3464 8066 3482 8062
TIME...MOT...LOC 0428Z 273DEG 30KT 3471 8055

HC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Columbia SC
117 AM EDT Tue May 5 2020

SCZ016-050545-
Chesterfield SC-
117 AM EDT Tue May 5 2020

...Strong Thunderstorms Will Impact Portions of east central
Chesterfield County Until 145 AM EDT....

At 117 AM EDT...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm 9 miles east of Carolina Sandhills Wildlife
Refuge, or 12 miles southwest of Cheraw, moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...gusty winds 40 to 50 mph and up to penny sized hail.

  IMPACT...expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light, unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to plants,
           trees and crops is possible. Damage to windshields is
           unlikely.

Some locations in the path of this storm include...
Cheraw, Cheraw State Park, Society Hill, Patrick and Cheraw Fish
Hatchery.

LAT...LON 3460 7981 3453 7983 3453 7984 3451 7986
      3449 7990 3450 7991 3449 7993 3453 8015
      3469 8014 3470 7987 3467 7985 3465 7980
      3464 7980 3461 7978
TIME...MOT...LOC 0517Z 271DEG 32KT 3459 8007

HC