Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 53, NWS Birmingham, AL

February 19, 2020Autauga County, Dallas County, Lowndes County, Alabama

NWS Birmingham, AL issued this river flood warning at Feb 19, 2020, 8:43 AM CST for Autauga County, Dallas County, Lowndes County, Alabama. It took effect at Feb 20, 2020, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 20 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 19, 2020, 8:43 AM CST (14:43 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 20, 2020, 6:00 PM CST
Expired
Mar 11, 2020, 9:43 AM CDT
In force
20 days
Issued by
NWS Birmingham, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Autauga County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Lowndes County, AL

The radar

The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Alabama River at Henry Lock and Dam (TYLA1).

Action stage
122 ft
Minor stage
122 ft
Moderate stage
132 ft
Major stage
135 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02421350, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

148 
WGUS44 KBMX 191443
FLWBMX


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL 
843 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

...The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Alabama... 

  Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam Affecting Autauga...Dallas
  and Lowndes Counties.
  Alabama River At Selma Affecting Dallas County.

.Heavy rainfall over the Alabama River basin during the past 24 
hours is producing rises along the river...and a flood warning is now 
in effect at R.F. Henry Dam and Selma

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Thursday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-085-200242-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0053.200221T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200221T0900Z.200222T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
843 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* from late Thursday night until further notice...or until the 
  Warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Wednesday The stage Was 116.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 124.1 feet by Saturday morning. The river 
  will then begin to fall.
* Impact...At 122 feet...Flooding of agricultural lands begins. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-200242-
/O.NEW.KBMX.FL.W.0054.200221T1320Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200221T1320Z.200223T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
843 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

The National Weather Service in Birmingham AL has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Alabama River At Selma.
* from Friday morning until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Wednesday The stage Was 41.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to
  rise to near 47.5 feet by early Sunday morning. The river will then
  begin to fall.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood. At 45 feet...Extensive 
  overflow of low lying lands in the area begins. Some low roads in
  the area begin to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
13 follow-up statements
711 
WGUS84 KBMX 200209
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
808 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020


...The flood warnings continue for the Alabama River At Montgomery...R.F.
Henry Lock and Dam...and Selma...

.Recent rainfall is producing rises along the Alabama River...and 
additional rainfall expected over the next 24 hours will only add 
to the rising levels. Therefore...flood warnings remain in effect
at Montgomery...R.F. Henry Lock and Dam...and Selma.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Thursday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-201408-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200221T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
808 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until further notice...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 38.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 41.9 feet by 
  early Friday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 45 feet...Residential flooding begins in portions of 
  North Montgomery. Evacuations will likely be needed at stages around 
  50 feet or higher. At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in
  the area occurs.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-201408-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0053.200221T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200221T0600Z.200222T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
808 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* from late Thursday night until further notice...or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 117.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 125.5 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-201408-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0054.200221T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200221T0600Z.200223T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
808 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* from late Thursday night until further notice...or until the 
  Warning is cancelled.
* AT 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 42.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 47.9 feet by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
888 
WGUS84 KBMX 201438
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
838 AM CST Thu Feb 20 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Montgomery...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River at R.F. Henry 
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Selma...

.Rises continue along the Alabama River...and flood warnings remain 
in effect along the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-210237-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200221T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 AM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until further notice...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 39.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 42.1 feet by 
  early Friday afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 45 feet...Residential flooding begins in portions of 
  North Montgomery. Evacuations are needed at stages around 
  50 feet or higher. At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in
  the area occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-210237-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0053.200221T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200221T0600Z.200222T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 AM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* from late tonight until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 119.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 125.5 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-210237-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0054.200221T0112Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200221T0112Z.200223T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 AM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* from this evening until further notice...or until the Warning is 
  cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 44.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 47.9 feet by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood. Widespread flooding of 
  farm and pasture lands in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
261 
WGUS84 KBMX 201949
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
149 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River at R.F. Henry 
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Selma...

.Rises continue along the Alabama River...and flood warnings remain 
in effect along the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-085-210749-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0053.200221T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200221T0000Z.200223T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
149 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for the Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock 
  and Dam.
* from this evening until further notice...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 1:00 PM Thursday the stage was 121 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 126.7 feet by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-210749-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0054.200220T2116Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200220T2116Z.200223T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
149 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for the Alabama River At Selma.
* until further notice...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 1:00 PM Thursday the stage was 44.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 47.9 feet by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
837 
WGUS84 KBMX 210209
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
809 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2020


...The flood warnings continue for the Alabama River at 
Montgomery...R.F. Henry Lock and Dam...and Selma...

.Minor flooding continues along the Alabama River...and flood
warnings remain in effect at Montgomery...R.F. Henry Lock and
Dam...and Selma. Current forecasts bring levels very near 
moderate flood stage at Selma tomorrow afternoon. An adjustent to 
moderate flood stage is possibe there.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Friday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-211408-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200222T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
809 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until further notice...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 7 PM Thursday the stage was 40.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 41.7 feet by 
  early Saturday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 45 feet...Residential flooding begins in portions of 
  North Montgomery. Evacuations are needed at stages around 
  50 feet or higher. At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in
  the area occurs. 


&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-211408-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200226T0900Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200220T2323Z.200223T0600Z.200225T2100Z.NO/
809 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7 PM Thursday the stage was 122.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 127.3 feet by 
  Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-211408-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SELA1.1.ER.200220T2007Z.200222T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
809 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until further notice...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 7 PM Thursday the stage was 45.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 47.9 feet by 
  early Saturday afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
342 
WGUS84 KBMX 211437
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
837 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Montgomery 
and R.F. Henry Lock and Dam...

.Flooding continues the Alabama River...and will persist for the 
next several days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Saturday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-220237-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200222T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
837 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until further notice...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 42.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 44.2 feet by 
  Saturday morning and then begin falling.
* Impact...At 45 feet...Residential flooding begins in portions of 
  North Montgomery. Evacuations will likely be need at stages around 
  50 feet or higher. Widespread flooding of lowlands in the area will
  continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-220237-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200226T0900Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200220T2323Z.200223T0600Z.200225T2100Z.NO/
837 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 124.0 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 127.3 feet by 
  Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$
321 
WGUS84 KBMX 220248
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
848 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River at 
Montgomery, Henry Lock and Dam, and Selma...

Minor to moderate flooding continues along the Alabama River after 
several recent rain events. The river is expected to remain in flood 
status into next week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Saturday morning, or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-221448-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200222T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
848 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until further notice...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 42.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 42.8 feet by 
  Saturday morning then begin falling.


&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-221448-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200226T0700Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200220T2323Z.200223T0600Z.200225T1900Z.NO/
848 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 124.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 127.1 feet by 
  Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 127.0 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-221448-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200227T0430Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200220T2007Z.200223T1200Z.200226T1630Z.NO/
848 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until Wednesday evening...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 48.3 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 48.9 feet by 
  early Sunday afternoon. The river should fall below flood stage 
  late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
421 
WGUS84 KBMX 221414
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
814 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At 
Montgomery, R.F. Henry Lock and Dam along with Selma...

.Heavy rainfall over the past few weeks is resulting in high water 
levels along the Alabama River at Montgomery, R.F. Henry Lock and 
Dam along with Selma and a flood warning remains in effect.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Sunday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-230213-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200226T0000Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200222T0200Z.200225T1200Z.NO/
814 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until Tuesday evening...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 7:00 AM Saturday the stage was 42.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-230213-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200226T0000Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200220T2323Z.200223T0600Z.200225T1200Z.NO/
814 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until Tuesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 125.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 126.4 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-230213-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200227T0730Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200220T2007Z.200223T1200Z.200226T1930Z.NO/
814 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until late Wednesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 7:00 AM Saturday the stage was 48.7 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 49.4 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 50 feet...Low lying areas of Selmont...West Selmont 
  and East Selmont flood. Portions of County Road 17 become inundated
  and water enters the yards of some residences in the Blackwell Bend
  area.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
300 
WGUS84 KBMX 230110
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
710 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River at 
Montgomery, Henry Lock and Dam, and Selma...

Minor to moderate flooding continues along the Alabama River. 
Flooding is forecast to persist next week as well.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Sunday morning, or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-231310-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200225T2000Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200222T0200Z.200225T0800Z.NO/
710 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until Tuesday afternoon...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  6:00 PM Saturday the stage was 42.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Tuesday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-231310-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200227T0234Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200220T2323Z.200223T1200Z.200226T1434Z.NO/
710 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until Wednesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 125.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 126.7 feet by 
  Sunday morning. The river should fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 127.0 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-231310-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200227T1200Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200220T2007Z.200224T0000Z.200227T0000Z.NO/
710 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until Thursday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  6:00 PM Saturday the stage was 49.3 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 50.0 feet by 
  early Monday morning. The river should fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Low lying areas of Selmont...West Selmont 
  and East Selmont flood. Portions of County Road 17 become inundated
  and water enters the yards of some residences in the Blackwell Bend
  area.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
432 
WGUS84 KBMX 231414
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
814 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At 
Montgomery, The R.F. Henry Lock and Dam and at Selma...

.Heavy rainfall over the past few weeks is resulting in high water 
levels along the Alabama River at Montgomery, The R.F. Henry Lock 
and Dam and at Selma. A flood warning remains in effect for these 
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Monday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-240214-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200226T0800Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200222T0200Z.200225T2000Z.NO/
814 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 6:00 AM Sunday the stage was 41.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Tuesday afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-240214-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200226T0900Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200220T2323Z.200223T0630Z.200225T2100Z.NO/
814 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 126 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 127 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-240214-
/O.CON.KBMX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200227T1200Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200220T2007Z.200224T0000Z.200227T0000Z.NO/
814 AM CST Sun Feb 23 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until Thursday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT 7:00 AM Sunday the stage was 49.6 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 49.9 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 50 feet...Low lying areas of Selmont...West Selmont 
  and East Selmont flood. Portions of County Road 17 become inundated
  and water enters the yards of some residences in the Blackwell Bend
  area.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
461 
WGUS84 KBMX 240146
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
746 PM CST Sun Feb 23 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River at 
Montgomery, Henry Lock and Dam, and Selma...

As of Sunday evening, minor to moderate flooding continued along the 
Alabama River from Montgomery to Selma, with additional flooding 
downstream. Flood status at these 3 river points is forecast to 
persist for the next few days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Monday morning, or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-241346-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200226T0824Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200222T0200Z.200225T2024Z.NO/
746 PM CST Sun Feb 23 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 40.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Tuesday afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-241346-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200226T1017Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200220T2323Z.200223T0630Z.200225T2217Z.NO/
746 PM CST Sun Feb 23 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 125.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 127.0 feet...Widespread flooding of farm lands and some 
  homes and trailers along the river occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-241346-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200227T1017Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200220T2007Z.200223T1700Z.200226T2217Z.NO/
746 PM CST Sun Feb 23 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until late Wednesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 49.2 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 49.3 feet by 
  midnight tonight. The river should fall below flood stage by 
  Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Low lying areas of Selmont...West Selmont 
  and East Selmont flood. Portions of County Road 17 become inundated
  and water enters the yards of some residences in the Blackwell Bend
  area.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
679 
WGUS84 KBMX 241413
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
813 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Montgomery...
R.F. Henry Lock and Dam...and at Selma...

.Flooding continues along the Alabama River following recent heavy 
rainfall...and flood warnings remain in effect along the river.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Tuesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-250213-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200227T0300Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200222T0200Z.200226T1500Z.NO/
813 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until Wednesday evening...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 AM Monday the stage was 39.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in the area 
  occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-250213-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200226T0600Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200220T2323Z.200223T0630Z.200225T1800Z.NO/
813 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Monday the stage was 124.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday afternoon .
* Impact...At 122 feet...Flooding of agricultural lands begins. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-250213-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200227T0900Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200220T2007Z.200223T1700Z.200226T2100Z.NO/
813 AM CST Mon Feb 24 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until late Wednesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 AM Monday the stage was 48.8 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 48 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood. At 45 feet...Extensive
  overflow of low lying lands in the area begins. Some low roads in
  the area begin to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
218 
WGUS84 KBMX 250259
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
859 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2020


...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At 
Montgomery, Henry Lock and Dam, and Selma...

Minor flooding continues along the Alabama River from Montgomery to 
Selma, though levels are declining. All three river points 
are expected to fall below flood stage ranging from Tuesday morning 
to Wednesday afternoon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Tuesday morning, or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-251459-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200227T1030Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200222T0200Z.200226T2230Z.NO/
859 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until late Wednesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 38.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Wednesday afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-251459-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200225T1840Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200220T2323Z.200223T0630Z.200225T0640Z.NO/
859 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* until Tuesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 122.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage 
  early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 122.0 feet...Flooding of agricultural lands begins. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-251459-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200226T0815Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200220T2007Z.200223T1700Z.200225T2015Z.NO/
859 PM CST Mon Feb 24 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until late Tuesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 47.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Flooding occurs inland to between Johnson 
  Street and Old Montgomery Road in Selmont. Portions of Bloch Park 
  and the Selma Country Club begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$
149 
WGUS84 KBMX 251403
FLSBMX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
Flood Statement 
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
803 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2020


...The flood warning is cancelled for the Alabama River At R.F. Henry
Lock and Dam...
...The flood warning continues for the Alabama River At Montgomery...

.Levels are now falling along the Alabama River...and this trend 
will continue the next several days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.  Turn Around...Don't Drown. 

Another statement will be issued by Wednesday morning...or sooner if 
conditions warrant.

&&

ALC001-047-051-085-101-260202-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200227T0600Z/
/MGMA1.1.ER.200208T0550Z.200222T0200Z.200226T1800Z.NO/
803 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Montgomery.
* until late Wednesday night...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 37.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 350 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Wednesday afternoon...and then continue to fall the next few
  days.
* Impact...At 35 feet...Extensive flooding of low lands in the area 
  occurs. 

&&

LAT...LON 3248 8631 3236 8630 3239 8638 3232 8654
          3237 8661 3245 8636         

$$

ALC001-047-085-251433-
/O.CAN.KBMX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-200225T1840Z/
/TYLA1.1.ER.200220T2323Z.200223T0630Z.200225T0647Z.NO/
803 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Alabama River At R.F. Henry Lock and Dam.
* At  7:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 120.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 122 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at 12:47 AM Tuesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall the next several days.
* Impact...At 122 feet...Flooding of agricultural lands begins. 

&&

LAT...LON 3232 8677 3229 8682 3244 8687 3244 8682
          3234 8680 3234 8676         

$$

ALC047-260202-
/O.EXT.KBMX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-200226T1400Z/
/SELA1.2.ER.200220T2007Z.200223T1700Z.200226T0200Z.NO/
803 AM CST Tue Feb 25 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alabama River At Selma.
* until Wednesday morning...or until the Warning is cancelled.
* AT  7:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 46.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this evening...and then continue to fall the next several days.
* Impact...At 45 feet...Extensive overflow of low lying lands in the
  area begins. Some low roads in the area begin to flood. 

&&

LAT...LON 3234 8691 3234 8699 3222 8712 3224 8721
          3243 8705 3237 8691         

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 19, 5:52 AM CST, 2 hours 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 19, 5:52 AM CST, 2 hours 51 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
552 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

.UPDATE...
For 12Z Aviation.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
/Updated at 0319 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020/

Through Thursday.

The main cold front is now just south of the area. We will
continue to see post-frontal rainfall through the morning. Much of
the afternoon will be dry across the area, although we will begin
to see a surge of moisture from the sw by late afternoon. This
will allow the rain chances to increase in the southwest just
before sunset. By the evening hours, southerly flow will continue
to lift moisture up and over the front, thus increasing rain
chances across the south and eventually into the north overnight.
At this time there appears to be a short 3 to 6 hour rain-free
time frame for the southwest and 6 to 9 hours for the central
sections and 9 to 12 hours for the far north. So not really much
of a time frame for dry conditions.

Rainfall will be widespread by Thursday morning as the trough begins
to work into the region. Look for the front to slowly sag southward
with the post frontal rain clearing 4 to 6 hours afterwards. By
sunset Thursday the best rain chances will be south of the I-20
corridor. Temperatures will also be quite tricky on Thursday as the
highs may occur outside of their regularly scheduled times. As we
work into the evening, rain chances drop off after Midnight across
the area and temperatures will drop into the mid 20s north to mid
30s south.

16

.LONG TERM...
/Updated at 0319 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020/

Friday through Wednesday.

Colder and drier air is expected Friday and Saturday as ridging
builds in across the region. Morning lows will be in the upper 20s
to low 30s and highs will be in the 40s to 50s. An upper level low
moves eastward through the Rockies early Sunday morning and an
associated surface low deepens across the Great Plains through the
day on Sunday. As this deepening occurs, we start seeing more
southerly flow and could see increased rain chances with the new
warm front lifting northward as early and Sunday afternoon. Guidance
has come into agreement with the timing of best rain chances for
Sunday evening through Monday as the low lifts northeastward and
stretches a cold front through the area. At this point, it doesn't
look like the atmosphere will be able to destabilize ahead of the
cold front, so I have not included thunderstorms in the forecast.
However, some guidance does hint at some instability working in, so
while I can't rule out thunderstorms completely, confidence remains
too low to include in the forecast 6 days out.

Model guidance diverges substantially Tuesday into Wednesday giving
little confidence in the forecast. Since we haven't seen much run to
run consistency with how the Sunday/Monday low pressure system
evolves, it's hard to gauge how the system following that could
evolve towards mid-week. For now, I'll split the difference with 30-
40% chance of rain.

25/Owen

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF Discussion.

Rain shield now south of the I-20 corridor, with IFR/MVFR
ceilings. Look for the rain to continue to slide south and east
this morning, before dissipating this afternoon. This begin to
pivot tonight and rain will increase once again from the SW
overnight, with widespread rain expected by Thursday morning.
Could be a brief window this afternoon with VFR conditions,
especially in the north.

Note: AMD NOT SKED continues for KASN due to observations not
making it into our system. While we are able to see observations,
TAFs will still be generated, but a timely amendment may not
occur.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Winds remain out of the north for most of today with the cold
front to our south. A second round of rain moves in Thursday
behind the front. Rain chances finally end Friday through Saturday
as high pressure builds in.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     55  40  45  27  48 /  30  80  90   0   0
Anniston    56  41  47  28  49 /  50  80 100   0   0
Birmingham  55  43  47  30  49 /  40  90 100   0   0
Tuscaloosa  55  44  48  30  50 /  40  90 100   0   0
Calera      56  44  47  30  49 /  50  90 100  10   0
Auburn      60  44  47  33  48 /  60  80 100  40   0
Montgomery  62  49  51  34  52 /  60  90 100  20   0
Troy        65  50  53  36  51 /  60  90 100  40   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES/...
None.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 19, 3:23 AM CST, 5 hours 20 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
323 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

ALZ011>015-017>050-201230-
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-
Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-
Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-
Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-
323 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the counties served by the
National Weather Service office in Birmingham.

.DAY ONE...Outlook through Tonight.

Many river basins across Central Alabama are in flood stage. Please
see the latest river statements for specific details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

River basins will continue to experience flooding over the next
several days. Please see the latest river statements for specific
details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management is not
anticipated at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Birmingham, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 6:22 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementBMXTalladega38 min
Feb 18, 6:37 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXBibb, Shelby, Talladega3 hr
Feb 18, 7:12 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXCalhoun, Cherokee, Etowah, St. Clair5 days
Feb 18, 7:57 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXChambers, Chilton, Clay, Coosa, Randolph, Tallapoosa5 hr
Feb 18, 8:48 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryBMXJefferson, Tuscaloosa3 hr
Feb 18, 11:52 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXChambers, Elmore, Macon, Randolph, Tallapoosa25 hr
Feb 19, 6:03 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXChilton, Coosa, Elmore, Shelby, Talladega6 days
Feb 19, 7:16 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXBibb, Dallas, Perry42 hr
Feb 19, 8:43 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXDallas21 days
Feb 19, 9:11 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXJefferson, Tuscaloosa, Walker48 hr
Feb 19, 9:11 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningBMXGreene, Hale, Marengo, Sumter, Tuscaloosa12 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.