Severe Thunderstorm Warning 49, NWS Bismarck, ND

246 
WWUS53 KBIS 150238
SVSBIS

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
938 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

NDC013-150315-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-200615T0315Z/
Burke ND-
938 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN BURKE COUNTY...

At 938 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles northeast of
Columbus, or 21 miles northwest of Bowbells, moving northeast at 25
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Portal around 950 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Larson.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4900 10250 4878 10269 4884 10291 4900 10293
TIME...MOT...LOC 0238Z 220DEG 23KT 4895 10267 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CJS

312 
WWUS53 KBIS 150254
SVSBIS

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
954 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

NDC013-150315-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-200615T0315Z/
Burke ND-
954 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL BURKE COUNTY...

At 954 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Portal, or 19
miles northwest of Bowbells, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of north
central Burke County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4888 10260 4893 10275 4900 10272 4900 10250
TIME...MOT...LOC 0254Z 217DEG 21KT 4900 10256 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CJS

868 
WWUS53 KBIS 150310
SVSBIS

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1010 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

NDC013-150320-
/O.EXP.KBIS.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-200615T0315Z/
Burke ND-
1010 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL BURKE COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
northwestern North Dakota.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Bismarck.

LAT...LON 4888 10260 4893 10275 4900 10272 4900 10250
TIME...MOT...LOC 0310Z 209DEG 24KT 4907 10250 

$$

CJS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
905 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
Issued at 904 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

At 845 PM CDT, a long track supercell with a history of producing
brief funnel clouds was located over western Mountrail County. The
environment for tornado potential remains marginal, with better low
level SRH located to the east of the storm, and decreasing from west
to east with time. Meanwhile, thunderstorms have increased in
coverage to the northwest and southeast of the main supercell in
response to strengthening low to mid level frontogenesis. We expect
a transition to a linear mode over the next hour, however, this was
an expectation that was not met with earlier convection farther to
the south.

Meanwhile, convection has been trending significantly downward south
of Lake Sakakawea as it encounters increasing MLCIN. Most CAMs have
been insisting on more robust convection in response to increasing
low level warm air advection and outflow boundary interactions, but
this simply has not materialized. An orphan anvil was observed
southwest of Bismarck within the past half hour. While we cannot
rule out additional development over south central North Dakota,
this is becoming increasingly unlikely, and think that the severe
threat would be greatly diminished there.

In summary, the greatest severe threat over the next 2-3 hours
exists across Mountrail, Burke, Renville, and Ward Counties. All
hazards possible initially, transitioning to wind dominant.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 846 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

Cancelled the Severe Thunderstorm Watch for southwest ND with this
update. The cold front has moved through and significantly
diminished any instability.

UPDATE Issued at 827 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

Wind Advisory has been cancelled. Severe storms continue across
western ND this evening and have maintained their discrete nature.
However, they may/should begin to grow upscale soon and transition
from a hail threat to a wind threat.

UPDATE Issued at 611 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

Increased precipitation chances south and decreased north. A
cluster of storms continues to develop across southwest North
Dakota. These storms will continue to push eastward northeast as a
cold front swings through. Latest indications are the strongest
storms should stay across the southern half of North Dakota
tonight.

UPDATE Issued at 324 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

This update is for the severe thunderstorm watch 281 for west and
much of central North Dakota through 11 pm CDT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 211 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

This afternoon, a surface trough/cold front was located on the
Montana/North Dakota border. Scattered showers have moved through
the west half of the state so far today, and these appear
associated with warm advection ahead of the low. The area in
central North Dakota still remains well capped. Also clouds have
kept temperatures cool across much of the west so far.

Several strong cells have formed in west central North Dakota in
an area of weak cap strength and clearing skies. CAM models
agree in developing a line of storms along the cold front that
will move east into central North Dakota by mid evening.

Scattered severe storms are forecast along the front, probably
around and after 4 pm CDT. Initial storm mode will be discrete
with large hail as the shear will be more perpendicular to the
frontal boundary, but more linear modes will lead to a mixed hail
and wind threat evolving as the mid evening hours approach.

After this evening, the overnight will see the front move through
with cooler and drier air expected. Overnight lows tonight in the
lower 50s west to around 70 east.

Monday will be partly to mostly sunny with surface high pressure
moving through the region. Highs should be in the mid 70s to mid
80s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 211 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

Global models in general agreement with h5 upper low across the
northwest CONUS moving east with multiple shortwaves impacting
the northern plains this week. This will lead to an active week
with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms through the
period.

Tuesday will be warm, with highs in the low to mid 90s, cooling to
the 70s and mid 80s the rest of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 611 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

Hazards to aviation include a cluster of thunderstorms currently
in southwestern North Dakota and wind shear across the James
River Valley. Thunderstorms will impact KDIK and KBIS within the
next couple of hours this evening and could potentially impact
KMOT. Erratic and strong winds and large hail may accompany any
storms. LLWS is likely at KJMS most of the night. Otherwise VFR
conditions.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE...Hollan
UPDATE...AJ
SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...WAA
AVIATION...AJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
826 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

NDZ023-025-036-037-047-048-050-051-160130-
Wells-Foster-Kidder-Stutsman-Logan-La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
826 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
North Dakota and southeast North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

NDZ001>005-009>013-018>022-033>035-041-042-044>046-160130-
Divide-Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Williams-Mountrail-Ward-
McHenry-Pierce-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Stark-Morton-
Burleigh-Hettinger-Grant-Adams-Sioux-Emmons-
826 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020 /726 PM MDT Sun Jun 14 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
North Dakota, northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota,
and southwest North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible across western North
Dakota this evening. The main hazards will be large hail up to
lime size and damaging wind gusts up to 75 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather reports are appreciated! Call 1-800-247-0212 with hail
size and any damage.

NDZ017-031-032-040-043-160130-
McKenzie-Golden Valley-Billings-Slope-Bowman-
826 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020 /726 PM MDT Sun Jun 14 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest North
Dakota and southwest North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather reports are appreciated! Call 1-800-247-0212 with hail
size and any damage.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
817 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

NDZ001-009-150200-
Divide ND-Williams ND-
817 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN WILLIAMS AND
SOUTHEASTERN DIVIDE COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

At 816 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Wildrose to near Ray. Movement was northeast at 10
mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts to 50 mph will be possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Tioga, Ray, Noonan, Wildrose, Wheelock, Hamlet and Mcgregor.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
northwestern North Dakota.

LAT...LON 4872 10294 4872 10289 4838 10289 4823 10325
      4846 10329 4877 10327 4894 10294
TIME...MOT...LOC 0116Z 210DEG 10KT 4865 10317 4831 10318

HOLLAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
821 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0821 PM     HAIL             9 ENE CHARLSON          48.11N 102.70W
06/14/2020  E2.00 INCH       MOUNTRAIL          ND   PUBLIC

            RELAYED THROUGH SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

MJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
834 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

NDZ019-150200-
Mercer ND-
834 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN MERCER COUNTY UNTIL
900 PM CDT...

At 833 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 5 miles northwest of
Hazen, or 6 miles northeast of Beulah, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Hazen Bay Recreation Area around 850 PM CDT.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

If you are on or near Lake Sakakawea, get out of the water and move
indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, If you can hear thunder, you
are close enough to be struck by lightning. Do not be caught on the
water in a thunderstorm.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
south central North Dakota.

LAT...LON 4733 10190 4753 10170 4753 10159 4755 10155
      4755 10150 4742 10144 4724 10171 4724 10175
TIME...MOT...LOC 0133Z 217DEG 37KT 4735 10172

EDWARDS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
848 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     6 S ROSS                48.22N 102.54W
06/14/2020                   MOUNTRAIL          ND   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

RK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
901 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

NDZ001-002-150245-
Divide ND-Burke ND-
901 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN BURKE AND EASTERN
DIVIDE COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

At 900 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 6 miles south of
Noonan, or 16 miles southeast of Crosby, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Columbus, Portal, Noonan and Larson.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
northwestern North Dakota.

LAT...LON 4900 10254 4864 10279 4867 10320 4900 10319
TIME...MOT...LOC 0200Z 204DEG 38KT 4881 10297

CJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
915 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     HAIL             14 SSW HAVELOCK         46.30N 102.87W
06/14/2020  E1.75 INCH       HETTINGER          ND   PUBLIC

            FACEBOOK POST.

&&

RK