Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2020
Gale Warning 72, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 17, 2020, 3:40 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 17, 2020, 3:40 PM AKST (00:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 18, 2020, 3:30 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
466 FZAK51 PAFC 180040 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-181345- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... Easterly flow continues through Sunday afternoon North of a series of Pacific lows. A weak front moves across the Northern Gulf and dissipates Sat afternoon. A 979 mb North Pacific low loops to 120 nm South of Middleton Island at 986 mb for Sun afternoon. Its front pushes over the Eastern Gulf through Sun afternoon. $$ PKZ119-181345- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray near the coast. .SAT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ120-181345- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft building to 17 ft after midnight. Freezing spray near the coast. Snow showers. .SAT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ121-181345- Resurrection Bay- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray after midnight. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ125-181345- Prince William Sound- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-181345- Port Valdez- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-181345- Valdez Narrows- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-181345- Valdez Arm- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-181345- Passage Canal- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 25 kt near Whitier in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-181345- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ131-181345- Barren Islands East- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Snow. .SAT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ132-181345- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. Snow. .SAT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. N of Dangerous Cape, E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ136-181345- Chiniak Bay- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow. .SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-181345- Marmot Bay- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow. .SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 1 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-181345- Shelikof Strait- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow. .SAT...NE wind 40 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. Snow. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ139-181345- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-181345- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. .WED...N wind 15 kt. $$ PKZ141-181345- Kachemak Bay- 340 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
373 FZAK51 PAFC 180458 AAA CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-181730- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... Easterly flow continues through Sunday afternoon North of a series of Pacific lows. A weak front moves across the Northern Gulf and dissipates Sat afternoon. A 979 mb North Pacific low loops to 120 nm South of Middleton Island at 986 mb for Sun afternoon. Its front pushes over the Eastern Gulf through Sun afternoon. $$ PKZ119-181730- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt except NE 25 kt N of Middleton Island. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray near the coast. .SAT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River Delta. Seas 15 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ120-181730- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Freezing spray near the coast. Snow showers. .SAT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ121-181730- Resurrection Bay- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas building to 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-181730- Prince William Sound- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 4 ft. .SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes in the evening. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-181730- Port Valdez- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas building to 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt early. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-181730- Valdez Narrows- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-181730- Valdez Arm- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-181730- Passage Canal- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SAT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ130-181730- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ131-181730- Barren Islands East- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 45 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 22 ft after midnight. Snow. .SAT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ132-181730- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow. .SAT...E wind 25 kt except E 40 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas 20 ft. Rain and snow. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ136-181730- Chiniak Bay- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Snow. .SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow and rain. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-181730- Marmot Bay- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Snow. .SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow and rain. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. .SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 1 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-181730- Shelikof Strait- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...STORM WARNING SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Snow. .SAT...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. Snow. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ139-181730- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ140-181730- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. .WED...N wind 15 kt. $$ PKZ141-181730- Kachemak Bay- 758 PM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
686 FZAK51 PAFC 181201 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-190130- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... Easterly flow continues through Sunday afternoon North of a series of North Pacific lows. A weak front moves across the Northern Gulf and dissipates Sat afternoon. A 979 mb North Pacific low moves to 120 nm South of Middleton Island at 986 mb Sun afternoon. Its front tracks over the Eastern Gulf through Sun afternoon and dissipates Mon morning. $$ PKZ119-190130- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ120-190130- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ121-190130- Resurrection Bay- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-190130- Prince William Sound- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-190130- Port Valdez- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-190130- Valdez Narrows- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-190130- Valdez Arm- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-190130- Passage Canal- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-190130- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ131-190130- Barren Islands East- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ132-190130- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E wind 25 kt except E 40 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas 20 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ136-190130- Chiniak Bay- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-190130- Marmot Bay- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. .SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 1 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-190130- Shelikof Strait- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. Snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ139-190130- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ140-190130- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. .MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. .WED...N wind 15 kt. $$ PKZ141-190130- Kachemak Bay- 301 AM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
755 FZAK51 PAFC 190030 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-191300- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... Easterly flow continues across the Gulf through Mon afternoon due to a series of North Pacific lows. A 981 mb low 335 nm Southwest of Port Alexander moves to 35 nm South of Seward at 994 mb by Mon afternoon. $$ PKZ119-191300- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River Delta this evening. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray near the coast. Snow. .SUN...E wind 30 kt in the morning increasing to 40 kt. Freezing spray along the coast in the morning. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ120-191300- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow. .MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ121-191300- Resurrection Bay- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Snow. .MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-191300- Prince William Sound- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of Valdez Arm. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt in the morning increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-191300- Port Valdez- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-191300- Valdez Narrows- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-191300- Valdez Arm- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ129-191300- Passage Canal- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 10 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray in the evening. .SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-191300- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ131-191300- Barren Islands East- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ132-191300- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ136-191300- Chiniak Bay- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. .SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-191300- Marmot Bay- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. .SUN...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-191300- Shelikof Strait- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ139-191300- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ140-191300- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. .TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. $$ PKZ141-191300- Kachemak Bay- 330 PM AKST Sat Jan 18 2020 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 17, 4:15 AM AKST, 11 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 17, 4:15 AM AKST, 11 hours 25 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
415 AM AKST Fri Jan 17 2020
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A large upper level low centered over the Brooks Range combined
with a 514 Dm low in the Gulf is leading to generally benign
conditions across much of mainland Alaska. The subsequent zonal
flow and weakening pressure gradient is causing outflow gap winds
to continue to diminish across terrain gaps in the Chugach.
Precipitation will remain offshore, however as such the prevailing
easterly flow will bring onshore snow squalls to Kodiak and a
Winter Storm Watch is currently in effect with 6 to 12 inches of
snow possible Saturday morning.
A ~980 mb North Pacific low is bringing rain and/or snow to the
western and central Aleutians. Its associated inverted trough is
likewise bringing scattered precipitation to the Bering.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models remain in good agreement synoptically regarding the
aforementioned upper level pattern. As usual in this setup, the
main source of difficulty in this forecast lies with the snow
squalls over Kodiak associated with the moist, easterly flow over
the Gulf. Large scale models do not have the resolution to depict
mesoscale snow bands, while the mesoscale models do not agree on
where they will exactly occur over the Island.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A large upper high over the state will shift east through
Saturday night. Upper level flow over the area is from the east,
and will gradually become more southerly. A series of inverted
troughs is embedded in the easterly flow across the Gulf. These
features will help to enhance shower activity across the Gulf and
over Kodiak Island through tonight. Later today, a surface low
will develop over the central Gulf and quickly intensify as it
tracks toward Kodiak Island. As it does, widespread snow and gusty
northerly winds will develop over the island. The snow is
expected to become heavy at times for locations like Kodiak City
through Saturday morning. The combination of snow and winds
gusting to possibly as high as 40 mph will result in blowing snow
and reduced visibilities. The easterly flow will also act to bring
warmer air to the island by late Saturday morning. There is still
quite a bit of uncertainty for the details of this storm.
Inland portions of Southcentral will remain mainly clear and cold
through Saturday. Along the coast, some snow is possible at times
as systems pass westward through the Gulf.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Cold temperatures and clear skies will persist across Southwest
Alaska today with high pressure still situated over the region.
Easterly waves moving over Kodiak and the Gulf bringing cloud
cover to the Bristol Bay region and the Kuskokwim Delta on
Saturday will be the key in how long the cold and dry conditions
last. Moisture will begin to move in near King Salmon and
Dillingham on Saturday afternoon, which could bring a few snow
showers to the surrounding areas. However, there is still
uncertainty in where these waves will track and the potential for
snow over the southern mainland.
Temperatures will see a slight rise over the next few days, which
will be dependent on when the cloud cover moves in. Clouds will
move over the Lower Kuskokwim Valley Saturday afternoon,
resulting in mostly cloudy conditions across all of Southwest.
This will keep the Lower Kuskokwim Valley the coldest spot once
again. By Sunday, the threat for snow showers over interior
Bristol Bay will diminish, but there could still be a few
lingering showers around the region.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
A front over the eastern Bering and Aleutian Chain will persist,
keeping gusty conditions in the forecast through the afternoon
when it begins to weaken. A gale force low sitting just south of
Adak this morning will keep on its track into the North Pacific
this afternoon. Snow showers stretching from Dutch Harbor to the
Alaska Peninsula associated with the active weather pattern will
allow for little snow accumulation through Saturday.
By Saturday afternoon, a new low will form just south of the
eastern Aleutians. However, there is still disagreement on the
placement of the low center and where the strongest core of winds
will be as it tracks northward through Sunday. Strong northeasterly
flow, along with widespread rain and snow showers, will continue
across the central and western Bering and Aleutian Chain through
Sunday.
&&
.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Sunday through Tuesday)...
Marine weather still looks quiet in both the Bering and Gulf of
Alaska. A weak low pressure system will be present in the Gulf on
Monday, providing some localized areas of small craft advisory
winds on the north gulf coast. Then it moves inland and the Gulf
becomes quiet. The Bering will have light westerly flow, switching
to a light northeast late Tuesday. While low pressure is in the
area, we are confident it will be weak with little impact, so
moderate to high confidence in the marine forecast.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through Thursday)...
The long term forecast starts off with the upcoming pattern shift
already taken place. A long wave, upper level trough looks to
exist stretching southeast across the Bering from Eastern Siberia
all the way down into the Gulf of Alaska. This means generally
unsettled weather for our forecast area to start the week. More
specifically, we are still expecting low pressure in the Gulf of
Alaska and zonal flow in the Bering and Southwest AK.
However, by Wednesday model agreement falls apart. Two of our
heavy hitters - the GFS and ECMWF - have very different solutions
for our forecast area, the Gulf of Alaska in particular. This
means past early next week there is not a good answer for the
forecast and we have low confidence in any solution past Tuesday.
We will have to wait and see what future solutions come up with.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory: 171.
MARINE...Gale Warning: 120 130-132 138 139 155.
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning: 139 160 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AH
MARINE/LONG TERM...BBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 3:46 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 23 hr | |
| Jan 17, 7:58 PM AKST | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFC | 20 hr | |
| Jan 17, 7:58 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 43 hr | |
| Jan 17, 7:58 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 20 hr | |
| Jan 17, 7:58 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 20 hr | |
| Jan 18, 2:41 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Jan 18, 3:01 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jan 18, 3:01 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jan 18, 3:01 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jan 18, 7:57 AM AKST | Wind Chill Advisory | AFC | 28 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.