Gale Warning 67, NWS Anchorage, AK

966 
FZAK51 PAFC 161230
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-170115-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

Northerly flow this morning will become easterly through Saturday
morning north of a series of North Pacific lows. 

$$

PKZ119-170115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray except heavy freezing spray near the Copper
River Delta.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray except heavy freezing spray near the Copper
River Delta.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray except heavy freezing spray near the Copper
River Delta.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-170115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-170115-
Resurrection Bay-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the evening.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-170115-
Prince William Sound-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of bays and passes.
Seas 3 ft. Freezings spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-170115-
Port Valdez-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt.  Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-170115-
Valdez Narrows-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the morning.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-170115-
Valdez Arm-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-170115-
Passage Canal-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-170115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray this morning.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray in morning.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-170115-
Barren Islands East-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-170115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-170115-
Chiniak Bay-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-170115-
Marmot Bay-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-170115-
Shelikof Strait-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-170115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft in the
afternoon. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-170115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-170115-
Kachemak Bay-
330 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Winds diminishing to 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Freezing Spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

726 
FZAK51 PAFC 161621 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

UPDATED AREA 129

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-170415-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

Northerly flow this morning will become easterly through Saturday
morning north of a series of North Pacific lows. 

$$

PKZ119-170415-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of the Copper River
Delta.  Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray except heavy freezing spray
near the Copper River Delta. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper River
Delta.  Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray except heavy freezing spray
near the Copper River Delta. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River
Delta.  Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray except heavy freezing spray
near the Copper River Delta. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-170415-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-170415-
Resurrection Bay-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the
evening. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-170415-
Prince William Sound-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of bays and passes.
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-170415-
Port Valdez-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt.  Seas 4 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing
spray. 
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-170415-
Valdez Narrows-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray in the
morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-170415-
Valdez Arm-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-170415-
Passage Canal-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt with gusts to 40 kt. WInd diminishing to 
10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the
afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-170415-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray this
morning. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray in
morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-170415-
Barren Islands East-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-170415-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-170415-
Chiniak Bay-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. Snow showers. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-170415-
Marmot Bay-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon. Snow showers. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-170415-
Shelikof Strait-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-170415-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft in the
afternoon. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-170415-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
in ice free waters 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-170415-
Kachemak Bay-
721 AM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Winds diminishing to
10 kt  in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Freezing Spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt after midnight.  Seas 3 ft.  
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
2 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

950 
FZAK51 PAFC 170032
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-171400-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

Easterly flow continues through Saturday afternoon north of a 
series of North Pacific lows. 

$$

PKZ119-171400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT....
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray except heavy freezing spray near 
the Copper River Delta.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River
Delta in the morning. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray except heavy 
freezing spray near the Copper River Delta.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray except heavy 
freezing spray near the Copper River Delta.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-171400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-171400-
Resurrection Bay-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-171400-
Prince William Sound-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-171400-
Port Valdez-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Gusts 
to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-171400-
Valdez Narrows-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-171400-
Valdez Arm-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-171400-
Passage Canal-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt in the evening diminishing to 10 kt after
midnight. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-171400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-171400-
Barren Islands East-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Snow.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ132-171400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ136-171400-
Chiniak Bay-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Snow showers.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt in the morning increasing to 20 kt. 
Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-171400-
Marmot Bay-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ138-171400-
Shelikof Strait-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft 
after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-171400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-171400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. 
Heavy freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
Heavy freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-171400-
Kachemak Bay-
332 PM AKST Thu Jan 16 2020

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
545 PM AKST Wed Jan 15 2020

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The highly amplified upper level ridge remains along an axis that
runs from the Alaska Peninsula through the Bering Strait. A jet
streak is oriented from north-to-south over Southcentral Alaska at
over 100 kt at the 250 mb level which is helping to increase winds
over the region. The surface front over the Bering Sea and into
the North Pacific had a low develop along it which resides
between Adak and Atka today. This front and low is the source of
the strong winds in the Aleutians and Pribilof Islands as it is
squeezed against the strong surface high over mainland Alaska.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The only short term model issue revolves around the low that
developed along the front in the Bering Sea. This front is
elongating as it pushes into the ridge over mainland Alaska which
is shearing the front apart. This is causing the models to have
some very different solutions as to whether the low is able to
remain with one center as it weakens or break into numerous weak
low centers. The biggest result of all this is to bring increased
uncertainty to the Eastern Aleutians and Pribilof Islands regions.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light northerly winds will persist. The
northerly winds have dissipated all the fog around Cook Inlet and
through the Mat-Su Valleys so redevelopment looks highly unlikely
overnight or tomorrow morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3;
Tonight through Saturday)...
In the upper levels, there is a northerly jet streak situated
over the state along with a vigorous shortwave diving south across
Southcentral. These features, combined with arctic air returning
to the interior as well as a strong surface pressure gradient
between a building ridge in the interior and a trough in the Gulf,
are acting to enhance the gusty outflow winds across not only for
coastal locations, but through interior gaps and passes. This
includes locations such as Thompson Pass and the Matanuska Valley
where winds gusts of 40 to 60 mph are occurring and are expected
to continue through Thursday. For other wind-prone areas, gusts
will not be quite as strong, but will persist through the next 24
to 36 hours with gales continuing across the Valdez waterways.

Elsewhere, clouds and a few snow showers are skirting the eastern
Prince William Sound coast this afternoon. However, the bulk of
the moisture will remain south of the land areas, as the compact
polar low responsible for the precipitation continues to track
south and west. This area of low pressure will move toward
Kodiak Island tonight, with snow showers developing this evening
and lingering through the overnight hours. For Kodiak City, an
inch or two of snow is possible by tomorrow morning.

By Friday, the winds will die down as the flow aloft turns more
easterly in advance of a shortwave lifting north from the southern
Gulf. This feature will also act to increase clouds and
precipitation across the Gulf and Kodiak Island, and possibly
as far north as coastal Prince William Sound and Kenai Peninsula.
By Saturday, this system slides west to the AKPEN as the next
surface low lifts north toward the northern Gulf.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Saturday)...

Cold and quiet weather persists across Southwest Alaska through
Saturday. High pressure over the interior will keep the cold air
flow moving offshore. The air mass is being slow to cool, due in
part to a not quite as cold air mass over the interior and a lot
of high clouds around so temperatures for tonight and tomorrow
have been raised some. Lows to 20 below zero are still expected
over the Lower Kuskokwim Valley both Friday and Saturday nights.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Saturday)...

The very active weather pattern that has been present over the
Bering Sea will shift to a much less active one over the next
3 days. The strong front draped from south to north across the
central Bering, essentially splitting the basin in two, remains
the focus of the most active weather. There have been a number of
gusts in Nikolski exceeding hurricane force over the day today.
The worst of the storm is occurring right now, so through this
evening the winds should begin dying down all along the central
and eastern Aleutians. The winds will persist longer further north
across the Pribilofs, lasting until the front moves over the
islands early Thursday morning. By that point, the entire front
will be rapidly weakening, and also retrograding back to the west.
Thus, there may be a time in the Pribilofs where the winds switch
around to the west or southwest, but by Friday evening, winds will
return back to the southeast when the front moves back to the
west. The retrograding front will be the result of strengthening
high pressure over interior Alaska, whose northeasterly winds will
push the front back the other way. It will continue weakening the
entire time, effectively dissipating on Friday night.

A separate low will approach the western and central Aleutians
starting Thursday morning. Unlike the last low, this one will
follow a very different track; moving east along the chain on
Thursday and then gradually drifting south back into the North
Pacific. Impacts from this low in these areas will be much less,
likely including rain or a rain/snow mix with gusty easterly
winds. For now it appears just a bit too warm and the winds a bit
too weak in these areas to be concerned about a blizzard. By
Saturday, the flow over most of the Bering will be weak, but with
occasional spin-ups of very small lows expected in various areas
across the Bering, namely in the area where the westerly winds
over the western Bering meet with the easterly winds from mainland
Alaska.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Saturday through Monday )...

Marine weather looks quiet in both the Gulf of Alaska and the
Bering Sea. A pattern shift over the weekend will quiet weather in
both areas. As of now, winds in the Bering will shift to a light
westerly flow Saturday into Sunday. In the gulf, winds will
maintain a general easterly direction until Monday but with
offshore gusts ceasing Saturday. Monday in the gulf a weak low
pressure system moves in, but right now it does not look to
elevate winds and waves very much. Confidence is high in this
forecast as models are locking on the pattern shift.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7:Sunday through Tuesday)...

Over the weekend we are expecting a pattern shift for our
forecast area. The dominant omega block currently in place is
expected to break down, with the high pressure closing off and
retreating to the north and east. It will also lose some strength
as well. The breakdown of this blocking pattern will allow a weak
low pressure system to move into the Gulf of Alaska, increasing
the chances of precipitation along the coast starting Monday. It
will also shift wind direction and allow a warm-up in temperatures
to more seasonable conditions for Southcentral Alaska. Out west,
this pattern shift will allow for more zonal flow across the
Bering and into Southwest Alaska. At this time, no significant
weather features are embedded in this pattern out west.

We are confident this shift in the pattern will occur. We are also
confident the warm-up for Southcentral will not be too strong, so
we will stay below freezing and keep our snowpack. What is lacking
in confidence is the setup of the low in the Gulf of Alaska, as
models disagree on its position. So we'll have to hone the details
in the short term on how much snow falls and where. So, high
confidence in a new pattern, low confidence in the particulars.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 119 127 129 139 140 141 160
                                      180 185.
		 Storm Warning 170.
         Gale Warning 127 130 155 165 171 172 173 174 175 176
                      177 179 180 181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JW
MARINE/LONG TERM...BB