Gale Warning 618, NWS Anchorage, AK

882 
FZAK61 PAFC 270047
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
347 PM AKST Thu Nov 26 2020

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-271515-
347 PM AKST Thu Nov 26 2020

.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A strong front enters the Southwest Gulf Fri afternoon and will 
approach the North Gulf coast by early Sat morning.

$$

PKZ351-271515-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
347 PM AKST Thu Nov 26 2020

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 to 25 kt becoming SW up to 20 kt after
midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 17 to 26 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 20 to 26 ft.

$$

PKZ352-271515-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
347 PM AKST Thu Nov 26 2020

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 to 20 kt becoming W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 
to 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 10 to 20 kt becoming S 20 to 35 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 9 to 12 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 29 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 19 to 30 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 22 to 27 ft.

$$

100 
FZAK61 PAFC 270638 AAA
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
938 PM AKST Thu Nov 26 2020

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-271345-
938 PM AKST Thu Nov 26 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A strong front enters the Southwest Gulf Fri afternoon and will 
approach the North Gulf coast by early Sat morning.

$$

PKZ351-271345-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
938 PM AKST Thu Nov 26 2020

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 to 30 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 9 to
16 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 17 to 26 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.

$$

PKZ352-271345-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
938 PM AKST Thu Nov 26 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt becoming W 25 to 40 kt after
midnight.
Seas 11 to 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 11 to 18 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 15 to 30 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 19 to 30 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.

$$

152 
FZAK61 PAFC 271304
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
404 AM AKST Fri Nov 27 2020

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-280215-
404 AM AKST Fri Nov 27 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 989 mb low near 57N 147 W Fri morning moves inland over 
Southcentral Sat morning. A 965 mb low enters the W Gulf near 55N
156W Sat morning and moves into the Prince William Sound at 975 
mb Sun morning. 

$$

PKZ351-280215-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
404 AM AKST Fri Nov 27 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 to 30 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 9
to 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 17 to 26 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 to 20 ft.

$$

PKZ352-280215-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
404 AM AKST Fri Nov 27 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 11 to 18 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 30 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 19 to 30 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 to 23 ft.

$$

878 
FZAK61 PAFC 280024
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
324 PM AKST Fri Nov 27 2020

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-281430-
324 PM AKST Fri Nov 27 2020

.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 986 mb low at 60N 147W dissipates Sat morning. Its front moves
inland by Sat afternoon. A 965 mb low near 55N 157W Sat morning 
moves to 59N 149W at 982 mb Sun afternoon. Its front moves along 
the North Gulf Coast for Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ351-281430-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
324 PM AKST Fri Nov 27 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft. Rain and widespread
snow showers.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 12 to 15 ft. 
Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 to 21 ft.

$$

PKZ352-281430-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
324 PM AKST Fri Nov 27 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt diminishing to 15 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 12 to 16 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...S wind 15 to 30 kt becoming SW 25 to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 to 23 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 19 to 27 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 15 to 23 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 to 23 ft.

$$

283 
FZAK61 PAFC 281307
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
407 AM AKST Sat Nov 28 2020

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-290215-
407 AM AKST Sat Nov 28 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 967 mb low at 54N 157W Sat morning moves into the Prince William
Sound at 978 mb Sun morning. This low will remain nearly
stationary and weaken to 990 mb Mon morning. A front will 
approach the western Gulf Mon morning. 

$$

PKZ351-290215-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
407 AM AKST Sat Nov 28 2020

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 10 to 20 kt increasing to 15 to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 12 to 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 15 to 19 ft.

$$

PKZ352-290215-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
407 AM AKST Sat Nov 28 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 to 30 kt becoming SW 25 to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 15 to 23 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 19 to 28 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 16 to 22 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 15 to 21 ft.

$$

033 
FZAK61 PAFC 290042
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
342 PM AKST Sat Nov 28 2020

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-291400-
342 PM AKST Sat Nov 28 2020

.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 997 mb low at 56N 149W moves to 60N 147W at 990 mb and dissipates 
Mon afternoon. Its front moves inland over the north Gulf Coast 
through Mon afternoon. A new front enters the western Gulf by Mon 
afternoon. 

$$

PKZ351-291400-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
342 PM AKST Sat Nov 28 2020

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE to SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft. Rain showers
with isolated thunderstorms.
.SUN...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 15 to 22 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 13 to 19 ft.

$$

PKZ352-291400-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
342 PM AKST Sat Nov 28 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 to 40 kt turning W through the evening. Seas 17
ft building to 20 to 29 ft. Rain showers with isolated thunderstorms.
.SUN...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 16 to 20 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.

$$

067 
FZAK61 PAFC 291250
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
350 AM AKST Sun Nov 29 2020

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-300200-
350 AM AKST Sun Nov 29 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 980 mb low at 59N 151W moves inland near 60N 146W at 992 mb by 
Mon morning. A front moves into the southwest Gulf by Mon morning
and spreads over the eastern Gulf by Tue morning. 

$$

PKZ351-300200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
350 AM AKST Sun Nov 29 2020

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming 20 to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 to 20 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 to 30 kt becoming SE 35 to 50 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 9 to 12 ft building to 11 to 19 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 17 to 20 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 14 to 19 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.

$$

PKZ352-300200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
350 AM AKST Sun Nov 29 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 16 to 21 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 16 to 21 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 15 ft.

$$

798 
FZAK61 PAFC 300052
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
352 PM AKST Sun Nov 29 2020

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-301445-
352 PM AKST Sun Nov 29 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 984 mb low at 59N 150W weakens to a trough over the north Gulf 
Coast Mon morning. Its front moves inland Mon afternoon. A new 
front enters the western Gulf Mon afternoon and stretches across 
the Gulf through Tue afternoon. A 965 mb North Pacific low moves 
along the front to 55N 155W at 972 mb for Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ351-301445-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
352 PM AKST Sun Nov 29 2020

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 to 30 kt becoming SE 35 to 50 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 9 to 12 ft building to 11 to 19 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 35 to 50 kt diminishing to 15 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 15 to 19 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ352-301445-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
352 PM AKST Sun Nov 29 2020

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 to 50 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 17 to 21 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 18 to 21 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 16 to 20 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
511 PM AKST Wed Nov 25 2020

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A high amplitude trough remains in place from eastern Russia to
mainland Alaska, anchored by a closed low over the far northwest
Bering Sea. A broad 100-150kt zonal jet streak extends along and
south of the Aleutian Islands. Arctic air continues to poor out of
Russia and across the Bering Sea and North Pacific. This pattern
has produced and will continue to produce fast moving deep storm
systems across the Alaska region.

The feature of most interest today is a negatively tilted short-
wave trough lifting northward across the southern Alaska mainland.
A triple point low (with estimated central pressure of 975mb) is
tracking northward up Cook Inlet, with an occluded front pushing
onshore of Southcentral. As of midday, this was leading to
widespread strong winds, with storm force winds along the north
Gulf coast and Prince William Sound, and hurricane force wind
gusts in Turnagain Arm and across the Kenai and Chugach Mountains.
Precipitation, heavy at times in the Prince William Sound region
is falling primarily as rain at/near sea level, with snow in the
mountains. However, colder air is advecting in behind the low and
front, causing precipitation over Southwest Alaska to change to
all snow.

Meanwhile, a series of weaker upper level short-waves are tracking
eastward across the Bering, Aleutians, and Alaska Peninsula. With
cold air aloft and still warm sea surface temperatures, the
overall environment is fairly unstable. This is evident in the
cold cloud tops seen in IR Satellite imagery. As a result, there
are widespread rain and snow showers and gusty winds across the
region.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
In general, the models continue to struggle with the exact track
and depth of deep lows over the next few days. They are grouped
together, but when you are focused on where the core of strongest
winds will track, it creates a challenge for honing in on potential
impacts. As far as handling of specific systems, models have come
into much better agreement with a deeper low crossing the Gulf
Thursday and moving into Prince William Sound Thursday night.
Thus, the wind and precipitation forecast will be overhauled to
reflect this common solution. Out west, there is a larger spread
with two lows tracking to the Aleutians on Thursday. The track
along the central Aleutians Thursday night will be key to whether
Adak and Atka experience hurricane force winds. After this
critical juncture, models are in good agreement as the system
continues eastward to the Gulf and Southcentral this weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...The early part of the TAF forecast is quite challenging.
Southeasterly Turnagain Arm winds will be in full force this
afternoon into evening. These winds will result in a jump up in
temperature, so that if any precipitation were to fall, it would
likely fall as rain or a rain/snow mix. At this point, low level
flow will still be fairly strong across the Kenai and Chugach
Mountains, so any precipitation that falls should be very light.
Winds will then shift around to S to SW as colder air moves in
this evening. Expect at least a brief period of light snow
between 06Z and 12Z to reduce ceiling/vis, though exact timing is
uncertain. Then expect rapidly improving conditions after 12Z,
along with diminishing southerly winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through
3/Tonight through Saturday)...

Heavy periods of snow will pass through Matanuska Valley
especially over the Hatcher Pass this evening. Meanwhile, the rain
and snow will continue over much of the Prince William Sound as
cloud remnants from a weakening frontal zone treks inland and
northward tonight. The next active developing storm from the
southwestern Gulf of Alaska will bring another series of snow
showers over Kodiak on Thanksgiving morning, then across Prince
William Sound Thanksgiving Day and Thursday night. A shortwave
from the North Pacific will follow right behind the weakening
system on Thursday night, which could reinforce the potential for
a chance of snow Friday morning over Prince William Sound.

Another major developing storm from the Bering Sea will again
bring another series of snow over much of Southcentral Alaska.
This feature will impact the region with mix rain/snow between
Friday night and Saturday night, with strong winds up to 35 mph.
For now, will monitor the future development of this latter
system, so stay tuned for more updates.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Temperatures across much of the coastal areas, moving inland, have
begun to drop as cold air advection moves over the area from the
Bering Sea. This has transitioned rain to snow for much of the
region. Temperatures will continue to drop for the next few days,
with all precipitation staying as snow. Windy conditions have
started to taper off as the front has moved out of the area, and
calmer conditions should prevail after midnight.

Snow showers will continue Thursday morning into Friday with coastal
areas anticipated to receive the most snowfall. Friday afternoon,
a front associated with a strong low pressure system over the
central Aleutians will bring the next chances for snowfall to the
area. Limited confidence in model agreement on the initial
location of the low keeps the timing, placement and track of this
front uncertain. There is confidence, however, that snowfall will
occur south of Bethel, across Bristol Bay, the AKPEN and inland
areas nearby Friday afternoon through Sunday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

Westerly flow continues across the Bering this afternoon. This
will continue through tomorrow morning, until the next low
pressure system begins to move across the western Aleutians in the
afternoon. This is a strong system, bringing a large swath of
storm force winds across the Aleutian Chain with hurricane force
winds anticipated from Adak to Atka. A High Wind Watch remains in
effect from Adak to Atka for Thursday evening through Friday
morning. This system will bring another round of rainfall for the
Chain, as temperatures will approach the mid-40s. After this,
expect a lull in the weather before the next system approaches the
western Aleutians Sunday morning.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5/Saturday through Monday)...
A large and deep storm system will make its way from the Bering
Sea into the Gulf Friday night through Saturday, with widespread
gales across the region storm force winds likely along the leading
frontal boundary as it crosses the Gulf. As this system weakens in
the Gulf Saturday night, another storm force low will track south
of the Aleutian chain. As this storm approaches the Gulf on
Monday, the low will start to take a more northerly track. Thus,
there is potential for another round of storm force winds across
the Gulf waters as the leading front crosses the Gulf on Monday.
The forecast will stick with gales for now on Monday, but suspect
as we get closer models will settle on the stronger solution.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Sunday through Wednesday)...
A seasonably strong upper level jet combined with progressive
upper level flow will persist through at least the first half of
next week. There is seemingly no end in sight to the supply of
large deep storm systems traversing the Alaska region. Starting
out on Sunday, one storm will be in the weakening phase over the
northern Gulf and Southcentral Alaska. Another storm will be
strengthening as it tracks just south of the Aleutian chain.
Expect widespread strong winds and moderate to heavy precipitation
along the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula as this storm continues
eastward Sunday through Sunday night. As this low continues to
deepen, a short-wave ridge will strengthen out ahead of it, which
will then cause the storm to curve northward as it approaches the
Gulf. As a result, expect precipitation and wind to overspread
southern Alaska. Based on a storm track in the vicinity of the
Alaska Peninsula and the western Gulf, warm air will surge
northward toward Southcentral. Thus chances are this will be
primarily a rain event along the coast, with potential for enough
warm air to spread inland and cause precipitation to change to
rain there as well. The effects of this storm look to linger
through Wednesday, with colder air moving in behind it. Stay
tuned, as it's too early to nail down specific impacts from this
storm.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Hurricane force 175 173 174 176 177.
         Gale 119 120 130 139 155 170 172 178 351 411 413.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SEB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CK
MARINE/LONG TERM...SEB