Gale Warning 554, NWS Anchorage, AK

719 
FZAK51 PAFC 200152 CCA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-201200-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A trough dissipates over the eastern Gulf by Wed afternoon. 
High presure moves across the Gulf through Wed afternoon. A well 
developed front approaches the western Gulf for Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-201200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind increasing to 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the
Copper River Delta after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ120-201200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-201200-
Resurrection Bay-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt this evening increasing to 30 kt. 
Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-201200-
Prince William Sound-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-201200-
Port Valdez-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-201200-
Valdez Narrows-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-201200-
Valdez Arm-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening increasing to 20 kt. 
Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-201200-
Passage Canal-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. 
Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier after midnight. Seas building to 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near Whittier in the
evening. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-201200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. 
Seas building to 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-201200-
Barren Islands East-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas
building to 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-201200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt except NW 25 kt N of Dangerous Cape.
Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-201200-
Chiniak Bay-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-201200-
Marmot Bay-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-201200-
Shelikof Strait-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-201200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-201200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-201200-
Kachemak Bay-
323 PM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

656 
FZAK51 PAFC 201137
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-210030-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front over the western Gulf weakens through Tue afternoon. A
strong front enters the southwestern Gulf Wed afternoon and
spreads across the Gulf through Thu morning.

$$

PKZ119-210030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-210030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-210030-
Resurrection Bay-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt . Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-210030-
Prince William Sound-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes.  
Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-210030-
Port Valdez-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts 
to 35 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-210030-
Valdez Narrows-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-210030-
Valdez Arm-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-210030-
Passage Canal-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts to
40 kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft 
after midnight.
.WED...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-210030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11  ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-210030-
Barren Islands East-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-210030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt except NW 25 kt N of Dangerous Cape. 
Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-210030-
Chiniak Bay-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-210030-
Marmot Bay-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-210030-
Shelikof Strait-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas building to 14 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-210030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after midnight.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-210030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-210030-
Kachemak Bay-
337 AM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

139 
FZAK51 PAFC 210001
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-211315-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

High pressure moves across the Gulf through Thu afternoon. A front 
enters the southwest Gulf Thu morning and persists along the 
southern Gulf through Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-211315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts increasing to 50 kt out of the Copper
River Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River
Delta. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-211315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-211315-
Resurrection Bay-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-211315-
Prince William Sound-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes. Seas
3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 3 
ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-211315-
Port Valdez-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Gusts increasing to 35 kt. 
Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-211315-
Valdez Narrows-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 4 
ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-211315-
Valdez Arm-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 7 
ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-211315-
Passage Canal-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier.
Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Gusts to 20 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-211315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming N 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-211315-
Barren Islands East-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 7
ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ132-211315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt except N 25 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas
6 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt in the evening increasing to 40 kt. Seas 
10 ft building to 15 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-211315-
Chiniak Bay-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Seas 6
ft in the evening building to 9 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-211315-
Marmot Bay-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 
7 ft in the evening building to 12 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-211315-
Shelikof Strait-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
building to 9 ft in the afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft
building to 13 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-211315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 6 ft after midnight.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-211315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-211315-
Kachemak Bay-
401 PM AKDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

601 
FZAK51 PAFC 211122
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-220000-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front in the southwest Gulf Wed afternoon spreads into the 
central Gulf by Thu morning and persists through Fri.

$$

PKZ119-220000-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-220000-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-220000-
Resurrection Bay-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-220000-
Prince William Sound-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and
passes. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-220000-
Port Valdez-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-220000-
Valdez Narrows-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-220000-
Valdez Arm-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-220000-
Passage Canal-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier this morning. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ130-220000-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight.
Seas 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-220000-
Barren Islands East-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-220000-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. E wind 30
kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas 13 ft building to 18 ft after midnight.
N of Dangerous Cape, seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ136-220000-
Chiniak Bay-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-220000-
Marmot Bay-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 16 ft in the
afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-220000-
Shelikof Strait-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-220000-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ140-220000-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft 
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-220000-
Kachemak Bay-
322 AM AKDT Wed Oct 21 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
521 AM AKDT Mon Oct 19 2020

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An upper level trough across Southcentral continues to work its
way eastward this morning, clearing out the moisture and snow
showers that were observed yesterday. As this feature moves out of
the region, low stratus and fog have developed across areas of
Southcentral this morning.

Above freezing temperatures across Southwest Alaska is keeping a
few rain showers stretched from Bethel to interior Bristol Bay and
the Alaska Peninsula as an upper level wave keeps active weather
for the region. Farther west, quiet conditions are set up across
the Bering and Aleutian Chain with a ridge of high pressure
building in.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are in good synoptic agreement over the next few days. The
hi-res models were favored in the short term with regard to the
outflow wind across the eastern Kenai Peninsula and across
coastal Prince William Sound today.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...IFR conditions could develop early this morning with low
stratus and/or fog moving into the area. Conditions should improve
late this afternoon and evening, but will likely drop back to
MVFR during the evening hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (through Tuesday night)...

A weakening frontal trough extending south across the Copper
River Basin will continue areas of light snow across the Basin
today followed by drying tonight with increased offshore flow.
Further west, stratus and fog from Cook Inlet to over the MAT-SU
will dissipate some today. However, it will likely return again
tonight.

A combination of low level cold advection, an inverted surface
trough over the Northern Gulf, and upper waves dropping south
across the eastern Mainland/Gulf, will give rise to strengthening
outflow and gap winds through Tuesday night. The strongest winds
will likely be from the Eastern Kenai Peninsula to along the North
Gulf Coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Residual light showers linger into tonight as a weak upper level
wave gets pushed out by a building ridge over the Central Bering.
Showers should remain as rain, with periods of light snow for the
parts of the Kuskokwim Valley and higher elevations.
Additionally, a band of fog/low stratus is tracking across
Southwest throughout the morning ahead of the wave. The surface
high pushes northeast across the Bering towards the Y-K Delta today,
forcing the ridge onshore by tomorrow. Thus, clearing skies and
drier conditions are expected Tuesday and Wednesday. Flow becomes
more northerly ahead of the ridge as well. This inflow of colder
air from the interior combined with radiational cooling from
clearer skies will further lower overnight temperatures Tuesday
and Wednesday night.

A strong front attached to a surface low in the North Pacific
approaches the Southwest coast by Wednesday. Expect the transition
back to unsettled weather by the end of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A surface high and associated ridge build over the Central
Aleutians this morning and track northeast over the next couple
days. Conditions overall should remain relatively calm through
tomorrow until a front off a surface low in the North Pacific
approaches the Central Aleutians. Widespread gales are expected
to move with this front Wednesday and Thursday. Periods of storm
force winds are included, as models have started coming into
better agreement, though this still holds a level of uncertainty.
Moderate to heavy rain along the Southern AKPEN and Central
Aleutians are also expected to accompany this front.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Wednesday through Friday)...

Gulf of Alaska:

Generally light winds over the Gulf yield to a front that will
stretch across the Gulf through Fri. Forecast models track and
development vary considerably through the period, but favor
widespread Easterly gale force winds and waves spreading over the
Gulf through Fri. The gales retreat into the Western Gulf by Fri,
leaving widespread small craft winds through Fri. Gusty Easterly
winds will affect the North Coast areas.

Bering Sea:

Models are increasing in confidence with a North Pacific low
moving across the central Aleutians and Bering on Wednesday. This
system should strengthen and see embedded storm force winds as it
lifts northward through the day on through Thursday for the
eastern Bering and AKPEN. A second North Pacific low moves
towards the western/central Aleutians late Wednesday into
Thursday, but models are struggling with the strength and track
of this second system through Thursday morning. However, models
agree that this low system will track into the Bering by Friday,
keeping an active weather pattern and strong winds through the
end of the week.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Thursday through
Sunday)...

We've been tracking an upper level low that is slowly drifting
across northern Siberia this weekend. An amplifying shortwave
trough can be seen across Mongolia Sunday afternoon and will be
the focus for weather late into next week. This shortwave will
dive south, interact with the north Pacific jet and deepen the
upper level low that it is accompanying. By late Wednesday we
expect this feature to detach from the parent trough and become a
closed low south of Dutch Harbor. Another shortwave riding the
exiting jet will help to lift the low into the eastern Bering
through the weekend. Working east ahead of this system is a
transient upper level ridge that be over western Alaska Thursday,
southcentral Friday and into Canada on Saturday. With this ridge
will be minimal winds accompanied by clearing skies and colder
(overnight) temperatures. Overall confidence in the long range
forecast is beginning to increase considerably over the last few
days. Operational and ensemble guidance is coming into much
better agreement with handling of all of these features. The
primary ticket is that the aforementioned low will slide up into
the Bering (in previous days, guidance indicated a quick erosion
of the ridge, with a quick movement over the mainland). On Friday,
the Aleutians will see a surface low lift into the Bering within
the Adak vicinity, driving a weather front across the eastern
Aleutians. By the weekend, the front will slide over Kodiak and
along the Gulf coast. While early indications are that we'll warm
some and have cloudier skies, it's still too far out to tell
whether the front will bring any rain/snow to the Anchorage area.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ALH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KM
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/SS/ALH