Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2020

Gale Warning 480, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 16, 2020

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 16, 2020, 3:59 AM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 16, 2020, 3:59 AM AKDT (11:59 UTC)
Expired
Sep 18, 2020, 3:45 AM AKDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

232 
FZAK51 PAFC 161159
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-170100-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A weakening front remains stationary over the western Gulf 
through Wed afternoon. Another front approaches the western Gulf 
Thu afternoon and restrengthens the first front. The combined front 
moves into the eastern Gulf by Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-170100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-170100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft
building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13
ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-170100-
Resurrection Bay-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-170100-
Prince William Sound-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-170100-
Port Valdez-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-170100-
Valdez Narrows-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-170100-
Valdez Arm-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-170100-
Passage Canal-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-170100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-170100-
Barren Islands East-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-170100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

... GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft building 
to 9 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-170100-
Chiniak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft 
after midnight.
.THU...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-170100-
Marmot Bay-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-170100-
Shelikof Strait-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft in the
afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-170100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-170100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-170100-
Kachemak Bay-
359 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
096 
FZAK51 PAFC 162349
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-171300-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front stretches over the Western Gulf and North Gulf Coast
through Fri afternoon. Several weak low centers travel along the 
front through Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-171300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft 
after midnight. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 45 kt becoming
S 35 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-171300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 12 ft 
after midnight. Rain.
.THU...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13
ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-171300-
Resurrection Bay-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind becoming N 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-171300-
Prince William Sound-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-171300-
Port Valdez-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-171300-
Valdez Narrows-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-171300-
Valdez Arm-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind becoming NE 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-171300-
Passage Canal-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening increasing to 25 kt. Seas 2 
ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-171300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-171300-
Barren Islands East-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ132-171300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 9 ft.
Rain.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-171300-
Chiniak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ137-171300-
Marmot Bay-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ138-171300-
Shelikof Strait-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 8 ft 
subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-171300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-171300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-171300-
Kachemak Bay-
349 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
266 
FZAK51 PAFC 171147
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-180100-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front will move across the Gulf this morning. A 986 mb low at
59N 157W this morning will move inland by Friday morning. A 1004
mb low moves into the western Gulf Saturday morning. 

$$

PKZ119-180100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 45 kt becoming S
35 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-180100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-180100-
Resurrection Bay-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread 
rain showers.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-180100-
Prince William Sound-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-180100-
Port Valdez-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-180100-
Valdez Narrows-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-180100-
Valdez Arm-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-180100-
Passage Canal-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-180100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming SE. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ131-180100-
Barren Islands East-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-180100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-180100-
Chiniak Bay-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ137-180100-
Marmot Bay-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-180100-
Shelikof Strait-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ139-180100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-180100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-180100-
Kachemak Bay-
347 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
352 
FZAK51 PAFC 171510
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-180315-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front will move across the Gulf this morning. A 986 mb low at
59N 157W this morning will move inland by Friday morning. A 1004
mb low moves into the western Gulf Saturday morning. 

$$

PKZ119-180315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...Near the coast, SE wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt midday.
Elsewhere, SE wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 45 kt becoming
S 35 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-180315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-180315-
Resurrection Bay-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
Widespread rain showers. 
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-180315-
Prince William Sound-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 45 kt. Gusts to 55 kt near
Hinchinbrook Entrance. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-180315-
Port Valdez-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-180315-
Valdez Narrows-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-180315-
Valdez Arm-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-180315-
Passage Canal-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas building to 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-180315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt becoming SE. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ131-180315-
Barren Islands East-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-180315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-180315-
Chiniak Bay-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ137-180315-
Marmot Bay-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ138-180315-
Shelikof Strait-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ139-180315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-180315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the
afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-180315-
Kachemak Bay-
710 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
118 
FZAK51 PAFC 172342
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-181300-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front moves across the Gulf by Fri night. A 1003 mb low 70 nm
South of Unimak Island Fri afternoon moves to 265 nm South of
Middleton Island for Sat afternoon. Its front moves across the 
Gulf through Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-181300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-181300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-181300-
Resurrection Bay-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-181300-
Prince William Sound-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-181300-
Port Valdez-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread
rain showers.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread
rain showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-181300-
Valdez Narrows-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-181300-
Valdez Arm-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Higher winds and seas near 
Bligh Reef. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Higher winds and seas near Bligh
Reef. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-181300-
Passage Canal-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain 
showers.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-181300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ131-181300-
Barren Islands East-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-181300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-181300-
Chiniak Bay-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-181300-
Marmot Bay-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ138-181300-
Shelikof Strait-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ139-181300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ140-181300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-181300-
Kachemak Bay-
342 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft after
midnight. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after
midnight.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$
877 
FZAK51 PAFC 181145
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-190030-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1002 mb low 100 nm south of Kodiak City Saturday morning will 
move to 170 nm southeast of Seward at 1004 mb Sunday morning. 

$$

PKZ119-190030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-190030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-190030-
Resurrection Bay-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-190030-
Prince William Sound-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-190030-
Port Valdez-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread
rain showers.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-190030-
Valdez Narrows-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain 
showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-190030-
Valdez Arm-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...Variable wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-190030-
Passage Canal-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-190030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ131-190030-
Barren Islands East-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-190030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-190030-
Chiniak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ137-190030-
Marmot Bay-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ138-190030-
Shelikof Strait-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 5 ft 
subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ139-190030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ140-190030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-190030-
Kachemak Bay-
345 AM AKDT Fri Sep 18 2020

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 15, 4:54 PM AKDT, 11 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 4:54 PM AKDT, 11 hours 5 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
454 PM AKDT Tue Sep 15 2020

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The entire Bering Sea is under a broad upper level low. In the low
complex, the parent low is near Attu Island where the upper level
low and surface low are vertically stacked and slowly weakening.
A second surface low is near St Lawrence Island and while not
deeper than the parent low, it is stronger in the sense that the
pressure gradient around is tighter and the front which splits the
state in half from north-to-south emanates from it. This front
has a long fetch of moisture associated with it and is advecting
this moisture from around 30N in the North Pacific.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The main model issue over the next few days revolves around
the low that will be near the Alaska Peninsula Wednesday night
and its track as it moves northward. The question is whether it
will remain in Cook Inlet cross the Aleutians Range before
reaching Cook Inlet. Taking the most recent runs as a whole, the
most likely track looks to be for the main low to jump the
Aleutian Range near Kamishak Bay right before entering Cook Inlet.
In this case it will still leave a residual lee side trough over
Cook Inlet which will impact the orientation of the pressure
gradient and therefore the winds. None of the models have the low
tracking on the east side of the Kenai Peninsula as was the case
in some previous runs and the farther west track with lower
central pressure remains the trend.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Gusty southeasterly winds will persist through the evening
and then are expected to shift to the north around midnight.
Periods of rain will persist through the night, but visibility
and ceilings should remain VFR, though a short time of MVFR
ceilings cannot be ruled out early Wednesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tue
Night through Fri Afternoon)...

A N-S oriented front is beginning to stall out over the Talkeetna
and Chugach mountains this evening bringing light rain to the
region. A brief period of light Turnagain Arm winds might come
into west Anchorage this evening before down inlet flow develops
overnight and turns the wind south and out of Anchorage. Higher
winds are also likely through the Copper River Valley overnight as
the front breaks down. For Tuesday, light rain is expected over
once again over Chugach and Talkeetna mountains as the front
continues to break down. More persistent rain is expected over
the Prince William Sound. Southerly flow should keep skies mostly
overcast through Friday so day to day temperatures are not
expected to change by more than a few degrees with lows increasing
a degree or two each day.

Model guidance has finally begun to converge on a solution for
the north Pacific low expected to move over the AKPEN Wed night.
On Thu the low center is now expected to move over Southwest AK;
however, lee side troughing along the front is expected to produce
a mesolow over the western Gulf and Cook Inlet area. This should
lead to strong coastal ridging along the northern Gulf coast,
which will bring some strong winds through the major mountain
passes. Currently expecting strong winds over the upper Anchorage
Hillside and Turnagain Arm throughout the day, peaking in
intensity in the afternoon as the front moves in. Winds are also
expected to increase through the Copper River Valley, which will
peak in the afternoon Thu.

The other weather impact from this system is widespread, and in
some areas heavy rain. As the low slowly moves up the cook inlet,
a long, tropical moisture feed is expected to bring persistent
rain to the western Kenai Peninsula and Prince William Sound. Up
to 4 inches of rain may fall near Seward by Friday morning, with
places like Whittier and Valdez receiving between 2.5 and 3
inches. The Anchorage Bowl and Mat-Su Valley is expected to
remain mostly downsloped of heavy rain, but should receive on and
off light rain through Friday. Rainfall totals for these areas
are not expected to be high, measuring near and less than 0.25
inches by Fri morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Friday)

An upper level trough axis extends northwestward from the Alaska
Range through the Yukon Delta to an upper low centered near St.
Lawrence Island. This feature will continue to lift north and
away from the forecast area tonight, which will also lead to the
reduction of showery clouds this evening. Still, more clouds and
isolated showers from eastern Bering and south of Alaska Peninsula
will continue to make their way across the region through Wednesday,
before the next large scale system brings another series of
rainfall starting Thursday morning through Friday.

The rainfall observations over the Alaska Range and north of
Dillingham shows total rainfall reaching up to more than 0.20
inch, and up to 0.66 inch of rainfall over Kusko Delta. With the
expected series of rainfall in the coming days, the potential for
moderate to heavy showers is focused mainly along the Alaska
Peninsula and Bristol Bay through the Kusko Delta on Thursday. On
Friday, more widespread showers will continue spreading inland and
across the Alaska Range. Overall, the wet pattern will become
more pronounced for Southwest Alaska through the forecast period
with a few breaks of sunshine.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Friday)

The stacked upper low over western Bering will be the main weather
producer in the next couple days. Models shows a firm continuity
of this upper low slightly to the north of the Aleutians before
diving southeastward of Cold Bay, then curving northeastward
toward Bristol Bay on Thursday morning. Meanwhile, an emerging
upper trough near the western Aleutians will take days to develop
as it skirts along the Aleutians eastward between Thursday and
Friday, this system will bring more rain and moisture across the
region in the coming days. As a result, anticipate a lot of
rainfall over the area and at least small craft conditions through
the next few days.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Friday through Sunday)...

Lingering small craft winds and waves over Bristol Bay diminish
Fri night. A front South of the Aleutians moves into the Gulf of
Alaska for Sat. Confidence is good for small craft winds over and
South of the Aleutians through Sat night. A North Pacific low and
front move into the Western Aleutians and Bering through Sun.
While track and development of the low are mixed, confidence is
good for Gale force winds to wrap the low with local storm force
winds over the Aleutians through Sun.

A front stretches across the Gulf through Sun. Confidence is good
for small craft winds and waves with local gales around Kodiak
Island dissipating Sat. A second low on the front South of the
Alaska Peninsula moves across the Gulf through Sun. While track
and development vary, confidence is good for small craft winds and
waves to move across the Gulf through Sun.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Saturday will see a cool upper level trough entrenched over
western Alaska from the Arctic coast southward to the Alaska
Peninsula. With a cut- off low at the tip of this trough tracking
into the Southern Gulf of Alaska, it will keep a cloudy, cool and
showery regime over southern mainland Alaska for most of the
weekend.

On Saturday night, a large low will move into the western Bering
Sea and the south of the Alaska Peninsula by Tuesday. While there
is uncertainty to the exact track of this low, the general
pattern shows the strongest winds and heaviest rain will remain
over coastal and marine areas in the Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska
for the first half of next week.

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CJ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/EZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 16, 3:54 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Sep 16, 3:54 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Sep 16, 3:59 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Sep 16, 7:04 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC45 hr
Sep 16, 3:49 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Sep 16, 3:49 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Sep 16, 3:59 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 16, 3:59 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2020Every gale warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.