Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2020

Gale Warning 479, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 16, 2020

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 16, 2020, 3:54 AM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 16, 2020, 3:54 AM AKDT (11:54 UTC)
Expired
Sep 17, 2020, 3:38 PM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

887 
FZAK52 PAFC 161154
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-170030-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1003 mb low 85 nm NW of Adak moves 90 nm W of Dutch Harbor at 
1004 mb Wed morning. A 1004 mb low 335 nm S of Dutch Harbor moves 
195 nm E of Dutch Harbor at 993 mb Wed afternoon as it absorbs the
previous low. The 993 mb low moves 70 nm N of Port Heiden at 981 
mb Thu morning before moving inland. A 1006 mb low 115 nm NE of 
Attu Thu afternoon moves 175 nm NE of Adak at 1002 mb Thu night.

$$

PKZ150-170030-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-170030-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. From the
Shumagin Islands E, E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
Rain.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-170030-
Bristol Bay-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-170030-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-170030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-170030-
Unalaska Bay-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-170030-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-170030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-170030-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ175-170030-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-170030-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ177-170030-
Adak to Kiska-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ178-170030-
Kiska to Attu-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ179-170030-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-170030-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-170030-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ185-170030-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
354 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
472 
FZAK52 PAFC 161504 AAA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

Updated zones 150 155 160 165

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The 
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-170330-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1003 mb low 85 nm NW of Adak moves 90 nm W of Dutch Harbor at 
1004 mb Wed morning. A 1004 mb low 335 nm S of Dutch Harbor moves 
195 nm E of Dutch Harbor at 993 mb Wed afternoon as it absorbs the
previous low. The 993 mb low moves 70 nm N of Port Heiden at 981 
mb Thu morning before moving inland. A 1006 mb low 115 nm NE of 
Attu Thu afternoon moves 175 nm NE of Adak at 1002 mb Thu night.

$$

PKZ150-170330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming S 35 kt by midnight. 
Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-170330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft 
in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-170330-
Bristol Bay-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-170330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming NW 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-170330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-170330-
Unalaska Bay-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-170330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Rain. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-170330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-170330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ175-170330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-170330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ177-170330-
Adak to Kiska-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ178-170330-
Kiska to Attu-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ179-170330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-170330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-170330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ185-170330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
704 AM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$
546 
FZAK52 PAFC 162359
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-171315-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 991 mb low 70 nm South of Cold Bay moves over Naknek at 986 mb 
then inland Thu afternoon. Its front moves into the Gulf of Alaska
for Thu afternoon. A 1012 mb Kamchatka low moves to 30 nm South of
Unimak Pass at 1001 mb by Fri afternoon. Its front moves over the
Aleutians to the Alaska Peninsula through Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-171315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas building to 12 ft.
.THU...S wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 10 ft after
midnight.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-171315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 8 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-171315-
Bristol Bay-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft building
to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 8 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-171315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ170-171315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-171315-
Unalaska Bay-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-171315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas building to 14 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-171315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas building to 15 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-171315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas building to 21 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ175-171315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas building to 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-171315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft before
midnight.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas building to 15 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 45 kt. Seas building to 26 ft.
.MON...W wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ177-171315-
Adak to Kiska-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas building to 15 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas building to 23 ft.

$$

PKZ178-171315-
Kiska to Attu-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas building to 20 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-171315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas building to 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-171315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-171315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas building to 10 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ185-171315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
359 PM AKDT Wed Sep 16 2020

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas building to 14 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$
205 
FZAK52 PAFC 171133
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-180100-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 mb low 20 nm northwest of Port Heiden this morning will 
move inland by Friday morning. An 1003 mb low will develop 200 nm 
southwest of Dutch Harbor and move into the Gulf by Saturday 
morning. 

$$

PKZ150-180100-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-180100-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-180100-
Bristol Bay-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-180100-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-180100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-180100-
Unalaska Bay-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ172-180100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-180100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ174-180100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ175-180100-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-180100-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ177-180100-
Adak to Kiska-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ178-180100-
Kiska to Attu-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-180100-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ180-180100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-180100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ185-180100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
333 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$
523 
FZAK52 PAFC 171532
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-180315-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 986 mb low 20 nm northwest of Port Heiden this morning will 
move inland by Friday morning. An 1003 mb low will develop 200 nm 
southwest of Dutch Harbor and move into the Gulf by Saturday 
morning. 

$$

PKZ150-180315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.


$$

PKZ155-180315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-180315-
Bristol Bay-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming W 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.


$$

PKZ165-180315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-180315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-180315-
Unalaska Bay-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ172-180315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ173-180315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ174-180315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ175-180315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-180315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.

$$

PKZ177-180315-
Adak to Kiska-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ178-180315-
Kiska to Attu-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-180315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ180-180315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ181-180315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ185-180315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
732 AM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$
198 
FZAK52 PAFC 172338
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-181215-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1008 mb low 80 nm North of Attu moves into the Gulf of Alaska 
by Sat afternoon. Its front moves over the Aleutians and Alaska 
Peninsula through Sat afternoon. A 989 mb South Kamchatka low Fri 
afternoon moves to 120 nm West of Attu by Sat afternoon. Its 
front moves into the Central Aleutians for Sat afternoon. 

$$

PKZ150-181215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. 
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-181215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. 
Widespread rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt in the evening becoming NW. Seas 7 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-181215-
Bristol Bay-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-181215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-181215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas building to 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas building to 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-181215-
Unalaska Bay-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft building
to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt in the evening becoming W. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-181215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas building to 16 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ173-181215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt in the morning becoming NW 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas building to 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ174-181215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas building to 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-181215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas building to 14 ft.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ176-181215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas building to 16 ft.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt. Seas building to 26 ft.
.MON...W wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-181215-
Adak to Kiska-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt. Seas building to 13 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas building to 20 ft.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-181215-
Kiska to Attu-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt. Seas piddling to 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas building to 23 ft.
.SUN...W wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-181215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-181215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas building to 9 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ181-181215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas building to 10 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-181215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
338 PM AKDT Thu Sep 17 2020

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 15, 4:54 PM AKDT, 11 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 4:54 PM AKDT, 11 hours before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
454 PM AKDT Tue Sep 15 2020

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The entire Bering Sea is under a broad upper level low. In the low
complex, the parent low is near Attu Island where the upper level
low and surface low are vertically stacked and slowly weakening.
A second surface low is near St Lawrence Island and while not
deeper than the parent low, it is stronger in the sense that the
pressure gradient around is tighter and the front which splits the
state in half from north-to-south emanates from it. This front
has a long fetch of moisture associated with it and is advecting
this moisture from around 30N in the North Pacific.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The main model issue over the next few days revolves around
the low that will be near the Alaska Peninsula Wednesday night
and its track as it moves northward. The question is whether it
will remain in Cook Inlet cross the Aleutians Range before
reaching Cook Inlet. Taking the most recent runs as a whole, the
most likely track looks to be for the main low to jump the
Aleutian Range near Kamishak Bay right before entering Cook Inlet.
In this case it will still leave a residual lee side trough over
Cook Inlet which will impact the orientation of the pressure
gradient and therefore the winds. None of the models have the low
tracking on the east side of the Kenai Peninsula as was the case
in some previous runs and the farther west track with lower
central pressure remains the trend.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Gusty southeasterly winds will persist through the evening
and then are expected to shift to the north around midnight.
Periods of rain will persist through the night, but visibility
and ceilings should remain VFR, though a short time of MVFR
ceilings cannot be ruled out early Wednesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tue
Night through Fri Afternoon)...

A N-S oriented front is beginning to stall out over the Talkeetna
and Chugach mountains this evening bringing light rain to the
region. A brief period of light Turnagain Arm winds might come
into west Anchorage this evening before down inlet flow develops
overnight and turns the wind south and out of Anchorage. Higher
winds are also likely through the Copper River Valley overnight as
the front breaks down. For Tuesday, light rain is expected over
once again over Chugach and Talkeetna mountains as the front
continues to break down. More persistent rain is expected over
the Prince William Sound. Southerly flow should keep skies mostly
overcast through Friday so day to day temperatures are not
expected to change by more than a few degrees with lows increasing
a degree or two each day.

Model guidance has finally begun to converge on a solution for
the north Pacific low expected to move over the AKPEN Wed night.
On Thu the low center is now expected to move over Southwest AK;
however, lee side troughing along the front is expected to produce
a mesolow over the western Gulf and Cook Inlet area. This should
lead to strong coastal ridging along the northern Gulf coast,
which will bring some strong winds through the major mountain
passes. Currently expecting strong winds over the upper Anchorage
Hillside and Turnagain Arm throughout the day, peaking in
intensity in the afternoon as the front moves in. Winds are also
expected to increase through the Copper River Valley, which will
peak in the afternoon Thu.

The other weather impact from this system is widespread, and in
some areas heavy rain. As the low slowly moves up the cook inlet,
a long, tropical moisture feed is expected to bring persistent
rain to the western Kenai Peninsula and Prince William Sound. Up
to 4 inches of rain may fall near Seward by Friday morning, with
places like Whittier and Valdez receiving between 2.5 and 3
inches. The Anchorage Bowl and Mat-Su Valley is expected to
remain mostly downsloped of heavy rain, but should receive on and
off light rain through Friday. Rainfall totals for these areas
are not expected to be high, measuring near and less than 0.25
inches by Fri morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Friday)

An upper level trough axis extends northwestward from the Alaska
Range through the Yukon Delta to an upper low centered near St.
Lawrence Island. This feature will continue to lift north and
away from the forecast area tonight, which will also lead to the
reduction of showery clouds this evening. Still, more clouds and
isolated showers from eastern Bering and south of Alaska Peninsula
will continue to make their way across the region through Wednesday,
before the next large scale system brings another series of
rainfall starting Thursday morning through Friday.

The rainfall observations over the Alaska Range and north of
Dillingham shows total rainfall reaching up to more than 0.20
inch, and up to 0.66 inch of rainfall over Kusko Delta. With the
expected series of rainfall in the coming days, the potential for
moderate to heavy showers is focused mainly along the Alaska
Peninsula and Bristol Bay through the Kusko Delta on Thursday. On
Friday, more widespread showers will continue spreading inland and
across the Alaska Range. Overall, the wet pattern will become
more pronounced for Southwest Alaska through the forecast period
with a few breaks of sunshine.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Friday)

The stacked upper low over western Bering will be the main weather
producer in the next couple days. Models shows a firm continuity
of this upper low slightly to the north of the Aleutians before
diving southeastward of Cold Bay, then curving northeastward
toward Bristol Bay on Thursday morning. Meanwhile, an emerging
upper trough near the western Aleutians will take days to develop
as it skirts along the Aleutians eastward between Thursday and
Friday, this system will bring more rain and moisture across the
region in the coming days. As a result, anticipate a lot of
rainfall over the area and at least small craft conditions through
the next few days.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Friday through Sunday)...

Lingering small craft winds and waves over Bristol Bay diminish
Fri night. A front South of the Aleutians moves into the Gulf of
Alaska for Sat. Confidence is good for small craft winds over and
South of the Aleutians through Sat night. A North Pacific low and
front move into the Western Aleutians and Bering through Sun.
While track and development of the low are mixed, confidence is
good for Gale force winds to wrap the low with local storm force
winds over the Aleutians through Sun.

A front stretches across the Gulf through Sun. Confidence is good
for small craft winds and waves with local gales around Kodiak
Island dissipating Sat. A second low on the front South of the
Alaska Peninsula moves across the Gulf through Sun. While track
and development vary, confidence is good for small craft winds and
waves to move across the Gulf through Sun.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Saturday will see a cool upper level trough entrenched over
western Alaska from the Arctic coast southward to the Alaska
Peninsula. With a cut- off low at the tip of this trough tracking
into the Southern Gulf of Alaska, it will keep a cloudy, cool and
showery regime over southern mainland Alaska for most of the
weekend.

On Saturday night, a large low will move into the western Bering
Sea and the south of the Alaska Peninsula by Tuesday. While there
is uncertainty to the exact track of this low, the general
pattern shows the strongest winds and heaviest rain will remain
over coastal and marine areas in the Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska
for the first half of next week.

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CJ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
MARINE/LONG TERM...MK/EZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 16, 3:54 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Sep 16, 3:59 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Sep 16, 3:59 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Sep 16, 7:04 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC45 hr
Sep 16, 3:49 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Sep 16, 3:49 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Sep 16, 3:59 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Sep 16, 3:59 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2020Every gale warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.