Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2020
Gale Warning 423, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Aug 28, 2020, 3:44 PM AKDT. It was in force for 60 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 28, 2020, 3:44 PM AKDT (23:44 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 31, 2020, 3:49 AM AKDT
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
230 FZAK62 PAFC 282344 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 344 PM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-291315- 344 PM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 984 mb low at 51N 179E moves to 53N 179W at 980 mb by Sat afternoon. It merges with a 968 mb low at 53N 168W by Sun morning and then moves inland near 59N 160W at 967 mb by Sun afternoon. $$ PKZ411-291315- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 344 PM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 15 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft. .SUN...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 16 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ412-291315- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 344 PM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...W wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. $$ PKZ413-291315- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 344 PM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft. Rain. .SAT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ414-291315- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 344 PM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain. .SAT...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain. .SAT NIGHT...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...W wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. $$
5 follow-up statements
511 FZAK62 PAFC 291149 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 349 AM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-300130- 349 AM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 982 mb low at 53N 179W deepens to 978 mb by Sun morning and remains nearly stationary. It merges with a 968 mb low at 53N 168W by Sun morning and then moves inland near 59N 160W at 965 mb by Sun afternoon. $$ PKZ411-300130- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 349 AM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 12 to 17 ft. .SUN...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. $$ PKZ412-300130- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 349 AM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 10 to 17 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. $$ PKZ413-300130- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 349 AM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 .TODAY...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. $$ PKZ414-300130- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 349 AM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. Rain. .SUN...NE wind 20 to 35 kt becoming NW 25 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. $$
406 FZAK62 PAFC 292349 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 349 PM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-301315- 349 PM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 981 mb low at 52N 179W and a 980 mb North Pacific low at 47N 178W Sat afternoon merge near 53N 169W at 968 mb by Sun morning. This low then moves inland near 59N 161W at 964 mb by Sun afternoon. The associated front weakens across the central Bering through Mon afternoon. $$ PKZ411-301315- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 349 PM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 13 to 17 ft. .SUN...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft. .THU...N wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ412-301315- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 349 PM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .SUN...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 9 to 12 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. .THU...NE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ413-301315- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 349 PM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 .TONIGHT...E wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Rain. .SUN...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft. .THU...S wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. $$ PKZ414-301315- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 349 PM AKDT Sat Aug 29 2020 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 to 35 kt becoming NW 25 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt diminishing to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON...W wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. .THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
464 FZAK62 PAFC 301153 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 353 AM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-310115- 353 AM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 964 low at 53N 169W moves inland near 59N 161W by this evening. The associated front weakens across the central Bering through Mon afternoon. $$ PKZ411-310115- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 353 AM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 25 to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft. .THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ412-310115- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 353 AM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. .THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ413-310115- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 353 AM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 .TODAY...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft. .MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ414-310115- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 353 AM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE wind 20 to 35 kt becoming NW 25 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Widespread rain showers. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt diminishing to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON...W wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft. .THU...S wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
970 FZAK62 PAFC 302352 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 352 PM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-311345- 352 PM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 959 mb low at 58N 162W moves inland this evening. The associated front weakens across the Bering through Mon night. $$ PKZ411-311345- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 352 PM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ412-311345- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 352 PM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 11 to 14 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. $$ PKZ413-311345- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 352 PM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 .TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. .FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ414-311345- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 352 PM AKDT Sun Aug 30 2020 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 to 35 kt diminishing to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9 to 14 ft. .MON...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .TUE...W wind up to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
046 FZAK62 PAFC 311149 OFFALU Offshore Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage AK 349 AM AKDT Mon Aug 31 2020 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Bering Sea Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ499-010100- 349 AM AKDT Mon Aug 31 2020 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A front over the eastern Bering weakens by Tue morning. $$ PKZ411-010100- Bering Sea Offshore West of 180 and East of the International Dateline- 349 AM AKDT Mon Aug 31 2020 .TODAY...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...NW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft. $$ PKZ412-010100- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and North of 56N- 349 AM AKDT Mon Aug 31 2020 .TODAY...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...W wind up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .THU...S wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. $$ PKZ413-010100- Bering Sea Offshore 171W to 180 and South of 56N- 349 AM AKDT Mon Aug 31 2020 .TODAY...NW wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ414-010100- Bering Sea Offshore East of 171W- 349 AM AKDT Mon Aug 31 2020 .TODAY...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 6 ft. .WED...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Aug 28, 5:30 AM AKDT, 10 hours 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 28, 5:30 AM AKDT, 10 hours 14 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 530 AM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... An upper level jet extends from the Kamchatka Peninsula through the North Pacific. A 500 mb low is currently intensifying in its left exit region. A surface low is vertically stacked with this upper low and will slowly move to the east through today. Its associated front will bring moderate rain and gusty southeasterly winds to the western and central Aleutians. A ridge over the eastern Bering and Southwest Alaska is leading to quiet conditions across the region, though the usual low stratus is observed on satellite along the Kuskokwim Delta in an onshore northwesterly flow. This upper ridge will move eastward today as a low departs over the eastern Gulf, bringing settled weather to much of Southcentral. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... Models remain in good synoptic agreement through Saturday. A front will move into the northern Gulf Saturday night and all models show a Turnagain wind developing overnight into Sunday morning. There are still differences in the track, though all major models likewise indicate a strong low moving over the central Aleutians by Sunday morning. The more southerly GFS track remains preferred at this time. See the marine/long term discussions for further details, including potential impacts. && .AVIATION... PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)... North-to-northwest surface flow is increasing in Southcentral as a trough strengthens along the north Gulf coast with higher pressure over the mainland of the state. While some higher level clouds are around, the drying trend is intact today with the only potential precipitation in the form of a few afternoon and evening showers over the mountains. A front will move over Kodiak Island from the southwest late tonight into Saturday morning and then move along the north Gulf coast Saturday night. This will increase winds to gale force over many of the marine areas at that time. Winds will also increase in Turnagain Arm on Saturday with the gusty Southeast winds moving into Anchorage Saturday afternoon and evening. Due to the strength of the front, the pressure gradient down Cook Inlet will greatly increase which will turn the winds to the north in town around midnight Saturday night though they will increase even more through Turnagain Arm, Prince William Sound and along the north Gulf coast. Winds turning left out of Turnagain Arm due to a strong low is more common during winter months, and this is the first time we have seen this in a while. Combine that with numerous temperatures dropping into the 30s early Friday morning and the change in seasons looks to be starting. By Sunday, an unseasonably strong low will move into Bristol Bay bringing strong winds and areas of heavy rainfall across Southcentral. This storm is the first strong Fall storm and there is the potential for hazardous conditions over parts of Southcentral so check for forecast updates to stay up on the latest information. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Friday through Sunday)... Weather will be fairly quiet today, with high pressure in place over Southwest AK. Just some afternoon/evening showers are expected. This will change tomorrow with the arrival of a frontal system from the Bering Sea. This front is expected to bring steady rain and will also cool temperatures due to the more maritime (cooler, moist air) influence it brings with it. Sunday will see a larger and more powerful weather system move into Southwest Alaska. Our first significant low pressure of the fall season (albeit a bit early) is expected to arrive. This low will bring windy conditions mainly along the coast and rain for all of Southwest AK. The big impact of this system may be coastal flooding for Bristol Bay due to sustained storm force winds out of the southwest over the open water. While the NAM and GFS both showed storm force winds, there is has been a lot of model uncertainty with this system. Therefore, we are still watching what will develop at this point, so a determination on the possibility of coastal flooding has not yet been made. So, stay tuned to the forecast in the coming days. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Friday through Sunday)... A weak frontal system continues to push east through the Bering Sea/Aleutians Islands. Satellite shows this system currently in the Central Aleutians. It is expected to push east and into Southwest AK tomorrow, bringing weak gale force winds as it goes. Saturday night into Sunday a stronger storm will develop over the Central Aleutians, with storm force winds forecasted with this low. This low looks to be the and early arrival of the first big low of the fall storm season, A couple changes made to the forecast tonight were to extend low end storm force winds into Bristol bay and increase wave heights to accompany the stronger winds. The NAM and the GFS have at least decent agreement on this. However, models are still moving the low track around and still getting honed in on it. So, while there is growing confidence in the forecast, right now confidence is moderate. More updates will certainly be made to the forecast, so stay tuned in coming days. && .MARINE (Days 3 through 5/Sunday through Tuesday)... Model confidence has increased with a low approaching Bristol Bay Sunday afternoon. The strength of this storm will produce storm force winds, along the southern periphery of the low, south of the eastern Aleutians. There is some uncertainty beyond this, with the potential track up towards the northeast and gales across the western Gulf Monday. After that, a fairly benign wind pattern is expected across the Gulf and the Bering Sea for the remainder of the forecast period. All in all, there will be plenty of refinement associated with the latter part of this system as we head towards the weekend, but mariners in the area should pay close attention. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7/Monday through Thursday)... A fairly active pattern is expected into the middle of next week. A strong upper low moves across the north Pacific Sunday moves over the southern mainland Sunday evening then weakens. In its wake, numerous short waves will track eastward across the Alaska Peninsula and Southern Mainland. The general mean position of the nearly zonal upper jet remains over the northeast Pacific. After the remnant of Typhoon Bavi makes landfall Sunday the pattern will become more showery with support of upper short waves. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...NONE. MARINE...Gale Warning: 120 130-132 160 170 173 175 351 411-413. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AP SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BB MARINE/LONG TERM...CK/RMC
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Aug 28, 10:16 AM AKDT, 5 hours 28 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK 1016 AM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 AKZ101-111-121-125-131-135-141-145-291900- Anchorage-Matanuska Valley-Western Kenai Peninsula- Western Prince William Sound-Northeast Prince William Sound- Southeast Prince William Sound-Copper River Basin-Susitna Valley- Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian, Eklutna, Palmer, Wasilla, Sutton, Chickaloon, Kenai, Soldotna, Homer, Cooper Landing, Whittier, Seward, Girdwood, Moose Pass, Valdez, Thompson Pass, Cordova, Glennallen, Eureka, McCarthy, Paxson, Slana, Talkeetna, Willow, and Cantwell 1016 AM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 ...WET AND WINDY ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THIS WEEKEND... A couple of weather systems will sweep across Southcentral this weekend bring generally widespread wind and wet conditions. The first culprit will be a weather front which moves north across Southcentral Saturday evening/night. This system will bring gusty easterly gales over the Gulf coast waters with gusty locally driven winds through Turnagain Arm, Knik River Valley, and along the Copper River Saturday afternoon/evening. The brunt of the rain will be along the Gulf Coast. The next system which will be stronger is associated with a rapidly developing storm force low which moves into Bristol Bay late Sunday afternoon. It will bring widespread winds and rain to Southcentral. Winds in the aforementioned areas will strengthen with gusts expected in the 60 mph range along Turnagain Arm and higher elevations Sunday afternoon through evening. Rainfall will be moderate to heavy at times along the Gulf Coast from Kenai Peninsula near Seward to Cordova with up to a couple of inches of rain expected Sunday evening through early Monday. Please stay tuned for updates
Special weather statement, Aug 28, 10:56 AM AKDT, 4 hours 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK 1056 AM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 AKZ152-155-161-291900- Lower Kuskokwim Valley-Kuskokwim Delta-Bristol Bay- Including the cities of Aniak, Sleetmute, Bethel, Hooper Bay, Nunivak Island, King Salmon, Dillingham, Naknek, and Pilot Point 1056 AM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 ...WET AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED AS THE FIRST BIG STORM OF THE FALL SEASON MOVES INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY... A strong low moving in from the Bering on Sunday into Monday will produce strong winds, periods of heavy rain, and potentially high water levels along the Bristol Bay Coast. Rainfall will move into Southwest Alaska Sunday afternoon associated with this system, continuing through Monday. Areas across interior Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Valley can expect to see over an inch of rain through this time period. Southwesterly storm force winds of 55 mph will move into Bristol Bay by Sunday afternoon, with strong winds impacting coastal locations from Togiak to Port Heiden, with the possibility for high water levels. Please stay tuned for the latest forecast throughout the weekend.
Special weather statement, Aug 28, 11:55 AM AKDT, 3 hours 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK 1155 AM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 AKZ152-155-161-291900- Lower Kuskokwim Valley-Kuskokwim Delta-Bristol Bay- Including the cities of Aniak, Sleetmute, Bethel, Hooper Bay, Nunivak Island, King Salmon, Dillingham, Naknek, and Pilot Point 1155 AM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 ...WET AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED AS THE FIRST BIG STORM OF THE FALL SEASON MOVES INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY... A strong low moving in from the Bering on Sunday into Monday will produce strong winds, periods of heavy rain, and potentially high water levels along the Bristol Bay Coast. Rainfall will move into Southwest Alaska Sunday afternoon associated with this system, continuing through Monday. Areas across interior Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Valley can expect to see over an inch of rain through this time period. Southwesterly storm force winds of 55 mph will move into Bristol Bay by Sunday afternoon, with strong winds impacting coastal locations from Togiak to Port Heiden, with the possibility for high water levels. Elevated water levels are also expected along the Iliamna River late Sunday into Monday. Please stay tuned for the latest forecast throughout the weekend.
Special weather statement, Aug 28, 12:56 PM AKDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK 1256 PM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 AKZ101-111-121-125-131-135-141-145-300030- Anchorage-Matanuska Valley-Western Kenai Peninsula- Western Prince William Sound-Northeast Prince William Sound- Southeast Prince William Sound-Copper River Basin-Susitna Valley- Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian, Eklutna, Palmer, Wasilla, Sutton, Chickaloon, Kenai, Soldotna, Homer, Cooper Landing, Whittier, Seward, Girdwood, Moose Pass, Valdez, Thompson Pass, Cordova, Glennallen, Eureka, McCarthy, Paxson, Slana, Talkeetna, Willow, and Cantwell 1256 PM AKDT Fri Aug 28 2020 ...WET AND WINDY ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THIS WEEKEND... A couple of weather systems will sweep across Southcentral this weekend bring generally widespread wind and wet conditions. The first culprit will be a weather front which moves north across Southcentral Saturday evening/night. This system will bring gusty easterly gales over the Gulf coast waters with gusty locally driven winds through Turnagain Arm, Knik River Valley, and along the Copper River Saturday afternoon/evening. The brunt of the rain will be along the Gulf Coast. The next system which will be stronger is associated with a rapidly developing storm force low which moves into Bristol Bay late Sunday afternoon. It will bring widespread winds and rain to Southcentral. Winds in the aforementioned areas will strengthen with gusts expected in the 60 mph range along Turnagain Arm and higher elevations Sunday afternoon through evening. Rainfall will be moderate to heavy at times along the Gulf Coast from Kenai Peninsula near Seward to Cordova with up to a couple of inches of rain expected Sunday evening through early Monday. Rivers and streams in the Seward area and Western Susitna Valley (Yentna and Skwentna) will experience elevated water levels beginning Sunday night and continuing into Tuesday. Please stay tuned for forecast updates
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 3:47 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Aug 28, 3:47 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 4 days | |
| Aug 28, 3:47 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 72 hr | |
| Aug 28, 3:49 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Aug 28, 3:49 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 4 days | |
| Aug 28, 11:24 AM AKDT | Coastal Flood Watch | AFC | 31 hr | |
| Aug 28, 3:37 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Aug 28, 3:41 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Aug 28, 3:41 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Aug 28, 3:50 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Aug 28, 3:50 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Aug 28, 3:50 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.