Severe Thunderstorm Warning 53, NWS Tucson, AZ

611 
WWUS55 KTWC 032138
SVSTWC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
238 PM MST Sat Aug 3 2019

AZC003-019-032200-
/O.CON.KTWC.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-190803T2200Z/
Pima-Cochise-
238 PM MST Sat Aug 3 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM MST
FOR EAST CENTRAL PIMA AND WEST CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTIES...

At 238 PM MST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Kartchner
Caverns State Park, or 8 miles southwest of Benson, moving northwest
at 5 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Benson, Kartchner Caverns State Park and Mescal. 

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 10 between mile markers 287 and 301.
 Route 90 between mile markers 292 and 297.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3189 11028 3178 11043 3197 11064 3207 11049
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 138DEG 6KT 3191 11043 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

AH

648 
WWUS55 KTWC 032156
SVSTWC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
256 PM MST Sat Aug 3 2019

AZC003-019-032206-
/O.EXP.KTWC.SV.W.0053.000000T0000Z-190803T2200Z/
Pima-Cochise-
256 PM MST Sat Aug 3 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL PIMA AND WEST
CENTRAL COCHISE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 300 PM MST...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3189 11028 3178 11043 3197 11064 3207 11049
TIME...MOT...LOC 2156Z 138DEG 6KT 3193 11045 

$$

AH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
140 PM MST Sat Aug 3 2019

.SYNOPSIS...The threat of afternoon and evening isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will remain through the weekend
into early next week. In addition to these storms, unseasonably hot
temperatures and increased humidity will make for an uncomfortable
few days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms were
already developing early this afternoon. The air mass remains moist
enough to support heavy downpours and strong wet microburst type
winds through this evening. Small hail not out of the question too.
Otherwise, the pattern remains favorable for daily showers and
thunderstorms this weekend. A slight downturn in the areal coverage
of thunderstorms may evolve early this coming week as the upper high
becomes centered over central and east-central Arizona briefly.
However, models hint at an upswing in shower and thunderstorm
activity by the end of next week as an inverted upper trough
approaches from northern Mexico. Daytime temperatures will remain
several degrees above normal through at least Tuesday before
moderating some the rest of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 05/00Z.
Expect isolated to scattered SHRA/TSRA this afternoon and evening
mainly from central Pima County eastward with SCT-BKN clouds 8-12k
ft, diminishing after sundown. Best chances will be at KOLS and KDUG
terminals. Sfc winds generally out of the northwest 8-12 knots this
afternoon as well as Sunday afternoon becoming variable less than 10
knots overnight.  Expect gusty and erratic winds near any TSRA with
local MVFR CIGS and VSBYS possible. Aviation discussion not updated
for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...The daily cycle of afternoon/evening showers and
thunderstorms will continue through the forecast period. Minimum RH
values remain above 20-25 percent, and overnight recoveries will be
very good. Even with the abundant moisture, temperatures will be
several degrees above normal this weekend into early next week.
Aside from gusty erratic winds from thunderstorm outflows, wind
trends stay light and terrain driven.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
127 PM MST Sat Aug 3 2019

AZZ508-512-032115-
Chiricahua Mountains including Chiricahua National Monument-Eastern
Cochise County Below 5000 Feet including Douglas/Willcox-
127 PM MST Sat Aug 3 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN COCHISE COUNTY UNTIL
215 PM MST...

At 127 PM MST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 19
miles south of Chiricahua National Monument, moving south at 10 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Rucker Canyon.

LAT...LON 3183 10952 3175 10932 3148 10937 3159 10966
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 019DEG 9KT 3173 10946

Carpenter