Alert archive / Kansas / Wind Advisories in 2019
Wind Advisory 5, NWS Topeka, KS
NWS Topeka, KS issued this wind advisory at Mar 13, 2019, 11:14 AM CDT for Jackson County, Jefferson County, Pottawatomie County, Kansas. It took effect at Mar 14, 2019, 1:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 18 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 13, 2019, 11:14 AM CDT (16:14 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 14, 2019, 1:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 14, 2019, 7:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Topeka, KS
Counties Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS
The radar
The Topeka radar (KTWX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 42 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 492 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 311 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 350 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
921 WWUS73 KTOP 131614 NPWTOP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Topeka KS 1114 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 KSZ023-024-026-140200- /O.UPG.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KTOP.WI.Y.0005.190314T1200Z-190315T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T1200Z/ Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson- Including the cities of Wamego, St. Marys, Holton, Valley Falls, Oskaloosa, Perry, McLouth, Grantville, Meriden, and Nortonville 1114 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... The National Weather Service in Topeka has issued a High Wind Warning, which is in effect until 7 AM CDT Thursday. A Wind Advisory remains in effect from 7 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday. * TIMING...Southeast to south winds will strengthen today. A brief lull in the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph are expected late this morning into early this evening. Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph are expected late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ008-140200- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.190314T1200Z-190315T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190314T1200Z/ Republic- Including the city of Belleville 1114 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Southeast to south winds will strengthen today. A brief lull in the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph are expected late this morning into early this evening. Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph are expected late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ021-022-035>040-054>056-058-059-140200- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T1200Z/ /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.190314T1200Z-190315T0000Z/ Clay-Riley-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon- Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson- Including the cities of Clay Center, Manhattan, Abilene, Herington, Junction City, Council Grove, Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista, McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka, Lawrence, Emporia, Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame, Overbrook, Ottawa, Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett 1114 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Southeast to south winds will strengthen today. A brief lull in the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph are expected late this morning into early this evening. Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph are expected late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ020-034-140200- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Cloud-Ottawa- Including the cities of Concordia, Minneapolis, and Bennington 1114 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Southeast to south winds will strengthen today. A brief lull in the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph are expected late this morning into early this evening and again late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ KSZ009>012-140200- /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown- Including the cities of Washington, Hanover, Clifton, Linn, Greenleaf, Marysville, Blue Rapids, Frankfort, Sabetha, Seneca, Hiawatha, and Horton 1114 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Southeast to south winds will strengthen today. A brief lull in the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph are expected late this morning into early this evening and again late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Light and loose outdoor objects will be blown around. Driving could also be difficult, especially on east and west oriented roadways. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ A. Cohen
7 follow-up statements
944 WWUS73 KTOP 131616 NPWTOP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Topeka KS 1116 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 KSZ008-140200- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.190314T1200Z-190315T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190314T1200Z/ Republic- Including the city of Belleville 1116 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Southeast to south winds will strengthen today. A brief lull in the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph are expected late this morning into early this evening. Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph are expected late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ023-024-026-140200- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T1200Z/ /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0005.190314T1200Z-190315T0000Z/ Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson- Including the cities of Wamego, St. Marys, Holton, Valley Falls, Oskaloosa, Perry, McLouth, Grantville, Meriden, and Nortonville 1116 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Southeast to south winds will strengthen today. A brief lull in the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph are expected late this morning into early this evening. Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph are expected late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ021-022-035>040-054>056-058-059-140200- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T1200Z/ /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.190314T1200Z-190315T0000Z/ Clay-Riley-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon- Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson- Including the cities of Clay Center, Manhattan, Abilene, Herington, Junction City, Council Grove, Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista, McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka, Lawrence, Emporia, Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame, Overbrook, Ottawa, Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett 1116 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Southeast to south winds will strengthen today. A brief lull in the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph are expected late this morning into early this evening. Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph are expected late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ020-034-140200- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Cloud-Ottawa- Including the cities of Concordia, Minneapolis, and Bennington 1116 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Southeast to south winds will strengthen today. A brief lull in the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph are expected late this morning into early this evening and again late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ KSZ009>012-140200- /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown- Including the cities of Washington, Hanover, Clifton, Linn, Greenleaf, Marysville, Blue Rapids, Frankfort, Sabetha, Seneca, Hiawatha, and Horton 1116 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Southeast to south winds will strengthen today. A brief lull in the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph are expected late this morning into early this evening and again late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Light and loose outdoor objects will be blown around. Driving could also be difficult, especially on east and west oriented roadways. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ Cohen
379 WWUS73 KTOP 131953 NPWTOP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Topeka KS 253 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 KSZ008-141200- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.190314T1200Z-190315T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190314T1200Z/ Republic- Including the city of Belleville 253 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Strong southeast to south winds will continue into early this evening. A brief break from the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with very strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts to 50 mph are expected into early this evening. Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with occasional gusts to 60 mph are expected late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high-profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ023-024-026-141200- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T1200Z/ /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0005.190314T1200Z-190315T0000Z/ Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson- Including the cities of Wamego, St. Marys, Holton, Valley Falls, Oskaloosa, Perry, McLouth, Grantville, Meriden, and Nortonville 253 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Very strong southeast to south winds will continue into early this evening. A brief break from the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with occasional gusts to 60 mph are expected into early this evening. Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts to 50 mph are expected late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ021-022-035>040-054>056-058-059-141200- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T1200Z/ /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.190314T1200Z-190315T0000Z/ Clay-Riley-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon- Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson- Including the cities of Clay Center, Manhattan, Abilene, Herington, Junction City, Council Grove, Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista, McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka, Lawrence, Emporia, Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame, Overbrook, Ottawa, Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett 253 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Very strong southeast to south winds will continue into early this evening. A brief break from the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with occasional gusts to 60 mph are expected into early this evening. Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts to 50 mph are expected late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ020-034-141200- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Cloud-Ottawa- Including the cities of Concordia, Minneapolis, and Bennington 253 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Very strong southeast to south winds will continue into early this evening. A brief break from the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with very strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with occasional gusts to 60 mph are expected into early this evening. Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with occasional gusts to 60 mph are expected late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ KSZ009>012-141200- /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown- Including the cities of Washington, Hanover, Clifton, Linn, Greenleaf, Marysville, Blue Rapids, Frankfort, Sabetha, Seneca, Hiawatha, and Horton 253 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Strong southeast to south winds will continue into early this evening. A brief break from the strong winds may occur late this evening. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again later tonight while becoming west to northwest, with strong winds continuing into Thursday. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts to 50 mph are expected into early this evening. Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts to 50 mph are expected late tonight into Thursday. * IMPACTS...Light and loose outdoor objects will be blown around. Driving could also be difficult, especially on east and west oriented roadways. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ Cohen
759 WWUS73 KTOP 140449 NPWTOP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Topeka KS 1149 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 KSZ008-150000- /O.EXT.KTOP.HW.W.0002.190314T0600Z-190315T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190314T0600Z/ Republic- Including the city of Belleville 1149 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Strong south to southeast winds will continue this morning into the afternoon. Winds may weaken slightly before becoming west to northwest. Then very strong winds continue most of the day time hours. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts to 50 mph are expected early this morning. Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with occasional gusts to 60 mph are expected at times early this morning then again by midday into the afternoon hours after changing from the northwest. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high-profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ023-024-026-150000- /O.EXT.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KTOP.WI.Y.0005.190314T0600Z-190315T0000Z/ Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson- Including the cities of Wamego, St. Marys, Holton, Valley Falls, Oskaloosa, Perry, McLouth, Grantville, Meriden, and Nortonville 1149 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Strong south to southeast winds will continue this morning into the afternoon. Winds may weaken slightly before becoming west to northwest. Then very strong winds continue most of the day time hours. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with occasional gusts to 60 mph are expected into early this morning. Then, winds should weaken slightly with sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts to 45 mph are expected during the day on Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ021-022-035>040-054>056-058-059-150000- /O.EXT.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.190314T0600Z-190315T0000Z/ Clay-Riley-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon- Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson- Including the cities of Clay Center, Manhattan, Abilene, Herington, Junction City, Council Grove, Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista, McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka, Lawrence, Emporia, Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame, Overbrook, Ottawa, Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett 1149 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT THURSDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Very strong southeast to south winds will continue early this morning. Winds will begin to weaken slightly overnight. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again during the mid morning hours from the west to northwest and continue into the afternoon. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with occasional gusts to 60 mph are expected into early this morning. Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts to 45 mph are expected during the day Thursday. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ020-034-150000- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Cloud-Ottawa- Including the cities of Concordia, Minneapolis, and Bennington 1149 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Strong south to southeast winds will continue this morning into the afternoon. Winds may weaken slightly before becoming west to northwest. Then very strong winds continue most of the day time hours. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts to 50 mph are expected early this morning. Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with occasional gusts to 60 mph are expected at times early this morning then again by midday into the afternoon hours after changing from the northwest. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high profile vehicles. Winds this strong may cause structural and property damage especially to roofs. Be sure to secure all outdoor property. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ KSZ009>012-150000- /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown- Including the cities of Washington, Hanover, Clifton, Linn, Greenleaf, Marysville, Blue Rapids, Frankfort, Sabetha, Seneca, Hiawatha, and Horton 1149 PM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY... * TIMING...Very strong southeast to south winds will continue early this morning. Winds will begin to weaken slightly overnight. Winds are forecast to strengthen once again during the mid morning hours from the west to northwest and continue into the afternoon. * Winds...Sustained winds of 25 to 40 mph with occasional gusts to 50 mph are expected into early this morning. Sustained winds of 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts to 45 mph are expected during the day Thursday. * IMPACTS...Light and loose outdoor objects will be blown around. Driving could also be difficult, especially on east and west oriented roadways. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$
855 WWUS73 KTOP 140608 NPWTOP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Topeka KS 108 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 KSZ023-024-026-141415- /O.EXP.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T0600Z/ /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson- Including the cities of Wamego, St. Marys, Holton, Valley Falls, Oskaloosa, Perry, McLouth, Grantville, Meriden, and Nortonville 108 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED... * TIMING...Strong winds will continue through the morning and early afternoon hours. * Winds...Southwesterly winds will gradually become west and northwesterly this morning with sustained speeds of 35 to 30 MPh and gusts up to 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...Driving will be difficult for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ021-022-035>040-054>056-058-059-141415- /O.EXP.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190314T0600Z/ /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Clay-Riley-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon- Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson- Including the cities of Clay Center, Manhattan, Abilene, Herington, Junction City, Council Grove, Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista, McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka, Lawrence, Emporia, Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame, Overbrook, Ottawa, Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett 108 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED... * TIMING...Strong winds will continue through the morning and early afternoon hours. * Winds...Southwesterly winds will gradually become west and northwesterly this morning with sustained speeds of 35 to 30 MPh and gusts up to 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...Driving will be difficult for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ008-141415- /O.EXP.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190314T0600Z/ /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Republic- Including the city of Belleville 108 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... * TIMING...Strong winds will continues through this afternoon. * Winds...Southwest winds will eventually become west and northwesterly with sustained speeds of 35 to 40 MPH and gusts up to 60 MPH. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high-profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ KSZ020-034-141415- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Cloud-Ottawa- Including the cities of Concordia, Minneapolis, and Bennington 108 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * TIMING...Strong winds will continues through this afternoon. * Winds...Southwest winds will eventually become west and northwesterly with sustained speeds of 35 to 40 MPH and gusts up to 60 MPH. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high-profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ KSZ009>012-141415- /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown- Including the cities of Washington, Hanover, Clifton, Linn, Greenleaf, Marysville, Blue Rapids, Frankfort, Sabetha, Seneca, Hiawatha, and Horton 108 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * TIMING...Strong winds will continue into the afternoon hours today. * Winds...Southwest winds will eventually become west and northwest through the morning with sustained speeds of 25 to 30 MPh and gusts up to 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...Driving high profile vehicles will be difficult. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ Wolters
018 WWUS73 KTOP 140830 NPWTOP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Topeka KS 330 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 KSZ008-020-034-142100- /O.CON.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Republic-Cloud-Ottawa- Including the cities of Belleville, Concordia, Minneapolis, and Bennington 330 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * TIMING...Strong winds will continue through this afternoon. * Winds...Southwest winds will eventually become west and northwesterly with sustained speeds of 35 to 40 MPH and gusts up to 60 MPH. * IMPACTS...Driving will be hazardous especially for those traveling in high-profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. && $$ KSZ023-024-026-142100- /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson- Including the cities of Wamego, St. Marys, Holton, Valley Falls, Oskaloosa, Perry, McLouth, Grantville, Meriden, and Nortonville 330 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * TIMING...Strong winds will continue through the morning and early afternoon hours. * Winds...Southwesterly winds will gradually become west and northwesterly this morning with sustained speeds of 30 to 35 MPh and gusts up to 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...Driving will be difficult for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ009>012-021-022-035>040-054>056-058-059-142100- /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Clay-Riley-Dickinson-Geary- Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey- Anderson- Including the cities of Washington, Hanover, Clifton, Linn, Greenleaf, Marysville, Blue Rapids, Frankfort, Sabetha, Seneca, Hiawatha, Horton, Clay Center, Manhattan, Abilene, Herington, Junction City, Council Grove, Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista, McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka, Lawrence, Emporia, Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame, Overbrook, Ottawa, Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett 330 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * TIMING...Strong winds will continue into the afternoon hours today. * Winds...Southwest winds will eventually become west and northwest through the morning with sustained speeds of 25 to 30 MPH and gusts up to 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...Driving high profile vehicles will be difficult. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$
292 WWUS73 KTOP 141951 NPWTOP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Topeka KS 251 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 KSZ008-020-034-150000- /O.CAN.KTOP.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ /O.EXA.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Republic-Cloud-Ottawa- Including the cities of Belleville, Concordia, Minneapolis, and Bennington 251 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... The National Weather Service in Topeka has issued a Wind Advisory, which is in effect until 7 PM CDT this evening. The High Wind Warning has been cancelled. * TIMING...Strong winds will continue into the evening hours today. * Winds...Northwest winds sustained between 20 and 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * IMPACTS...Driving high profile vehicles will be difficult. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. A Wind Advisory means that sustained winds from 30 to 39 mph and/or gusts from 45 to 57 mph are likely. Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ023-024-026-150000- /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson- Including the cities of Wamego, St. Marys, Holton, Valley Falls, Oskaloosa, Perry, McLouth, Grantville, Meriden, and Nortonville 251 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * TIMING...Strong winds will continue into the evening hours today. * Winds...Northwest winds sustained between 15 and 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * IMPACTS...Driving high profile vehicles will be difficult. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$ KSZ009>012-021-022-035>040-054>056-058-059-150000- /O.CON.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Clay-Riley-Dickinson-Geary- Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey- Anderson- Including the cities of Washington, Hanover, Clifton, Linn, Greenleaf, Marysville, Blue Rapids, Frankfort, Sabetha, Seneca, Hiawatha, Horton, Clay Center, Manhattan, Abilene, Herington, Junction City, Council Grove, Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista, McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka, Lawrence, Emporia, Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame, Overbrook, Ottawa, Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett 251 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... * TIMING...Strong winds will continue into the evening hours today. * Winds...Northwest winds sustained between 15 and 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * IMPACTS...Driving high profile vehicles will be difficult. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Steps should be taken to secure any lawn furniture or light weight objects and use extra caution when driving. && $$
242 WWUS73 KTOP 142353 NPWTOP URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Topeka KS 653 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 KSZ023-024-026-150100- /O.EXP.KTOP.WI.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson- Including the cities of Wamego, St. Marys, Holton, Valley Falls, Oskaloosa, Perry, McLouth, Grantville, Meriden, and Nortonville 653 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... As the main storm system responsible for the strong gusty winds continues to move away from the region, the overall strength of both sustained winds and wind gusts has trended down. Expect this to continue through the evening. Therefore, will allow the wind advisory to expire at 7 PM. $$ KSZ008>012-020>022-034>040-054>056-058-059-150100- /O.EXP.KTOP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190315T0000Z/ Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-Ottawa- Dickinson-Geary-Morris-Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage- Franklin-Coffey-Anderson- Including the cities of Belleville, Washington, Hanover, Clifton, Linn, Greenleaf, Marysville, Blue Rapids, Frankfort, Sabetha, Seneca, Hiawatha, Horton, Concordia, Clay Center, Manhattan, Minneapolis, Bennington, Abilene, Herington, Junction City, Council Grove, Alma, Eskridge, Maple Hill, Alta Vista, McFarland, Harveyville, Paxico, Topeka, Lawrence, Emporia, Osage City, Carbondale, Lyndon, Burlingame, Overbrook, Ottawa, Burlington, Lebo, and Garnett 653 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... As the main storm system responsible for the strong gusty winds continues to move away from the region, the overall strength of both sustained winds and wind gusts has trended down. Expect this to continue through the evening. Therefore, will allow the wind advisory to expire at 7 PM. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 13, 9:48 AM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 13, 9:48 AM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Topeka KS 948 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 .MESOSCALE DISCUSSION... Issued at 932 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 The back edge of an arching stratiform-precipitation shield from north-central Kansas to southeast Kansas has sharpened, as the impinging dry slot accompanying a deep extratropical cyclone continues coiling around the eastern semicircle of the cyclone. This observational trend suggests that the vertical circulation accompanying the larger precipitation shield is augmenting downward motion amid the dry slot comprised of trajectories with a history of subsidence. These factors will facilitate efficient downward momentum transport amid 50-55 kt winds in the lowest few thousand feet above ground per forecast soundings and VWP data. Any shallow convective structures boosted by diurnally steepened low-level lapse rates behind the back edge of the stratiform precipitation later today may also promote downward momentum transport. As a result, confidence has increased in potentially damaging winds, including localized/brief wind gusts to 60 mph, occurring within a High Wind Warning recently posted for areas along and south of a Concordia to Topeka to Lawrence line for today into this evening. A Wind Advisory is in effect for locations farther north. These highlights remain in effect through 7 AM Thursday. Thereafter, the High Wind Warning area becomes confined to Republic, Cloud, and Ottawa Counties with a Wind Advisory elsewhere -- in effect through 7 PM Thursday. The strongest winds will be somewhat intermittent -- especially in association with any convective enhancements -- with a lull in wind speeds expected late this evening, before cold advection overtakes the region and reinforces the strong winds. && .SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight) Issued at 347 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 The 07Z water vapor imagery showed the upper low over northwest NM. the upper level difluence associated with the low was pretty evident on water vapor as it lifts into the plains. At the surface, low pressure was deepening over southeast CO with the warm sector having advected into southern NEB. For today and tonight, there is good agreement in the overall pattern. As forcing and vertical motion increase, showers and thunderstorms are expected to overspread the forecast area through the morning. Then as the dry slot works its way into northeast KS, the shower activity should move to the east and north of the forecast area. The one exception is the potential for redevelopment of storms over north central KS during the afternoon. Models show some surface based instability working into the area under the upper low. With steep lapse rates, storms could develop within the moisture axis along the occluded front. Given the strong wind fields, there is some potential for severe weather if storms do develop. Am a little concerned for some low top supercell storms along the boundary. 0-6 km hodographs show a favorable wind profile for rotating updrafts, and it is not out of the question there could be some potential for tornadoes too as models show 0-1km helicity increasing late in the afternoon to as much as 400 m2/s2. Some wrap around precip may linger through the night across northern KS, but the severe threat should wane as the boundary layer cools and eventually cold air advection increases. Since most of the heavier precip is anticipated through the day today, there are no plans to change the flood watch. There are numerous forecast points that could go into flood. It is just a matter of waiting to see if the QPF materializes as forecast. Models develop a strong pressure gradient through the day and into this evening, and except for near the surface low, this pressure gradient is progged to remain strong well into the evening. Forecast soundings momentum transfer even show the potential for mixing winds of 40 to 50 MPH to the surface. So will extend the wind advisory through the night. Winds may subside below advisory criteria after midnight, but with winds likely to strengthen Thursday opted not to get to cute and just maintain the advisory through the night. There have not been any big changes to the temp forecast for today or tonight. Models show 925MB temps increasing to around 14C This would support highs in the lower and middle 60s. If it wasn't for the cloud cover and question in how much clearing there may be, I might have bumped highs up a couple more degrees. Lows tonight are expected to fall into the mid 30s and lower 40s. Strong mixing of the boundary layer should keep temps from falling to dramatically as the magnitude of the cold air advection appears to be rather low. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 347 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 Winds will remain very strong through Thursday as a result of tightly packed isobars on the western side of the departing low pressure system. Northwest winds are expected to be sustained between 30 and 40 mph with gusts as high as 50 mph possible in north- central KS. Thus a High Wind Warning has been issued for Republic, Cloud and Ottawa Counties from 12Z Thursday through 00Z Friday. Across the rest of the forecast area, northwest winds are expected to be sustained between 25 and 35 mph with gusts as high as 40 mph. Thus, a Wind Advisory will remain in effect throughout the day Thursday. Additionally, cold air advection will occur Thursday as the storm system moves quickly toward the Great Lakes region. Temperatures at the 850 mb and 925 mb levels will drop to below freezing, however, temperatures at the surface should remain above freezing throughout the day. Light wrap-around precipitation is possible throughout northeastern KS during the day. Given the low level temperature profile, light snow or a light rain/snow mix will be possible but no snow accumulations are expected. The majority of the rest of the extended forecast time period looks fairly quiet. A surface ridge will slide into the region from the north on Friday. The drier airmass will allow clouds to clear. Winds will be light with high pressure in control and temperatures are expected to be a bit below average with highs in the mid 40s. A quick moving shortwave trough will ride through the upper flow near the Great Lakes and will allow a cold front to move through northeast KS. A dry fropa is expected due to a lack of moisture and forcing. The next chance for precipitation will be on Tuesday of next week with some long range model solutions showing another system near the Great Lakes. && .AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning) Issued at 547 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 The big concern is the winds over the next 24 hours with a very deep surface low passing to the west of the terminals. Showers and thunderstorms will move through this morning, and the CAMs were used to try and time the start and end of precip. Expect the winds to strengthen by mid morning and remain gusty through 12Z Thursday. Models show a very strong low level jet once again tonight. But forecast soundings keep the boundary layer mixed and do not develop an inversion. So confidence in LLWS redeveloping tonight is not high enough to include in the forecast. && .TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ009>012-023-024-026. Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ008>011-020>023- 034>036. High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ020-034. High Wind Warning from 7 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ008. Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT Thursday for KSZ008. High Wind Warning until 7 AM CDT Thursday for KSZ021-022-035>040- 054>056-058-059. Wind Advisory from 7 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ021-022- 035>040-054>056-058-059. && MESOSCALE...Cohen SHORT TERM...Wolters LONG TERM...Teefey AVIATION...Wolters
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 13, 11:01 AM CDT, 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Topeka KS 1101 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-141615- Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley- Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris- Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson- 1101 AM CDT Wed Mar 13 2019 This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north central and northeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. There is a low chance that a few thunderstorms develop this afternoon across north-central Kansas, generally along and north of a line from Concordia to Manhattan, and especially in proximity to the Kansas-Nebraska border. If sustained thunderstorms were to develop, the risk for damaging winds, hail to quarter size, and perhaps a tornado would exist. Ultimately, there is considerable uncertainty regarding thunderstorm development, and it is entirely possible that no severe thunderstorms occur at all. A Flood Watch is in effect through late this afternoon along and west of a line from Abilene to Seneca. A High Wind Warning is in effect through tonight along and south of a Concordia to Topeka to Lawrence line, with a Wind Advisory in effect for locations farther north. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. A High Wind Warning is in effect for Thursday for Republic, Cloud, and Ottawa Counties, with a Wind Advisory in effect for the remainder of the outlook area. The strong winds could combine with light snow on Thursday near the Kansas-Nebraska border to produce locally reduced visibilities. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may become necessary this afternoon for locations along and north of a line from Concordia to Manhattan. && More detailed information can be accessed at... http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep A Cohen
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 13, 7:42 AM CDT, 3 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
742 AM CDT WED MAR 13 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN COLONY 38.07N 95.36W
03/13/2019 M1.85 INCH ANDERSON KS CO-OP OBSERVER
CO-OP OBSERVER STATION CNYK1, COLONY.
&&
JWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 9:46 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Marshall | 34 hr |
| Mar 12, 9:46 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Marshall | 3 days |
| Mar 12, 10:48 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TOP | Ottawa | 27 min |
| Mar 13, 12:08 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TOP | Washington | 37 min |
| Mar 13, 12:33 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Washington | 42 hr |
| Mar 13, 4:01 AM CDT | High Wind Warning | TOP | Anderson, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson, Douglas and 13 more | 35 hr |
| Mar 13, 9:22 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | TOP | Cloud | 59 hr |
| Mar 13, 4:03 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TOP | Republic | 12 min |
| Mar 13, 5:18 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TOP | Marshall | 42 min |
| Mar 13, 5:33 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TOP | Marshall | 27 min |
| Mar 13, 5:43 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TOP | Nemaha | 32 min |
| Mar 13, 5:53 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | TOP | Marshall | 22 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.