Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 694

November 26, 201935 counties in Arkansas; 7 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 26, 2019, 4:41 PM CST for 35 counties in Arkansas; 7 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 26, 2019, 4:41 PM CST (22:41 UTC)
Expired
Nov 26, 2019, 10:00 PM CST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 42 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Butler County, MO, Carter County, MO, Howell County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
40%

Warnings issued inside it

1 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 26, 7:14 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKArkansas, Jefferson, Lincoln14 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2019-11-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2019-11-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 263 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
689 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
263 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
256 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

974 
WWUS20 KWNS 262239
SEL4  
SPC WW 262239
ARZ000-MOZ000-270400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 694
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
440 PM CST Tue Nov 26 2019

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northern and central Arkansas
  Southeast Missouri

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 440 PM until
  1000 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible

SUMMARY...A few supercells may persist this evening amid strong
shear but weak instability, yielding a risk for a couple brief
tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles east southeast of Pine Bluff
AR to 40 miles west northwest of Poplar Bluff MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 693...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 350. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 26, 3:04 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 26 more116 min
Nov 26, 3:42 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland, Desha and 3 more6 hr
Nov 26, 4:27 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 25 more63 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2019Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.