Alert archive / Arkansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 2157

November 26, 201931 counties in Arkansas; 11 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 26, 2019, 4:27 PM CST for 31 counties in Arkansas; 11 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 63 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 26, 2019, 4:27 PM CST (22:27 UTC)
Expired
Nov 26, 2019, 5:30 PM CST
In force
63 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 42 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Cross County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Greene County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Perry County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Yell County, AR, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Howell County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 183 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2019-11-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2019-11-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 263 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
689 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
263 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
256 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 26, 3:04 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Clark and 26 more116 min
Nov 26, 3:42 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland, Desha and 3 more6 hr
Nov 26, 4:41 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead and 29 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.