Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Tornado Watches in 2019

Tornado Watch 292

May 29, 2019New Castle County, Delaware; 10 counties in New Jersey; 40 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 29, 2019, 1:10 PM EDT for New Castle County, Delaware; 10 counties in New Jersey; 40 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2019, 1:10 PM EDT (17:10 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2019, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 51 counties

New Castle County, DE, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Berks County, PA, Blair County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Centre County, PA, Chester County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Elk County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

78 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 1:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair, Cambria, Huntingdon33 min
May 29, 1:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton34 min
May 29, 1:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Clinton, Elk, Potter49 min
May 29, 2:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLycoming, Potter, Tioga45 min
May 29, 2:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClinton, Lycoming, Northumberland, Union51 min
May 29, 2:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton, Elk, Lycoming49 min
May 29, 2:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Bucks, Lehigh, Montgomery, Northampton60 min
May 29, 2:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCambria, Clearfield58 min
May 29, 2:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Northumberland, Schuylkill52 min
May 29, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLuzerne49 min
May 29, 2:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair, Huntingdon47 min
May 29, 2:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia32 min
May 29, 2:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Montour60 min
May 29, 2:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPJuniata, Mifflin, Snyder43 min
May 29, 2:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Luzerne24 min
May 29, 2:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Franklin, York51 min
May 29, 2:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Monroe46 min
May 29, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren65 min
May 29, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair, Cambria, Centre, Clearfield, Huntingdon39 min
May 29, 3:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia34 min
May 29, 3:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton, Lycoming, Sullivan44 min
May 29, 3:17 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIBucks, Lehigh28 min
May 29, 3:19 PM EDTTornado WarningBGMLuzerne26 min
May 29, 3:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPHuntingdon, Mifflin26 min
May 29, 3:19 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPSullivan26 min
May 29, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSchuylkill19 min
May 29, 3:29 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPColumbia, Schuylkill31 min
May 29, 3:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Monroe, Northampton46 min
May 29, 3:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Lehigh, Monroe, Northampton46 min
May 29, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair, Centre, Huntingdon, Mifflin60 min
May 29, 3:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLebanon29 min
May 29, 3:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLuzerne33 min
May 29, 3:38 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIHunterdon37 min
May 29, 3:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Sullivan, Union35 min
May 29, 3:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCambria, Somerset49 min
May 29, 3:43 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHISussex, Warren4 hr
May 29, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHISussex, Warren47 min
May 29, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Lehigh62 min
May 29, 3:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPJuniata, Perry58 min
May 29, 3:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin, Lebanon, Schuylkill37 min
May 29, 3:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPJuniata, Mifflin, Perry, Snyder32 min
May 29, 4:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Somerset41 min
May 29, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBedford39 min
May 29, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Montour, Northumberland, Schuylkill, Union39 min
May 29, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIWarren51 min
May 29, 4:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren47 min
May 29, 4:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIWarren27 min
May 29, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Luzerne, Pike, Wayne42 min
May 29, 4:18 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Perry16 min
May 29, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Bucks, Chester, Lehigh, Montgomery, Northampton42 min
May 29, 4:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSomerset36 min
May 29, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Dauphin, Lebanon, Northumberland, Schuylkill61 min
May 29, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPFranklin, Fulton, Huntingdon45 min
May 29, 4:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Perry, York54 min
May 29, 4:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean53 min
May 29, 4:38 PM EDTTornado WarningBGMLuzerne12 min
May 29, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICarbon, Lehigh, Monroe, Northampton48 min
May 29, 4:48 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBGMLuzerne61 min
May 29, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Carbon, Chester, Lehigh, Montgomery, Northampton40 min
May 29, 4:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer67 min
May 29, 4:55 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIBerks, Bucks, Chester, Lehigh, Montgomery4 hr
May 29, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Franklin, Juniata, Perry, York47 min
May 29, 5:08 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIBucks, Montgomery27 min
May 29, 5:14 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Sussex, Warren3 hr
May 29, 5:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Sussex, Warren34 min
May 29, 5:27 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset4 hr
May 29, 5:33 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIBurlington, Mercer, Monmouth27 min
May 29, 5:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean and 1 more66 min
May 29, 5:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York66 min
May 29, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHINew Castle41 min
May 29, 6:06 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIBurlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean4 hr
May 29, 6:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington24 min
May 29, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, New Castle34 min
May 29, 6:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHINew Castle53 min
May 29, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Ocean61 min
May 29, 6:35 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHINew Castle3 hr
May 29, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem52 min
May 29, 7:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Ocean42 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2019-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 292 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2019-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
292 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-123 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1463 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 8:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle113 min
May 29, 3:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNew Castle118 min
May 28, 9:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEssex, Hudson, Morris, Union89 min
May 29, 12:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex and 3 more84 min
May 29, 12:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Clarion, Fayette and 9 more6 hr
May 29, 3:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Fayette, Greene, Somerset, Washington, Westmoreland118 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2019Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2019Tornado Watches in Delaware, 2019Every tornado watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.