Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 652

September 13, 20197 counties in Indiana; 14 counties in Michigan; 18 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 13, 2019, 2:45 PM EDT for 7 counties in Indiana; 14 counties in Michigan; 18 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 13, 2019, 2:45 PM EDT (18:45 UTC)
Expired
Sep 13, 2019, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, Wells County, IN, Genesee County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Huron County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Sanilac County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Allen County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Erie County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Henry County, OH, Huron County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 13, 2:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLenawee, Washtenaw35 min
Sep 13, 3:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston, Oakland59 min
Sep 13, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen27 min
Sep 13, 3:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMonroe, Wayne39 min
Sep 13, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDefiance, Henry, Paulding39 min
Sep 13, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLELucas, Wood50 min
Sep 13, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXFulton, Henry20 min
Sep 13, 4:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEWood67 min
Sep 13, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, Putnam, Van Wert23 min
Sep 13, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEErie, Lucas, Ottawa, Sandusky57 min
Sep 13, 5:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEHancock, Seneca, Wood26 min
Sep 13, 7:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLEErie, Lorain42 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2019-09-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 95 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2019-09-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 362 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
95 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-196 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
576 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
362 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
373 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 13, 2:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen84 min
Sep 13, 7:16 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJay, Randolph89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2019Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2019Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2019Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.