Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 515

May 3, 2019Fort Bend County, Harris County, Waller County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 3, 2019, 12:20 PM CDT for Fort Bend County, Harris County, Waller County, Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2019, 12:20 PM CDT (17:20 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2019, 2:45 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%

Counties Fort Bend County, TX, Harris County, TX, Waller County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 230 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2019-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 859 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2019-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
859 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-68 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
745 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 10:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Dimmit, Kinney, Maverick, Terrell, Val Verde and 2 more2 hr
May 3, 5:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Cameron, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Kenedy, Kleberg and 3 more60 min
May 3, 6:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrooks, Cameron, Duval, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Jim Wells and 8 more5 hr
May 3, 7:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColorado, DeWitt, Fayette, Lavaca66 min
May 3, 9:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Cameron, Duval, Hidalgo, Jim Wells, Kenedy and 4 more16 min
May 3, 1:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Bailey, Brewster, Cochran, Crane, Dawson and 15 more3 hr
May 3, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrews, Bailey, Borden, Brewster, Castro, Cochran and 25 more6 hr
May 3, 4:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Dimmit and 16 more67 min
May 3, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 31 more6 hr
May 3, 5:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Bailey, Cochran, Crane, Dawson, Ector and 10 more92 min
May 3, 6:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell and 16 more57 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.