Alert archive / Minnesota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2019

Mesoscale Discussion 1513

July 17, 201916 counties in Iowa; 18 counties in Minnesota; La Crosse County, Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 17, 2019, 10:43 PM CDT for 16 counties in Iowa; 18 counties in Minnesota; La Crosse County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2019, 10:43 PM CDT (03:43 UTC)
Expired
Jul 18, 2019, 12:45 AM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 35 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Howard County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Blue Earth County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Houston County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Mower County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Steele County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Winona County, MN, La Crosse County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2019-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 353 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2019-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 86 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
353 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-324 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1188 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 4:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon66 min
Jul 18, 5:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCerro Gordo, Dickinson, Emmet, Hancock, Kossuth, Lyon and 4 more4 hr
Jul 18, 12:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Florence, Iron, Vilas3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2019Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2019Every mesoscale discussion in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.