Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 259, NWS Springfield, MO

July 21, 2019Bourbon County, Kansas

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 21, 2019, 7:05 PM CDT for Bourbon County, Kansas. It was in force for 40 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2019, 7:05 PM CDT (00:05 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2019, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Bourbon County, KS

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 21, 5:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2019-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1339 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2019-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 33 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1339 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1553 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 21, 6:14 PM CDT, 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 21, 6:14 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
614 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2019

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 157 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2019

Most of the Missouri Ozarks and southeastern Kansas are
experiencing one final day of heat and humidity. All locations
are in the upper 80s and lower 90s. There is some variance to dew
points due to an outflow boundary which is moving southwest across
the area. South of a Nevada to Bolivar to Willow Springs line,
dew points are in the lower to even middle 70s. This is resulting
in heat indices between 95 and 108 degrees. North of that
boundary, dew points are around 70 degrees with heat indices
between 93 and 102 degrees.

As we get into late this afternoon and early this evening, widely
scattered thunderstorms will be possible along that boundary.
Coverage will remain limited due to the presence of a dry air mass
in the middle and upper portions of the atmosphere. Locally gusty
winds will be possible if any of these storms do develop.

Much better chances for storms will spread southeast across the
area later tonight as a much welcome cold front approaches. We are
generally looking at these storms pushing into southeastern
Kansas and west-central Missouri sometime in the 9 to 11 PM time
frame. These storms will then spread southeast across the
remainder of the area overnight.

Damaging wind gusts will be possible with these storms, mainly
across southeastern Kansas and west-central Missouri in the
vicinity of an SPC Slight Risk for severe storms. We will also
have to monitor the potential for flash flooding given a rather
moist air mass in place. HREF ensembles do indicate some potential
for localized 2 to 4" amounts. We will have to closely watch
locations where convection trains. One prospect for training
could be that outflow boundary.

Rain showers and a few thunderstorms will then persist into
Monday morning as that front pushes southeast across southern
Missouri. We could even see some pockets of drizzle behind the
front with a low cloud deck. We went slightly below the model mean
for high temperatures Monday due to cool air advection and
morning/early afternoon cloud cover. Highs should only warm into
the upper 70s and lower 80s with much drier dew points also
beginning to advect into the region.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 157 PM CDT Sun Jul 21 2019

Surface high pressure will slowly build southeast towards the
region before finally settling over the Missouri Ozarks by
Wednesday. Dry weather and below normal temperatures can be
expected with highs ranging from the upper 70s to middle 80s.
Lows will range from the upper 50s to middle 60s.

We will see a slight warming trend towards the end of the week as
weak height rises overspread the area. Highs are expected to
creep back up into the middle and upper 80s by Saturday. We are
seeing no signals for precipitation through the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports will
need to monitor radar trends for thunderstorm impacts tonight and
into Monday morning.

An upper level disturbance has already forced thunderstorms to
develop across eastern Kansas and western Missouri. This activity
will become more numerous as the disturbance spreads across the
Ozarks this evening and through the overnight hours.

There is a damaging wind risk with some of the more intense storms
tonight, along with excessive rainfall.

Otherwise, if storms are not directly impacting an airfield, VFR
conditions are expected. Flight conditions will drop if storms and
precipitation does impact an airfield.

Safe travels.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Schaumann
LONG TERM...Schaumann
AVIATION...Cramer
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 21, 4:10 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 8:02 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchSGFBarry, Barton, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Dent and 19 more11 hr
Jul 21, 8:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFBarton46 min
Jul 21, 9:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Jasper, Newton67 min
Jul 21, 10:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFMcDonald41 min
Jul 21, 11:51 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFHickory39 min
Jul 22, 12:46 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFCamden, Laclede59 min
Jul 22, 1:23 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Hickory, Laclede6 hr
Jul 22, 1:58 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDent, Phelps, Pulaski, Shannon, Texas6 hr
Jul 22, 2:04 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFPhelps, Pulaski56 min
Jul 22, 4:39 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFMaries, Phelps6 hr
Jul 22, 6:11 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Dent, Hickory, Laclede, Phelps and 4 more10 hr
Jul 21, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon, Crawford62 min
Jul 21, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.