Alert archive / Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 9, NWS Blacksburg, VA

February 23, 2019Roanoke County, City of Roanoke, City of Salem, Virginia

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this river flood warning at Feb 23, 2019, 8:32 AM EST for Roanoke County, City of Roanoke, City of Salem, Virginia. It took effect at Feb 23, 2019, 3:31 PM EST. It was in force for 15 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 23, 2019, 8:32 AM EST (13:32 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 23, 2019, 3:31 PM EST
Expired
Feb 24, 2019, 6:52 AM EST
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, Roanoke County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Roanoke River at Roanoke (RONV2). The gauge peaked at 9.38 ft at Feb 23, 2019, 9:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderate68101202/2302/2402/25
Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
12 ft
Major stage
16 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02055000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

220 
WGUS41 KRNK 231332
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
832 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...The National Weather Service Blacksburg Va has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Virginia...

  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties


Over an inch of rain since Friday, along with another one to
one and a half inches of rain through tonight will cause 
minor flooding along the Roanoke River at Roanoke.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC161-770-775-240131-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0009.190223T2031Z-190225T0230Z/
/RONV2.1.ER.190223T2031Z.190224T0600Z.190224T1430Z.NO/
832 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke
* from this afternoon until Sunday evening
* At 08AM Saturday the stage was 7.9 feet and rising.
* Flood Stage is 10.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 

* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 11.5 feet by after midnight tonight. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Flooding occurs in portions of Wasena 
  Park.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4 
  feet on Sep 17 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$
3 follow-up statements
133 
WGUS81 KRNK 231535
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1035 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia..
  James River At Buchanan affecting Botetourt County 
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski and City of 
  Radford Counties 
  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles...Mercer...Monroe and 
  Summers Counties 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 
  Clinch River Near Richlands affecting Tazewell County 


 One to one and a half inches of rain has fallen across much of the
 area since Friday. Another half to one and a half inches is expected
 through tonight. This is going to cause minor to moderate flooding
 on several river basins.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by late this afternoon.

&&

VAC023-232334-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0012.190224T0800Z-190225T1408Z/
/BNNV2.1.ER.190224T0800Z.190224T1800Z.190225T0208Z.NO/
1035 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

the Flood Warning continues for
  the James River At Buchanan.
* from early tomorrow until Monday morning
* at 09AM Saturday the stage was 14.3 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Sunday and continue 
  to rise to near 17.9 feet by Sunday afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...Right bank above gage and flats above town
  on left bank are inundated. Mostly agricultural lands affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 18.1 
  feet on Apr 17 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3748 7968 3751 7976 3765 7950 3760 7936
          3753 7938 3754 7940         

$$

VAC121-155-750-232334-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0010.190224T0130Z-190225T1117Z/
/RDFV2.2.ER.190224T0130Z.190224T1200Z.190225T0517Z.NO/
1035 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* from this evening until Monday morning
* at 10AM Saturday the stage was 7.9 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 17.0 feet by Sunday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Monday morning.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...All of Dedman Center lower parking lots 
  are flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 16.3 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-232334-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0011.190224T0812Z-190225T1905Z/
/GLLV2.2.ER.190224T0812Z.190224T1800Z.190225T0705Z.NO/
1035 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* from early tomorrow until Monday afternoon
* at 09AM Saturday the stage was 10.6 feet and slowly rising.

* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Sunday and continue 
  to rise to near 16.6 feet by Sunday afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Monday morning.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...Some campsites along the river are 
  affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 15.6 
  feet on Apr 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8065 3733 8082 3746 8097 3754 8078
          3742 8072 3727 8053         

$$

VAC161-770-775-232334-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0009.190223T2031Z-190225T0230Z/
/RONV2.1.ER.190223T2031Z.190224T0600Z.190224T1430Z.NO/
1035 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* from late this afternoon until Sunday evening
* at 10AM Saturday the stage was 8.1 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 11.5 feet by after midnight tonight. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Flooding occurs in portions of Wasena 
  Park.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4 
  feet on Sep 17 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC037-083-232334-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.190224T1400Z-190227T0417Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.190224T1400Z.190225T1800Z.190226T1617Z.NO/
1035 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* from tomorrow late morning until Tuesday evening
* at 09AM Saturday the stage was 22.8 feet and rising slowly.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 25.8 feet by Monday afternoon. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of 
  river road and black walnut road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.1 
  feet on Dec 17 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-232334-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0006.190224T0423Z-190225T1620Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.190224T0423Z.190224T1200Z.190225T0420Z.UU/
1035 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* from tonight until Monday morning
* at 09AM Saturday the stage was 11.6 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 19.8 feet by Sunday morning. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 19.6 
  feet on Dec 29 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-232334-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0007.190224T1600Z-190226T1012Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.190224T1600Z.190225T0600Z.190225T2212Z.NO/
1035 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* from tomorrow late morning until late Monday night
* at 09AM Saturday the stage was 13.3 feet and steady.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 21.6 feet by early Monday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Impact...at 20.0 feet...Low-lying pasture/agricultural lands are 
  flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 22.3 
  feet on Dec 30 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-232334-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190227T0736Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.190224T0051Z.190225T1800Z.190226T1936Z.NO/
1035 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* from this evening until late Tuesday night
* at 10AM Saturday the stage was 18.0 feet and steady.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 24.7 feet by Monday afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Tuesday afternoon.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.3 
  feet on Dec 31 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

VAC185-232334-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0008.190224T0000Z-190225T0409Z/
/RLRV2.1.ER.190224T0000Z.190224T0600Z.190224T1609Z.NO/
1035 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Clinch River Near Richlands.
* from this evening until Sunday evening
* at 09AM Saturday the stage was 7.1 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 12.1 feet by after midnight tonight. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Flooding affects several low-lying roads 
  downstream near Raven.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 
  feet on Mar 5 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3705 8182 3711 8189 3720 8154 3713 8146
          3704 8171                   

$$
327 
WGUS81 KRNK 240106
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
806 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...Charlotte
  and Halifax Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 

Slight changes to the forecast have been made on the Roanoke River
but minor flooding is still expected at Roanoke and further 
downstream on the Roanoke (Staunton) River. Rainfall over the
past 48 hours has ranged from 2 to 2.5 inches across much of the basin
and additional rain of up to a half-inch is possible overnight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

The next scheduled statement will be issued by tomorrow morning.

&&

VAC161-770-775-240906-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190224T1930Z/
/RONV2.1.ER.190224T0515Z.190224T0600Z.190224T0730Z.NO/
806 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* from after midnight until Sunday afternoon
* at 07PM Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage just after midnight tonight and 
  crest near 10.1 feet. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  by around 5:00 AM.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...Roanoke River Greenway path begins to 
  flood along right bank.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 9.0 feet
  on Apr 24 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC031-037-083-240906-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0013.190224T0054Z-190225T2136Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.190223T2301Z.190224T0600Z.190225T0936Z.NO/
806 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until Monday afternoon. 
* at 06PM Saturday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.9 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...at 23 feet...mainly lowland flooding will occur.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.5 
  feet on Oct 12 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-240906-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.190224T0800Z-190227T1720Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.190224T0800Z.190225T1200Z.190227T0520Z.NO/
806 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* from early tomorrow until Wednesday afternoon
* at 06PM Saturday the stage was 23.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue 
  to rise to near 27.1 feet by Monday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 24 feet...one or two roads near the river may be flooded.  
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.1 
  feet on Dec 17 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

pc
495 
WGUS81 KRNK 241152
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
652 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk. Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

&&

VAC161-770-775-241222-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190224T1930Z/
/RONV2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
652 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* until this afternoon. 
* at 7 AM EST Sunday the stage was 8.6 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...Roanoke River Greenway path begins to 
  flood along right bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

RAB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 23, 7:24 AM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 7:24 AM EST, 1 hour 8 minutes before
FXUS61 KRNK 231224
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
724 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Canadian high pressure to our northeast will combine with upper
low pressure anchored in the south central U.S. to keep
widespread clouds and rain along with cold temperatures in place
across the entire forecast area today. A cold front will move
through the region from the west by Sunday afternoon, finally
bringing an end to the rain, but accompanied by strong and gusty
west winds. High pressure building into the region behind the
front Monday will bring diminishing winds and also provide
mostly sunny conditions along with milder temperatures for the
first part of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 400 AM EST Saturday...

Another soggy wet day on tap for the area with the continued
threat of mostly minor flooding from non-stop light to
occasionally moderate rain. The pattern remains the same as it
has pretty much for the last several days. A wedge of cool air
east of the Appalachians supported by Canadian high pressure to
our northeast, a mid-level baroclinic zone draped from the TN
Valley across NC/VA, and a deep upper low pressure area in the
southwest blocked by a strong subtropical ridge off the
southeast U.S. coast. A series of upper-level disturbances
continue to track northeast from the parent southwest U.S. upper
low. These factors combine to keep the clouds and rain in place,
and will continue to do so for the next 24-36 hours. Finally on
Sunday, as low pressure develops in the Midwest and moves toward
the Great Lakes, a cold front will move into and through the CWA
bringing an end to the rain.

Again, the main concern for the near term remains that of
flooding. One area of light to moderate rain moved from south to
north through much of the CWA around midnight. Another area is
now moving into the far western part of the CWA and this is
expected to spread east and northeast through the morning and
into the afternoon, keeping steady rain over nearly all of the
forecast area again today, with periods of moderate rain for
sure. In fact, with some enhancement expected of the upper-level
dynamics today as the upper low in the southwest takes on a
negative tilt, the likelihood of periods of heavier rain than
what we have seen during the past 24 hours is likely. We are
already seeing this take place in far eastern TN and western NC
where rainfall rates are approaching 0.50/hour. Thus, WPC has
expanded the moderate risk of excessive rainfall into far
western VA and the slight risk extends eastward now almost to
the eastern border of the CWA, with a marginal risk in all other
areas not covered by the slight. Additional rainfall during the
next 24 hours should be mostly in the 1-2 inch range, but some
amounts between 2-3 inches will be possible in the west, where
the threat of flooding is the greatest. Concerns are
particularly high in the Clinch, Holston, Watauga, and
Greenbrier basins. FFG values are incredibly low, in many parts
of the CWA less than 1.0 inch/3 hours. Rainfall rates during the
night have been mostly in the 0.10 to 0.25 inch/hour range and
there has not been any flooding or river flooding yet of note.
That could well change today. Thus, the Flood Watch will
continue and has been extended slightly in time to accommodate
neighbors and highlight the threat of longer term river flooding
into the day Sunday across the east.

With the wedge locked in across the area today, do not look for
the temperatures to warm much if any at all and will likely hold
steady overnight as well, at least until the cold front arrives.
Temperatures will remain in the 30s to lower 40s at best around
the edge of the wedge today and tonight. Have removed the
mention of ice, however, as temperatures have only fallen into
the upper 30s and at this point mid 30s should be the lowest
point, so feel all areas should remain safely above freezing
averting the threat of any ice this go around.

/Confidence in Forecast Parameters/
Temperatures - High,
Probabilities of Precipitation - High,
Winds - Moderate to High.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM EST Saturday...

Prefrontal showers will be across the Appalachians and central mid
Atlantic region early Sunday before being swept out by the actual
frontal boundary. The front will move west to east across the area
Sunday morning, then push through Southside and move into the
piedmont early Sunday afternoon. Expect a good burst of strong winds
to accompany the front, with strong gusty winds then persisting
across the entire region through the afternoon as low pressure
moving into the Great Lakes deepens rapidly and enhances the low
level wind field. Winds will taper off east of the Blue Ridge during
the evening, but expect the winds to continue howling west of the
Ridge, especially at the higher elevations, through sunday night as
the inversion lowers and accelerates winds by squeezing the flow.
The strong gusty winds will be problematic since the ground is
waterlogged from rainfall and trees may topple more readily. Expect
this will result in downed trees and power outages being more
widespread than is typical during wind events to include locations
east of the Blue Ridge as well. One more surge of gusty winds is
expected Monday morning after diurnal heating breaks the inversion
and mixes winds down to the lower elevations. High pressure then
continues to build over the eastern part of the country with quiet
weather expected into the middle of next week.

The arrival of colder air will lag a bit behind the front on Sunday
and this will allow for temperatures to warm considerably. Expect
highs Sunday to reach the mid 60s to near 70 east of the Blue Ridge
with middle/upper 50s to the west. Highs will be cooler for Monday
and Tuesday though still a bit above normal.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 300 AM EST Saturday...

A northern stream cold front will try to join forces with a southern
stream disturbance late Wednesday and bring a chance for rain
showers. At this time, the two do not phase until both systems move
off the Mid Atlantic Coast Wednesday evening. Dry high pressure will
briefly keep the area dry before the next front brings rain to the
region Thursday night into Friday night.

Temperatures will be above normal Wednesday. Clouds and rain will
bring temperatures back to normal Thursday and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 715 AM EST Saturday...

Little change in the weather pattern through the TAF forecast
period across the RNK CWA, with widespread IFR to LIFR ceilings
and MVFR visibilities, occasionally IFR in fog and drizzle and
heavier rain periods. 100% probabilities of light rain with
occasional moderate rain and attendant areas of fog through the
TAF valid period. A cold front will begin to approach the area
from the west toward the very end of the TAF valid period, but
other than KBLF, opted to hold off on mention of the wind shift
yet.

Otherwise, winds will be mostly ESE-ENE today in the wedge at
speeds of 5-7kts, a bit higher and gusty in the typical
southwest VA/southeast WV area around KBLF and KMKJ. Winds will
become southwest after the frontal passage early Sunday and
become increasingly strong and gusty by afternoon.

Extended Aviation Discussion...

Cold front is expected to sweep east through the Mid Atlantic
area on Sunday, gradually diminishing/ending the threat for
precipitation with subsequent return to VFR conditions east of
the Blue Ridge during the afternoon.

However, colder upslope winds from the west or northwest
following the front will likely maintain the threat for sub-VFR
weather west of the Blue Ridge through Sunday night, but dry
air will allow VFR conditions to return to all areas Monday,
which should continue into Tuesday before the next frontal
system arrives in the Wed-Thu time frame.

Winds are expected to become strong and gusty behind the front
Sunday afternoon into Monday morning, especially over the
mountains, until high pressure can sufficiently build into the
region later Monday into Tuesday, thereby relaxing the pressure
gradient.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 730 AM EST Saturday...

Flood Watch will has been extended to better align with
neighbors to 12Z in the west and 20Z in the east. Steady
light to moderate rain expected for the next 18-24 hours then
ending Sunday morning when the front goes through. River flood
warnings already out for the Dan and Roanoke Rivers at Danville,
Paces, and South Boston, as well as Randolph on the Roanoke.
The James is forecast to go to minor flood at Buchanan. Indian
Creek in Monroe County WV has also gone back into flood as well.
Main area of concern appears to be the western part of the
forecast area, but minor flooding is possible throughout the
CWA. River flooding will linger on some of the major rivers into
early next week.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flood Watch through Sunday morning for VAZ007-009>020.
     High Wind Watch from Sunday morning through Monday morning for
     VAZ007-009>020-022>024.
     Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for VAZ022>024-032>035-
     043>047-058-059.
     High Wind Watch from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening
     for VAZ032>035.
NC...Flood Watch through Sunday morning for NCZ001-002-018.
     High Wind Watch from Sunday morning through Monday morning for
     NCZ001-002-018.
     Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for NCZ003>006-019-020.
     High Wind Watch from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening
     for NCZ003-019.
WV...Flood Watch through Sunday morning for WVZ042>044-507-508.
     High Wind Watch from Sunday morning through Monday morning for
     WVZ042>044-507-508.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RAB
NEAR TERM...RAB
SHORT TERM...MBS
LONG TERM...MBS/RCS
AVIATION...AMS/WP
HYDROLOGY...RAB
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 23, 4:51 AM EST, 3 hours 41 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
451 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

NCZ003-019-VAZ032>035-241000-
Surry-Wilkes-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-
451 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports of flooding and/or wind damage over the next few days
will be appreciated. They can be sent via our web page, called into
our office, or sent through our social media accounts.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-WVZ042>044-507-508-241000-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-
Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
451 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports of flooding and/or wind damage over the next few days
will be appreciated. They can be sent via our web page, called into
our office, or sent through our social media accounts.

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-241000-
Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell-
Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
451 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia and south central
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Strong gusty winds will develop Sunday. The winds could be strong
enough to cause downed trees and power lines resulting in scattered
power outages. A Wind Advisory will likely be needed.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports of flooding and/or wind damage over the next few days
will be appreciated. They can be sent via our web page, called into
our office, or sent through our social media accounts.

VAZ022>024-241000-
Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-
451 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports of flooding and/or wind damage over the next few days
will be appreciated. They can be sent via our web page, called into
our office, or sent through our social media accounts.

RAB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 22, 8:25 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKPittsylvania, City of Danville71 hr
Feb 22, 8:25 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKHalifax4 days
Feb 23, 1:56 AM ESTHigh Wind WatchRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Bath, Bedford, Bland, Botetourt and 21 more14 hr
Feb 23, 5:02 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKBland, Carroll, Grayson, Smyth, Tazewell, Wythe11 hr
Feb 23, 6:54 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKGiles7 hr
Feb 23, 8:04 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKTazewell24 hr
Feb 23, 9:12 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKMontgomery, Pulaski, City of Radford31 hr
Feb 23, 9:12 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKGiles34 hr
Feb 23, 9:32 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKAlleghany, Botetourt, Craig, Giles, Montgomery, Pulaski and 5 more9 hr
Feb 23, 9:40 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKBotetourt38 hr
Feb 23, 12:37 PM ESTFlash Flood WatchRNKPulaski, City of Radford22 hr
Feb 23, 12:54 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax6 hr
Feb 23, 1:31 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKGiles18 hr
Feb 23, 1:42 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKHalifax, Henry, Patrick, Pittsylvania, City of Danville, City of Martinsville6 hr
Feb 23, 2:00 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKAmherst, Appomattox, Bedford, Campbell, Charlotte, Floyd and 6 more6 hr
Feb 23, 2:45 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKCampbell, Charlotte, Halifax28 hr
Feb 23, 3:43 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRNKBland, Carroll, Grayson, Pulaski, Smyth, Tazewell and 1 more21 hr
Feb 23, 3:47 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax15 hr
Feb 23, 4:08 PM ESTHigh Wind WarningRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Bath, Bedford, Bland, Botetourt and 23 more44 hr
Feb 23, 4:08 PM ESTWind AdvisoryRNKAppomattox, Buckingham, Campbell, Charlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania and 2 more32 hr
Feb 23, 6:42 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKCarroll, Grayson, City of Galax6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.