River Flood Warning 13, NWS Blacksburg, VA

327 
WGUS81 KRNK 240106
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
806 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...Charlotte
  and Halifax Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 

Slight changes to the forecast have been made on the Roanoke River
but minor flooding is still expected at Roanoke and further 
downstream on the Roanoke (Staunton) River. Rainfall over the
past 48 hours has ranged from 2 to 2.5 inches across much of the basin
and additional rain of up to a half-inch is possible overnight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

The next scheduled statement will be issued by tomorrow morning.

&&

VAC161-770-775-240906-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-190224T1930Z/
/RONV2.1.ER.190224T0515Z.190224T0600Z.190224T0730Z.NO/
806 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* from after midnight until Sunday afternoon
* at 07PM Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage just after midnight tonight and 
  crest near 10.1 feet. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  by around 5:00 AM.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...Roanoke River Greenway path begins to 
  flood along right bank.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 9.0 feet
  on Apr 24 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC031-037-083-240906-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0013.190224T0054Z-190225T2136Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.190223T2301Z.190224T0600Z.190225T0936Z.NO/
806 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until Monday afternoon. 
* at 06PM Saturday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.9 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...at 23 feet...mainly lowland flooding will occur.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.5 
  feet on Oct 12 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-240906-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.190224T0800Z-190227T1720Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.190224T0800Z.190225T1200Z.190227T0520Z.NO/
806 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* from early tomorrow until Wednesday afternoon
* at 06PM Saturday the stage was 23.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue 
  to rise to near 27.1 feet by Monday morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 24 feet...one or two roads near the river may be flooded.  
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.1 
  feet on Dec 17 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

pc

497 
WGUS41 KRNK 240742
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to
Moderate Severity for the following rivers in Virginia...North 
Carolina...

  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County
  
...Minor to Moderate Flooding Continues along the Dan River from Wentworth downstream to South Boston...

...Minor Flooding Continues Along the Roanoke River from Roanoke to Randolph...

In addition to the specific river forecast points listed below, flooding is also occurring further upstream on the Dan River at Pine Hall and the Roanoke River in downtown Roanoke.

Several inches of rain have fallen across the region during the past week on soils already saturated from weeks to months of above normal rainfall and snow melt.  Flooding will continue along much of the Dan and Roanoke River basins today into Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC031-037-083-241942-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.190223T2301Z.190224T0545Z.190225T0600Z.NO/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until Monday afternoon.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 25.6 feet...and falling slowly.
* Flood Stage is 23.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast to continue
  through Monday. The river is forecast to fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.5 
  feet on Oct 12 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      
$$

VAC037-083-241942-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.190224T0719Z-190227T1720Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.190224T0437Z.190225T1200Z.190227T0520Z.NO/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 24.2 feet...and rising steadily.
* Flood Stage is 24.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising and crest near 27.2 feet tonight or
  early Monday...then the river should begin to fall.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.4 
  feet on May 20 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-241942-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190225T0600Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.190223T2223Z.190224T1200Z.190225T0000Z.NO/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until late tonight.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 22.0 feet...and rising.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast to continue.
* The river will continue rising and is forecast to crest near 22.2 feet
  this morning...then begin to fall.  It is forecast to fall below flood
  stage Monday morning after daybreak.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...Portions of Dan Valley Road and and Water 
  Street in Mayodan are affected by high water.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.1 
  feet on Apr 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-241942-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190226T0717Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.190223T1907Z.190224T0701Z.190225T1917Z.UU/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until late Monday night.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 22.9 feet...and nearly steady.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 20.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring AND Moderate flooding is forecast to continue
  until Monday morning. The river is expected to remain in flood until late Monday night or Tuesday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.0 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 79202019
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-241942-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190227T0312Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.190224T0010Z.190225T0600Z.190226T1512Z.NO/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until Tuesday evening.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 21.8 feet...and rising rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising to near 24.7 feet...in Moderate Flood.
* The river is expected to remain in moderate flood until late Monday and in
  flood through Tuesday.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along Routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.6 
  feet on Nov 14 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-241942-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190228T0120Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.190223T1843Z.190225T1200Z.190227T1320Z.NO/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until Wednesday evening.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 23.2 feet...and rising rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Major Flood Stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising and is forecast to crest near 27.4 feet
  Monday morning.
* The river is forecast to remain in Moderate Flood until Tuesday afternoon
  and remain in flood until late Wednesday.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches Route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5 
  feet on Nov 14 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

RAB

320 
WGUS41 KRNK 240914 CCA
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to
Moderate Severity for the following rivers in Virginia...North 
Carolina...

  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County
  
...Minor to Moderate Flooding Continues along the Dan River from Wentworth downstream to South Boston...

...Minor Flooding Continues Along the Roanoke River from Roanoke to Randolph...

In addition to the specific river forecast points listed below, flooding is also occurring further upstream on the Dan River at Pine Hall and the Roanoke River in downtown Roanoke.

Several inches of rain have fallen across the region during the past week on soils already saturated from weeks to months of above normal rainfall and snow melt.  Flooding will continue along much of the Dan and Roanoke River basins today into Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC031-037-083-241942-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.190223T2301Z.190224T0545Z.190225T0600Z.NO/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until Monday afternoon.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 25.6 feet...and falling slowly.
* Flood Stage is 23.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast to continue
  through Monday. The river is forecast to fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.5 
  feet on Oct 12 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      
$$

VAC037-083-241942-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.190224T0719Z-190227T1720Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.190224T0437Z.190225T1200Z.190227T0520Z.NO/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 24.2 feet...and rising steadily.
* Flood Stage is 24.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising and crest near 27.2 feet tonight or
  early Monday...then the river should begin to fall.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.4 
  feet on May 20 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-241942-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190225T0600Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.190223T2223Z.190224T1200Z.190225T0000Z.NO/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until late tonight.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 22.0 feet...and rising.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast to continue.
* The river will continue rising and is forecast to crest near 22.2 feet
  this morning...then begin to fall.  It is forecast to fall below flood
  stage Monday morning after daybreak.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...Portions of Dan Valley Road and and Water 
  Street in Mayodan are affected by high water.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.1 
  feet on Apr 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-241942-
/O.COR.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190226T0717Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.190223T1907Z.190224T0701Z.190225T1917Z.UU/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until late Monday night.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 22.9 feet...and nearly steady.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 20.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring AND Moderate flooding is forecast to continue
  until Monday morning. The river is expected to remain in flood until late Monday night or Tuesday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.0 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-241942-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190227T0312Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.190224T0010Z.190225T0600Z.190226T1512Z.NO/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until Tuesday evening.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 21.8 feet...and rising rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising to near 24.7 feet...in Moderate Flood.
* The river is expected to remain in moderate flood until late Monday and in
  flood through Tuesday.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along Routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.6 
  feet on Nov 14 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-241942-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190228T0120Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.190223T1843Z.190225T1200Z.190227T1320Z.NO/
242 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

* until Wednesday evening.
* At 2 AM EST Sunday the stage was 23.2 feet...and rising rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Major Flood Stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising and is forecast to crest near 27.4 feet
  Monday morning.
* The river is forecast to remain in Moderate Flood until Tuesday afternoon
  and remain in flood until late Wednesday.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches Route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5 
  feet on Nov 14 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

RAB

128 
WGUS81 KRNK 241338
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
838 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...Charlotte
  and Halifax Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Several inches of rain have fallen across the region during the
past several days on saturated soils. This will result in continued
flooding along the Roanoke River from Brookneal and Randolph 
as well as along the Dan River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued this evening.

&&

VAC031-037-083-242138-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190225T0443Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.190223T2301Z.190224T0545Z.190224T1643Z.NO/
838 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until this evening. 
* at 07AM Sunday the stage was 23.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  morning.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Low-lying fields and woods are flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.5 
  feet on Oct 12 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-242138-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-190226T2315Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.190224T0437Z.190225T0600Z.190226T1115Z.NO/
838 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until Tuesday evening. 
* at 07AM Sunday the stage was 25.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.7 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of 
  river road and black walnut road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.1 
  feet on Dec 17 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-242138-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-190225T0518Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.190223T2223Z.190224T1130Z.190224T2318Z.NO/
838 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until late tonight. 
* at 07AM Sunday the stage was 22.5 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Significant flooding throughout Dan River 
  valley.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.1 
  feet on Apr 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-242138-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190226T0900Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.190223T1907Z.190224T1800Z.190225T2100Z.UU/
838 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until late Monday night. 
* at 08AM Sunday the stage was 23.1 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.3 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.0 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-242138-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-190227T0312Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.190224T0010Z.190225T0600Z.190226T1512Z.NO/
838 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Tuesday evening. 
* at 07AM Sunday the stage was 23.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.7 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage late Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.6 
  feet on Nov 14 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-242138-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-190228T0120Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.190223T1843Z.190225T1800Z.190227T1320Z.NO/
838 AM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Wednesday evening. 
* at 08AM Sunday the stage was 24.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27.3 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5 
  feet on Nov 14 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

346 
WGUS81 KRNK 242347
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
647 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...
  Charlotte and Halifax Counties
 

 ...River level at the Roanoke River at Brookneal have fallen 
 below flood stage. Due to some added upstream water affecting the
 upstream gage at Altavista, decreases in river level may be slow 
 over the next few hours at Brookneal, but this added 
 volume of water will not cause the level to rise above flood stage. 
 With a general receding trend expected, the Flood Warning will be 
 cancelled.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 


&&

VAC031-037-083-250017-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190225T0443Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.190223T2301Z.190224T0545Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
647 PM EST Sun Feb 24 2019

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until this evening. 
* at 05PM Sunday the stage was 21.5 feet.

* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Low-lying fields and woods are flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

Loconto

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
115 PM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Canadian high pressure to our northeast will combine with upper
low pressure anchored in the south central U.S. to keep
widespread clouds and rain along with cold temperatures in place
across the entire forecast area today. A cold front will move
through the region from the west by Sunday afternoon, finally
bringing an end to the rain, but accompanied by strong and gusty
west winds. High pressure building into the region behind the
front Monday will bring diminishing winds and also provide
mostly sunny conditions along with milder temperatures for the
first part of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1240 PM EST Saturday...

A combination of short wave energy and isentropic lift as well
as a conveyor belt of moisture will keep rain chances at 100
percent into this evening. This evening, rain intensity and
possible coverage will decrease some as energy will become
focused with the incoming cold front, currently in the Midwest.

A Flood Watch remains in effect with several local Flood
Warnings and Advisories.

As of 400 AM EST Saturday...

Another soggy wet day on tap for the area with the continued
threat of mostly minor flooding from non-stop light to
occasionally moderate rain. The pattern remains the same as it
has pretty much for the last several days. A wedge of cool air
east of the Appalachians supported by Canadian high pressure to
our northeast, a mid-level baroclinic zone draped from the TN
Valley across NC/VA, and a deep upper low pressure area in the
southwest blocked by a strong subtropical ridge off the
southeast U.S. coast. A series of upper-level disturbances
continue to track northeast from the parent southwest U.S. upper
low. These factors combine to keep the clouds and rain in place,
and will continue to do so for the next 24-36 hours. Finally on
Sunday, as low pressure develops in the Midwest and moves toward
the Great Lakes, a cold front will move into and through the CWA
bringing an end to the rain.

Again, the main concern for the near term remains that of
flooding. One area of light to moderate rain moved from south to
north through much of the CWA around midnight. Another area is
now moving into the far western part of the CWA and this is
expected to spread east and northeast through the morning and
into the afternoon, keeping steady rain over nearly all of the
forecast area again today, with periods of moderate rain for
sure. In fact, with some enhancement expected of the upper-level
dynamics today as the upper low in the southwest takes on a
negative tilt, the likelihood of periods of heavier rain than
what we have seen during the past 24 hours is likely. We are
already seeing this take place in far eastern TN and western NC
where rainfall rates are approaching 0.50/hour. Thus, WPC has
expanded the moderate risk of excessive rainfall into far
western VA and the slight risk extends eastward now almost to
the eastern border of the CWA, with a marginal risk in all other
areas not covered by the slight. Additional rainfall during the
next 24 hours should be mostly in the 1-2 inch range, but some
amounts between 2-3 inches will be possible in the west, where
the threat of flooding is the greatest. Concerns are
particularly high in the Clinch, Holston, Watauga, and
Greenbrier basins. FFG values are incredibly low, in many parts
of the CWA less than 1.0 inch/3 hours. Rainfall rates during the
night have been mostly in the 0.10 to 0.25 inch/hour range and
there has not been any flooding or river flooding yet of note.
That could well change today. Thus, the Flood Watch will
continue and has been extended slightly in time to accommodate
neighbors and highlight the threat of longer term river flooding
into the day Sunday across the east.

With the wedge locked in across the area today, do not look for
the temperatures to warm much if any at all and will likely hold
steady overnight as well, at least until the cold front arrives.
Temperatures will remain in the 30s to lower 40s at best around
the edge of the wedge today and tonight. Have removed the
mention of ice, however, as temperatures have only fallen into
the upper 30s and at this point mid 30s should be the lowest
point, so feel all areas should remain safely above freezing
averting the threat of any ice this go around.

/Confidence in Forecast Parameters/
Temperatures - High,
Probabilities of Precipitation - High,
Winds - Moderate to High.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM EST Saturday...

Prefrontal showers will be across the Appalachians and central mid
Atlantic region early Sunday before being swept out by the actual
frontal boundary. The front will move west to east across the area
Sunday morning, then push through Southside and move into the
piedmont early Sunday afternoon. Expect a good burst of strong winds
to accompany the front, with strong gusty winds then persisting
across the entire region through the afternoon as low pressure
moving into the Great Lakes deepens rapidly and enhances the low
level wind field. Winds will taper off east of the Blue Ridge during
the evening, but expect the winds to continue howling west of the
Ridge, especially at the higher elevations, through sunday night as
the inversion lowers and accelerates winds by squeezing the flow.
The strong gusty winds will be problematic since the ground is
waterlogged from rainfall and trees may topple more readily. Expect
this will result in downed trees and power outages being more
widespread than is typical during wind events to include locations
east of the Blue Ridge as well. One more surge of gusty winds is
expected Monday morning after diurnal heating breaks the inversion
and mixes winds down to the lower elevations. High pressure then
continues to build over the eastern part of the country with quiet
weather expected into the middle of next week.

The arrival of colder air will lag a bit behind the front on Sunday
and this will allow for temperatures to warm considerably. Expect
highs Sunday to reach the mid 60s to near 70 east of the Blue Ridge
with middle/upper 50s to the west. Highs will be cooler for Monday
and Tuesday though still a bit above normal.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 300 AM EST Saturday...

A northern stream cold front will try to join forces with a southern
stream disturbance late Wednesday and bring a chance for rain
showers. At this time, the two do not phase until both systems move
off the Mid Atlantic Coast Wednesday evening. Dry high pressure will
briefly keep the area dry before the next front brings rain to the
region Thursday night into Friday night.

Temperatures will be above normal Wednesday. Clouds and rain will
bring temperatures back to normal Thursday and Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1250 PM EST Saturday...

Little change in the weather pattern through the TAF forecast
period across the RNK CWA, with widespread IFR to LIFR ceilings
and MVFR visibilities, occasionally IFR in fog and heavier rain
periods. 100% probabilities of light rain with occasional
moderate rain and attendant areas of fog through the TAF valid
period. A cold front will begin to approach the area from the
west, bring a round of convective showers overnight.

Otherwise, winds will be mostly ESE-ENE today in the wedge at
speeds of 5-8kts, a bit higher and gusty in the typical
southwest VA/southeast WV area around KBLF and KMKJ. Winds will
become southwest after the frontal passage Sunday and become
increasingly strong and gusty by afternoon. Also, as the front
approaches tonight, low level wind shear (WS020/23040KT) will
become an issue for flight across the mountains, then
everywhere Sunday morning..

Extended Aviation Discussion...

Cold front is expected to sweep east through the Mid Atlantic
area on Sunday, gradually diminishing/ending the threat for
precipitation with subsequent return to VFR conditions east of
the Blue Ridge during the afternoon.

However, colder upslope winds from the west or northwest
following the front will likely maintain the threat for sub-VFR
weather west of the Blue Ridge through Sunday night, but dry
air will allow VFR conditions to return to all areas Monday,
which should continue into Tuesday before the next frontal
system arrives in the Wed-Thu time frame.

Winds are expected to become strong and gusty behind the front
Sunday afternoon into Monday morning, especially over the
mountains, until high pressure can sufficiently build into the
region later Monday into Tuesday, thereby relaxing the pressure
gradient.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 730 AM EST Saturday...

Flood Watch will has been extended to better align with
neighbors to 12Z in the west and 20Z in the east. Steady
light to moderate rain expected for the next 18-24 hours then
ending Sunday morning when the front goes through. River flood
warnings already out for the Dan and Roanoke Rivers at Danville,
Paces, and South Boston, as well as Randolph on the Roanoke.
The James is forecast to go to minor flood at Buchanan. Indian
Creek in Monroe County WV has also gone back into flood as well.
Main area of concern appears to be the western part of the
forecast area, but minor flooding is possible throughout the
CWA. River flooding will linger on some of the major rivers into
early next week.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flood Watch through Sunday morning for VAZ007-009>020.
     High Wind Watch from Sunday morning through Monday morning for
     VAZ007-009>020-022>024.
     Flash Flood Watch through Sunday morning for VAZ013.
     Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for VAZ022>024-032>035-
     043>047-058-059.
     High Wind Watch from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening
     for VAZ032>035.
NC...Flood Watch through Sunday morning for NCZ001-002-018.
     High Wind Watch from Sunday morning through Monday morning for
     NCZ001-002-018.
     Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for NCZ003>006-019-020.
     High Wind Watch from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening
     for NCZ003-019.
WV...Flood Watch through Sunday morning for WVZ042>044-507-508.
     High Wind Watch from Sunday morning through Monday morning for
     WVZ042>044-507-508.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RAB
NEAR TERM...RAB/RCS
SHORT TERM...MBS
LONG TERM...MBS/RCS
AVIATION...RCS
HYDROLOGY...RAB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
451 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

NCZ003-019-VAZ032>035-241000-
Surry-Wilkes-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-
451 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports of flooding and/or wind damage over the next few days
will be appreciated. They can be sent via our web page, called into
our office, or sent through our social media accounts.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-WVZ042>044-507-508-241000-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-
Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
451 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports of flooding and/or wind damage over the next few days
will be appreciated. They can be sent via our web page, called into
our office, or sent through our social media accounts.

NCZ004>006-020-VAZ043>047-058-059-241000-
Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Yadkin-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell-
Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
451 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia and south central
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Strong gusty winds will develop Sunday. The winds could be strong
enough to cause downed trees and power lines resulting in scattered
power outages. A Wind Advisory will likely be needed.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports of flooding and/or wind damage over the next few days
will be appreciated. They can be sent via our web page, called into
our office, or sent through our social media accounts.

VAZ022>024-241000-
Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-
451 AM EST Sat Feb 23 2019

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports of flooding and/or wind damage over the next few days
will be appreciated. They can be sent via our web page, called into
our office, or sent through our social media accounts.

RAB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1059 AM EST SAT FEB 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     DEBRIS FLOW      CERES                   37.30N 81.15W
02/23/2019                   MERCER             WV   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            LANDSLIDE BLOCKING RT 112 NEAR COUNTRY GIRL
            RD. AS OF THE TIME OF THE REPORT, LANDSLIDE
            STILL MOVING AND IS NOW COVERING ADJACENT
            RAILROAD TRACKS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
230 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0227 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      1 NW LANSING            36.51N 81.52W
02/23/2019                   ASHE               NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            A MUDSLIDE HAS COMPROMISED SOUTH BIG HORSE
            RD NORTH OF LANSING. REPORTED BY ASHE COUNTY
            COMMUNICATIONS.

&&

AL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
233 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0231 PM     DEBRIS FLOW      4 S GRASSY CREEK        36.50N 81.39W
02/23/2019                   ASHE               NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            ASHE COUNTY COMMUNICATIONS REPORT OLD
            HIGHWAY 16 NEAR CRUMPLER HAS BEEN IMPACTED
            BY A MUDSLIDE AND IS CLOSED.

&&

AL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
235 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0233 PM     FLOOD            JEFFERSON               36.42N 81.47W
02/23/2019                   ASHE               NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            NUMEROUS ROADS HAVE BEEN FLOODED IN ASHE
            COUNTY.

&&

AL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
239 PM EST SAT FEB 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     FLOOD            3 SSW WHITE GATE        37.16N 80.86W
02/23/2019                   GILES              VA   PUBLIC

            FLAT HOLLOW ROAD COVERED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

WP