Severe Thunderstorm Warning 65, NWS Raleigh, NC

229 
WWUS52 KRAH 131702
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
102 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2019

NCC105-131712-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-190513T1730Z/
Lee NC-
102 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LEE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 400 PM EDT for
central North Carolina.

LAT...LON 3562 7858 3552 7871 3552 7870 3548 7874
      3558 7905 3559 7905 3561 7908 3576 7908
      3576 7864
TIME...MOT...LOC 1702Z 277DEG 40KT 3563 7901 

$$

NCC037-085-183-131730-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0065.000000T0000Z-190513T1730Z/
Harnett NC-Wake NC-Chatham NC-
102 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL HARNETT...SOUTHWESTERN WAKE AND SOUTHEASTERN
CHATHAM COUNTIES...

At 102 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles southeast
of Pittsboro, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Raleigh, Cary, Garner, Fuquay-Varina, Angier, Apex, Holly Springs,
Crosswinds Boating Center, Crosswinds Campground and Lake Wheeler.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 3562 7858 3552 7871 3552 7870 3548 7874
      3558 7905 3559 7905 3561 7908 3576 7908
      3576 7864
TIME...MOT...LOC 1702Z 277DEG 40KT 3563 7901 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BLAES

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
645 AM EDT Mon May 13 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will slowly drift east of the Appalachians overnight,
crossing central NC on Monday. Strong and persistent High pressure
will bring dry and seasonably cool weather Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 330 AM Monday...

Latest surface analysis reveals a cold front draped west to east
just south of the VA/NC border, expected to continue descending
southward in backdoor type fashion through early this morning.
Behind this boundary, cooler northeasterly winds in continue to
allow a rather robust stratus deck to form and migrate southward,
with ceilings in the 200 to 400ft in nature prevalent. This boundary
is likely to continue descending southward through mid morning hours
before stalling across south-central NC, relying on the western
extent of the front (and true dewpoint boundary) to be propelled
eastward thanks to a strengthening shortwave trough currently
sliding southeast through the Ohio River Valley. This should provide
for a last ditch effort for an isolated shower or rumble of thunder
as the front slides through during the afternoon hours, with a CAA
regime gaining control gradually behind the boundary.

Temperatures will remain near to slightly below seasonable this
afternoon thanks to abundant cloud cover through peak heating and
the arrival of cooler northwesterly flow by sunset across the
northwest. Expect highs in the low to mid 70s (northwest) to low 80s
(southeast). Winds will be gusty at times, primarily in the
afternoon/early evening hours. Overnight lows will dip into the
upper 40s to lower 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 AM Monday...

Continental polar high pressure filters in behind the front on
Tuesday, allowing for much cooler and drier air to filter into
central NC. This prolonged period of northerly/northwesterly flow
will greatly limit afternoon high temperature potential, keeping
daytime highs only in the upper-60s (northwest) to low 70s
(southeast), roughly 10 degrees below normal for this time of year.
Precipitation chances will also remain near zero, thanks to
persistent subsidence, a strong CAA regime, and constant downsloping
conditions east of the Appalachians. Thus, other than a bit of upper-
level cloud litter, expect a return of spring-like conditions
including mostly clear skies, cool temperatures, and a light breeze
across the region. Lows Tuesday night will dip into the mid to upper
40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 320 AM Monday...

...Dry and Tranquil Weather Expected This Week...
...Summer-like Temperatures Return For The Weekend...

Positioned in the deep NWLY flow between the upper ridge across the
central US and the closed low and corresponding upper trough
lingering over the NE US, dry tranquil weather is expected through
the remainder of the week. A series of shortwaves diving SE down the
back-side of the eastern US trough will attempt to push a pair of
weak back-door cold fronts into the area late week. Given the lack
of significant moisture transport and appreciable support/forcing
aloft, getting measurable precip/convection into the area will prove
difficult. Thus will keep the forecast dry.

Unseasonably cool below normal temps associated with the negative H5
anomalies to start the week will moderate to near normal by the end
of the work week and then well above normal with most areas warming
into the upper 80s/near 90 over the weekend as the upper level ridge
builds into the area from the west.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 645 AM Monday...

24 hour TAF period: Shower coverage continues to intermittent at
best across much of central North Carolina early this morning,
leaving only intermittent sprinkles and lowering CIGs/VSBYs across
the central terminals. Ceilings will rise quickly after sunrise,
leaving primarily VFR conditions across central NC by 15z/11am.
Can't rule out an isolated shower/storm Monday afternoon as a cold
front slides west to east, but coverage remains too low to include
in the TAF at this time. High pressure filters into the region by
00z/8pm monday, helping to retain predominant VFR parameters, even
into the overnight hours Tuesday.

Looking ahead: Expect VFR conditions to prevail through the
remainder of the period as high pressure remains firmly in control.
The one exception may be some lowering CIGs/VSBYs prior to dawn
each morning late in the work week as boundary layer moisture
increases ahead of a dry passing shortwave on Thursday. Only minor
and short-lived impacts likely.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJM
NEAR TERM...JJM
SHORT TERM...JJM
LONG TERM...CBL
AVIATION...JJM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1052 AM EDT Mon May 13 2019

NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-073>077-083>086-088-089-141500-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-
Durham-Franklin-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-Stanly-Montgomery-
Moore-Lee-Harnett-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
1052 AM EDT Mon May 13 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms may result in heavy downpours,
gusty winds, and lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ011-027-028-042-043-078-141500-
Halifax-Nash-Edgecombe-Johnston-Wilson-Wayne-
1052 AM EDT Mon May 13 2019

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 166 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1122 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSE PILOT             35.84N 78.24W
05/13/2019                   NASH               NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN. SOME STRUCTURES DAMAGED
            IN THE BRANTLEY RD. AREA.

&&

TC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1139 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     HAIL             2 W WENDELL             35.78N 78.40W
05/13/2019  E0.75 INCH       WAKE               NC   PUBLIC

&&

TC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1158 AM EDT MON MAY 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 AM     HAIL             2 NW WILSON             35.76N 77.95W
05/13/2019  E0.25 INCH       WILSON             NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED 1/4 INCH SIZED HAIL
            AT BUCKINGHAM ROAD IN WILSON.

&&

TDH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1221 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2019

NCZ039-040-076-131715-
Lee NC-Chatham NC-Randolph NC-
1221 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN RANDOLPH...NORTHERN
LEE AND CHATHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 115 PM EDT...

At 1221 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Siler City, moving east at 40 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sanford, Pittsboro, Siler City, Goldston, Crosswinds Boating Center,
Crosswinds Campground, Harpers Crossroads, Jordan Lake State Rec
Area, Bynum and Seaforth Boat Dock.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
40 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
trash cans and other light outdoor objects.

Dont wait until you see the first lightning flash before heading to
safety. Move indoors at the first sign of threatening skies or the
first sound of thunder. Deadly lightning strikes can occur well ahead
of an approaching storm, prior to the arrival of rain and wind. Make
sure that lightning is well away from your location before resuming
outdoor activity.

&&

LAT...LON 3584 7897 3548 7901 3554 7962 3573 7964
TIME...MOT...LOC 1621Z 264DEG 34KT 3565 7954

WSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1226 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1016 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NW WENDELL            35.81N 78.40W
05/13/2019                   WAKE               NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS FOLLOWING DAMAGE ON
            EDGEMONT RD IN LOWRY MEADOW SUBDIVISION
            (NEAR HWY 64) IN WENDELL. JUST OUTSIDE
            SUBDIVISION, 1 LARGE, MATURE TREE ON ROOF;
            INSIDE SUBDIVISION, 1 ROOF PARTIALLY TORN
            OFF. ONE ROOF COMPLETELY REMOVED OFF AN
            OUTBUILDING. ABOUT 1/2 MILE FROM
            SUBDIVISION, LARGE HARDWOOD TREE UPROOTED
            AND 3 ROOFS WITH TREES ON THEM. POSSIBLE
            TORNADO DAMAGE.

&&

TDH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1236 PM EDT MON MAY 13 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 AM     HAIL             2 SE NEW HOPE           35.78N 78.53W
05/13/2019  E1.00 INCH       WAKE               NC   PUBLIC

            HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

&&