Alert archive / Idaho / Wind Advisories in 2019

Wind Advisory 9, NWS Pocatello, ID

June 6, 201916 counties in Idaho

NWS Pocatello, ID issued this wind advisory at Jun 6, 2019, 2:18 PM MDT for 16 counties in Idaho. It took effect at Jun 6, 2019, 9:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 22 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 6, 2019, 2:18 PM MDT (20:18 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 6, 2019, 9:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jun 7, 2019, 6:32 PM MDT
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Pocatello, ID

Counties Bannock County, ID, Bear Lake County, ID, Bingham County, ID, Blaine County, ID, Bonneville County, ID, Butte County, ID, Caribou County, ID, Cassia County, ID, Fremont County, ID, Jefferson County, ID, Lincoln County, ID, Madison County, ID, Minidoka County, ID, Oneida County, ID, Power County, ID, Teton County, ID

The radar

The Pocatello radar (KSFX), 17 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Salt Lake City I, UT (KSLC), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 266 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2019-06-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2019-06-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 27 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2734 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

968 
WWUS75 KPIH 062018
NPWPIH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
218 PM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...Strong Cold Front Producing Very Windy Conditions...

.A powerful front is approaching eastern Idaho at this time and
should pass through during the evening hours tonight. As the front
approaches winds will increase, and as it passes, the wind
direction will shift to west. The very windy conditions will
continue through the night. There may be a 3 to 4 hour lull in the
very windy conditions during the morning hours on Friday, and
increase again in the late morning. The winds will continue into
Friday evening.

IDZ051-054-055-070430-
/O.NEW.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.190607T0900Z-190608T0400Z/
Shoshone/Lava Beds-Lower Snake River Plain-Eastern Magic Valley-
Including Shoshone, Richfield, Carey, Pocatello, Blackfoot, 
American Falls, Shelley, Fort Hall, Burley, Rupert, Heyburn, 
and Oakley
218 PM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 PM MDT FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Pocatello has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 3 AM to 10 PM MDT Friday. 

* IMPACTS/TIMING...The lack of moderate rainfall will mean that
  the wind could generate blowing dust. This could reduce
  visibility to near zero very suddenly, making driving hazardous.
  Expect a temporary lull in the wind speed after sunrise Friday until
  the late morning, when very windy conditions return.

* WINDS...Southwest 30 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph, shifting to
  west around 10 pm tonight.

* LOCATIONS...The eastern Magic Valley, Lower Snake River plain, 
  and the Shoshone and Lava Beds areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A wind advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Gusts
over 45 mph are possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

IDZ052-053-070430-
/O.NEW.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.190607T0300Z-190608T0400Z/
Arco/Mud Lake Desert-Upper Snake River Plain-
Including Mud Lake, INL, Craters of the Moon NM, Idaho Falls, 
Rexburg, and St. Anthony
218 PM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM MDT
FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Pocatello has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 9 PM this evening to 10 PM MDT
Friday. 

* IMPACTS/TIMING...The lack of moderate rainfall will mean that
  the wind could generate blowing dust, especially Interstate 15
  north of Idaho Falls to the town of Roberts. This could reduce 
  visibility to near zero very suddenly, making driving 
  hazardous. Very windy conditions will develop during the late 
  evening and continue into the late night hours. Expect a 
  temporary lull in the wind speed after sunrise until the late 
  morning, when very windy conditions return.

* WINDS...South wind of 30 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph tonight.
  Wind shifting to southwest and west Friday morning.

* LOCATIONS...The Arco and Mud Lake areas, and the Upper Snake
  River plain. This includes the Idaho National Laboratory and
  Craters of the Moon National Monument.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A wind advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Gusts
over 45 mph are possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

IDZ056>058-062>065-070430-
/O.NEW.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.190607T1700Z-190608T0400Z/
Southern Hills/Albion Mountains-Raft River Region-
Marsh and Arbon Highlands-Blackfoot Mountains-Caribou Range-
Big Hole Mountains-Teton Valley-
Including Albion, Almo, Malta, Rockland, Holbrook, Inkom, 
McCammon, Downey, Lava Hot Springs, Grace, Soda Springs, Henry, 
Bone, Wayan, Swan Valley, Victor, Ashton, Tetonia, and Driggs
218 PM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM MDT FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Pocatello has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 11 AM to 10 PM MDT Friday. 

* IMPACTS/TIMING...The lack of moderate rainfall will mean that
  the wind could generate blowing dust. This could reduce
  visibility to near zero very suddenly, making driving hazardous.
  Very windy conditions should develop in valley locations during
  the late morning on Friday and continue into the evening.
  Highest wind will be in valleys with a southwest to northeast  
  orientation.

* WINDS...Southwest 30 to 35 mph gusts to 50 mph.

* LOCATIONS...Raft River valley including Interstate 84, Arbon
  Valley, Swan Valley, Teton Valley, and other valleys of the 
  southern and eastern highlands of Idaho.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A wind advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Gusts
over 45 mph are possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

Messick
4 follow-up statements
241 
WWUS75 KPIH 062036
NPWPIH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
236 PM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...Strong Cold Front Producing Very Windy Conditions...

.A powerful front is approaching eastern Idaho at this time and
should pass through during the evening hours tonight. As the
front approaches winds will increase, and as it passes, the wind
direction will shift to west. The very windy conditions will
continue through the night. There may be a 3 to 4 hour lull in
the very windy conditions during the morning hours on Friday, and
increase again in the late morning. The winds will continue into
Friday evening.

IDZ051-054-055-071200-
/O.CON.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.190607T0900Z-190608T0400Z/
Shoshone/Lava Beds-Lower Snake River Plain-Eastern Magic Valley-
Including Shoshone, Richfield, Carey, Pocatello, Blackfoot, 
American Falls, Shelley, Fort Hall, Burley, Rupert, Heyburn, 
and Oakley
236 PM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 PM MDT
FRIDAY...

* IMPACTS/TIMING...The lack of moderate rainfall will mean that 
  the wind could generate blowing dust. This could reduce 
  visibility to near zero very suddenly, making driving 
  hazardous. Expect a temporary lull in the wind speed after 
  sunrise Friday until the late morning, when very windy 
  conditions return. 

* WINDS...Southwest 30 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph, shifting 
  to west around 10 pm tonight. 

* LOCATIONS...The eastern Magic Valley, Lower Snake River plain, 
  and the Shoshone and Lava Beds areas. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A wind advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Gusts
over 45 mph are possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

IDZ052-053-071200-
/O.CON.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.190607T0300Z-190608T0400Z/
Arco/Mud Lake Desert-Upper Snake River Plain-
Including Mud Lake, INL, Craters of the Moon NM, Idaho Falls, 
Rexburg, and St. Anthony
236 PM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM MDT FRIDAY...

* IMPACTS/TIMING...The lack of moderate rainfall will mean that 
  the wind could generate blowing dust, especially Interstate 15 
  north of Idaho Falls to the town of Roberts. This could reduce 
  visibility to near zero very suddenly, making driving 
  hazardous. Very windy conditions will develop during the late 
  evening and continue into the late night hours. Expect a 
  temporary lull in the wind speed after sunrise until the late 
  morning, when very windy conditions return. 

* WINDS...South wind of 30 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph 
  tonight. Wind shifting to southwest and west Friday morning. 

* LOCATIONS...The Arco and Mud Lake areas, and the Upper Snake 
  River plain. This includes the Idaho National Laboratory and 
  Craters of the Moon National Monument. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A wind advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Gusts
over 45 mph are possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

IDZ056>058-062>065-071200-
/O.CON.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.190607T1700Z-190608T0400Z/
Southern Hills/Albion Mountains-Raft River Region-
Marsh and Arbon Highlands-Blackfoot Mountains-Caribou Range-
Big Hole Mountains-Teton Valley-
Including Albion, Almo, Malta, Rockland, Holbrook, Inkom, 
McCammon, Downey, Lava Hot Springs, Grace, Soda Springs, Henry, 
Bone, Wayan, Swan Valley, Victor, Ashton, Tetonia, and Driggs
236 PM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM MDT
FRIDAY...

* IMPACTS/TIMING...The lack of moderate rainfall will mean that 
  the wind could generate blowing dust. This could reduce 
  visibility to near zero very suddenly, making driving 
  hazardous. Very windy conditions should develop in valley 
  locations during the late morning on Friday and continue into 
  the evening. Highest wind will be in valleys with a southwest 
  to northeast orientation. 

* WINDS...Southwest 30 to 35 mph gusts to 50 mph.

* LOCATIONS...Raft River valley including Interstate 84, Arbon 
  Valley, Swan Valley, Teton Valley, and other valleys of the 
  southern and eastern highlands of Idaho. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A wind advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Gusts
over 45 mph are possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$
804 
WWUS75 KPIH 070937
NPWPIH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
337 AM MDT Fri Jun 7 2019

IDZ051-054-055-072100-
/O.CON.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190608T0400Z/
Shoshone/Lava Beds-Lower Snake River Plain-Eastern Magic Valley-
Including Shoshone, Richfield, Carey, Pocatello, Blackfoot, 
American Falls, Shelley, Fort Hall, Burley, Rupert, Heyburn, 
and Oakley
337 AM MDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* IMPACTS/TIMING...Expect a temporary lull in the wind speed after
  sunrise Friday until the late morning, when windy conditions
  return. Crosswinds will create difficult driving conditions for
  high profile vehicles especially on north-south routes.

* WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph, shifting 
  to west around 10 pm tonight. 

* LOCATIONS...The eastern Magic Valley, Lower Snake River plain, 
  and the Shoshone and Lava Beds areas. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A wind advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Gusts
over 45 mph are possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

IDZ056>058-062>065-072100-
/O.CON.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.190607T1700Z-190608T0400Z/
Southern Hills/Albion Mountains-Raft River Region-
Marsh and Arbon Highlands-Blackfoot Mountains-Caribou Range-
Big Hole Mountains-Teton Valley-
Including Albion, Almo, Malta, Rockland, Holbrook, Inkom, 
McCammon, Downey, Lava Hot Springs, Grace, Soda Springs, Henry, 
Bone, Wayan, Swan Valley, Victor, Ashton, Tetonia, and Driggs
337 AM MDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* IMPACTS/TIMING...Windy conditions should re-develop in valley
  locations late this morning and continue into this evening. 
  Highest wind will be in valleys with a southwest to northeast 
  orientation. 

* WINDS...Southwest 30 to 35 mph gusts to 50 mph.

* LOCATIONS...Raft River valley including Interstate 84, Arbon 
  Valley, Swan Valley, Teton Valley, and other valleys of the 
  southern and eastern highlands of Idaho. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A wind advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Gusts
over 45 mph are possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

IDZ052-053-072100-
/O.CON.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190608T0400Z/
Arco/Mud Lake Desert-Upper Snake River Plain-
Including Mud Lake, INL, Craters of the Moon NM, Idaho Falls, 
Rexburg, and St. Anthony
337 AM MDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* IMPACTS/TIMING...Patchy blowing dust possible along Interstate
  15 from Idaho Falls north to Roberts. Crosswinds will cause
  difficult driving conditions for high profile vehicles,
  especially on north-south routes. Winds strongest this
  afternoon.

* WINDS...South wind of 20 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph re-
  developing early this afternoon.

* LOCATIONS...The Arco and Mud Lake areas, and the Upper Snake 
  River plain. This includes the Idaho National Laboratory and 
  Craters of the Moon National Monument. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A wind advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Gusts
over 45 mph are possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$
762 
WWUS75 KPIH 071806
NPWPIH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
1206 PM MDT Fri Jun 7 2019


IDZ054-080300-
/O.CAN.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190608T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KPIH.LW.Y.0007.190607T2100Z-190608T0300Z/
Lower Snake River Plain-
Including Pocatello, Blackfoot, American Falls, Shelley, 
and Fort Hall
1206 PM MDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Pocatello has issued a Lake Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM MDT
this evening. The Wind Advisory has been cancelled. 

* IMPACTS/TIMING...Strong winds will create rough chop over
  American Falls Reservoir. Winds should peak late this afternoon
  and continue until around sunset.

* WINDS...Southwest winds around 20 mph.
  

* LOCATIONS...American Falls Reservoir

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A lake wind advisory indicates that winds will cause rough chop
on American Falls Reservoir. Small boats will be especially prone
to capsizing.

&&

$$

IDZ051>053-055-058-062>065-071915-
/O.CAN.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190608T0400Z/
Shoshone/Lava Beds-Arco/Mud Lake Desert-Upper Snake River Plain-
Eastern Magic Valley-Marsh and Arbon Highlands-
Blackfoot Mountains-Caribou Range-Big Hole Mountains-Teton Valley-
Including Shoshone, Richfield, Carey, Mud Lake, INL, 
Craters of the Moon NM, Idaho Falls, Rexburg, St. Anthony, 
Burley, Rupert, Heyburn, Oakley, Inkom, McCammon, Downey, 
Lava Hot Springs, Grace, Soda Springs, Henry, Bone, Wayan, 
Swan Valley, Victor, Ashton, Tetonia, and Driggs
1206 PM MDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Pocatello has cancelled the Wind
Advisory. 

Winds should remain below advisory level through tonight.

$$

IDZ056-057-080400-
/O.CON.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190608T0400Z/
Southern Hills/Albion Mountains-Raft River Region-
Including Albion, Almo, Malta, Rockland, and Holbrook
1206 PM MDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* IMPACTS/TIMING...Winds will increase through the afternoon and
  peak in the early evening hours. High profile vehicles may be
  difficult to control where there are strong crosswinds.

* WINDS...Southwest 30 to 35 mph gusts to 45 mph.

* LOCATIONS...Raft River valley including Interstate 84, Southern
  Hills and Albion Mountains including Malta, Rockland and
  Holbrook.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A wind advisory means that winds of 30 mph are expected. Gusts
over 45 mph are possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$
326 
WWUS75 KPIH 080032
NPWPIH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
632 PM MDT Fri Jun 7 2019

IDZ056-057-080145-
/O.CAN.KPIH.WI.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-190608T0400Z/
Southern Hills/Albion Mountains-Raft River Region-
Including Albion, Almo, Malta, Rockland, and Holbrook
632 PM MDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Pocatello has cancelled the Wind
Advisory. 

Winds are quickly diminishing this evening, therefore the wind
advisory is cancelled.

$$

IDZ054-080145-
/O.CAN.KPIH.LW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-190608T0300Z/
Lower Snake River Plain-
Including Pocatello, Blackfoot, American Falls, Shelley, 
and Fort Hall
632 PM MDT Fri Jun 7 2019

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Pocatello has cancelled the Lake
Wind Advisory. 

Winds are quickly diminishing this evening, therefore the lake 
wind advisory is cancelled.

$$

Valle

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pocatello, ID wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Jun 6, 10:05 AM MDT, 4 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 6, 10:05 AM MDT, 4 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
1005 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

.UPDATE...First line of morning thunderstorms has passed through
the Snake River plain and is continuing eastward into the
highlands.

Much of the forecast area continues under a slight risk of severe
thunderstorms and tornadoes. For Fri, there is a small part of
Fremont county where excessive rainfall is at a marginal level of
risk.

Local wind study indicates solid chances of a Wind Advisory for
the Snake River plain and many of the zones south and east of that
area, except for Bear Lake. Will likely issue a Wind Advisory that
actually starts late tonight. 110kt-plus jet stream overhead and
700mb wind in excess of 35kt at one point will combine with strong
cold air advection and a moderate to strong SLP gradient to
continue the Wind Advisory conditions into the evening. A later
start to the strong wind in the highland zones, since it takes a
while for the 700mb wind to increase in those locations.

Messick

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 255 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019/

SHORT TERM...Through Sunday. Myriad of impacts expected through
Sunday morning across the region as a vigorous upper trough and
associated strong cold front plow through the PacNW. Impacts
include severe thunderstorm potential, gusty gradient-driven
winds, near record or record cold (for Saturday daytime highs and
Sunday morning lows) as well as the potential for frost and
freezing Temperatures Sunday morning. We'll address each of these
impacts below.

Early morning Satellite and observational data revealed a closed
low and associated trough centered just off of the British
Columbia coast. This feature will progress eastward, dragging a
strong cold front across SE Idaho Thursday evening, with the front
exiting into Wyoming and Utah in the pre-dawn hours Friday
morning. As of this writing, moisture quality across SE Idaho is
poor, but observational data indicates moisture advection is
ongoing -- and will continue to pool ahead of the front across SE
Idaho today. As the low/trough approaches, mid-level winds will
increase and upper-level Temperatures will cool. We are noting
some light showers/isolated thunderstorms over NE Nevada early
this morning in association with the moisture transport -- and
those isolated showers may enter SE Idaho this morning. High-
resolution, convective-allowing models are largely in excellent
agreement with their handling of thunderstorm trends today, with
strong to severe thunderstorm development expected to initiate in
the 1-3PM timeframe across SE Idaho, with the thunderstorm
development tied to a pre-frontal trough expected to be draped
from NE-SW across the Snake Plain. Thunderstorms are then expected
to be ongoing through the afternoon and early evening, with the
severe threat diminishing around 9PM. Sufficient moisture, wind
shear and stout instability will promote strong to severe
thunderstorms, with supercells and thunderstorm clusters with
bowing segments expected. Low-level thermodynamic profiles will
support strong thunderstorm downdrafts and outflow winds, while
cooling aloft will support large hail potential. These will be the
main threats. The tornado potential is overall low due to the
lack of low-level wind shear, however the potential is not zero as
pockets of low- level vorticity could allow for a brief spin-up.
Areas from the Snake Plain east to the Wyoming border are favored
for strong to severe thunderstorm development.

As the cold front marches east, a second round of strong
thunderstorms are expected to break out across the eastern
highlands, mainly east of the I-15 corridor after midnight.
Meanwhile, a band of frontal- induced stratiform Precipitation is
expected to break out across the Central Mountains after Midnight
tonight, and with cold air advection well underway, snow levels
will crash to near 7000 feet elevation by sunrise Friday morning.
Along with that cold advection will be gusty winds, with 20-30 mph
winds along with higher gusts expected through the day Friday.
This along with rapidly falling Temperatures will combine for an
early April feel, as Temperatures likely struggle to get out of
the upper 50s/low 60s across the Snake Plain. Scattered showers
are also expected through the day. These will turn to snow across
the Central Mountains and Continental Divide, where light
accumulations are expected.

The cold air will be well in place across the region by Saturday,
with highs quite possibly not getting out of the 50s across the
Snake Plain and eastern Magic Valley. 700mb Temperatures are
forecast to be colder than any other time in climatology for
northern portions of our area, and this may lead to record or
near record cold high Temperatures for the date. In terms of
Precipitation, the main trough axis will be passing overhead, and
as such isolated to scattered showers are expected by afternoon
across the Central Mountains, upper Snake Plain and eastern
Highlands, with small Hail and gusty winds possible.

Frost and/or freezing Temperatures possible Sunday morning, with
all areas outside of the Snake Plain forecast to fall below
freezing. New guidance is trending even colder, so lowered
forecast mins 3-5 degrees. With this adjustment, we're now
forecasting lows around freezing for the Upper Snake Plain
transitioning to just above freezing across the Eastern Magic
Valley. Sensitive vegetation may be prone to damage due to the
potential freezing Temperatures. AD

LONG TERM...Sunday night through next Thursday. A ridge of high
pressure builds across the west Monday and Tuesday providing dry and
stable conditions across the region. By Wednesday afternoon, both
the GFS and ECMWF are hinting that some moisture will work into the
CNTRL Idaho mountains resulting in a weak threat of isolated
thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening favoring the higher
terrain from Mackay to Dillon. By Thursday, the ridge breaks down as
a Pacific disturbance works into WRN Canada opening the door to
scattered showers and thunderstorms favoring the higher terrain in
the afternoon and evening hours once again. Temps run near normal
Monday and then warm Tuesday through Thursday. Huston

AVIATION...A vigorous upper trough will advance into the NW states
today and tonight supporting strong thunderstorm development across
SE Idaho ahead of the system this afternoon and evening. Model time
sections support widespread VFR conditions until the end of the
forecast period when low VFR or even MVFR CIGS begin to spread
across the region as the upper low makes its way east through
Canada. Gusty winds are anticipated today increasing for Friday.
Huston

FIRE WEATHER...A vigorous low pressure system will advance into the
NW states today and then work east through SRN Canada Tonight and
Friday. Strong thunderstorm development will likely work east
through the region this afternoon and evening ahead of an intense
cold front which will sweep east through the area sometime this
evening. Colder temperatures and strong west winds will follow
Friday as snow levels drop to around 6000 ft MSL across the CNTRL
mountains in the afternoon. Unsettled and cool conditions continue
through Saturday as the low continues to work east through Canada.
Sunday morning should prove to be the coolest with near record
temperatures possible in many areas. Warmer and drier conditions
follow Monday through Wednesday as a ridge of high pressure builds
across the region. Huston

HYDROLOGY...Big Wood River, Big Lost River, and other Central
Idaho creeks and rivers are slowly increasing, many of them
towards bankfull. The Big Wood River in Hailey continues in minor
Flood Stage, but with the much colder temperatures arriving Fri
night, snow melt will subside and will give the creeks and rivers
still dealing with snow pack time to respond and decrease. The Big
Lost at Howell Creek Ranch has reached minor flood stage and is
forecast to oscillate near this value through Friday, and thus a
a Flood Advisory remains here. Non-forecast point locations in
this region will also have to be monitored for additional areas to
be Warned or Advised. The Henrys Fork stretch around Rexburg is
also being monitored for approaching minor flood stage, possibly
by Sun. Much depends on releases from Island Park Reservoir, so
have held off on any Watch. Messick

CLIMATE...Record cold high temperatures possible Saturday, with
record lows possible Sunday morning.

Saturday existing record cold high Temperatures:
Pocatello 59 Burley 62 Stanley 49 Challis 52  Idaho Falls 52

Saturday forecast highs:
Pocatello 58 Burley 59 Stanley 54 Challis 58 Idaho Falls 57

Sunday record lows:
Pocatello 31 Burley 33 Stanley 23 Challis 27 Idaho Falls 31

Sunday forecast lows:
Pocatello 36 Burley 35 Stanley 24 Challis 34 Idaho Falls 33

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 6, 8:49 AM MDT, 5 hours 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
849 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

IDZ053-054-058-062>066-061615-
Centennial Mountains/Island Park ID-Big Hole Mountains ID-
Upper Snake River Plain ID-Marsh and Arbon Highlands ID-
Teton Valley ID-Caribou Range ID-Blackfoot Mountains ID-
Lower Snake River Plain ID-
849 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TETON...NORTHWESTERN CARIBOU...
SOUTHEASTERN FREMONT...SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON...NORTH CENTRAL
BANNOCK...EASTERN POWER...EASTERN BONNEVILLE...SOUTHEASTERN MADISON
AND SOUTHEASTERN BINGHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 AM MDT...

At 848 AM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Drummond to near Iona to Fort Hall Lincoln
Creek Lodge to near Portneuf Gap. Movement was northeast at 35 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Swan Valley, Ririe Reservoir, Felt, Chesterfield Reservoir, Goshen,
northern Blackfoot Reservoir, Inkom, Tetonia, Irwin, Fort Hall
Lincoln Creek Lodge, Portneuf Gap, Fort Hall Mount Putnam, Bone, Fort
Hall Putnam Lodge, Cutthroat Trout Campground, Tetonia Research
Station, Trail Creek Campground, Green Canyon Hot Springs, Heise and
Pine Creek Pass.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

Persons in campgrounds should consider seeking sturdy shelter until
these storms pass.

&&

LAT...LON 4370 11116 4312 11140 4266 11245 4317 11224
      4348 11191 4399 11127 4410 11105 4381 11105
TIME...MOT...LOC 1448Z 235DEG 30KT 4395 11131 4350 11189 4318 11222
4275 11240

Messick
Special weather statement, Jun 6, 11:41 AM MDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
1141 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

IDZ060-061-063-061815-
Bear Lake Valley ID-Bear River Range ID-Caribou Range ID-
1141 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER BEAR LAKE...

At 1139 AM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking thunderstorms from near
Saint Charles south to near Laketown, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Frequent lightning and winds in excess of 30 mph are possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Montpelier, Bear Lake, Saint Charles, Dingle, Paris, Bloomington,
Ovid, Border Summit, Geneva, Fish Haven, Geneva Summit and Pegram.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

If on or near Bear Lake, get out of the water and move indoors or
inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning can strike out to 10 miles
from the parent thunderstorm. If you can hear thunder, you are close
enough to be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter now! Do not
be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 4200 11151 4229 11152 4244 11105 4200 11105
TIME...MOT...LOC 1739Z 245DEG 32KT 4219 11137

JKEYES
Special weather statement, Jun 6, 12:56 PM MDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
1256 PM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

IDZ054>057-062000-
Eastern Magic Valley ID-Raft River Region ID-
Southern Hills/Albion Mountains ID-Lower Snake River Plain ID-
1256 PM MDT Thu Jun 6 2019

...LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS APPROACHING AMERICAN
FALLS RESERVOIR AND LAKE WALCOTT...

At 1253 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms extending from near Yale to just west of American
Falls, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Hail up to around one half inch, winds over 30 mph and lightning
will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
American Falls, Neeley, American Falls Reservoir, Lake Walcott,
Aberdeen, Cold Water Rest Area, Pocatello Airport, Sterling, Yale
Rest Area, Pilar Butte, Idahome and Massacre Rocks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

If on or near American Falls Reservoir or Lake Walcott, get out of
the water and move indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, lightning
can strike out to 10 miles from the parent thunderstorm. If you can
hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move
to safe shelter now! Do not be caught on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 4238 11333 4247 11352 4318 11303 4299 11250
TIME...MOT...LOC 1853Z 220DEG 25KT 4253 11333

JKEYES

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pocatello, ID issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 6, 5:29 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHButte46 min
Jun 6, 6:16 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHMinidoka44 min
Jun 6, 8:49 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHBonneville, Teton86 min
Jun 6, 11:41 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHBear Lake34 min
Jun 6, 12:56 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHPower64 min
Jun 6, 2:25 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHCassia65 min
Jun 6, 2:37 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHBonneville53 min
Jun 6, 2:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPIHBlaine, Cassia, Oneida, Power48 min
Jun 6, 2:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPIHCassia33 min
Jun 6, 3:01 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHBingham59 min
Jun 6, 3:09 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHFremont66 min
Jun 6, 3:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPIHBannock, Bingham, Blaine, Butte, Cassia, Power43 min
Jun 6, 3:41 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHJefferson64 min
Jun 6, 3:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPIHBannock, Bingham, Power52 min
Jun 6, 3:56 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHTeton64 min
Jun 6, 3:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPIHBannock, Bingham, Blaine, Bonneville, Butte, Power47 min
Jun 6, 4:01 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHFremont59 min
Jun 6, 4:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPIHBingham, Bonneville, Butte, Clark, Jefferson22 min
Jun 6, 5:04 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHBannock, Caribou41 min
Jun 6, 5:22 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHFranklin, Oneida38 min
Jun 6, 5:32 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHTeton28 min
Jun 6, 5:46 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPIHCaribou44 min
Jun 6, 5:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPIHClark, Fremont, Jefferson, Madison, Teton44 min

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Idaho, 2019Every wind advisory in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.