Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
214 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
The remnants of former tropical cyclone Barry will cross the
area later today into Thursday. High pressure will then
generally prevail into the weekend although a weak cold front
associated with a low in Canada may cross the area Sunday. A
more significant cold front will pass through the area early
next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued until 10 PM for the
northern 2/3rd of the CWA.

We have expanded the Flash Flood Watch to include Carbon and
Monroe, Pennsylvania.

Following coordination with neighboring offices. We added a tier
of counties NW to the Heat advisory for today. Cape May county
NJ was also added.

There are several issues on tap for today. Behind a departing
warm front this morning, and then SW flow ushers an increasingly
hot and humid airmass into the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. High
temperatures will soar into the low to mid 90s with the highest
temperatures along the I-95 corridor and into southeast New
Jersey and Delmarva. Surface dewpoints climb well into the low
to mid 70s, and even into the upper 70s in parts of the eastern
shore of Maryland due to flow off the Chesapeake Bay. Some
mixing is possible in the afternoon, but dewpoints would only
drop by a few degrees or so, and this really will not have much
of an effect on the heat index.

Max heat index values will approach 100 degrees across the
southern Poconos and Sussex County NJ. Elsewhere...max heat
index values up to 105 are possible. The max heat index across
parts of Delmarva could be as high as 110.

The other concern for today is that with the high heat and
humidity, surface-based CAPE values will range from 1000-2000
J/kg, but could be higher in some spots. PWATs will be well in
excess of 2-2.5 inches, and with the approach of the remnants of
Barry later today, this sets the stage for afternoon showers
and thunderstorms. There is not much 0-6 km Bulk Shear,
generally upwards of 20 kt, but with abundant moisture in place,
the primary threat will be heavy rain/flash flooding, but
cannot rule out severe storms with damaging wind gusts.

Though convection begins in the afternoon, the most likely
threat for flash flooding and severe weather will be in the
evening, after 6 pm.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY/...
As has been the case in the last several months, the lowest
Flash Flood Guidance values are across much of New Jersey and
southeast Pennsylvania, generally 1.5-2 inches in 1 hour, and as
high as 3 inches in 3 hours, and as high as 4 inches in 6
hours. Based on latest model QPF fields from the HRRR, NAM NEST,
Hi-res ARW and Hi-res NMM, think there will be spots that pick
up 3+ inches of QPF from late afternoon through this evening.
Even the HREF Ensemble max QPF showing pockets of 3-5 inches of
rain.

Will go ahead and issue a Flash Flood Watch starting in the
afternoon, but running through 1 am.

There is little consistency among the models as to where the
heaviest precip will fall, but think focus will be along the
I-95 corridor and areas west. For Delmarva and southeast New
Jersey, FFG values are quite a bit higher. Cannot rule out
flooding and flash flooding, but will hold off on the Watch for
those areas.

Warm and muggy tonight with lows in the 70s and dewpoints not
much lower than the ambient air temperature. With the moisture
from the rainfall, can expect fog and low stratus to develop in
the wake of the showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Synoptic Overview: The long term period begins with both the
mid-lvl and lower lvl circulations associated with Barry's
remnants having just crossed the area. An expansive H5 ridge
will then set up over the southern-tier of the US on Friday. The
ridge will remain in place until Sunday at which point a
shortwave trough digging from Canada will act to split it. The
western half of the ridge will retrograde into the southwestern
US while the eastern half is pushed offshore into the Atlantic.
A fairly healthy (by July standards) cold front associated with
the shortwave's surface reflection will cross the area Monday
into Tuesday.

The main story of the extended continues to be the potential
for excessive heat Friday through Sunday. Fortunately it appears
that beginning early next week the overall synoptic pattern
will become characterized by longwave troughing over the eastern
US. This pattern would favor a more mild end of July.

Dailies:

Thursday... Although deep-layer moisture and dynamic lift will
decrease on Thursday as Barry's remnants begin to pull away,
sufficient lingering moisture and instability should be
sufficient for continued showers and thunderstorms. Think the
overall flash flood and severe threats will be lower during the
day on Thursday given the lower moisture/instability parameters
and modest height rises behind the departing shortwave. Thursday
will also be a bit cooler than any of the days surrounding it
due to considerable cloud cover/precipitation, and generally
think highs will struggle to reach 90. That being said heat
indices could still very well top out near 100 in portions of
the urban corridor as dewpoints remain elevated with somewhat
inhibited mixing due to the aforementioned cloud cover.

Friday/Saturday... Friday will be hot and Saturday will be very
hot as the ridge builds to our SW. Heat indices will generally
be in the 100-105 degree range on Friday, while on Saturday
105-110 readings will be common (with locally higher values even
possible). The only real uncertainty is how efficiently
dewpoints can mix down in the afternoons, but regardless
dangerous heat seems like a certainty. Additionally lows in the
upper 70s to low 80s Saturday and Sunday mornings will not help
with any recovery. Kept PoPs below mentionable both Friday and
Saturday although can't totally rule out some weakly-forced
diurnal storms (e.g. sea breeze or terrain related).

Sunday... A weak cold front may sneak by the area early Sunday
which will result in temperatures slightly cooler than Saturday,
but still very warm i.e. heat indices topping out in the
100-105 range. As the ridge flattens and shortwave energy
approaches from the west the chance of showers and thunderstorms
also increases.

Monday/Tuesday... The main cold front looks to cross the area
in this time frame and will likely be accompanied by some
precipitation given its dynamic support (an amplifying trough
and southward sagging upper jet). Temperatures Monday are a bit
uncertain and will depend largely on frontal/precipitation
timing, however generally think they will top out below any heat
advisory criteria. By Tuesday generally expect high
temperatures in the 80s and dewpoints dropping down into the 60s
with this more mild airmass likely sticking around a bit.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

This afternoon...Mainly VFR. SHRA/TSRA possible this afternoon,
first at KRDG/KABE, then south towards KTTN/KPNE/KPHL. MVFR or
lower conditions in SHRA/TSRA, and TSRA will be capable of
torrential rain and strong wind gusts. Winds otherwise SW 5-10
kt, except at KACY/KMIV/KILG, where afternoon sea breezes could
turn winds to more of a southerly direction.

Tonight...VFR until showers and thunderstorms move across the
terminals from W to E this evening before diminishing by midnight.
Lower CIGS/VSBYS with the activity and IFR is possible any cell
moves directly over a terminal. Lower CIGS (MVFR) will develop
behind the showers and some fog is probable as well. Overall, winds
will be SW to W at 5 to 10 knots overnight.

Thursday...Slow morning recovery from MVFR CIGS/VSBYS early then VFR
developing by late morning. More showers and a few tstms will
develop during the afternoon. Winds will be mostly SW around 10
knots.

OUTLOOK...

Thursday...Frequent showers and a chance of thunderstorms will
bring a chance of lower CIGS/VSBYS at times. Possibly some
patchy fog Thursday night. Winds generally 5 kts or less.

Friday through Sunday...Mostly VFR with winds generally
southwesterly/westerly 5-10 kts. Some showers and thunderstorms
possible on Sunday.

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-SCA conditions on tap for today and tonight with seas
generally around 2-3 feet and SW winds 10-15 kts gusting to 20
kts or less.

This afternoon and tonight, showers and thunderstorms will move
into the waters and could produce locally strong winds, higher
seas, and reduced visibilities.

OUTLOOK...

Sub-SCA conditions are expected through Sunday winds favoring a
southerly/southwesterly direction 10-15 kts and seas generally
3 feet or less. Thunderstorms Thursday may produce locally
higher winds and seas.

Rip Currents...

There is a high risk for the development of dangerous rip
currents at the New Jersey beaches this afternoon and a moderate
risk for the development of dangerous rip currents at Delaware
beaches today.

Southwest winds become south this afternoon at 15-20 kt with
long period swells. Additionally, low tide will occur during mid
to late afternoon. Given these factors plus the proximity to
the full moon, feel the risk will be higher in New Jersey where
shoreline orientation is more favorable.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flash Flood Watch until 1 AM EDT Thursday for PAZ054-055-
     060>062-070-071-101>106.
     Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for PAZ060>062-101-
     103-105.
     Excessive Heat Warning until 10 PM EDT Sunday for PAZ070-071-
     102-104-106.
NJ...Flash Flood Watch until 1 AM EDT Thursday for NJZ001-007>010-
     012-013-015>019.
     Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NJZ007>010-012-
     013-016-020>023-027.
     High Rip Current Risk until 10 PM EDT this evening for NJZ014-
     024>026.
     Excessive Heat Warning until 10 PM EDT Sunday for NJZ015-
     017>019.
DE...Flash Flood Watch until 1 AM EDT Thursday for DEZ001.
     Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for DEZ002-003.
     Excessive Heat Warning until 10 PM EDT Sunday for DEZ001.
MD...Flash Flood Watch until 1 AM EDT Thursday for MDZ008.
     Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for MDZ008-012-015-
     019-020.
MARINE...None.

&&

Synopsis...Carr
Near Term...MPS/O'Hara
Short Term...MPS
Long Term...Carr
Aviation...Carr/MPS/O'Hara
Marine...Carr/MPS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

NJZ015-017>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-181830-
Mercer-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Delaware-
Philadelphia-Eastern Chester-Eastern Montgomery-Lower Bucks-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SUNDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey, southern
New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Excessive Heat Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Excessive Heat Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ001-181830-
New Castle-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT SUNDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Delaware.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Excessive Heat Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Excessive Heat Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007>010-012-013-PAZ060>062-101-103-105-181830-
Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Berks-
Lehigh-Northampton-Western Chester-Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey, northern
New Jersey, northwest New Jersey, east central Pennsylvania and
southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Excessive heat is possible through Sunday. Heat index values near or
above 100 degrees will be possible  Thursday, potentially reaching
as high as 110 degrees on Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-003-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021-023-181830-
Kent-Inland Sussex-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Cumberland-
Cape May-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, southern
Delaware, northeast Maryland and southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Heavy rain and flooding are possible tonight into Thursday as the
remnant low of Barry passes through the region.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Excessive heat is possible through Sunday. Heat index values near or
above 100 degrees will be possible Thursday, potentially reaching as
high as 110 degrees on Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ008-NJZ016-181830-
Cecil-Salem-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland and
southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Heat Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Excessive heat is possible through Sunday. Heat index values near or
above 100 degrees will be possible  Thursday, potentially reaching
as high as 110 degrees on Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-022-027-181830-
Ocean-Atlantic-Southeastern Burlington-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Heavy rain and flooding are possible tonight into Thursday as the
remnant low of Barry passes through the region.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Excessive heat is possible through Sunday. Heat index values near or
above 100 degrees will be possible Thursday, potentially reaching as
high as 110 degrees on Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-181830-
Sussex-Carbon-Monroe-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New Jersey and
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Excessive heat is possible late this week. Heat index values 100 to
110 are possible Friday and Saturday afternoons.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-025-026-181830-
Eastern Monmouth-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey and
southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Heavy rain is possible tonight into Thursday as the remnant low of
Barry passes through the region. Flooding is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Excessive heat is possible late this week. Heat index values
approaching 105 degrees are possible Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-181830-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

Heavy rain is possible tonight into Thursday as the remnant low of
Barry passes through the region. Flooding is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Excessive heat is possible late this week. Heat index values
approaching 105 degrees are possible Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-181830-
Delaware Beaches-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Delaware.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents
on Wednesday.

Heavy rain is possible tonight into Thursday as the remnant low of
Barry passes through the region. Flooding is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Excessive heat is possible late this week. Heat index values
approaching 105 degrees are possible Friday and Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ430-431-453>455-181830-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters and
Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms with gusty winds and frequent lightning are
possible this afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Scattered thunderstorms with gusty winds and frequent lightning are
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ450>452-181830-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
222 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 516 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
126 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

NJZ001-007-PAZ055-171800-
Sussex-Warren-Monroe-
126 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN SUSSEX...NORTH
CENTRAL WARREN AND NORTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTIES...

At 126 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Alpine
Mountain, or 10 miles east of Mount Pocono, moving east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Newton, East Stroudsburg, Flatbrookville, Henryville, Werry Lake,
Analomink, Millbrook, Alpine Mountain, Five Points, Crandon Lakes,
Echo Lake, Mountainhome, Arlington Heights, Shawnee, Marshalls Creek
and Hidden Lake.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4103 7474 4100 7523 4117 7528 4121 7514
      4115 7515 4114 7509 4108 7503 4116 7490
      4121 7486 4124 7486 4129 7482
TIME...MOT...LOC 1726Z 258DEG 24KT 4110 7517

SFJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
205 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

PAZ054-061-062-171830-
Lehigh-Northampton-Carbon-
205 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN LEHIGH...
SOUTHEASTERN CARBON AND WEST CENTRAL NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES...

At 205 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Jordan Valley,
or 8 miles south of Lehighton, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lehighton, Northampton, Palmerton, Slatington, Walnutport,
Danielsville, Neffs, Beltzville State Park, New Tripoli,
Berlinsville, Jordan Valley, Emerald, Beersville, Schnecksville,
Coplay, Bowmanstown, Parryville, Weissport and Weissport East.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4092 7559 4069 7540 4062 7576 4070 7583
      4074 7576 4077 7581
TIME...MOT...LOC 1805Z 237DEG 12KT 4071 7572

SFJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
221 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

NJZ007-PAZ055-062-171845-
Warren-Monroe-Northampton-
221 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL WARREN...SOUTH CENTRAL
MONROE AND NORTHEASTERN NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES...

At 220 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Pen Argyl, or
15 miles north of Easton, moving east at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Blairstown, Bangor, Pen Argyl, Wind Gap, Belvidere, Oxford, Hope,
East Bangor, Stormville, Saylorsburg, Delaware Water Gap, Columbia,
Great Meadows-Vienna, Stroudsburg, Roseto, Portland and Arlington
Heights.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4085 7533 4097 7534 4100 7491 4081 7492
TIME...MOT...LOC 1820Z 270DEG 18KT 4091 7525

SFJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
228 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

NJZ001-171900-
Sussex-
228 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL SUSSEX COUNTY...

At 228 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over High Point, or
over Matamoras, moving east at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Port Jervis, Montague, Milford and High Point.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4129 7455 4128 7483 4130 7482 4131 7479
      4132 7480 4132 7479 4133 7476 4135 7475
      4135 7472 4136 7470
TIME...MOT...LOC 1828Z 270DEG 18KT 4134 7467

SFJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
244 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

NJZ001-007-171915-
Sussex-Warren-
244 PM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL SUSSEX AND NORTH CENTRAL
WARREN COUNTIES...

At 243 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Millbrook, or
10 miles west of Newton, moving east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Newton, Franklin, Ogdensburg, Branchville, Andover, Flatbrookville,
Five Points, Lake Mohawk, Pellettown, Crandon Lakes and Millbrook.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 4126 7464 4103 7456 4100 7461 4099 7502
      4104 7504 4104 7503 4106 7502 4108 7500
      4109 7497 4110 7497 4109 7499 4112 7497
TIME...MOT...LOC 1843Z 255DEG 22KT 4106 7496

SFJ