Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
947 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Multiple waves of low pressure will move along a nearby frontal
boundary through Thursday, bringing additional shower and
thunderstorm chances. A cold front should move through from the west
by Thursday night, with fair weather following for Friday. Another
cold front will move through this weekend. High pressure should
build in for early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
945 pm mesoscale update: Tornado watch will be allowed to expire
at 10 pm. Storms are moving out of the CWA. Will need to watch
upstream convection (non-severe) in western/central PA. Hi-res
models tend to dissipate the convection as it reaches the area,
but there may be another period of storms near the Mason-Dixon
Line before midnight.

900 pm mesoscale update: Significant severe weather event
continues across the CWA. Long-lived supercells producing large
to occasionally significant (2+ inch) hail have affected the
Reading to Millville corridor the past few hours, while two
supercells with significant rotation are affecting the Poconos
and northern New Jersey. Think the latter storms are
interacting with a residual surface boundary and may continue to
exhibit significant mid- to low-level rotation the next couple
of hours. Other storms developing near/east of the Philadelphia
metro are rapidly strengthening/pulsing as well, with some
severe hail recently reported in Gloucester County. No changes
to the forecast or the watch at this time, with current
expiration of 10 pm probably OK, though local extension for an
hour or two may be required. Will continue to monitor.

Meanwhile, another significant severe weather event is possible
on Wednesday...

In the wake of storms this evening, the boundary layer is expected
to destabilize rapidly on Wednesday in advance of another
perturbation that will approach the area tomorrow afternoon.
Convection is expected to develop quickly in the downstream
environment. Low-level helicity is a little bit weaker tomorrow, and
hi-res models are strongly suggesting the upscale growth of
convection into a mesoscale convective system (i.e., less cellular
convection relative to today). This would favor more of a wind-
damage threat, though hail/tornadoes cannot be ruled out. A further
threat is heavy rain. The 12z NAM is quite concerning, depicting 1-
2+ inches of rain in a 6-hour period in much of the central CWA.
Environment is indeed favorable for training, especially if storms
regenerate on the south/west portions of the developing MCS.
Precipitable water will be increasing in the warm sector as well,
implying rather efficient rain production (particularly given warm-
cloud depths exceeding 10 kft). However, the tendency of the MCS may
be to forward propagate given the fast westerly midlevel flow, so
the threat of excessive rainfall may be rather localized. Not enough
confidence for a flash flood watch at this point, especially given
the varying model guidance in QPF placement.

Speaking of, another issue will be where the warm sector sets up
(again). The NAM/GFS suggest at least some southward displacement
relative to today, and the SPC enhanced risk of severe weather
currently out for Wednesday follows suit. However, exact positioning
will be strongly dependent on what transpires tonight. Per
coordination with OKX, think that the models may be too aggressive
in the northward push of the warm sector (particularly given the low-
amplitude nature of the associated perturbation). As such, have the
enhanced wording for severe storms generally from Berks to
Burlington Counties southward tomorrow. However, the heavy rain
threat exists farther north given elevated ascent to the north of
the baroclinic zone.

Timing looks to be late afternoon and evening again, so PoPs
generally ramp up after 18z.

Bottom line is that another significant convective event should be
expected Wednesday afternoon/evening, with details becoming clearer
once tonight's event concludes.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
An unsettle pattern continues for much of the upcoming week into the
weekend, with several rounds of showers and thunderstorms, although
there will be some quiet periods in between. Quiet weather returns
early next week.

A frontal boundary will remain stalled near the area from Wednesday
night, through Thursday, before a cold front sweeps across the area
on Thursday night. A couple of waves of low pressure will be moving
along the stalled out boundary Wednesday night, then later Thursday.
The low later Thursday into Thursday evening is expected to bring a
cold front across the area. Several short waves/vorticity impulses
aloft move across the area within the westerly flow aloft, which
will keep a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast
through this period, although it will not rain the entire time. The
higher probabilities will be tied to the passages of the short waves
with Wednesday evening and Thursday afternoon/evening being the most
likely periods.

Any convection from Wednesday afternoon will continue into the
evening, but begin to dissipate as daytime instability wanes and the
short wave moves to our east. Still, a period of heavier rainfall is
possible with PW values around 1.5-2.0 inches. This heavy rain
potential continues again with the showers/thunderstorms on Thursday
afternoon/evening as PW values increase again toward 1.5-2.0 inches
again. Winds may get a little gusty Thursday night behind the cold
front as some stronger winds may mix down to the surface behind the
front.

Dry weather is forecast to return for Friday into Friday night as
high pressure briefly builds across the northeast and into our area.
Winds may be gusty early Friday until the pressure gradient
weakens.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As we head into the weekend and early next week, the upper air
pattern over the CONUS becomes dramatically different than what we
have seen the past couple of weeks. A closed H5 low looks to park
itself over Ontario, held in place and pushed slowly southward by
blocking over Greenland. This will lead to troughing over the East,
a big change from the Southeast ridge which had become a fixture of
our pattern. This is a pattern that favors cooler air, and we should
see that manifest by late in the weekend and early next week. In
terms of precipitation, we will have to watch a couple of shortwaves
rotating around the upper low. Guidance is struggling to time these,
but as they move through we will see shower and storm chances. In
addition, we will need to keep an eye on southern stream energy over
the weekend, with some potential for cyclogenesis near the
Carolinas. Should that occur, it is possible moisture from that
system could become involved in our weather. Finally, we will also
have to watch the position of the upper low itself. Should it wobble
far enough south, the cool air aloft would favor additional
instability showers early next week, though the overall trend should
be drier with time. So all in all, while it is difficult to time out
individual features, the trends should be cooler weather than we've
seen, and continued opportunities for occasional showers and storms,
though perhaps more in the way of dry weather by early next week.

Right now, favoring a mainly dry and seasonably warm day on Saturday
given southerly flow ahead of an approaching front. However, the
shower/storm risk will increase late day and evening at least in the
western zones as the first shortwave rotates around the base of the
upper low. Another shortwave should follow by Sunday, which may have
a more widespread chance for showers and storms. Too early to gauge
the potential for strong storms; it will probably depend mainly on
the timing of the disturbances, though if nothing else the gradual
cooling trend should help lower the overall severe weather risk.
Monday and Tuesday should be the coolest days as the upper low makes
its closest approach to us. Given the time of year, "cool" will
still mean highs mainly into the low to mid 70s. With high pressure
trying to build in from the west, these days should be mostly dry.
However, as mentioned, if the upper low moves closer to over the top
of us, we could see more in the way of cloudiness and afternoon
showers.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Through this evening...Warm front draped across the area will
lift northeast slowly this afternoon. Sub-VFR CIGs are holding
tough near/northeast of the front but should gradually
transition to VFR at the Philly terminals through 20z. Scattered
storms will develop to our northwest this afternoon and move
through the area between 21z and 04z. Brief restrictions are
likely in proximity to storms, with strong wind gusts and hail
possible. Coverage/timing remain a low-confidence forecast, but
will continue to refine TAFs once convective evolution becomes
clearer. Winds generally south or southwest 10 to 15 kts with
higher gusts possible.

Overnight...Conditions are expected to be VFR, though there is
some chance of sub-VFR if winds slacken sufficiently. Winds
generally westerly around 10 kts. Low confidence.

Wednesday...Mainly VFR with a chance of storms late. Winds west
to northwest in the morning becoming more southerly/southwesterly
in the afternoon. Low confidence.

OUTLOOK...

Wednesday night...Generally VFR conditions expected, although
showers and thunderstorms remain possible. Winds remain west to
southwest 5-10 knots.

Thursday-Thursday night...Generally VFR, except lower conditions
possible with showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and
night. Southwest winds may gust 15-20 knots during the day Thursday,
then become northwest overnight.

Friday-Friday night...Generally VFR. Northwest may gust 15-20 knots
early in  the day.

Saturday-Saturday night... Generally VFR Saturday with a southwest
wind developing at 5 to 10 kt. Slight chance of a shower or
thunderstorm late afternoon or overnight.

Sunday... Scattered showers and tstms possible with associated
restrictions. Light westerly winds.

&&

.MARINE...
South winds are nearing advisory criteria on the Atlantic
waters, but conditions appear to be too marginal/brief for
advisory issuance through tonight. Seas are generally expected
to remain below 5 feet as well.

Wind directions should be somewhat variable overnight and
Wednesday, mainly becoming southeasterly by afternoon. Sub-
advisory gusts/seas should continue.

There is a chance of storms late this afternoon through late
this evening and again late Wednesday afternoon. Strong/erratic
gusts and locally higher waves should be expected in their
proximity.

Outlook...

Wednesday night-Friday night...Conditions expected to remain below
advisory levels through the period, although winds may gust around
20 knots at times. There is a chance of showers and thunderstorms
each day, which could produce locally higher winds and waves should
they occur.

Saturday-Sunday...Winds and seas are expected to remain below
SCA criteria for the weekend. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are possible especially Sunday.

Rip Currents...
There is a moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip
currents today. A long period easterly swell will continue
through most of the day; however, winds will become more
southerly during the afternoon. Despite the more southerly wind
component, wind speeds will increase. This, combined with the
long period easterly swell, should result in an elevated rip
current risk.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

Synopsis...O'Brien
Near Term...CMS
Short Term...Robertson
Long Term...O'Brien
Aviation...CMS/Robertson/O'Brien
Marine...CMS/Robertson/O'Brien

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1011 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>023-027-
PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-300215-
New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Cecil-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-
Caroline-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-
Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-
Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
1011 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, northern
Delaware, southern Delaware, northeast Maryland, central New
Jersey, northern New Jersey, northwest New Jersey, southern New
Jersey, east central Pennsylvania, northeast Pennsylvania and
southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Storms will be ending overnight, but an isolated severe storm is
possible through the early overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Another round of severe storms is expected Wednesday afternoon and
evening. Damaging winds and torrential rainfall are the primary
threats. Localized flooding may occur with the strongest storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-300215-
Delaware Beaches-Eastern Monmouth-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
1011 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Delaware, central
New Jersey and southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Storms will be ending overnight, but an isolated severe storm is
possible through the early overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Another round of severe storms is expected Wednesday afternoon and
evening. Damaging winds and torrential rainfall are the primary
threats. Localized flooding may occur with the strongest storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-431-450>455-300215-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1011 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters and
Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Storms will be ending overnight, but an isolated severe storm is
possible through the early overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Another round of severe storms is expected Wednesday afternoon and
evening. Very strong wind gusts are the primary threat with these
storms, with rough seas in proximity to storms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

CMS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
916 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0825 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 ENE STANHOPE          40.92N 74.68W
05/28/2019  M50 MPH          SUSSEX             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED WIND GUST OF 50 MPH BEFORE POWER
            WENT OUT. GUSTS BECAME HIGHER AFTER THE
            POWER WENT OUT.

&&

STAARMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
917 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BLAIRSTOWN TWP          40.99N 74.95W
05/28/2019                   WARREN             NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TREE DOWN BLOCKING ROADWAY AT ROUTE 94 AND
            VAIL RD.

0853 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BLAIRSTOWN TWP          40.99N 74.95W
05/28/2019                   WARREN             NJ   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ON CEDAR LAKE RD
            AND MOUNT HERMON RD.

0841 PM     HAIL             SEWELL                  39.77N 75.15W
05/28/2019  M0.70 INCH       GLOUCESTER         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0840 PM     HAIL             RANDOLPH, NJ            40.85N 74.57W
05/28/2019  E1.00 INCH       MORRIS             NJ   PUBLIC

0838 PM     HAIL             DEPTFORD TWP            39.83N 75.12W
05/28/2019  M1.25 INCH       GLOUCESTER         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0832 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 NW MENDHAM            40.81N 74.63W
05/28/2019                   MORRIS             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD AT
            THE BASE OF A ROTATING THUNDERSTORM.

0827 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E STANHOPE            40.91N 74.68W
05/28/2019                   SUSSEX             NJ   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREE REPORTED DOWN INTO A HOUSE ON HELEN
            STREET IN HOPATCONG. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

0825 PM     HAIL             HOPATCONG               40.94N 74.66W
05/28/2019  E0.70 INCH       SUSSEX             NJ   PUBLIC

0825 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 ENE STANHOPE          40.92N 74.68W
05/28/2019  M50 MPH          SUSSEX             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED WIND GUST OF 50 MPH BEFORE POWER
            WENT OUT. GUSTS BECAME HIGHER AFTER THE
            POWER WENT OUT.

0824 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE STANHOPE          40.92N 74.70W
05/28/2019                   SUSSEX             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            *** 1 INJ ***
            REPORT OF STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO THE LENAPE
            VALLEY HIGH SCHOOL. PEOPLE ARE TRAPPED
            INSIDE THE SCHOOL. INJURIES REPORTED, BUT
            EXACT NUMBER UNKNOWN. POSSIBLE TORNADO
            DAMAGE. NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN
            IN THE AREA AS WELL. POWER IS OUT ACROSS
            MOST OF THE AREA.

0820 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CEDARVILLE              39.33N 75.20W
05/28/2019                   CUMBERLAND         NJ   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0802 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W HOPEWELL TWP.       39.44N 75.29W
05/28/2019                   CUMBERLAND         NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS NUMEROUS TREES
            DOWN WEST OF BRIDGETON IN THE AREA OF
            ROADSTOWN ROAD AND RANDOLPH ROAD.

0740 PM     HAIL             PENNSVILLE              39.65N 75.52W
05/28/2019  E1.50 INCH       SALEM              NJ   PUBLIC

0735 PM     HAIL             PENNSVILLE              39.66N 75.52W
05/28/2019  M1.00 INCH       SALEM              NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0723 PM     HAIL             BRIDGETON               39.43N 75.23W
05/28/2019  E0.88 INCH       CUMBERLAND         NJ   PUBLIC

0720 PM     HAIL             ELMHURST                39.73N 75.59W
05/28/2019  M0.75 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

0718 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE EXTON              40.02N 75.62W
05/28/2019                   CHESTER            PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TREE DOWN ON PA-100.

0717 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DUNLINDEN ACRES         39.74N 75.64W
05/28/2019                   NEW CASTLE         DE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE INTO A HOUSE ON DUNCAN RD. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0715 PM     HAIL             CLELAND HEIGHTS         39.74N 75.57W
05/28/2019  M0.70 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   PUBLIC

0705 PM     HAIL             SALEM                   39.58N 75.47W
05/28/2019  M1.00 INCH       SALEM              NJ   PUBLIC

0702 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CLAYMONT                39.80N 75.46W
05/28/2019                   NEW CASTLE         DE   BROADCAST MEDIA

            *** 1 INJ ***
            A TREE FELL ONTO A TENT AT A CHURCH
            FESTIVAL. THE TREE STRUCK AND INJURED A
            MUSICIAN PLAYING INSIDE THE TENT AT THE
            TIME. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0648 PM     HAIL             SAINT GEORGES           39.56N 75.65W
05/28/2019  M1.50 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   PUBLIC

0644 PM     HAIL             1 NNE WEST GOSHEN       39.99N 75.57W
05/28/2019  M0.70 INCH       CHESTER            PA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

0635 PM     HAIL             1 N GLASGOW             39.62N 75.75W
05/28/2019  M1.00 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM 1 N
            GLASGOW TO ACCOUNT FOR AN INCREASE IN HAIL
            SIZE FOLLOWING THE INITIAL REPORT.

0630 PM     HAIL             EXTON                   40.03N 75.63W
05/28/2019  M1.00 INCH       CHESTER            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0604 PM     HAIL             2 NNW NEW MORGAN        40.22N 75.91W
05/28/2019  M1.50 INCH       BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

0556 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CAERNARVON TWP          40.15N 75.88W
05/28/2019                   BERKS              PA   911 CALL CENTER

            POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE IN CAERNARVON TWP
            AND MORGANTOWN WITH BUILDINGS AND HOMES
            DAMAGED AND NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0555 PM     TORNADO          MORGANTOWN              40.16N 75.89W
05/28/2019                   BERKS              PA   STORM CHASER

            SIGNIFICANT ROOF AND TREE DAMAGE REPORTED IN
            MORGANTOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0555 PM     HAIL             MORGANTOWN              40.16N 75.89W
05/28/2019  E2.00 INCH       BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

0550 PM     HAIL             READING                 40.33N 75.92W
05/28/2019  M1.00 INCH       BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

0545 PM     HAIL             WEST LAWN               40.33N 75.99W
05/28/2019  E1.75 INCH       BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

0536 PM     HAIL             WYOMISSING              40.34N 75.96W
05/28/2019  E1.00 INCH       BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

0536 PM     HAIL             WYOMISSING              40.33N 75.96W
05/28/2019  M1.75 INCH       BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

0535 PM     HAIL             WYOMISSING              40.33N 75.96W
05/28/2019  E1.50 INCH       BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

0533 PM     HAIL             1 S WEST WYOMISSING     40.32N 75.99W
05/28/2019  E1.25 INCH       BERKS              PA   COCORAHS

0532 PM     HAIL             WYOMISSING              40.33N 75.96W
05/28/2019  M0.88 INCH       BERKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0530 PM     HAIL             SINKING SPRING          40.33N 76.02W
05/28/2019  M1.00 INCH       BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

0530 PM     HAIL             SINKING SPRING          40.33N 76.01W
05/28/2019  E1.25 INCH       BERKS              PA   PUBLIC

0510 PM     HAIL             ROBESONIA               40.35N 76.13W
05/28/2019  M0.75 INCH       BERKS              PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JEO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
929 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 PM     HAIL             DENVILLE                40.86N 74.50W
05/28/2019  E1.25 INCH       MORRIS             NJ   PUBLIC

            HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

&&

STAARMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
940 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W MOUNT ARLINGTON     40.93N 74.65W
05/28/2019                   MORRIS             NJ   PUBLIC

            POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE ON BERTRAND ISLAND
            IN MOUNT ARLINGTON. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

&&

STAARMANN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1003 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

NJZ025-026-290215-
Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
1003 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ...

At 1003 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Tuckerton, or
13 miles northeast of Atlantic City, moving east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 3951 7428 3955 7426 3954 7431 3951 7429
      3951 7431 3947 7431 3949 7435 3952 7436
      3953 7433 3956 7433 3955 7432 3957 7428
      3956 7425 3958 7424 3958 7422
TIME...MOT...LOC 0203Z 283DEG 20KT 3952 7431

Gorse

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1030 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

NJZ020-026-027-290315-
Coastal Ocean-Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-
1030 PM EDT Tue May 28 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN OCEAN AND
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON COUNTIES...

At 1030 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Penn State
Forest, or 22 miles southwest of Toms River, moving east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Barnegat, Surf City, Brookville, Warren Grove, Penn State Forest,
Beach Haven West, Manahawkin, Ocean Acres and Waretown.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3979 7414 3977 7410 3979 7418 3974 7420
      3976 7410 3975 7410 3969 7419 3966 7418
      3969 7414 3964 7418 3966 7419 3965 7420
      3967 7421 3967 7422 3961 7420 3969 7456
      3978 7455 3981 7409
TIME...MOT...LOC 0230Z 282DEG 27KT 3973 7449

Gorse