Gale Watch 5, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

021 
WHUS71 KPHI 120215
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
915 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019


ANZ450-451-121515-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0020.190212T0500Z-190213T1100Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0005.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
915 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt
  tonight through Tuesday. Southwest winds becoming west Tuesday
  night, and then on Wednesday, west winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts
  up to 40 kt possible. Seas 7 to 10 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

ANZ452-453-121515-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0020.190212T0500Z-190213T1100Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0005.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
915 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt 
  tonight through Tuesday, then will become west Tuesday night. On
  Wednesday, west winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt 
  possible. Seas 7 to 10 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-121515-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0020.190212T0900Z-190212T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0005.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
915 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...South winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.
  Seas 2 to 4 feet. On Wednesday, west winds 20 to 30 kt with
  gusts up to 35 kt possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

ANZ454-455-121515-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0020.190212T0900Z-190212T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0005.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
915 PM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND SEAS...South winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt.
  Seas 5 to 8 feet. On Wednesday, west winds 20 to 30 kt with
  gusts up to 40 kt possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased, but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

$$

999 
WHUS71 KPHI 120842
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
342 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

ANZ450-451-122200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-190213T1100Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0005.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0006.190213T1100Z-190214T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
342 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Gale
Warning, which is in effect from 6 AM Wednesday to 6 AM EST
Thursday. The Gale Watch is no longer in effect.

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt
  today. Southwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt
  Wednesday and Wednesday night. Seas building to 6 to 9 feet
  today and tonight and slowly subsiding on Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ452-453-122200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-190213T1100Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0005.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0006.190213T1100Z-190214T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out
20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
342 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Gale
Warning, which is in effect from 6 AM Wednesday to 6 AM EST
Thursday. The Gale Watch is no longer in effect.

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt 
  today. Southwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt 
  Wednesday and Wednesday night. Seas building to 5 to 8 feet 
  today and tonight and slowly subsiding on Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-122200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0020.190212T0842Z-190212T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0005.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0006.190213T1100Z-190214T0500Z/
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
342 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Gale
Warning, which is in effect from 6 AM Wednesday to midnight EST
Wednesday night. The Gale Watch is no longer in effect.

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt 
  today. Southwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt on 
  Wednesday. Seas 2 to 4 feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ454-455-122200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0020.190212T0842Z-190213T1100Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0005.190213T1100Z-190213T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0006.190213T1100Z-190214T1100Z/
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
342 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Gale
Warning, which is in effect from 6 AM Wednesday to 6 AM EST
Thursday. The Gale Watch is no longer in effect.

* WINDS AND SEAS...East winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt
  today. Southwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt
  Wednesday and Wednesday night. Seas building to 5 to 8 feet
  today and tonight and slowly subsiding on Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occurring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Small Craft Advisory means that wind speeds of 25 to 33 knots
are expected to produce hazardous wave conditions to small craft.
Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels should avoid navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

CMS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1158 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Surface ridging related to arctic high pressure across eastern
Canada will persist across the forecast area through Monday as a
weak system pushes offshore. A stronger area of low pressure will
move into the Great Lakes region by Tuesday with a cold front
crossing the area Tuesday night. Low pressure moves northeast into
New England Wednesday then high pressure builds into the region
Thursday. Another low pressure system moves across the Great Lakes
Thursday night into Friday pushing a cold front through the forecast
area late Friday. Weak high pressure will settle into the region for
the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Will cancel the Winter Weather Advisory that was set to expire
at noon for the tier of counties in central Delmarva and Cape
May county, NJ. Temperatures continue to rise to and above
freezing, and precipitation is becoming light.

Otherwise, additional precip north of the I-95 corridor to
around I-195 will be light. Winter Weather Advisories currently
in effect are mainly for tonight through 1 pm Tuesday. Despite a
lull in precipitation that may last much of the day (especially
on the northern fringe of the advisory), the slippery
conditions present this morning and the potential for more snow
(followed by mixed precipitation by Tuesday morning) suggests
having the advisory expire and following it with another
advisory later may be rather confusing. The bottom line is that
societal impacts from this morning's event will likely continue
to some degree through the time in which more mixed
precipitation occurs tonight and Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
This is one of the most complicated forecasts of my admittedly
short career, largely owing to logistics, but lack of physical
understanding regarding what will transpire tonight through
tomorrow night is not far behind. We start with
watch/warning/advisory decisions this morning:

(1) Based on collaboration with CTP, BGM, and OKX, we will
continue the winter storm watch as is for Sussex (NJ), Carbon,
and Monroe Counties. This is based on remaining uncertainty with
snow and ice amounts Tuesday and Tuesday night.

(2) Berks, western Montgomery, upper Bucks, and Lehigh Counties
will be in a winter weather advisory from this evening through
early Tuesday evening based on expected onset of wintry
precipitation tonight and transition to mostly rain by Tuesday
evening.

(3) Hunterdon, Somerset, Middlesex, Monmouth, and Mercer
Counties will be in a winter weather advisory from midnight
tonight to early Tuesday evening.

(4) Northampton, Warren, and Morris Counties will be in a winter
weather advisory from midnight tonight to 1 am Wednesday.

(2)-(4) are based on the general onset timing and precipitation
transition of the latest NAM, NAM Nest, and hi-res simulations.

Forecast was based largely on a consensus blend of the coarser
and hi-res 00z/06z models, though additional weight was provided
to the NAM/NAM Nest, owing to its preferred evolution of the
low-level thermal profiles (and its generally good performance
in warm-advection events like the upcoming one).

In general, the overall thinking with precipitation Monday night
through Tuesday night has not changed considerably.
Unfortunately, this means that a large amount of uncertainty
remains, primarily with timing the changeovers from snow to
sleet to freezing rain. The general idea is for snow to spread
northeastward into southeast PA and adjacent portions of
southern New Jersey during the evening, followed by central
portions of New Jersey and eastern PA by or after midnight. As
strong advection continues during this period, a warm nose will
increasingly lead to a transition to sleet and/or freezing rain.
This looks to mainly occur late tonight and Tuesday morning,
generally near/north of the I-76 corridor (precipitation mostly
rain to the south). Mixed precipitation will spread rapidly
northward during the morning hours, and may linger through at
least early afternoon near and especially west of the
Philadelphia metro area. Eventually, warmer air will surge
sufficiently northward to scour the cold air south of the
I-276/I-195 corridors during the afternoon (at least, that is
what is forecast), but the cold air may prove to stick around
much of the day in the Lehigh Valley and northern New Jersey.

There are two main uncertainties to address, should the timing
above be in the ballpark. (1) How much of the precipitation
occurs as snow versus sleet versus freezing rain? (2) Are the
models handling the lingering surface cold air adequately? My
inclination is that snow accumulations may be hindered by
residual dry air from a stubborn surface high to the
north/northeast. However, once the precipitation gets going,
large-scale lift will be strong, so the snow may become moderate
to heavy at times before transition to a mix. The sleet signal
may also be overdone given the strength of the warm advection
aloft. The warm nose may become quite pronounced, especially if
cold air damming is as strong as (say) the NAM suggests. This
certainly makes me worry about icing potential, especially in
the far north (generally near and north of I-80). Though
considerable uncertainty remains with relative amounts of each
precipitation type, the combined effects of snow, sleet, and
freezing rain may be sufficient to produce warning-like impacts
despite no individual type meeting warning criteria. As such,
the winter storm watch remains in effect and it is possible
adjoining counties may be upgraded from the current advisory to
a warning in later forecasts.

Another concern is heavy rain in central/southern portions of
the CWA, though models have trended somewhat downward in this
regard. Some instances of flooding may occur, but this is a
secondary concern to the winter weather potential.

Precipitation winds down quickly Tuesday night as the associated
low(s) move northeastward. Lingering snow showers may continue
in the Poconos and vicinity through or past daybreak Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Few changes made to the long-term forecast. Main adjustments
were to increase winds on Wednesday and to lower temperatures
somewhat Wednesday and Wednesday night. Most of the previous
discussion follows...

Wednesday...The surface low lifts pretty quickly to the northeast
through the day on Wednesday. Overall, expect improving conditions
across our forecast area but some lingering showers may remain,
mainly across the southern Poconos, Lehigh Valley, and portions of
northwest New Jersey where the strong northwest flow aloft may drag
enough moisture and precip down from the Great Lakes. Bigger
concern is wind potential, with BUFKIT soundings showing
potential for 35-45 mph gusts. With potential icing the day
before in the northern/central CWA, these winds may be quite
impactful.

Wednesday night through Thursday...High pressure builds across the
southeast US and ridges up into the Mid-Atlantic. Relatively clear
conditions expected Wednesday night which will set up a decent
radiational cooling scenario. However, with winds remaining up as
opposed to going calm, it won't cool as much as it potentially could
and lows will only drop into the 20s. If winds go light overnight
there is the potential for temps to drop down into the teens. Warmer
air will stream northward on Thursday in a more west to southwest
flow and we should get back to closer to normal temperatures. Highs
on Thursday will rise into the  40s across most of the region with
some upper 30s across the higher elevations and lower 50s across
Delmarva.

The high will shift offshore and the east of our area Thursday
night. Increasing cloud cover in advance of the next system combined
with the southerly flow will keep overnight lows warmer and in the
upper 20s to mid 30s across the forecast area. Meanwhile, a low
pressure system will track across the plains states this week and
into the Ohio Valley by Friday.

Friday through Saturday...The surface low will push eastward through
Friday, crossing to the north of the region late Friday into
Saturday. As the low tracks into New York, the trailing cold front
will approach our area. Another low may form along the front as the
front crosses our area on Saturday. Warm air will surge across the
region ahead of the cold front so expect mainly plain rain to fall
across the forecast area as temperatures will rise into the 50s
across much of the region. However, there are some indications that
some cold air will linger across the higher elevations for a period
of time right at the onset and we could see some light freezing rain
occur before a changeover to plain rain. The models have backed off
a little bit on the start time, keeping the precip mainly arriving
after 12Z, but some light precip may move in ahead of the main
shield so keep a slight chance for some mixed precip at the onset
with a quick change to plain rain Friday morning. As the low departs
the region, colder air will arrive and precipitation may end as mix
of rain/snow or just snow before ending.

Sunday...The surface low settles to the north of our area but starts
to move ever so slowly northward as high pressure tries to build in
from the west. This will put a rather tight pressure gradient across
the region and Sunday looks to be a rather windy day across the
region. One hitch this far out is how fast the models move the
surface and upper level lows away from our area. The GFS is slower
than the ECMWF and also has a much deeper and stronger upper level
low. This would keep us windier for longer with a better chance at
some wrap around precip hanging around through Sunday and allow for
colder air to move across the region. Either way, cold air will find
its way back into the Mid-Atlantic and temperatures will drop
considerably from where they were at weeks end.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...Light snow will diminish this morning at the Philly
terminals for the most part, but there is a chance of
intermittent light snow at least this morning. Snow may be more
stubborn (i.e., last much of the day) at ILG/ACY/MIV. MVFR CIGs
may linger today at most sites, though some VFR CIGs may occur
at ABE/RDG/TTN. Winds becoming east or northeast below 10 kts.
Low confidence.

Tonight...Conditions deteriorating to low MVFR or IFR with snow
redeveloping from southwest to northeast. Transition to mixed
types is anticipated at the Philly terminals by daybreak. East
to northeast wind around 10 kts. Low confidence.

Tuesday...Prolonged sub-VFR with an array of precipitation types
during the day. General transition from snow to sleet to
freezing rain at PHL and northward, with predominantly rain at
ILG/ACY/MIV. East winds 10 to 20 kts. Low confidence.

Tuesday night...Sub-VFR likely, with precipitation winding down
late. Winds switching to west or southwest 10 to 15 kts. Low
confidence.

Outlook...

Wednesday...Mainly VFR conditions expected. West winds around 15 to
20 knots with gusts up to 35 knots possible. Winds will remain
up Wednesday night around 5 to 10 knots with gusts around 15 to
20 knots before dropping off late.

Thursday...VFR conditions expected. West winds around 5 to 10 knots
becoming southwest towards the afternoon and evening. Winds will
turn more to the south becoming light and variable overnight.

Friday...VFR conditions early will drop to MVFR/IFR in rain. Some
snow/freezing rain possible at KRDG and KABE Friday morning. South
to southeast winds around 5 to 10 knots with 10 to 15 knots closer
to the coast with higher gusts possible.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds should remain below advisory criteria through this
evening, but are expected to increase to advisory levels from
south to north late tonight. A small craft advisory is in effect
for Delaware Bay and the Delaware Atlantic waters from late
tonight through Tuesday. Farther north, there is potential for
gale-force gusts on Tuesday. Hence, we have issued a gale watch
for the New Jersey coastal waters during this time frame.

A brief lull will occur Tuesday night before winds switch to the
southwest and increase late. Gale conditions may occur by
Wednesday before slowly subsiding Wednesday night.

Outlook...

Thursday...South to southwest winds around 15 to 20 knots with
gusts up to 25 knots early with gusts falling below 25 knots
Thursday morning. Seas around 3 to 5 feet with a diminishing
trend through the day.

Friday...South winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts around 25 to 30 knots
possible during the afternoon and evening. Seas 2 to 4 feet building
to 3 to 5 feet on Friday. A Small Craft Advisory may be needed.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 1 AM EST
     Wednesday for PAZ062.
     Winter Weather Advisory until noon EST Tuesday for PAZ070-071-
     101-102-104-106.
     Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through late Tuesday
     night for PAZ054-055.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST
     Tuesday for PAZ060-061-103-105.
NJ...Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 1 AM EST
     Wednesday for NJZ007-008.
     Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 7 PM EST
     Tuesday for NJZ009-010-012>015.
     Winter Weather Advisory until noon EST Tuesday for NJZ016>022-
     025>027.
     Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through late Tuesday
     night for NJZ001.
DE...Winter Weather Advisory until noon EST Tuesday for DEZ001.
MD...Winter Weather Advisory until noon EST Tuesday for MDZ008.
MARINE...Gale Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday afternoon for
     ANZ450>453.
     Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to 6 PM EST Tuesday for ANZ430-
     431-454-455.

&&

Synopsis...Staarmann
Near Term...CMS/MPS/Staarmann
Short Term...CMS
Long Term...CMS/Meola
Aviation...CMS/Meola/MPS/Staarmann
Marine...CMS/Meola/MPS/Staarmann

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1149 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-121700-
Sussex-Carbon-Monroe-
1149 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New Jersey and
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

There is a chance of light snow tonight, which may affect the
commute Monday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

Snow will develop tonight, and it should change to sleet and
freezing rain on Tuesday. The precipitation is expected to come to an
end on Tuesday night.

Some locations may receive a significant accumulation of snow and
ice, especially in the elevated terrain.

The wintry precipitation will likely affect the morning and evening
commutes on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-061-103-105-121700-
Berks-Lehigh-Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-
1149 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Pennsylvania and
southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

There is a chance of light snow tonight, which may affect the
commute Monday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Snow will develop tonight, and it should change to sleet and
freezing rain on Tuesday. The precipitation may change over to all
rain along and to the south of Interstate 78. The precipitation is
expected to come to an end on Tuesday night.

The wintry precipitation will likely affect the morning and evening
commutes on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-008-PAZ062-121700-
Warren-Morris-Northampton-
1149 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New Jersey and east
central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

There is a chance of light snow tonight, which may affect the
commute Monday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Snow will develop tonight, and it should change to sleet and
freezing rain on Tuesday. The precipitation may change over to all
rain along and to the south of Interstate 78. The precipitation is
expected to come to an end on Tuesday night.

The wintry precipitation will likely affect the morning and evening
commutes on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-106-121700-
Western Chester-Lower Bucks-
1149 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

A mix of snow, sleet, and perhaps freezing rain is forecast to
develop tonight before changing to rain for Tuesday. The wintry
precipitation is expected to impact the Tuesday morning commute.

Rain could be heavy at times on Tuesday and Tuesday night, with
localized flooding possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-010-012>015-121700-
Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-
Mercer-
1149 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 PM
EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey, northern
New Jersey and northwest New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

There is a chance of light snow tonight, which may affect the
commute Monday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Snow will develop tonight, and it should change to sleet and
freezing rain on Tuesday. The precipitation may change over to all
rain along and to the south of Interstate 78. The precipitation is
expected to come to an end on Tuesday night.

The wintry precipitation will likely affect the morning and evening
commutes on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-MDZ012-015-NJZ023-024-121700-
Kent-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
1149 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, northeast
Maryland and southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A wintry mix is forecast to develop tonight, and it should change to
all rain by Tuesday afternoon. Rain could be heavy at times on
Tuesday and Tuesday evening, with localized flooding possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>022-025>027-PAZ070-071-102-104-121700-
New Castle-Cecil-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-
Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-Eastern Chester-
Eastern Montgomery-
1149 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Delaware, northeast
Maryland, southern New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

A wintry mix is forecast to develop tonight, and it should change to
all rain by Tuesday afternoon. Rain could be heavy at times on
Tuesday and Tuesday evening, with localized flooding possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-004-MDZ019-020-121700-
Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Talbot-Caroline-
1149 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Delaware and
northeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-431-454-455-121700-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
1149 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters and
Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450>453-121700-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
1149 AM EST Mon Feb 11 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.