Alert archive / New Jersey / Flash Flood Warnings in 2019
Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 11, 2019, 6:47 PM EDT for Essex County, Union County, New Jersey. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 11, 2019, 6:47 PM EDT (22:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 11, 2019, 8:51 PM EDT
- In force
- 2 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Essex County, NJ, Union County, NJ
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 93 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -47 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 911 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 28 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 34 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
632
WGUS51 KOKX 112247
FFWOKX
NJC013-039-120145-
/O.NEW.KOKX.FF.W.0006.190711T2247Z-190712T0145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
647 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Union County in northeastern New Jersey...
Southern Essex County in northeastern New Jersey...
* Until 945 PM EDT.
* At 647 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Up to two inches of rain have
already fallen. Additional heavy rainfall will move across the
warned area this evening. Flash flooding is expected to begin
shortly.
* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Newark, Elizabeth, Plainfield, Linden, Summit, Millburn, Clark,
Union, Irvington, Westfield, Livingston, Rahway, Maplewood, Scotch
Plains and Cranford.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.
&&
LAT...LON 4061 7431 4060 7446 4062 7442 4066 7440
4067 7440 4066 7442 4066 7444 4065 7445
4067 7446 4074 7437 4076 7436 4076 7438
4079 7437 4081 7435 4073 7415 4060 7423
4060 7426 4059 7429
$$
MD1 follow-up statement
809
WGUS71 KOKX 120051
FFSOKX
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
851 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
NJC013-039-120101-
/O.CAN.KOKX.FF.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190712T0145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Union NJ-Essex NJ-
851 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR UNION AND SOUTHERN ESSEX COUNTIES IS
CANCELLED...
The heavy rain has ended and waters are continuing to recede. Please
refer to the flood advisory in effect for the area, and continue to
heed any remaining road closures.
LAT...LON 4061 7431 4060 7446 4062 7442 4066 7440
4067 7440 4066 7442 4066 7444 4065 7445
4067 7446 4074 7437 4076 7436 4076 7438
4079 7437 4081 7435 4073 7415 4060 7423
4060 7426 4059 7429
$$
MDWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 11, 3:44 PM EDT, 3 hours 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 3:44 PM EDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
344 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front slowly approaches from the west tonight, and
passes on Friday. High pressure will build into Saturday. A
weak cold front will then move across on Sunday. High pressure
will return for Monday, followed by another weak frontal system
for the mid-week period.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
Heavy rain looks to continue over nern NJ into this evening, as
additional rainfall southwest of the area is poised to
overspread the region. This could result in significant rainfall
amounts in this portion of the forecast area.
Elsewhere, precipitable water will increase to close to 2.5
inches this evening. This will allow for torrential rainfall
rates of an inch or more per hour where thunderstorms occur. As
the right rear quadrant of the upper jet comes through this
evening, this should allow for convection to impact all of the
area.
While flooding will remain the primary threat, there is also the
potential for isolated severe, particularly this evening, when
swrn portions of the area get into the higher CAPE airmass and
the threat for wet microbursts increases. Very low chance for a
weak spinup even through the overnight with the hint of a
meso-low perhaps tracking across Long Island.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As the likely convective complex exits Friday morning, the cold
front and upper trough axis will still need to pass. This is
likely to spark isolated to scattered thunderstorms during the
day. Timing may may be impacted by any compensation subsidence
in the area. Bulk shear is relatively weak, at 20-25 kt at 0-6
km in the NAM, but CAPE is decent and DCAPE is huge as dry air
becomes entrained in the mid levels. If these parameters play
out as the NAM suggests, there will be downburst potential with
any thunderstorms.
Dry Friday night with the system out to sea. The NBM was used
for temperatures with a northwest flow likely keep the area from
achieving prime radiational cooling.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Dry and seasonably warm/hot weather is expected through much of the
period. Temperatures should average a few degrees above normal
(especially day time max temps) through the period.
Weak shortwave and associated cold front pass late Saturday night
into Sunday. However, do not expect any shower/tstm activity with
this weak/dry feature.
Heights rise early to mid week next week ahead of the remnants of
tropical cyclone Barry. Southwest to west flow aloft will allow the
moisture from the tropical system to advect into our region, with an
increase in humidity levels and the chances for locally heavy
rainfall as early as Wednesday. Any impacts will largely depend on
the timing of the system, but the progression will need to be
monitored.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Showers and thunderstorms further increase with the approach of a
warm front through this afternoon and evening. Warm front moves
across tonight and cold front moves across Friday. KEWR, KTEB, KSWF
mostly have showers and thunderstorms this afternoon into tonight.
These will move into the rest of city terminals 21-23Z and terminals
to the east thereafter. MVFR to IFR conditions can be expected
within this activity and associated heavy downpours and it will
continue into the first half of this evening. Showers and
thunderstorms are forecast overnight as well but timing is quite
uncertain with these. They will be tapering off west to east early
Friday, with most showers and thunderstorms being east of NYC
terminals.
S winds around 10-15 kt will back around to the SE into this evening
with the approach of the warm front. A few gusts in the 15-20kt
range will also be possible through the rest of the afternoon.
NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support...
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90
KJFK TAF Comments: Amendments likely to refine timing of showers and
thunderstorms. TSRA could occur 1-3 hrs outside of TEMPO group
timing.
KLGA TAF Comments: Amendments likely to refine timing of showers and
thunderstorms. TSRA could occur 1-3 hrs outside of TEMPO group
timing.
KEWR TAF Comments: Amendments likely to refine timing of showers and
thunderstorms. TSRA could occur 1-3 hrs outside of TEMPO group
timing.
KTEB TAF Comments: Amendments likely to refine timing of showers and
thunderstorms. TSRA could occur 1-3 hrs outside of TEMPO group
timing.
KHPN TAF Comments: Amendments likely to refine timing of showers and
thunderstorms. TSRA could occur 1-3 hrs outside of TEMPO group
timing.
KISP TAF Comments: Amendments likely to refine timing of showers and
thunderstorms. TSRA could occur 1-3 hrs outside of TEMPO group
timing.
.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
.Friday afternoon...Becoming VFR, iso-sct showers and thunderstorms
east of city terminals ending by late afternoon.
.Friday night through Tuesday...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
In the near term, tstms tonight could pose a hazard, with gusty
winds, lighting strikes and reduces visibility in torrential
rainfall. Otherwise, winds and seas should remain below SCA
levels through Tue.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Locally heavy rainfall can be expected through tonight. Although
basin average amounts of only around an inch are forecast,
locally higher amounts of 3 inches or more are possible.
Rainfall rates exceeding 1 inch per hour are likely at times. A
flood watch remains in effect for NJ and NYC zones.
Potential for locally heavy rainfall and urban, low lying and poor
drainage flooding may increase by the mid to late week as tropical
moisture moves into the region.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) remains off
the air.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...Flash Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Friday for NYZ072>075-176-178.
NJ...Flash Flood Watch until 2 AM EDT Friday for NJZ002-004-006-
103>108.
MARINE...None.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 11, 12:50 PM EDT, 5 hours 57 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service New York NY 1250 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019 NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ072>075-176-178-121700- Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)- Northern Queens-Southern Queens- 1250 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flash Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. CTZ005>012-NYZ067>071-078>081-177-179-121700- Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Orange-Putnam-Rockland- Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-Northwestern Suffolk- Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk- Northern Nassau-Southern Nassau- 1250 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut and southeast New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Showers and thunderstorms with an approaching warm front late today into tonight could produce heavy rain capable of causing localized flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-121700- Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY- Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY- New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays- South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay- Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm- Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm- Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm- 1250 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 11, 3:57 PM EDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
357 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0344 PM FLASH FLOOD NEWARK 40.72N 74.17W
07/11/2019 ESSEX NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
FLOODING ON NJ 21 BOTH DIRECTIONS IN THE AREA OF I-280.
ALL LANES CLOSED AND DETOURED.
&&
CJBLocal storm report, Jul 11, 4:03 PM EDT, 2 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
403 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0344 PM FLASH FLOOD EAST NEWARK 40.75N 74.17W
07/11/2019 ESSEX NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
FLOODING ON NJ 21 BOTH DIRECTIONS IN THE AREA OF I-280.
ALL LANES CLOSED AND DETOURED.
&&
CORRECTED LOCATION
CJBLocal storm report, Jul 11, 4:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
445 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0432 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SSW LAKE VIEW 40.88N 74.15W
07/11/2019 PASSAIC NJ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
FLOODING ON US 46 IN BOTH DIRECTIONS EAST OF CR
628/PIAGET AVENUE. ALL LANES CLOSED.
&&
CJBSpecial weather statement, Jul 11, 5:21 PM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
521 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
NJZ004-103>105-112145-
Western Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Bergen-Eastern Passaic-
521 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2019
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN PASSAIC AND BERGEN
COUNTIES...
At 520 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Wayne, moving
northeast at 15 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm. Rotation has
been noted on radar.
Locations impacted include...
Paterson, Wayne, Bergenfield, Paramus, Ridgewood, Ramsey, Hawthorne,
Oradell, Norwood, Clifton, Fair Lawn, Garfield, Elmwood Park, Dumont
and Wyckoff.
LAT...LON 4091 7430 4091 7429 4090 7428 4090 7427
4091 7427 4093 7429 4095 7428 4100 7428
4101 7427 4102 7427 4107 7425 4112 7418
4102 7395 4096 7390 4095 7391 4083 7423
TIME...MOT...LOC 2120Z 233DEG 11KT 4095 7423
MDLocal storm report, Jul 11, 5:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
535 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 W NORTH ARLINGTON 40.79N 74.14W
07/11/2019 BERGEN NJ SOCIAL MEDIA
RIVER ROAD AT HENDEL AVENUE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
&&
CJBLocal storm report, Jul 11, 6:43 PM EDT, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
643 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0530 PM FLASH FLOOD POMPTON 40.99N 74.29W
07/11/2019 PASSAIC NJ LAW ENFORCEMENT
RAMAPO AVENUE AT WHITNEY AVENUE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
&&
CJBThe office that day
Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 3:55 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Passaic, Union | 18 hr |
| Jul 11, 2:15 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | Bergen, Essex | 30 min |
| Jul 11, 2:23 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Essex, Hudson, Union | 3 hr |
| Jul 11, 2:34 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Essex | 6 hr |
| Jul 11, 3:53 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | Bergen, Essex | 37 min |
| Jul 11, 4:09 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Bergen, Passaic | 3 hr |
| Jul 11, 4:35 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Bergen, Passaic | 81 min |
| Jul 11, 4:48 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Bergen, Passaic | 4 hr |
| Jul 11, 5:00 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Passaic | 4 hr |
| Jul 11, 5:21 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | OKX | Bergen | 24 min |
| Jul 11, 5:25 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Essex, Hudson, Union | 87 min |
| Jul 11, 7:07 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Union | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2019Every flash flood warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.