River Flood Warning 15, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1200 PM CST Wed Feb 20 2019

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms continue to rumble across the Mid State
this morning, with more streaming northeast out of MS/north AL.
Instability remains greatest across our southern counties,
reflected by a good bit of lightning and heavier rain rates there.
Reports of street flooding are becoming more prevalent, too, as
rain moves across some of the same locations. Areas north of I-40
and west of I-24 are already seeing an end to the heavier
rainfall, and this drying trend will slowly spread eastward later
this morning into the afternoon. Hi-res guidance pushes the main
swath of rain east of I-65 by late afternoon/early evening, so the
forecast was tweaked to reflect this slightly faster solution.

High temperatures were adjusted down a degree or so in spots to
reflect rain and cloud cover persistence through the day.
Otherwise, the forecast remains in good shape.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Generally, IFR conditions continue late this morning as rain and a
few storms move across the terminals. VIS have also been reduced
under heavier pockets of rain. Expect a slow decrease in rain
coverage, west to east, after 19-20z. CIGs will remain IFR to MVFR
at times for the rest of today and into the overnight before
improving to VFR everywhere by 10-13z (except at CSV). Gusts from
the west 20-25 kts will quickly subside this evening as winds turn
out of the north.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for Bedford-Cannon-
Cheatham-Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-
Fentress-Giles-Grundy-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lawrence-
Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Overton-Perry-Pickett-
Putnam-Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Van
Buren-Warren-Wayne-White-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

DISCUSSION......Schaper
AVIATION........Schaper

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
506 AM CST Wed Feb 20 2019

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-211115-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
506 AM CST Wed Feb 20 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Flash flooding and rises on creeks and rivers will be possible
this morning and early afternoon as waves of heavy rainfall
impact the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

More rain will bring a continued threat of flash flooding Friday
morning through Saturday night. Additional rainfall totals of 2 to
4 inches will be possible across Middle Tennessee. These totals,
combined with the recent rainfall and already saturated ground,
could lead to significant flooding across the area.

Some strong to potentially severe thunderstorms may affect parts
of Middle Tennessee on Saturday or Saturday night. Damaging winds
and flooding will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed from Tuesday through
Sunday due to the potential for flooding.

11

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1035 AM CST WED FEB 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1033 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MURFREESBORO            35.85N  86.39W
02/20/2019                   RUTHERFORD         TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MORE ROAD CLOSURES: 4300 BLOCK ELAM ROAD, WEST
            JEFFERSON PIKE AND POWELLS CHURCH ROAD, BLACKMAN ROAD AT
            BASS ROAD, AND SULPHER SPRING ROAD AT SHACKLETT ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1900124

FBORDEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1038 AM CST WED FEB 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1033 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MURFREESBORO            35.85N  86.39W
02/20/2019                   RUTHERFORD         TN   AMATEUR RADIO

            SULPHUR SPRING ROAD BESIDES LEANNE CHURCH OF CHRIST IS
            FLOODED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1900125

FBORDEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1039 AM CST WED FEB 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 AM     FLOOD            1 N CHARLOTTE           36.20N  87.35W
02/20/2019                   DICKSON            TN   MEDIA

            ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING IN CHARLOTTE AT THE
            INTERSECTION OF HAFNER ROAD AND HWY 48 N.

0635 AM     FLOOD            NOLENSVILLE             35.95N  86.65W
02/20/2019                   WILLIAMSON         TN   SOCIAL MEDIA

            PORTIONS OF KIDD ROAD REPORTEDLY UNDERWATER

0725 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FRANKLIN                35.93N  86.84W
02/20/2019                   WILLIAMSON         TN   MEDIA

            REPORT OF ROAD CLOSURE DUE TO HIGH WATER AND FLOODING
            CHESTNUT LANE AND MAPLE DRIVE.

0746 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SSE LEBANON           36.17N  86.30W
02/20/2019                   WILSON             TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            RESIDENTS OF TIMERLINE CAMPGROUND EVACUATED DUE TO
            SINKING CREEK OUT OF ITS BANK.

0816 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SPRING HILL             35.74N  86.92W
02/20/2019                   MAURY              TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTS OF ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING, OLD
            KEYDREN ROAD BETWEEN DUPLEX AND KEIDRON ROAD.

0817 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NNW LIVINGSTON        36.42N  85.34W
02/20/2019                   OVERTON            TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTS OF ROADS CLOSED IN OVERTON COUNTY. TOWER HILL,
            BRADFORD HICKS DRIVE, NORTH OAK STREET.

0850 AM     FLASH FLOOD      6 S MURFREESBORO        35.77N  86.37W
02/20/2019                   RUTHERFORD         TN   MESONET

            REPORT OF THE FOLLOWING ROADS BEING CLOSED IN
            RUTHERFORD COUNTY DUE TO FLOODING. STONES RIVER SLAB,
            COUNTY FARM AT ELAM ROAD, VAUGHT AT CRIPPLE CREEK,
            KEDRON CHURCH, AND ELAM SLAB.

0905 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WNW NASHBORO VILLAGE  36.11N  86.67W
02/20/2019                   DAVIDSON           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF KNAPP BLVD NEAR DONALDSON PIKE CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING.

0926 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MURFREESBORO            35.85N  86.39W
02/20/2019                   RUTHERFORD         TN   AMATEUR RADIO

            MORE ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO FLOODING IN RUTHERFORD
            COUNTY: JAMESTOWN HIGHWAY NEAR MEMORIAL GARDEN DRIVE.

0928 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LEBANON                 36.21N  86.32W
02/20/2019                   WILSON             TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ALSUP MILL AT BALDY FORD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

1000 AM     HEAVY RAIN       BELLEVUE                36.06N  86.94W
02/20/2019  M2.05 INCH       DAVIDSON           TN   AMATEUR RADIO

            MEASURED REPORT FROM A HAM OPERATOR OF 2.05" IN 24
            HOURS, AND 1.28" SINCE MIDNIGHT.

1010 AM     FLASH FLOOD      NOLENSVILLE             35.95N  86.65W
02/20/2019                   WILLIAMSON         TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BRITTAIN LANE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING AT THE MILL CREEK
            BRIDGE.

1015 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LA VERGNE               36.00N  86.57W
02/20/2019                   RUTHERFORD         TN   AMATEUR RADIO

            REPORT OF ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING AT APPLE STREET
            AND OLD HICKORY HIGHWAY.

1033 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MURFREESBORO            35.85N  86.39W
02/20/2019                   RUTHERFORD         TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MORE ROAD CLOSURES: 4300 BLOCK ELAM ROAD, WEST
            JEFFERSON PIKE AND POWELLS CHURCH ROAD, BLACKMAN ROAD AT
            BASS ROAD, AND SULPHER SPRING ROAD AT SHACKLETT ROAD.

1033 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MURFREESBORO            35.85N  86.39W
02/20/2019                   RUTHERFORD         TN   AMATEUR RADIO

            SULPHUR SPRING ROAD BESIDES LEANNE CHURCH OF CHRIST IS
            FLOODED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1900111 OHX1900112 OHX1900113 OHX1900114 OHX1900115
OHX1900116 OHX1900118 OHX1900117 OHX1900119 OHX1900120 OHX1900121
OHX1900122 OHX1900123 OHX1900124 OHX1900125

fborden

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1247 PM CST WED FEB 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NE CENTERTOWN         35.76N  85.88W
02/20/2019                   WARREN             TN   AMATEUR RADIO

            KNIGHT ROAD IMPASSABLE AT CHARLES CREEK

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1900126

UNGER

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1254 PM CST WED FEB 20 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 AM     FLASH FLOOD      NASHVILLE               36.17N  86.78W
02/20/2019                   DAVIDSON           TN   AMATEUR RADIO

            MILL CREEK OVER ITS BANK AND SPILLING INTO LOW LYING
            AREAS BRILEY PARKWAY AND MILL CREEK OVERPASS NEAR I-24

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1900128

UNGER