Flash Flood Warning 40, NWS Nashville, TN

355 
WGUS74 KOHX 222306
FFSOHX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
606 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

TNC055-099-101-135-181-230115-
/O.CON.KOHX.FF.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190623T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lewis TN-Wayne TN-Lawrence TN-Giles TN-Perry TN-
606 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL LEWIS...WAYNE...LAWRENCE...WESTERN GILES AND
SOUTHWESTERN PERRY COUNTIES...

At 603 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area.  Flash flooding is likely occurring. 
Areas in Wayne County have received up to 3 inches of rain in the 
last one and a half hours. More heavy rain is moving into western 
and central Wayne County.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Lawrenceburg, Waynesboro, Loretto, Collinwood, Clifton, St. Joseph,
Minor Hill, Ethridge, Henryville, Cypress Inn, Lutts, Leoma,
Westpoint and Iron City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3501 8799 3529 8798 3530 8802 3535 8801
      3539 8802 3539 8799 3541 8797 3544 8804
      3543 8780 3542 8708 3500 8712

$$

10

573 
WGUS74 KOHX 222349
FFSOHX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
649 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

TNC101-135-222357-
/O.CAN.KOHX.FF.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190623T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lewis TN-Perry TN-
649 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LEWIS AND SOUTHWESTERN
PERRY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to
heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3501 8799 3529 8798 3530 8802 3535 8801
      3539 8802 3539 8799 3541 8797 3538 8708
      3500 8712

$$

TNC055-099-181-230115-
/O.CON.KOHX.FF.W.0040.000000T0000Z-190623T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wayne TN-Lawrence TN-Giles TN-
649 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT FOR
WAYNE...LAWRENCE AND WESTERN GILES COUNTIES...

At 647 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms continuing to 
produce heavy rain across the warned area. Radar estimates up to 
four inches of rain have fallen this afternoon across central and 
southern Wayne County and western Lawrence Counties. Flash flooding 
is expected to begin shortly.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Lawrenceburg, Waynesboro, Loretto, Collinwood, Clifton, St. Joseph,
Minor Hill, Ethridge, Cypress Inn, Lutts, Leoma, Westpoint and Iron
City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 3501 8799 3529 8798 3530 8802 3535 8801
      3539 8802 3539 8799 3541 8797 3538 8708
      3500 8712

$$

Shamburger

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
449 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

One line of showers and thunderstorms down, (hopefully only) one
more to go today. After this morning's line move out of Middle TN,
many west of I-65 have had a chance to recover. Skies cleared out
and temperatures close to the TN River have climbed back into the
low 80s. Coupled with dew points in the low 70s, an instability
gradient has developed across our western counties of Middle TN.
Looking upstream, today's second line of showers and thunderstorms
are already plowing through Western KY and approaching NW portions
of the mid-state. While nothing has been warned on as of this
writing, storms have yet to get into some of the higher
instabilities. That said, shear values are still meager in this
same region. This should reduce the potential for any widespread
severe storms, however building MLCAPE values will do nothing but
fuel these storms as they enter our western counties. For these
reasons, we'll continue to highlight the potential for strong
storms (mainly west of I-65) through early this evening with a
small chance of an isolated severe wind gust.

Once we get through this evening, we should get at least an
overnight lull, if not most of tomorrow. The problem with that, some
models are hinting at another wave Sunday evening and if we see a
full day of heating without rain, we could be dealing with more
severe weather tomorrow evening. At this point, due to serious model
uncertainty, we'll just carry a chance PoP Sunday afternoon and
really focus PoPs into Monday morning. Yes, Monday, too. While it
looks like Monday will be wet, there is a silver lining -- it could
be a pattern changer. Both the GFS and Euro are showing an upper
level system swinging through here Monday and while I can't say the
rest of the week will be dry, at least we should be able to get back
into the normal diurnal pattern of afternoon/evening showers and
thunderstorms versus having to deal with the northwesterly approach
of system after system.

If this does occur as currently being shown and we can get this
pattern change, it will come with the return of normal summertime
temperatures. Will maintain 90s returning to Middle TN by mid-
week and they should stick around for awhile.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Scattered showers and tstms moving through the area at the current
time. Most of the activity is generally along and south of I-40.
There is some mid and upper level ridging moving in so we will
continue to see the activity end from north to south. Initially
will only include convection near CSV until around 1z or 2z.
Another weak disturbance may move through aft 12z but will only
include vcnty to cover that for now.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......21
AVIATION........21

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1222 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-231730-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
1222 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Rain and thunderstorms, some strong to severe, are possible late
this afternoon through the evening hours. Damaging winds will be
the primary concern, along with hail and heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Heat index values will again approach 100 degrees in the
afternoon on Sunday, and may get to the low 100s in and around
the Nashville metro area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

27

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
322 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

TNZ006-007-026-222100-
Robertson TN-Cheatham TN-Montgomery TN-
322 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MONTGOMERY...NORTHERN CHEATHAM
AND WESTERN ROBERTSON COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

At 322 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Oak Grove, moving southeast at 55 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Clarksville, Springfield, Ashland City, Coopertown, Pleasant View,
Adams, Cedar Hill and Woodlawn.

This includes Interstate 24 between mile markers 1 and 31.

LAT...LON 3653 8680 3639 8689 3639 8691 3637 8691
      3623 8700 3656 8761 3664 8755 3664 8708
TIME...MOT...LOC 2022Z 298DEG 47KT 3664 8741

Shamburger

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
355 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

TNZ056-093-222130-
Wayne TN-Perry TN-
355 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN WAYNE AND SOUTHERN
PERRY COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

At 355 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southeast of Decaturville, or 12 miles southwest of Linden,
moving east at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Waynesboro, Linden, Clifton and Flatwoods.

LAT...LON 3547 8802 3548 8799 3551 8798 3553 8798
      3560 8803 3561 8766 3555 8769 3550 8770
      3550 8772 3548 8771 3529 8778 3538 8802
      3539 8802 3539 8799 3540 8797 3541 8798
      3543 8803 3545 8804
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 282DEG 27KT 3550 8801

10

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
426 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0345 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 E CLARKSVILLE         36.56N  87.20W
06/22/2019                   MONTGOMERY         TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE BLOWN DOWN ON A CAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1900386

21

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
500 PM CDT SAT JUN 22 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 S SPRINGFIELD         36.44N  86.88W
06/22/2019  E60 MPH          ROBERTSON          TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER ESTIMATES 60 MPH WIND GUST.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1900387

21