Severe Thunderstorm Warning 73, NWS Twin Cities, MN

792 
WWUS53 KMPX 010441
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1141 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

MNC019-085-143-010515-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190701T0515Z/
Sibley MN-McLeod MN-Carver MN-
1141 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN SIBLEY...NORTHEASTERN MCLEOD AND CARVER COUNTIES...

At 1140 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Lester Prairie to near Norwood Young America to
near Green Isle to 6 miles west of Henderson, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

These severe storms will be near...
  Mayer around 1145 PM CDT.
  Watertown and Cologne around 1150 PM CDT.
  Waconia and Carver around 1155 PM CDT.
  Chaska, Chanhassen and Victoria around 1200 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4446 9426 4466 9417 4490 9422 4496 9377
      4489 9376 4489 9352 4480 9354 4480 9357
      4476 9362 4471 9362 4459 9389 4455 9391
      4451 9388 4446 9393
TIME...MOT...LOC 0440Z 268DEG 48KT 4485 9400 4474 9391 4463 9395 4450
9403

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BORGHOFF

237 
WWUS53 KMPX 010448
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1148 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

MNC085-010457-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190701T0515Z/
McLeod MN-
1148 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MCLEOD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for
south central, central and east central Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4446 9411 4469 9400 4492 9401 4496 9377
      4489 9376 4489 9352 4480 9354 4480 9357
      4476 9362 4471 9362 4459 9389 4455 9391
      4451 9388 4446 9393
TIME...MOT...LOC 0447Z 251DEG 48KT 4486 9391 4476 9380 4464 9383 

$$

MNC019-143-010515-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190701T0515Z/
Sibley MN-Carver MN-
1148 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN SIBLEY AND CARVER COUNTIES...

At 1147 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Mayer to Cologne to near Belle Plaine, moving
east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

These severe storms will be near...
  Chaska and Carver around 1200 AM CDT.
  Chanhassen, Victoria and Minnetrista around 1205 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These are potentially deadly storms. Seek shelter in an interior room
on the lowest floor of a well-built structure. Abandon vehicles in
search of a more substantial permanent structure. Stay away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 4446 9411 4469 9400 4492 9401 4496 9377
      4489 9376 4489 9352 4480 9354 4480 9357
      4476 9362 4471 9362 4459 9389 4455 9391
      4451 9388 4446 9393
TIME...MOT...LOC 0447Z 251DEG 48KT 4486 9391 4476 9380 4464 9383 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

BORGHOFF

028 
WWUS53 KMPX 010500
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1200 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2019

MNC143-010509-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190701T0515Z/
Sibley MN-
1200 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN SIBLEY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for
east central Minnesota.

LAT...LON 4467 9372 4477 9373 4490 9379 4491 9376
      4489 9376 4489 9352 4480 9354 4480 9357
      4476 9362 4471 9362
TIME...MOT...LOC 0459Z 249DEG 46KT 4488 9364 4481 9360 4472 9362 

$$

MNC019-010515-
/O.CON.KMPX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190701T0515Z/
Carver MN-
1200 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN CARVER COUNTY...

At 1159 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Victoria to Chaska to near Carver, moving east at 55
mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile 
         homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

These severe thunderstorms will remain over mainly rural areas of
eastern Carver County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4467 9372 4477 9373 4490 9379 4491 9376
      4489 9376 4489 9352 4480 9354 4480 9357
      4476 9362 4471 9362
TIME...MOT...LOC 0459Z 249DEG 46KT 4488 9364 4481 9360 4472 9362 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

BORGHOFF

038 
WWUS53 KMPX 010509
SVSMPX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1209 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2019

MNC019-010519-
/O.EXP.KMPX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-190701T0515Z/
Carver MN-
1209 AM CDT Mon Jul 1 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN CARVER COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 1215 AM CDT...
    
The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 400 AM CDT for
east central Minnesota.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
The Twin Cities.

LAT...LON 4467 9372 4477 9373 4490 9379 4491 9376
      4489 9376 4489 9352 4480 9354 4480 9357
      4476 9362 4471 9362
TIME...MOT...LOC 0509Z 270DEG 43KT 4488 9348 4481 9344 4472 9346 

$$

BORGHOFF

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
649 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 247 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

The convective complex of showers and thunderstorms stabilized at
least the central/eastern portion of the forecast area, but will
be keeping a close eye on storms that develop over west/south
central MN this afternoon and evening given the high instability
that remains there.

Tonight we expect a more concentrated area of storms to move into
west/central MN from South Dakota, as a mid-level shortwave
intersects the quasi-stationary frontal boundary. The primary
threat will transition to heavy rain as strong low-level moisture
transport noses into the area and storms potentially train along
the boundary. Given precipitable water values and progged QPF, it
appears that a 2-4 inch band of rain is possible somewhere in
central MN. However, at this point do not have enough confidence
on where that would setup so have held off on a flash/flood watch
for now.

On Monday shower and thunderstorm chances will continue with the
stalled front over southern MN and continued ripples passing the
westerly mid-level flow regime. The threat for strong/severe
storms will still exist from southern MN into west central WI,
particularly with afternoon/evening destabilization in the warm
sector.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 247 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

Few changes were made in the long term forecast period. On
Tuesday, the front finally shifts south into Iowa as a weak cold
front pushes south from Canada. Shower and thunderstorms would be
more scattered in nature, but can't be ruled out given the
continued presence of weak mid-level impulses.

Wednesday through Friday could end up being active with showers
and thunderstorms, given progs of another frontal passage and
several shortwaves. Spatial/temporal confidence is low, however.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 649 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

Clusters of showers and thunderstorms are ongoing across South
Dakota and northeastern Iowa. The activity to the west will build
eastward this evening and overnight, setting up the risk for
heavy rainfall and thunderstorm redevelopment for all the TAF
sites, but especially near RWF-MSP-RNH-EAU. A break is expected
later Monday morning, but additional storms will develop again
Monday afternoon.

KMSP...Not much to be concerned about this evening, but overnight
the thunder threat will increase near or after 08Z. Should see a
break for most of Monday, but storms may return by mid afternoon.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
Tue-Thu...VFR. Chc MVFR/TSRA. Winds LGT and VRB.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
MN...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...LS
LONG TERM...LS
AVIATION...BORGHOFF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
413 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
012115-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
413 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota...and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

There is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms. Damaging winds
will be the main hazard. In addition, some thunderstorms may
produce heavy rain which could produce localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Periods of thunderstorms are expected for much of next week with
some severe weather possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed this evening.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
935 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HAIL             ECHO                    44.62N 95.42W
06/30/2019  M0.88 INCH       YELLOW MEDICINE    MN   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

BORGHOFF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1017 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

MNZ064-065-073-010400-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-Redwood-
1017 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2019

...A LINE OF STORMS WILL AFFECT REDWOOD...SOUTHEASTERN YELLOW
MEDICINE AND CENTRAL RENVILLE COUNTIES...

At 1017 PM CDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Sacred Heart to 8 miles southeast of
Cottonwood to 8 miles southeast of Marshall. Movement was east at 30
mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Redwood Falls, Olivia, Renville, Bird Island, Lamberton, Wabasso,
Sacred Heart, Wood Lake, Echo, Danube, Belview and Vesta.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4479 9545 4486 9479 4422 9527 4426 9560
      4454 9560 4457 9561
TIME...MOT...LOC 0317Z 269DEG 28KT 4474 9541 4452 9557 4434 9570

BORGHOFF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1045 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1035 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 WNW OLIVIA            44.78N 95.03W
06/30/2019  M53 MPH          RENVILLE           MN   AWOS

            AWOS STATION KOVL OLIVIA AP.

&&

BORGHOFF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1052 PM CDT SUN JUN 30 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SSE NORTH REDWOOD     44.55N 95.08W
06/30/2019  M78 MPH          REDWOOD            MN   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KRWF REDWOOD FALLS AP.

&&

BORGHOFF