Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2019
River Flood Warning 8, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Jan 23, 2019, 8:51 AM CST for George County, Greene County, Wayne County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jan 23, 2019, 3:07 PM CST. It was in force for 21 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 23, 2019, 8:51 AM CST (14:51 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 23, 2019, 3:07 PM CST
- Expired
- Feb 13, 2019, 8:51 AM CST
- In force
- 21 days
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Chickasawhay River at Leakesville (LEKM6).
- Action stage
- 15 ft
- Minor stage
- 20 ft
- Moderate stage
- 28 ft
- Major stage
- 31 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02478500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
279 WGUS44 KMOB 231451 FLWMOB BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flood Warning National Weather Service Mobile, AL 851 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a flood warning for the following rivers in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Heavy rainfall is forecast to occur over the next 24 hours. As a result...river levels are forecast to rise and a flood warning is now in effect. It is emphasized that the following forecast is based on the expected rainfall during the next 24 hours. If less rainfall occurs...it may be necessary to revise this stage forecast downward. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-241451- /O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0008.190125T1017Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190125T1017Z.190128T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 851 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a * Flood Warning for The Chickasawhay At Leakesville * From late Thursday night until further notice * At 8 AM Wednesday the stage was...18 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast * Flood stage is 20 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to rise near 22.5 feet by early Monday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * At 20 feet...Flooding of lowlands will occur. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying areas become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
14 follow-up statements
689 WGUS84 KMOB 232109 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 309 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-242108- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.190123T2107Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2042Z.190127T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 309 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until further notice for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * From this afternoon until further notice. * At 2 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.7 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage this afternoon and continue to rise near 26.5 feet by Saturday evening. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying areas become cut off by high water. * At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
037 WGUS84 KMOB 240209 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 809 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-250208- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190127T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 809 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until further notice. * At 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by Saturday evening then begin falling. * At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
819 WGUS84 KMOB 241619 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1019 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-251619- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1019 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until further notice. * At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 25.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26. feet by after midnight tomorrow then begin falling. * At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
161 WGUS84 KMOB 250231 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 831 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-260231- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 831 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until further notice. * At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 25.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 26 feet by midnight then begin slowly falling by Friday afternoon. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying areas become cut off by high water. * At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
433 WGUS84 KMOB 251623 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1023 AM CST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-261622- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1023 AM CST Fri Jan 25 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until further notice. * At 9 AM Friday the stage was 25.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue to fall to a stage of 25.3 feet by tomorrow morning. * At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
570 WGUS84 KMOB 260237 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 837 PM CST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-270236- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 837 PM CST Fri Jan 25 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until further notice. * At 8 PM Friday the stage was 25.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue to slowly fall through early next week. * At 20 feet...Water covers the main road at Plum Bluff in southern George County. * At 22 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill. * At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill flood. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
349 WGUS84 KMOB 260239 CCA FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 837 PM CST Fri Jan 25 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-270236- /O.COR.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 837 PM CST Fri Jan 25 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until further notice. * At 8 PM Friday the stage was 25.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue to slowly fall through early next week. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying areas become cut off by high water. * At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
869 WGUS84 KMOB 270153 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 753 PM CST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-280153- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190131T2300Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T1500Z.190131T1700Z.NO/ 753 PM CST Sat Jan 26 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Thursday afternoon. * At 7 PM Saturday the stage was 25.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Thursday morning. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying areas become cut off by high water. * At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
752 WGUS84 KMOB 271542 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 942 AM CST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-281542- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T1500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 942 AM CST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until further notice. * At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 24.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue to fall to a stage of 20 feet by Friday. * At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
603 WGUS84 KMOB 280125 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 725 PM CST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-290124- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190201T1800Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T1500Z.190201T1200Z.NO/ 725 PM CST Sun Jan 27 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Friday afternoon. * At 7 PM Sunday the stage was 24.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue to fall below flood stage by Friday morning. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying areas become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
878 WGUS84 KMOB 290200 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 800 PM CST Mon Jan 28 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-300159- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190201T0130Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T1500Z.190131T1930Z.NO/ 800 PM CST Mon Jan 28 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Thursday evening. * At 8 PM Monday the stage was 23.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Thursday afternoon. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying areas become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
698 WGUS84 KMOB 291612 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1012 AM CST Tue Jan 29 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-301610- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190201T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T1500Z.190131T1800Z.NO/ 1012 AM CST Tue Jan 29 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Thursday evening. * At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 22.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Thursday early afternoon. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying areas become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
216 WGUS84 KMOB 300510 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 1110 PM CST Tue Jan 29 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-310509- /O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190201T0000Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T1500Z.190131T1800Z.NO/ 1110 PM CST Tue Jan 29 2019 The Flood Warning continues for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until Thursday evening. * At 10 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.9 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue rising to near 21.9 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday early afternoon. * At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying areas become cut off by high water. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
667 WGUS84 KMOB 301531 FLSMOB Flood Statement National Weather Service Mobile, AL 931 AM CST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi... Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. .Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SAFETY MESSAGE... Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio. && MSC039-041-153-310234- /O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-190131T0234Z/ /LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190125T1500Z.190130T2034Z.NO/ 931 AM CST Wed Jan 30 2019 ...Flood Warning extended until this evening for the Chickasawhay At Leakesville * until this evening. * At 9 AM Wednesday the stage was 20.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20 feet. * The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this afternoon. * At 20 feet...Flooding of lowlands will occur. && LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873 3100 8875 3110 8858 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 23, 7:41 AM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 7:41 AM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
741 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019
.DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas below.
&&
.UPDATE...A Wind Advisory is now in effect for all locations in
the forecast area through 7 PM CST. Expect southeast to south
winds 25 to 30 MPH with frequent gusts 30 to 35 MPH.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 532 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019/
DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.
AVIATION...
12Z issuance...MVFR to IFR conditions through 24.12. Lower cigs
and visibilities mostly in heavy rain and light fog through
24.06z followed by mostly low stratus clouds through 24.12z. Winds
will be south at 15 to 25 knots with frequent gusts to 30 knots
through early this evening shifting west then northwest at 10 to
20 knots with slightly higher gusts through 24.12z. A wind
advisory is in effect beginning later this morning continuing
through early this evening. 32/ee
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 502 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019/
NEAR TERM /Now Through Wednesday night/...Expect an active weather
pattern across the north central Gulf region today and early
tonight as a sharp mid to upper trof located over the central
plains and much of TX this morning quickly shifts eastward across
the north central Gulf states and SE CONUS through tonight. Ahead
of this upper system the right rear quad of a 100 to 150 knot H2
jet combined with a 50 to 60 kt H85 jet located just a little
further east will enhance the threat for a few strong to possibly
severe thunderstorms later today especially over lower and eastern
sections of the forecast area generally where better surface
based instability is depicted by most of the current guidance.
This better mid to upper forcing initially moves over western and
northern sections of the forecast area early today where model
soundings depict a more elevated scenario eventually mixing down
to the sfc as the main upper system moves further east over the
region. As a result will continue with the current severe graphic
which shows the better chance for severe weather generally over
the coastal counties of AL and part of NWFL east of Ft Walton
Beach with the possibility of extending this threat further to the
east along the NWFL coast and inland generally along the east of
the I-65 corridor later this morning. Model soundings depict
strongly curved hodographs in these areas with helicity values
ranging from 400 to 600 M2/S2 from 0 to 3km which suggests a few
tornadoes will be possible along with damaging straight line winds
and maybe some isolated cases of large hail due to lower than
normal wetbulb values.
Although the threat for flooding due to heavy rainfall remains
low due to the forward progression throughout the day, model
soundings depict a very moist column for most locations by this
afternoon suggesting some minor or nuisance type flooding can't be
ruled out. Stay tuned to local media outlets or www.weather.gov/mob/
for further updates on this developing situation.
Due to the stronger winds just off the sfc, currently sustain at
30 knots at around 1kft and progged to increase through this
afternoon, a Wind Advisory will also continue and is now in effect
for all locations of the forecast area starting at 11 am this
morning continuing through 7 pm tonight. Also continuing the High
Surf Advisory and High Risk of rip currents along the beaches of
Alabama and northwest Florida through early Thursday morning.
32/EE
Tide levels along the coast were running about 1.5 to 2.0 feet
above predicted levels at the time of astronomical high tide this
morning, but were just below the 2 foot MHHW threshold for any
minor flooding impacts along the coast. Onshore wind flow becomes
strong today, but coincides with falling astronomical tides with
times of astronomical low tides across the region expected to be
around midday. Predicted tide levels are expected to be around 2
feet below MHHW, so even if water levels remain 1.5 to 2.0 feet
above predicted, tides should remain below locally defined minor
coastal flood thresholds. 12/DS
Temperatures will be well above normal today due to the strong warm
air advection ahead the front followed by much cooler temps tonight
as much colder air advects well to the south in the wake of the
front. Highs today will range from the upper 60s to lower 70s for
most locations followed by lows in the lower to middle 30s for most
locations generally along and west I-65 and the upper 30s to lower
40s to the east and along the immediate coast. 32/EE
SHORT TERM /Thursday Through Friday night/...The cold front will
be well east and south of the region at the beginning of the short
term period, a cold and dry pattern will follow in the wake of the
front Thursday through Friday night. Surface high pressure will
build in from the northwest through the period, and should be
centered more or less over our forecast area by Friday night.
Mostly clear skies through the period. Daytime highs on Thursday
and Friday mostly in the low to mid 50s. Lows Thursday night
ranging from the lower 30s north to the mid/upper 30s south.
Colder Friday night as the high pressure settles in over the
region, with lows in the upper 20s and lower 30s over the interior
to the mid/upper 30s coastal. 12/DS
LONG TERM /Saturday Through Tuesday/...The dry period will persist
through Monday as a strong surface high pressure area continues
across the region. The GFS and ECMWF models both still develop a
weak surface low pressure area over the southern Gulf of Mexico by
the end of the weekend that moves east into the early part of
next week. With ridging still over our area and with this weak low
passing so far to the south, still looking at precipitation
chances continuing near zero through Monday. There next chance of
light rain showers looks to be on Tuesday ahead of the next system
that will be approaching from the west. Highs generally in the mid
50s to low 60s through the period, with lows primarily in the mid
to upper 30s inland and in the low/mid 40s along the coast. 12/DS
MARINE...A strong southerly wind flow will continue over marine
area today before shifting northwest this evening in the wake of a
strong cold front moves through the area by early tonight. Northerly
winds will slowly diminish late Thu morning through early Fri as a
broad surface ridge of high pressure continues to build from the
west. Frequent gusts to gale force, occurring mostly offshore, will
be likely ahead and in the wake of the cold front beginning late
this morning, continuing through late this evening. Showers and
thunderstorms will also be likely ahead and along the front with a
few strong to severe thunderstorms possible, especially this
afternoon through early this evening. 32/EE
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.
High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for ALZ265-266.
FL...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for FLZ201>206.
High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for FLZ202-204-
206.
High Surf Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-
079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for GMZ631-632-
650-655-670-675.
Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Thursday
for GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675.
Gale Warning until midnight CST tonight for GMZ631-632-650-655-
670-675.
Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ633>636.
Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Thursday for GMZ630.
&&
This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mobHazardous weather outlook, Jan 23, 7:59 AM CST, 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-241400- Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Coastal- 759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THURSDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. There is a slight to marginal risk for severe weather across the forecast area today. The greatest risk for severe weather will be over the coastal counties of Alabama stretching east over parts of northwest Florida and west over parts of southeast Mississippi. Damaging straight line winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes will be possible with some of the stronger storms. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. High Surf Advisory. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. High Rip Current Risk. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. ALZ051>060-261>264-FLZ201-203-205-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-241400- Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Escambia Inland-Santa Rosa Inland-Okaloosa Inland- Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- 759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama, southwest Alabama, northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. There is a slight to marginal risk for severe weather across the forecast area today. The greatest risk for severe weather will be over the coastal counties of Alabama stretching east over parts of northwest Florida and west over parts of southeast Mississippi. Damaging straight line winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes will be possible with some of the stronger storms. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed. GMZ630-241400- Northern Mobile Bay- 759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675-241400- Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound- Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL out 20 NM-Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM- 759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. Gale Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. GMZ633>636-241400- Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay- Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Hazardous conditions for small craft mainly Thursday morning.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 10:21 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | George, Greene, Perry, Stone | 3 hr |
| Jan 23, 10:29 AM CST | Special Weather Statement | MOB | George | 31 min |
| Jan 23, 11:44 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Greene, Wayne | 3 hr |
| Jan 23, 11:57 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Perry, Stone, Wayne | 6 hr |
| Jan 23, 1:25 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Greene, Perry, Wayne | 3 hr |
| Jan 23, 3:03 PM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Jackson | 5 days |
| Jan 23, 3:07 PM CST | River Flood Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Perry | 4 days |
| Jan 23, 4:30 PM CST | Areal Flood Warning | MOB | George, Greene, Perry, Stone, Wayne | 24 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.