Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 10, NWS Mobile, AL

January 23, 2019George County, Greene County, Jackson County, Mississippi

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Jan 23, 2019, 3:03 PM CST for George County, Greene County, Jackson County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jan 24, 2019, 10:00 AM CST. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 23, 2019, 3:03 PM CST (21:03 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 24, 2019, 10:00 AM CST
Expired
Jan 28, 2019, 10:04 AM CST
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Jackson County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Pascagoula River at Merrill (MRRM6).

Action stage
12.5 ft
Minor stage
22 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
32 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02479000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

671 
WGUS44 KMOB 232103
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
303 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019



...The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a flood warning for the 
following river in Mississippi... 

  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties.

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-242103-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0010.190124T1600Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190124T1600Z.190126T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
303 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Pascagoula At Merrill
* From Thursday morning until further notice
* At 2 PM Wednesday the stage was...14.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast 
* Flood stage is 22 feet. 
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise
  near 23.5 feet by Saturday afternoon.
* At 15 feet...Water is under homes in Cedar Creek Estates.
* At 18.5 feet...Water covers roads at Smith's Fish Camp in Southern George County.
* At 20 feet...Water covers the main road at Plum Bluff in southern George County.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
10 follow-up statements
037 
WGUS84 KMOB 240209
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
809 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-250208-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.190123T2032Z.190127T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
809 PM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by Saturday evening then 
  begin falling.
* At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$
744 
WGUS84 KMOB 241621
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1021 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-251620-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190125T0730Z.190126T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From after midnight tomorrow until further notice.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 20 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to 
  rise near 23.1 feet by Saturday morning.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
400 
WGUS84 KMOB 250234
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
834 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-260234-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190130T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190125T0730Z.190126T1200Z.190129T1800Z.NO/
834 PM CST Thu Jan 24 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* From after midnight tomorrow until Tuesday evening.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 21.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage after midnight and continue to rise near
  23 feet by Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday
  evening.
* At 20 feet...Water covers the main road at Plum Bluff in southern George County.
* At 22 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
491 
WGUS84 KMOB 251624
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1024 AM CST Fri Jan 25 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-261623-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190129T1200Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190125T0655Z.190126T1200Z.190129T0600Z.NO/
1024 AM CST Fri Jan 25 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 10 AM Friday the stage was 22.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23 feet by tomorrow morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
679 
WGUS84 KMOB 260240
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
840 PM CST Fri Jan 25 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-270240-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190129T1200Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190125T0655Z.190126T1200Z.190129T0600Z.NO/
840 PM CST Fri Jan 25 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 22.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23 feet tomorrow. The river will begin
  to fall on Sunday and will fall below flood stage on Tuesday morning.
* At 20 feet...Water covers the main road at Plum Bluff in southern George County.
* At 22 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
779 
WGUS84 KMOB 261707
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1107 AM CST Sat Jan 26 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-271706-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190129T1800Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190125T0655Z.190126T0730Z.190129T1200Z.NO/
1107 AM CST Sat Jan 26 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 22.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.8 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage  Tuesday morning.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
369 
WGUS84 KMOB 270155
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
755 PM CST Sat Jan 26 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-280154-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190129T1800Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190125T0655Z.190126T0730Z.190129T1200Z.NO/
755 PM CST Sat Jan 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 7 PM Saturday the stage was 22.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.8 feet after midnight. The river will 
  fall below flood stage on Tuesday morning.
* At 20 feet...Water covers the main road at Plum Bluff in southern George County.
* At 22 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.
* At 23.5 feet...Water is under homes in Plum Bluff Estates. Streets of Merrill 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
436 
WGUS84 KMOB 271543
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
943 AM CST Sun Jan 27 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-281543-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190129T0600Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190125T0655Z.190126T0730Z.190129T0000Z.NO/
943 AM CST Sun Jan 27 2019

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until late Monday night.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 22.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* At 22 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
327 
WGUS84 KMOB 280126
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
726 PM CST Sun Jan 27 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-059-290000-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-190129T0000Z/
/MRRM6.1.ER.190125T0655Z.190126T0730Z.190128T1800Z.NO/
726 PM CST Sun Jan 27 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening for
  the Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Monday evening.
* At 7 PM Sunday the stage was 22.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* At 20 feet...Water covers the main road at Plum Bluff in southern George County.
* At 22 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$
331 
WGUS84 KMOB 281604
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1004 AM CST Mon Jan 28 2019
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe and Wilcox 
  Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam - Tailwater affecting Clarke...Monroe and 
  Wilcox Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC047-099-131-291200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-190129T1200Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.190125T0347Z.190127T1400Z.190129T0600Z.NO/
1004 AM CST Mon Jan 28 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 66.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 66 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 66.8 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage after midnight tomorrow.
* At 66 feet...Farm and pasturelands in the area will flood and cattle should 
  be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738
 3184 8756 3215 8749                  

$$

ALC025-099-131-291603-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-190201T0345Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.190125T0810Z.190128T1500Z.190131T2145Z.NO/
1004 AM CST Mon Jan 28 2019

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam - Tailwater
* until Thursday evening.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 46.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 42 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Thursday afternoon.
* At 49 feet...Recreational areas around the Lock and Dam begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786
 3114 8797 3150 8766                  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 23, 11:49 AM CST, 3 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 11:49 AM CST, 3 hours 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1149 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z issuance...MVFR to IFR conditions persist with ceilings and
visibilities lowering as the line of storms moves across the area
this afternoon. Southerly winds of 20-25 knots with gusts up to
35 knots expected through early evening. Winds remain elevated
tonight, but turn northwest as the front pushes east through the
region. High resolution models show the line of storms moving east
of MOB and BFM terminals by 00Z and east of PNS by 02Z with light
rain lingering for a few hours. 07/MB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 741 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019/

DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas below.

UPDATE...A Wind Advisory is now in effect for all locations in
the forecast area through 7 PM CST. Expect southeast to south
winds 25 to 30 MPH with frequent gusts 30 to 35 MPH.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 532 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019/

DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...
12Z issuance...MVFR to IFR conditions through 24.12. Lower cigs
and visibilities mostly in heavy rain and light fog through
24.06z followed by mostly low stratus clouds through 24.12z. Winds
will be south at 15 to 25 knots with frequent gusts to 30 knots
through early this evening shifting west then northwest at 10 to
20 knots with slightly higher gusts through 24.12z. A wind
advisory is in effect beginning later this morning continuing
through early this evening. 32/ee

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 502 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019/

NEAR TERM /Now Through Wednesday night/...Expect an active weather
pattern across the north central Gulf region today and early
tonight as a sharp mid to upper trof located over the central
plains and much of TX this morning quickly shifts eastward across
the north central Gulf states and SE CONUS through tonight. Ahead
of this upper system the right rear quad of a 100 to 150 knot H2
jet combined with a 50 to 60 kt H85 jet located just a little
further east will enhance the threat for a few strong to possibly
severe thunderstorms later today especially over lower and eastern
sections of the forecast area generally where better surface
based instability is depicted by most of the current guidance.
This better mid to upper forcing initially moves over western and
northern sections of the forecast area early today where model
soundings depict a more elevated scenario eventually mixing down
to the sfc as the main upper system moves further east over the
region. As a result will continue with the current severe graphic
which shows the better chance for severe weather generally over
the coastal counties of AL and part of NWFL east of Ft Walton
Beach with the possibility of extending this threat further to the
east along the NWFL coast and inland generally along the east of
the I-65 corridor later this morning. Model soundings depict
strongly curved hodographs in these areas with helicity values
ranging from 400 to 600 M2/S2 from 0 to 3km which suggests a few
tornadoes will be possible along with damaging straight line winds
and maybe some isolated cases of large hail due to lower than
normal wetbulb values.

Although the threat for flooding due to heavy rainfall remains
low due to the forward progression throughout the day, model
soundings depict a very moist column for most locations by this
afternoon suggesting some minor or nuisance type flooding can't be
ruled out. Stay tuned to local media outlets or www.weather.gov/mob/
for further updates on this developing situation.

Due to the stronger winds just off the sfc, currently sustain at
30 knots at around 1kft and progged to increase through this
afternoon, a Wind Advisory will also continue and is now in effect
for all locations of the forecast area starting at 11 am this
morning continuing through 7 pm tonight. Also continuing the High
Surf Advisory and High Risk of rip currents along the beaches of
Alabama and northwest Florida through early Thursday morning.
32/EE

Tide levels along the coast were running about 1.5 to 2.0 feet
above predicted levels at the time of astronomical high tide this
morning, but were just below the 2 foot MHHW threshold for any
minor flooding impacts along the coast. Onshore wind flow becomes
strong today, but coincides with falling astronomical tides with
times of astronomical low tides across the region expected to be
around midday. Predicted tide levels are expected to be around 2
feet below MHHW, so even if water levels remain 1.5 to 2.0 feet
above predicted, tides should remain below locally defined minor
coastal flood thresholds. 12/DS

Temperatures will be well above normal today due to the strong warm
air advection ahead the front followed by much cooler temps tonight
as much colder air advects well to the south in the wake of the
front. Highs today will range from the upper 60s to lower 70s for
most locations followed by lows in the lower to middle 30s for most
locations generally along and west I-65 and the upper 30s to lower
40s to the east and along the immediate coast. 32/EE

SHORT TERM /Thursday Through Friday night/...The cold front will
be well east and south of the region at the beginning of the short
term period, a cold and dry pattern will follow in the wake of the
front Thursday through Friday night. Surface high pressure will
build in from the northwest through the period, and should be
centered more or less over our forecast area by Friday night.
Mostly clear skies through the period. Daytime highs on Thursday
and Friday mostly in the low to mid 50s. Lows Thursday night
ranging from the lower 30s north to the mid/upper 30s south.
Colder Friday night as the high pressure settles in over the
region, with lows in the upper 20s and lower 30s over the interior
to the mid/upper 30s coastal. 12/DS

LONG TERM /Saturday Through Tuesday/...The dry period will persist
through Monday as a strong surface high pressure area continues
across the region. The GFS and ECMWF models both still develop a
weak surface low pressure area over the southern Gulf of Mexico by
the end of the weekend that moves east into the early part of
next week. With ridging still over our area and with this weak low
passing so far to the south, still looking at precipitation
chances continuing near zero through Monday. There next chance of
light rain showers looks to be on Tuesday ahead of the next system
that will be approaching from the west. Highs generally in the mid
50s to low 60s through the period, with lows primarily in the mid
to upper 30s inland and in the low/mid 40s along the coast. 12/DS

MARINE...A strong southerly wind flow will continue over marine
area today before shifting northwest this evening in the wake of a
strong cold front moves through the area by early tonight. Northerly
winds will slowly diminish late Thu morning through early Fri as a
broad surface ridge of high pressure continues to build from the
west. Frequent gusts to gale force, occurring mostly offshore, will
be likely ahead and in the wake of the cold front beginning late
this morning, continuing through late this evening. Showers and
thunderstorms will also be likely ahead and along the front with a
few strong to severe thunderstorms possible, especially this
afternoon through early this evening. 32/EE

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for ALZ051>060-261>266.

     High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for ALZ265-266.

FL...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for FLZ201>206.

     High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Advisory until 6 AM CST Thursday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CST this evening for MSZ067-075-076-078-
     079.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Thursday
     for GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675.

     Gale Warning until midnight CST tonight for GMZ631-632-650-655-
     670-675.

     Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ633>636.

     Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM CST Thursday for GMZ630.

&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 23, 7:59 AM CST, 7 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-241400-
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Coastal-
759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THURSDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama and
northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

There is a slight to marginal risk for severe weather across the
forecast area today. The greatest risk for severe weather will be
over the coastal counties of Alabama stretching east over parts of
northwest Florida and west over parts of southeast Mississippi.
Damaging straight line winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes will
be possible with some of the stronger storms.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

ALZ051>060-261>264-FLZ201-203-205-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-241400-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Escambia Inland-Santa Rosa Inland-Okaloosa Inland-
Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama,
southwest Alabama, northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

There is a slight to marginal risk for severe weather across the
forecast area today. The greatest risk for severe weather will be
over the coastal counties of Alabama stretching east over parts of
northwest Florida and west over parts of southeast Mississippi.
Damaging straight line winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes will
be possible with some of the stronger storms.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

GMZ630-241400-
Northern Mobile Bay-
759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama
and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

GMZ631-632-650-655-670-675-241400-
Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL
out 20 NM-Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama
and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.
   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

GMZ633>636-241400-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
759 AM CST Wed Jan 23 2019

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama
and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Hazardous conditions for small craft mainly Thursday morning.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 23, 1:45 PM CST, 1 hour 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
145 PM CST WED JAN 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1046 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WSW MIFLIN            30.36N 87.65W
01/23/2019  M41 MPH          BALDWIN            AL   MESONET

            WXFLOW MESONET STATION XGLF, 2 W MIFLIN. 41
            MPH (36 KNOT) WIND GUST.

&&

BB
Local storm report, Jan 23, 1:53 PM CST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
153 PM CST WED JAN 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1042 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST CRESTVIEW AIRPORT       30.78N 86.52W
01/23/2019  M41 MPH          OKALOOSA           FL   ASOS

            ASOS STATION CEW, BOB SIKES AIRPORT. 41 MPH
            (36 KNOT) WIND GUST.

&&

BB
Local storm report, Jan 23, 2:05 PM CST, 58 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
205 PM CST WED JAN 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1059 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST WALLACE TUNNEL          30.69N 88.04W
01/23/2019  M45 MPH          MOBILE             AL   MESONET

            MESONET STATION E6967, WALLACE TUNNEL. 45
            MPH (39 KNOT) WIND GUST.

&&

BB
Special weather statement, Jan 23, 2:36 PM CST, 27 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
236 PM CST WED JAN 23 2019

ALZ052-053-261-232130-
Clarke AL-Washington AL-Mobile Inland AL-
236 PM CST WED JAN 23 2019

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...NORTHWESTERN MOBILE...SOUTHERN WASHINGTON AND SOUTHEASTERN
CLARKE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CST...

At 235 PM CST, the strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 6 miles east of Chatom to near Deer Park to 9 miles
northeast of Lucedale, and moving east at 30 mph.

Winds gusts of 40 to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Jackson, Citronelle, Wagarville, Leroy, Gulfcrest, Deer Park, Tibbie,
Mount Vernon, Calvert, McIntosh and Movico.

LAT...LON 3162 8761 3125 8784 3115 8792 3116 8793
      3094 8808 3093 8842 3111 8843 3118 8837
      3149 8819
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 261DEG 25KT 3144 8814 3120 8829 3100 8846
Local storm report, Jan 23, 2:51 PM CST, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
251 PM CST WED JAN 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RURAL                   31.87N 87.74W
01/23/2019                   CLARKE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER RURAL RD, DUMMY LINE RD, AND
            GATES DR IN THOMASVILLE PER EMERGENCY
            MANAGEMENT.

&&

BB
Local storm report, Jan 23, 3:00 PM CST, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
300 PM CST WED JAN 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNE COFFEEVILLE       31.77N 88.09W
01/23/2019                   CLARKE             AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER JIM YORK RD, ALABAMA HIGHWAY 154
            AND HIGHWAY 69 N IN COFFEEVILLE.

&&

BB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 23, 8:51 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Wayne21 days
Jan 23, 10:21 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone3 hr
Jan 23, 10:29 AM CSTSpecial Weather StatementMOBGeorge31 min
Jan 23, 11:44 AM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBGreene, Wayne3 hr
Jan 23, 11:57 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone, Wayne6 hr
Jan 23, 1:25 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBGreene, Perry, Wayne3 hr
Jan 23, 3:07 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry4 days
Jan 23, 4:30 PM CSTAreal Flood WarningMOBGeorge, Greene, Perry, Stone, Wayne24 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2019Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.