Storm Warning 1, NWS Milwaukee, WI

955 
WHUS73 KMKX 240129
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
729 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

...STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY...

.Southwest gales will begin late tonight. Winds will shift to the
west-northwest Sunday morning while increasing to storm force up
to 55 kt. Winds will become northwest gales Sunday night and
diminish below gale force Monday morning.

These strong winds are in response to a powerful low pressure
moving from the Plains this afternoon to northern Lake Michigan
overnight.

LMZ643>646-240930-
/O.NEW.KMKX.MF.Y.0003.190224T0129Z-190224T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.GL.W.0016.190224T1200Z-190225T0900Z/
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
729 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SUNDAY TO 3 AM CST
MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Dense Fog Advisory...which is in effect until 4 AM CST Sunday. 

* WINDS: Westerly gales to 45 knots developing Sunday morning. A 
  few storm force gusts to 50 knots are possible. Winds will 
  veer to the northwest Sunday evening and diminish to 30 knots 
  by late Sunday night. 

* WAVES: Building to 3 to 7 ft. A sharp increase in waves is
  expected toward the open waters. Waves gradually diminish Sunday
  night.

* VISIBILITY: Expect visibility less than 1 mile at times into the
  overnight hours. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions. 

&&

$$

LMZ080-669-671-673-675-777-779-870-872-874-876-878-240930-
/O.NEW.KMKX.MF.Y.0003.190224T0129Z-190224T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.SR.W.0001.190224T1200Z-190225T0300Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
729 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY...
...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Dense Fog Advisory...which is in effect until 4 AM CST Sunday. 

* WINDS: Southwest gales to 35 knots developing late tonight, 
  becoming west-northwest storm force winds up to 55 kt Sunday 
  morning. The high winds over the north half will lag behind 
  the south half a couple hours. Winds will veer to the 
  northwest Sunday evening and diminish to 40 knot gales by late 
  Sunday night. 

* WAVES: Building to 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft late 
  tonight. Waves building to 14 to 18 ft occasionally to 23 ft 
  on Sunday. Waves gradually diminish later Sunday night and 
  Monday morning.

* VISIBILITY: Expect visibility less than 1 mile at times into the
  overnight hours. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occuring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions. 

&&

$$

LMZ261-362-364-366-563-565-567-868-240930-
/O.CON.KMKX.SR.W.0001.190224T1200Z-190225T0300Z/
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
729 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY...

* WINDS: Southwest gales to 35 knots developing late tonight, 
  becoming west-northwest storm force winds up to 55 kt Sunday 
  morning. The high winds over the north half will lag behind 
  the south half a couple hours. Winds will veer to the 
  northwest Sunday evening and diminish to 40 knot gales by late 
  Sunday night. 

* WAVES: Building to 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft late 
  tonight. Waves building to 14 to 18 ft occasionally to 23 ft 
  on Sunday. Waves gradually diminish later Sunday night and 
  Monday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occuring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$


www.weather.gov/mkx

682 
WHUS73 KMKX 240230
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
830 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

...STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY...

.Southwest gales will begin late tonight. Winds will shift to the
west-northwest Sunday morning while increasing to storm force up
to 55 kt. Winds will become northwest gales Sunday night and
diminish below gale force Monday morning.

These strong winds are in response to a powerful low pressure
moving from the Plains this afternoon to northern Lake Michigan
overnight.

LMZ643>646-241200-
/O.CON.KMKX.MF.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190224T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KMKX.GL.W.0016.190224T1200Z-190225T0900Z/
/O.EXA.KMKX.SR.W.0001.190224T1200Z-190225T0300Z/
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
830 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Storm Warning...which is in effect from 6 AM to 9 PM CST Sunday.
The Gale Warning is no longer in effect. 

* WINDS: Westerly gales to 45 knots will develop Sunday morning,
  rapidly becoming storm force winds to 50 knots. Winds will veer
  to the northwest Sunday evening and diminish to 30 knots by 
  late Sunday night. 

* WAVES: Building to 3 to 7 ft. A sharp increase in waves is 
  expected toward the open waters. Waves gradually diminish 
  Sunday night. 

* VISIBILITY: Expect visibility less than 1 mile at times into the
  overnight hours. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occuring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions. 

&&

$$

LMZ080-669-671-673-675-777-779-870-872-874-876-878-241200-
/O.CON.KMKX.MF.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190224T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.SR.W.0001.190224T1200Z-190225T0300Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
830 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST SUNDAY...
...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY...

* WINDS: Southwest gales to 35 knots developing late tonight, 
  becoming west-northwest storm force winds up to 55 kt Sunday 
  morning. The high winds over the north half will lag behind 
  the south half a couple hours. Winds will veer to the 
  northwest Sunday evening and diminish to 40 knot gales by late 
  Sunday night. 

* WAVES: Building to 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft late 
  tonight. Waves building to 14 to 18 ft occasionally to 23 ft 
  on Sunday. Waves gradually diminish later Sunday night and 
  Monday morning. 

* VISIBILITY: Expect visibility less than 1 mile at times into 
  the overnight hours. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occuring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ261-362-364-366-563-565-567-868-241200-
/O.CON.KMKX.SR.W.0001.190224T1200Z-190225T0300Z/
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
830 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 9 PM CST SUNDAY...

* WINDS: Southwest gales to 35 knots developing late tonight, 
  becoming west-northwest storm force winds up to 55 kt Sunday 
  morning. The high winds over the north half will lag behind 
  the south half a couple hours. Winds will veer to the 
  northwest Sunday evening and diminish to 40 knot gales by late 
  Sunday night. 

* WAVES: Building to 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft late 
  tonight. Waves building to 14 to 18 ft occasionally to 23 ft 
  on Sunday. Waves gradually diminish later Sunday night and 
  Monday morning. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occuring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$


www.weather.gov/mkx

466 
WHUS73 KMKX 240852
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
252 AM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY...

.Southwest gales will begin prior to sunrise. Winds will shift to
the west-northwest this morning, increasing to storm force up to 
55 kt. Winds will become northwest gales Sunday night and diminish
below gale force Monday morning.

These strong winds are in response to a powerful low pressure
moving from the Plains this afternoon to northern Lake Michigan
overnight.

LMZ080-643>646-669-671-673-675-777-779-870-872-874-876-878-241700-
/O.CON.KMKX.MF.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190224T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.SR.W.0001.190224T1200Z-190225T0300Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
252 AM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...
...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
CST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS: Southwest gales to 35 knots developing prior to sunrise,
  becoming west, northwest storm force winds up to 55 kt this 
  morning. The high winds over the north half will lag behind the 
  south half by a few hours. Winds will veer to the northwest this
  evening and diminish to 40 knot gales overnight Sunday night. 

* WAVES: Building to 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft prior to
  sunrise. Waves building to 14 to 18 ft occasionally to 25 ft
  today. Waves will gradually diminish overnight tonight and
  Monday morning. 

* VISIBILITY: Expect visibility less than 1 mile at times early
  this morning.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occuring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one mile. Inexperienced mariners...
especially those operating smaller vessels should avoid
navigating in these conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ261-362-364-366-563-565-567-868-241700-
/O.CON.KMKX.SR.W.0001.190224T1200Z-190225T0300Z/
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
252 AM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
CST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS: Southwest gales to 35 knots developing prior to sunrise,
  becoming west, northwest storm force winds up to 55 kt this
  morning. The high winds over the north half will lag behind the
  south half by a few hours. Winds will veer to the northwest this
  evening and diminish to 40 knot gales overnight tonight. 

* WAVES: Building to 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft prior to
  sunrise. Waves building to 14 to 18 ft occasionally to 23 ft on
  Sunday. Waves gradually diminish overnight tonight and Monday 
  morning.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occuring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

&&

$$


www.weather.gov/mkx

384 
WHUS73 KMKX 241000
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
400 AM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY...

.Southwest gales will begin prior to sunrise. Winds will shift to
the west-northwest this morning, increasing to storm force up to
55 kt. Winds will become northwest gales Sunday night and
diminish below gale force Monday morning. Heavy freezing spray is
expected beginning this evening through midday Monday.

These strong winds are in response to a powerful low pressure
moving from the Plains this afternoon to northern Lake Michigan
overnight.

LMZ080-643>646-669-671-673-675-777-779-870-872-874-876-878-241800-
/O.EXP.KMKX.MF.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-190224T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.SR.W.0001.190224T1200Z-190225T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMKX.UP.W.0006.190225T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
400 AM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON CST MONDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning...which is in effect from 6 PM this
evening to noon CST Monday. The Dense Fog Advisory will expire at
4 AM CST early this morning. 

* WINDS: Southwest gales to 35 knots developing prior to 
  sunrise,becoming west, northwest storm force winds up to 55 kt 
  this morning. The high winds over the north half will lag 
  behind the south half by a few hours. Winds will veer to the 
  northwest this evening and diminish to 40 knot gales overnight 
  Sunday night. 

* WAVES: Building to 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft prior to
  sunrise. Waves building to 14 to 19 ft occasionally to 26 ft 
  today. Waves will gradually diminish overnight tonight and 
  Monday morning.

* VISIBILITY: Visibility will improve as showers and southwest
  winds spread over the the open waters.

* FREEZING SPRAY: The combination of strong winds, cold
  temperatures and high waves will result in heavy freezing spray
  accumulation on vessels.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or 
occuring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take 
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should 
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and 
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds 
and waves subside.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
waring area.

&&

$$

LMZ261-362-364-366-563-565-567-868-241800-
/O.CON.KMKX.SR.W.0001.190224T1200Z-190225T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMKX.UP.W.0006.190225T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
400 AM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON CST MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning...which is in effect from 6 PM this
evening to noon CST Monday. 

* WINDS: Southwest gales to 35 knots developing prior to 
  sunrise,becoming west, northwest storm force winds up to 55 kt 
  this morning. The high winds over the north half will lag 
  behind the south half by a few hours. Winds will veer to the 
  northwest this evening and diminish to 40 knot gales overnight 
  tonight. 

* WAVES: Building to 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft prior to 
  sunrise. Waves building to 14 to 18 ft occasionally to 23 ft 
  on Sunday. Waves gradually diminish overnight tonight and 
  Monday morning.

* FREEZING SPRAY: The combination of strong winds, cold
  temperatures and high waves will result in heavy freezing spray
  accumulation on vessels.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occuring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
waring area.

&&

$$


www.weather.gov/mkx

108 
WHUS73 KMKX 241520
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
920 AM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...EXTREMELY WINDY TODAY INTO TONIGHT...

.Strong low pressure exiting far northern Lake Michigan will
produce strong, storm force winds across Lake Michigan today into
tonight. Gusts up to 55 knots are expected, producing wave heights
on the eastern side of the lake possibly as high as 25 to 30 feet. 

The winds will slowly subside later tonight, becoming northwest 
gales, and further diminishing below gale force Monday morning. 
Heavy freezing spray is expected beginning this evening through 
midday Monday.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-643>646-669-671-673-675-777-
779-868-870-872-874-876-878-242330-
/O.CON.KMKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0006.190225T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
920 AM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO NOON CST MONDAY...

* WINDS: West Gales to 45 kts increasing to Storm Force winds to
  50 to 55 kts across northern Lake Michigan. West Storm Force
  winds to 50 to 55 kts across southern Lake Michigan into
  tonight. Winds will veer to the northwest this evening and
  diminish to 35 to 40 knot gales later tonight.  

* WAVES: Waves building to 15 to 20 ft in the open waters,
  occasionally to 25 to 30 ft today. Waves 4 to 7 feet in the 
  nearshore waters from Sheboygan to Winthrop Harbor. Waves will 
  gradually diminish overnight tonight and Monday morning. 

* FREEZING SPRAY: The combination of strong winds, cold
  temperatures and high waves will result in heavy freezing spray
  accumulation on vessels tonight into Monday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occuring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
waring area.

&&

$$
www.weather.gov/mkx

MBK

199 
WHUS73 KMKX 242057
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
257 PM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...REMAINING EXTREMELY WINDY INTO TONIGHT...

.Strong low pressure moving northeast through southern Ontario
will continue to produce strong, storm force wind gusts across 
Lake Michigan into tonight. Gusts of 50 to 55 knots are expected,
producing wave heights on the eastern side of the lake possibly 
as high as 25 to 30 feet.

The winds will slowly subside later tonight, becoming northwest
gales, and further diminishing below gale force Monday morning.
Areas of heavy freezing spray are expected to develop this 
evening and last through midday Monday.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-643>646-669-671-673-675-777-
779-868-870-872-874-876-878-250500-
/O.CON.KMKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0006.190225T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
257 PM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO NOON CST MONDAY...

* WINDS: Occasional west Storm Force wind gusts of 50 to 55 knots
  decreasing to northwest gales to 45 knots later tonight. 

* WAVES: Waves building to 15 to 20 ft in the open waters,
  occasionally to 25 to 30 ft, subsiding to 10 to 15 ft,
  occasionally to 20 to 25 ft overnight. Waves 4 to 7 feet in the
  nearshore waters from Sheboygan to Winthrop Harbor. Waves will 
  gradually diminish overnight tonight and Monday morning. 

* FREEZING SPRAY: The combination of strong winds, falling
  temperatures and high waves will result in heavy freezing spray
  accumulation on vessels tonight into Monday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Storm Warning means winds of 48 to 63 knots are imminent or
occuring. Recreational boaters should remain in port...or take
shelter until winds and waves subside. Commercial vessels should
prepare for very strong winds and dangerous sea conditions...and
consider remaining in port or taking shelter in port until winds
and waves subside.

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
waring area.

&&

$$
www.weather.gov/mkx

MBK

913 
WHUS73 KMKX 250237
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
837 PM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...Gusty Winds Continue...Freezing Spray Also a Concern... 

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-251045-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMKX.GL.W.0017.190225T0300Z-190225T1200Z/
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
837 PM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY...
...STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Gale Warning...which is in effect until 6 AM CST Monday. The
Storm Warning will expire at 9 PM CST this evening. 

* WINDS: West to northwest gales to 45 knots. A few storm force
  gusts to 50 knots will remain possible this evening. 

* WAVES: Waves 18 to 23 ft occasionally to 28 ft subsiding to 12 
  to 16 ft occasionally to 21 ft. 

* FREEZING SPRAY: The combination of strong winds, falling
  temperatures and high waves will result in heavy freezing spray
  accumulation on vessels tonight into Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

LMZ643>646-251045-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190225T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.UP.W.0006.000000T0000Z-190225T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMKX.GL.W.0017.190225T0300Z-190225T1000Z/
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
837 PM CST Sun Feb 24 2019

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST MONDAY...
...STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a
Gale Warning...which is in effect until 4 AM CST Monday. The
Storm Warning will expire at 9 PM CST this evening. 

* WINDS: West to northwest gales 40 to 45 knots through midnight,
  then gales of 35 to 40 knots after midnight. 

* WAVES: 4 to 7 feet, with a sharp increase in wave height near
  open waters. 

* FREEZING SPRAY: The combination of strong winds, falling
  temperatures and high waves will result in heavy freezing spray
  accumulation on vessels tonight into Monday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heavy Freezing Spray Warning means heavy freezing spray is
expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can
be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that
mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels
not properly equipped to do so...remain in port or avoid the
warning area.

A Gale Warning means winds of 34 to 47 knots are imminent or
occuring. Operating a vessel in gale conditions requires
experience and properly equipped vessels. It is highly
recommended that mariners without the proper experience seek safe
harbor prior to the onset of gale conditions.

&&

$$

www.weather.gov/mkx

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1149 AM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

.UPDATE...Will be letting Winter Weather Advisory expire at 18Z as
back edge of precipitation continues to surge eastward, with
precipitation diminishing for a time across the eastern counties.
This break should allow pavement and surface temperatures to warm
above freezing most locations. The next surge of widespread
showers and possibly embedded thunder will occur late afternoon
and evening. Additional rainfall greater than one half inch will
exacerbate the flooding potential in low areas and poor drainage
areas. Many drains remain snow and ice covered and blocked. Hence
issued an Areal Flood Advisory for the flood potential across the
entire area. Interesting fact that we are seeing some 30 to 40kt
wind gusts on the back edge of the more substantical precipitation
from Madison to Fond du Lac in the last 1-2 hours. These gusts

&&

.AVIATION(18Z TAFS)...Lull in precipitation for a time this
afternoon before another surge moves in later this afternoon and
evening. Mostly rain is expected with the next surge of
precipitation, however a mix is possible in the far north and
northwest. Gusty winds may briefly affect the eastern TAF sites
early this afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 931 AM CST Sat Feb 23 2019)

UPDATE...Initial cooling of atmosphere as precipitation began
has resulted in a wintery mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain
across much of the area. The wintery mix will continue through the
late morning, and may need to extend the Winter Weather Advisory
for several more hours across some northern areas. Waiting for
surface temps and dewpoints to rise, but temp/dewpoint separation
remains more than 5 degrees in some northern areas. Wintery mix
also causing some slick roads as pavement temperatures remain at
or slightly below freezing. Surface winds have also turned to the
northeast in some eastern areas. Expect the widespread
rain/wintery mix associated with this initial surge of warm air
advection to become more scattered or showery for a time this
afternoon before another round of widespread rain and possibly
embedded thunder moves through late afternoon and evening.

MARINE...Very strong low pressure will cross Lake Michigan this
weekend. Winds will initially be easterly this morning,
increasing from the southeast this afternoon/evening as the low
pressure approaches. Once that low lifts through the lake late
tonight, winds will increase considerably from the west for
Sunday. Gales are are expected prior to daybreak Sunday, with a
period of storm force gusts looking increasingly likely from the
mid morning hours Sunday into early Sunday evening. Gales are
expected to dissipate by Monday morning.

Waves will also be very impressive with this system, with 16-20
foot waves (a few as high as 23 feet) expected over the
southeastern portion of Lake Michigan. Over the north half of the
lake, waves of 12 to 16 feet will be common (occasionally to
20ft).

Once this system moves through, high pressure builds into the
region and relatively quiet conditions are expected.

PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 547 AM CST Sat Feb 23 2019)

UPDATE...

Adjusted forecast for this morning somewhat to go with more
freezing rain across northern parts of the area, and less snow.
This was based on current trends, with mainly freezing rain or a
wintry mix being reported at automated sites. Thus, more ice
accumulations were added to the northern and northeastern parts of
the area this morning. Values are still up to 0.10 inches in these
area. Highest amounts will still be southwest of Madison. Will
continue to watch surface temperatures and dewpoints, especially
in the southeast, to see if freezing rain will occur in those
areas.

AVIATION(12Z TAFS)...

Should see a period of mainly light freezing rain at Madison until
around 9 AM CST this morning, then becoming rain. Waukesha should
see about a 2 hour period of freezing rain between 7 AM and 9 AM
CST, before becoming all rain. Milwaukee and Kenosha will see all
rain this morning. If temperatures stay above freezing on gusty
east winds, Waukesha would see mainly rain too. Some uncertainty
here with if the temperatures will continue to warm, and their
effects on precipitation types.

Ice accumulations are possible with any freezing rain, highest
southwest of Madison.

Rain is expected across the entire area by early this afternoon,
with a lull possible. More rain is expected this evening, while
winds weaken, which may allow for fog to form. This will also
bring a period of low level wind shear later this evening into the
overnight hours, with 2000 foot level winds southwest around 40
to 45 knots.

The rain will mix with and change to light snow later tonight,
with gusty west to northwest winds. Any snow accumulations will be
under an inch. May hear a rumble of thunder later this afternoon
into early evening. IFR category ceiling and visibility values
are expected today into tonight.

PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 411 AM CST Sat Feb 23 2019)

SHORT TERM...
Today And Tonight...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Removed Racine and Kenosha Counties from the Winter Weather
Advisory with temperatures hanging just above freezing in these
locations, and kept the rest of the area as is.

First round of strong upward vertical motion will continue to push
into the area this morning, associated with focused 850 mb warm
air advection and the low level jet nose. Some dry air with
easterly flow in the low levels was working to delay the onset of
the precipitation. Now seeing some ground truth in the western
counties, and this should spread east across the area into this
morning.

Main issue into this morning will be the surface temperatures and
dew points, and their affect on precipitation types. Most models
were too cold with their initializations for temperatures and dew
points early this morning. Used a more realistic blend of Adjusted
LAV and NBM, which gave a steady to slowly rising trend this
morning. Some uncertainty with how far east the freezing rain risk
will get, as temperatures in the east are currently at or above
freezing.

Think Racine and Kenosha Counties will remain above freezing, so
removed them from the Winter Weather Advisory. Kept the rest of
the advisory as is for this morning. There is the potential for
less freezing rain and more rain falling in the rest of the
southeastern counties, if temperatures remain above freezing with
the gusty east winds. Will continue to monitor trends and may
remove more counties from the advisory if temperatures stay just
warm enough.

The best areas for freezing rain will be in the southwestern
counties, where colder surface temperatures and dew points exist.
Ice accumulations here will be in the 0.10 to 0.20 inch range,
with lighter amounts to the east and north. Some light snow/sleet
should occur over the northern counties, before mixing with and
changing to rain by later this morning as temperatures warm just
above freezing. Any accumulations will be light.

Period of light rain is expected this afternoon, with a lull
possible, before the next area of strong upward vertical motion
moves into the area. Strong cyclogenesis with the low passing
northeast through the area, along with a negatively tilted 500 mb
shortwave trough, will drive an area of moderate rain this
evening. Amounts of 0.50 to 1 inch are expected, highest in the
western parts of the area. There may be some rumbles of thunder
later this afternoon into this evening, with tall, skinny and weak
elevated CAPE.

Lighter winds into later tonight may allow for some fog to
develop. Strong cold air advection later tonight should bring a
changeover to light snow from west to east. Amounts will be rather
light. Gusty west northwest winds then will develop toward dawn
early Sunday morning.

LONG TERM...

Sunday...Forecast Confidence is High.
Powerful low pressure should be located over northern Lake
Michigan by daybreak Sunday. Wrap around moisture will clip
southern Wisconsin with a changeover back to light mix/snow in
progress. Minor accumulation of less than an inch is expected, but
could lead to a few slick spots for those traveling during the
morning hours. Flurries may linger into the afternoon toward
central Wisconsin, but most precip should quickly wind down by
midday.

The biggest story will be windy conditions. West/northwest winds
will quickly ramp up Sunday morning. Will let day shift hoist the
advisory to keep any confusion with ongoing headlines to a
minimum. Be assured, though, that sustained west/northwest winds
around 30 mph (give or take) and wind gusts to 50 mph are
expected. Cannot rule out the need for a short fused high wind
warning. A distinct 55kt low level jet spreads over the region
during the day and if we can mix enough, we can tap into that
flow, with a risk of gusts to high wind warning levels. Bottom
line, Sunday will be very windy.

Sunday night onward...Forecast Confidence in Medium.
Surface low moves further away Sunday night and the pressure
gradient will eventually relax. Strong cold advection will send
temperatures well into the single digits, if not a few degrees
below zero toward Lone Rock and the Dells.

Overall, the coming workweek looks cold. Temperatures will be well
below average (a good 10 to 15 degrees on average). Overnight
lows will be in the single digits to mid teens. Daytime highs will
be in the teens Monday and Tuesday, moderating just slightly
Wednesday and Thursday to the 20s.

The upper pattern shifts from southwesterly to zonal. This will
not end the passage of waves every few days, but it will limit
moisture availability. The 00z suite of guidance has a few waves
moving through, though timing in this fast flow is not well agreed
upon. Have maintained light snow chances from time to time, but
at this point any light snow looks to be more of an occasional
nuisance with a dusting here and there. The 00z GFS continues to
be a lone wolf on Friday into Saturday merging energy from both
the northern and southern streams. This is not well agreed upon
and we have ample time to watch any potential system for next
weekend.

AVIATION(06Z TAFS)...
Should see a period of light freezing rain and snow at Madison,
then just freezing rain for an hour or two, until around 9 AM CST
this morning. Waukesha and Milwaukee should see a 1 to 2 hour
period of freezing rain between 6 AM and 8 AM CST, before becoming
all rain. Kenosha will see all rain this morning. If temperatures
stay above freezing on gusty east winds, Waukesha and Milwaukee
would see mainly rain. Some uncertainty here with the temperatures
and their effects on precipitation types.

Ice accumulations are possible with any freezing rain, highest
southwest of Madison. Light snow may fall for a few hours in
northern parts of the area until middle to late morning.

Rain is expected by this afternoon, with a lull possible. More
rain is expected this evening, while winds weaken, which may
allow for fog to form. The rain will mix with and change to light
snow later tonight, with gusty west to northwest winds. Any snow
accumulations will be under an inch. May hear a rumble of thunder
later this afternoon into early evening. Winds should weaken this
evening, which may allow for fog to form. IFR category ceilings
and visibility values are expected today into tonight.

MARINE...
Very strong low pressure is expected to impact the area this
weekend. Winds will initially be easterly this morning,
increasing from the southeast on this afternoon/evening as the
low pressure approaches. Once that low lifts through the lake late
Saturday night, winds will increase considerably from the west
for Sunday. Gales are are expected prior to daybreak Sunday, with
a period of storm force gusts looking increasingly likely from the
mid morning hours Sunday into early Sunday evening. Gales are
expected to dissipate by Monday morning.

Waves will also be very impressive with this system, with 16-20
foot waves (a few as high as 23 feet) expected over the
southeastern portion of Lake Michigan. Over the north half of the
lake, waves of 12 to 16 feet will be common (occasionally to
20ft).

Once this system moves through, high pressure builds into the
region and relatively quiet conditions are expected.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST today for WIZ046-047-051-
     052-056>060-062>070.

LM...Storm Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening for
     LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-
     868-870-872-874-876-878.

     Gale Warning from 3 AM Sunday to 6 AM CST Monday for LMZ080-261-
     362-364-366-563-565-567-643>646-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
     870-872-874-876-878.

&&

Update...MBK
Today/Tonight and Aviation/Marine...MBK
Sunday THROUGH Friday...Gagan

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
240 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-242045-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
240 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Late This Afternoon and Tonight

There remains a chance for a thunderstorm late this afternoon and
evening.

Fog may be dense at times, reducing the visibility to one quarter
mile.

Additional rainfall of one quarter to three quarters inch this
evening may result in localized street flooding, especially in
low areas due to ice and snow covered drainage areas and melting
snow. Clearing out your storm drains will go a long way in
helping to mitigate rural and urban flooding.

Areas northwest of Madison toward Reedsburg and the Wisconsin
Dells may experience a period of light freezing rain or sleet this
evening, transitioning to periods of snow late tonight into Sunday
morning. These areas may receive 1 to 2 inches of snow through
Sunday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Saturday

Lingering light snow will end by midday Sunday. Less than an inch
of additional snow is expected over most of south central and
east central Wisconsin.

Very strong westerly winds will then develop Sunday morning and
last into Sunday evening. Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph are expected.
A few gusts to 60 mph are possible. A Wind Advisory covers the
entire area on Sunday into Sunday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

LMZ643>646-242045-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
240 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from
Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Fog may become dense at times, reducing the visibility to one mile
or less.

Strong low pressure is forecast to move northeast into southern
Wisconsin this evening and over the northern end of Lake Michigan
by daybreak Sunday. Southwest gales will develop late tonight over
the near shore waters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Saturday

Westerly gales are expected Sunday, veering to northwest Sunday
night. A Gale Warning is in effect on Sunday into Sunday night. A
few storm force gusts are possible on Sunday.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-242045-
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
240 PM CST Sat Feb 23 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Strong low pressure is forecast to move northeast into southern
Wisconsin this evening and over the northern end of Lake Michigan
by daybreak Sunday. Southwest gales will develop late tonight.

Fog may become dense overnight, reducing the visibility to one
mile or less for a time, especially over the southern part of the
lake.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Saturday

Westerly gales will increase to a period of Storm Force winds over
the open waters on Sunday. Gusts to 50 knots are expected. A Storm
Warning is in effect on Sunday, into Sunday evening.

The winds will turn to the northwest Sunday night and begin to
slowly subside, but remain at gale force into early Monday.

Waves will increase to between 12 and 18 feet across eastern
portions of the lake on Sunday, with occasional waves to 22 feet
over the south half. The waves will slowly subside Sunday night
and Monday.

www.weather.gov/mkx

MBK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1000 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     FREEZING RAIN    4 W HOLLANDALE          42.87N 90.01W
02/23/2019  M0.20 INCH       IOWA               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            7.3 ENE MINERAL POINT.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1002 AM CST SAT FEB 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1001 AM     FREEZING RAIN    2 SE GERMANTOWN         43.22N 88.10W
02/23/2019  E0.10 INCH       WASHINGTON         WI   PUBLIC

            FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACCUMULATION.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1237 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     FREEZING RAIN    2 WSW FOND DU LAC       43.77N 88.48W
02/23/2019  M0.11 INCH       FOND DU LAC        WI   ASOS

            FLD AIRPORT.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1239 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     FREEZING RAIN    2 WNW SHEBOYGAN         43.77N 87.75W
02/23/2019  M0.03 INCH       SHEBOYGAN          WI   ASOS

            SBM AIRPORT.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1241 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     FREEZING RAIN    6 W SPRING GREEN        43.18N 90.19W
02/23/2019  M0.19 INCH       SAUK               WI   ASOS

            LNR AIRPORT.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1242 PM CST SAT FEB 23 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     FREEZING RAIN    2 WNW SHEBOYGAN         43.77N 87.75W
02/23/2019  M0.03 INCH       SHEBOYGAN          WI   ASOS

            SBM AIRPORT.

1200 PM     FREEZING RAIN    2 WSW FOND DU LAC       43.77N 88.48W
02/23/2019  M0.11 INCH       FOND DU LAC        WI   ASOS

            FLD AIRPORT.

1200 PM     FREEZING RAIN    3 NE MAPLE BLUFF        43.14N 89.34W
02/23/2019  M0.19 INCH       DANE               WI   ASOS

            MSN AIRPORT.

1200 PM     FREEZING RAIN    6 W SPRING GREEN        43.18N 90.19W
02/23/2019  M0.19 INCH       SAUK               WI   ASOS

            LNR AIRPORT.

1001 AM     FREEZING RAIN    2 SE GERMANTOWN         43.22N 88.10W
02/23/2019  E0.10 INCH       WASHINGTON         WI   PUBLIC

            FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ACCUMULATION.

1000 AM     FREEZING RAIN    4 W HOLLANDALE          42.87N 90.01W
02/23/2019  M0.20 INCH       IOWA               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            7.3 ENE MINERAL POINT.

&&