Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 366, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 21, 2019Borden County, Scurry County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 21, 2019, 8:06 PM CDT for Borden County, Scurry County, Texas. It was in force for 24 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2019, 8:06 PM CDT (01:06 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2019, 8:30 PM CDT
In force
24 min
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Borden County, TX, Scurry County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 21, 8:11 PM CDTTSTM WND GST 606 Nw Fluvanna, TX
Jun 21, 8:11 PM CDTHAIL 0.886 Nw Fluvanna, TX

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 5 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-06-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1554 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2019-06-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1554 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-91 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2719 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
217 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

419 
WUUS54 KMAF 220106
SVRMAF
TXC033-415-220130-
/O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0366.190622T0106Z-190622T0130Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service MIDLAND TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
806 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

The National Weather Service in MIDLAND has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northwestern Scurry County in western Texas...
  Northeastern Borden County in western Texas...

* Until 830 PM CDT.

* At 806 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles northeast
  of Gail, moving northeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Fluvanna around 830 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3294 10097 3272 10132 3287 10150 3296 10140
      3297 10100
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 226DEG 23KT 3284 10133 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 21, 6:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 6:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
647 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...

Look for VFR conditions to continue through 00Z Sunday. Some
thunderstorms will continue into this evening; however, timing and
location confidence too low to include any thunderstorms in any
of the terminals, except VCTS in the Fort Stockton terminal, until
02Z this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX/

DISCUSSION...

Models this forecast cycle remain very consistent, when compared
to previous runs. The upper flow over West Texas and Southeast New
Mexico will continue from the southwest, at least through Sunday
afternoon. Then, another upper trough axis will move out of the
southern Rockies and into the Plains. Meanwhile, some convection
may develop along and near a dryline; thus, this potential,
although a small potential, deserves at least 20 PoPs, for mainly
our eastern counties this evening, as well as Saturday and Sunday
evenings. Otherwise, for this next work week, the forecast is
mainly dry, except for perhaps afternoon convection over the Davis
Mountains a couple of days.

FIRE WEATHER...

Dry and breezy conditions are expected to develop behind a dryline
this afternoon with minimum relative humidity dropping to 8-15
percent across the Guadalupe Mountains and the southeast New
Mexico Plains. Despite ERC values mainly in the 25 to 50th
percentile, RFTI's will likely range from 3 to 5. Similar
conditions may develop Saturday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     73  96  71  94 /  20  10  20  10
Carlsbad                       66  99  66  95 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         75  97  74  96 /  20  10  20  10
Fort Stockton                  71  98  70  96 /  10  10  20   0
Guadalupe Pass                 65  91  63  87 /   0   0  10   0
Hobbs                          66  96  64  92 /  10  10   0   0
Marfa                          58  91  54  89 /  10   0  10   0
Midland Intl Airport           74  99  72  96 /  20  10  10   0
Odessa                         72  99  71  96 /  10  10  10   0
Wink                           69 101  68  98 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

99/99/99
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 2:42 PM CDT, 5 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
242 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-222000-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
245 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019 /145 PM MDT Fri Jun 21 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening from the
Permian Basin southwestward across the Trans Pecos to the Davis
Mountains and Big Bend Area. A few storms may become strong to
severe with large hail and damaging winds.

Dry and breezy conditions will result in near critical fire
weather conditions today through early this evening in the
Guadalupe and Davis Mountains and the southeast New Mexico
Plains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 21, 6:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service MIDLAND TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
647 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

TXZ051-052-220030-
Martin TX-Howard TX-
647 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN HOWARD AND EASTERN MARTIN
COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

At 646 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Stanton, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Vealmoor around 720 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Knott, Fairview,
Courtney, Brown and Stanton Municipal Aiport.

LAT...LON 3209 10165 3209 10198 3252 10187 3252 10139
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 206DEG 40KT 3219 10178
Special weather statement, Jun 21, 7:36 PM CDT, 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service MIDLAND TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
736 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

TXZ047-048-052-220115-
Scurry TX-Howard TX-Borden TX-
736 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN SCURRY...BORDEN AND
NORTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

At 735 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Vealmoor, or 13 miles east of Ackerly, moving northeast at 20 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern
Scurry, Borden and northeastern Howard Counties, including the
following locations... Ira and Arah.

LAT...LON 3257 10095 3252 10111 3253 10117 3250 10118
      3241 10148 3262 10166 3297 10129
TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 236DEG 18KT 3257 10150
Special weather statement, Jun 21, 7:46 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service MIDLAND TX
Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX
746 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

TXZ050-061-220130-
Andrews TX-Ector TX-
746 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN ECTOR AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ANDREWS COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CDT...

At 745 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Goldsmith, or 9 miles northwest of West Odessa, moving northeast at
15 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Goldsmith around 800 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include North Cowden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3181 10256 3191 10274 3223 10255 3206 10228
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 211DEG 12KT 3193 10261
Local storm report, Jun 21, 7:49 PM CDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
749 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     HAIL             3 N PLEASANT FARMS      31.63N 102.33W
06/21/2019  E1.25 INCH       CRANE              TX   PUBLIC

&&
Local storm report, Jun 21, 7:56 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
756 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0746 PM     HAIL             3 S GAIL                32.73N 101.45W
06/21/2019  M1.00 INCH       BORDEN             TX   PUBLIC

&&
Local storm report, Jun 21, 8:04 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
804 PM CDT FRI JUN 21 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     TSTM WND GST     GAIL                    32.77N 101.45W
06/21/2019  M59 MPH          BORDEN             TX   MESONET

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster, Pecos, Terrell50 min
Jun 21, 7:36 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFPecos114 min
Jun 21, 7:36 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBorden39 min
Jun 21, 7:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Scurry45 min
Jun 21, 7:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFEctor44 min
Jun 21, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Ector39 min
Jun 21, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos, Terrell50 min
Jun 21, 8:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFAndrews47 min
Jun 21, 8:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos49 min
Jun 21, 8:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFScurry47 min
Jun 21, 9:42 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFReagan48 min
Jun 22, 4:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos37 min
Jun 22, 5:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos27 min
Jun 22, 6:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos30 min
Jun 22, 6:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos36 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.