Severe Thunderstorm Warning 340, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

795 
WWUS54 KMAF 182017
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
317 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

TXC371-389-182115-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0340.000000T0000Z-190618T2115Z/
Pecos TX-Reeves TX-
317 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN PECOS AND SOUTHERN REEVES COUNTIES...

At 316 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Saragosa, or 18
miles south of Toyah, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Pecos, Balmorhea, Balmorhea Lake, Saragosa, Verhalen, Toyah Lake and
Pecos Municipal Airport.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 10 between mile markers 203 and 221.
 Interstate 20 between mile markers 36 and 42.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3090 10375 3107 10386 3146 10353 3106 10317
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 233DEG 15KT 3106 10370 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

80

069 
WWUS54 KMAF 182040
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
340 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

TXC371-389-182115-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0340.000000T0000Z-190618T2115Z/
Pecos TX-Reeves TX-
340 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN PECOS AND SOUTHEASTERN REEVES COUNTIES...

At 338 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles northeast of
Saragosa, or 17 miles southeast of Toyah, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. Golf ball sized 
         hail was reported 2 miles north of Verhalen along State 
         Highway 17.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Pecos, Saragosa, Verhalen, Toyah Lake and Pecos Municipal Airport. 

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 10 between mile markers 209 and 221.
 Interstate 20 between mile markers 36 and 42.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3093 10366 3113 10381 3146 10353 3106 10317
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 232DEG 18KT 3114 10358 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

80

826 
WWUS54 KMAF 182047
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
347 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

TXC371-389-182115-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0340.000000T0000Z-190618T2115Z/
Pecos TX-Reeves TX-
347 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN PECOS AND SOUTHEASTERN REEVES COUNTIES...

At 347 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 15 miles south of
Pecos, moving northeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Pecos, Saragosa, Verhalen, Toyah Lake and Pecos Municipal Airport. 

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 10 between mile markers 209 and 221.
 Interstate 20 between mile markers 36 and 42.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3093 10366 3113 10381 3146 10353 3106 10317
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 233DEG 19KT 3119 10349 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

80

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
149 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

.DISCUSSION...

* Strong to Severe Thunderstorms possible through this evening,
  accompanied by large to very large hail

* Very hot conditions follow late this week

Despite a weak upper level ridge over the region strong to severe
thunderstorms are expected to develop once again through this
evening across mainly west Texas as an upper level disturbance
moves through the ridge and interacts with a moist and very
unstable airmass east of a dryline. Thunderstorms are beginning to
develop in the Davis Mountains and initiation will likely also
occur later this afternoon and early this evening further east
into the Permian Basin as the cap weakens. In these areas cape
values in excess of 3000 j/kg will combine with bulk wind shear of
30 to 40 knots and very steep lapse rates to produce the threat
of large to very large hail and damaging winds. The precipitation
should be east of the forecast area by 19/06z as the shortwave
departs.

By Wednesday and Thursday zonal flow aloft will push the dryline
into west Central Texas and push the threat of thunderstorms east
of the forecast area. Low level thermal ridging and downslope flow
will allow high temperatures to climb to much above normal values.
Localized Heat Advisory criteria may be met near and along the
Rio Grande River(near Boquillas Canyon) Wednesday and and more
widespread Thursday. Portions of the Permian may also need an
advisory by Thursday as well. Later shifts will need to monitor.

By Friday through next weekend southwesterly flow aloft will
develop once again ahead of a slow moving Pacific upper level
storm system. Default NBM guidance pops seem too low in this
regime and prefer the higher superblend pops for thunderstorms
in the eastern Permian Basin. Temperatures will remain above
normal through the extended forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     71 101  68 105 /  30   0   0  10
Carlsbad                       68 101  68 104 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         73 104  73 108 /  30  10  10   0
Fort Stockton                  72 101  72 105 /  20  10   0  10
Guadalupe Pass                 68  93  68  96 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          64  98  64 101 /  10   0   0   0
Marfa                          61  94  61  97 /  10  10   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           72 102  69 105 /  20   0   0   0
Odessa                         71 102  68 105 /  20   0   0   0
Wink                           68 103  66 106 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

70/12

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
113 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-191815-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
113 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019 /1213 PM MDT Tue Jun 18 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected across the area
this afternoon and tonight. There is a marginal to enhanced risk of
severe storms, capable of producing large hail, damaging winds,
frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, and an isolated tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Very hot temperatures may create a health hazard Thursday and
Friday. Take precautions if performing outdoor activities on these
days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
200 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

TXZ075-274-277-278-181945-
Pecos TX-Reeves County Plains TX-Davis Mountains TX-
Davis Mountains Foothills TX-
200 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN PECOS...SOUTHWESTERN
REEVES AND NORTHEASTERN JEFF DAVIS COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

At 200 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles southwest of Balmorhea State Park, or 17 miles north of Fort
Davis, moving east at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Balmorhea, Balmorhea Lake, Saragosa, Balmorhea State Park, Black
Mountain, Toyahvale, Star Mountain and Buffalo Trail Scout Camp.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 200 and 215.

LAT...LON 3068 10399 3090 10406 3113 10369 3072 10346
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 247DEG 14KT 3084 10390

80

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
310 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0307 PM     HAIL             7 S MARFA               30.21N 104.03W
06/18/2019  E1.00 INCH       Presidio           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

SCOTT.KLEEBAUER