Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 231, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 30, 2019Pecos County, Terrell County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 30, 2019, 4:15 PM CDT for Pecos County, Terrell County, Texas. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2019, 4:15 PM CDT (21:15 UTC)
Expired: May 30, 2019, 4:59 PM CDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 3.0 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

Counties Pecos County, TX, Terrell County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 161 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 30, 2:43 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1147 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 87 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 30, 2:26 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 2:26 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
226 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Divergence aloft in assocn with a split/bifurcated 3h jet, steep
LR/s and upslope flow will serve to provide favorable environment
for tstms across the Trans Pecos and areas e-se into the
overnight. A low-level moist axis extending SE-NW INVOF Pecos
River may provide a focus for storms to move e-se along/near.
Generally scattered storms/some severe this PM are expected to
increase in coverage, especially across the mountains where
satellite shows best insolation, and then develop/move into the
srn PB/Lower Trans Pecos overnight where the best combination of
available energy and deep shear will be located. Severe storms and
heavy rain (flooding and flash flooding) will be possible
overnight. The jet set-up for Friday is not as favorable as today,
but there is still a 60kt 3h wind speed maxima and despite
increasing mid-level heights forecast soundings in the Davis Mtns
and PB suggests storms are still possible with daytime heating,
PoPs will be in the scattered range. Warmer temps look to erode
any cap on Sat, but there doesn't appear to be a surface boundary.
As such elevated heat sources are the mostly likely suspects to
instigate convection. GFS/ECMWF are on board bringing
out/developing a cluster of storms in the Upper Trans Pecos/wrn PB
Sat afternoon-evening. Sunday could prove interesting across the
wrn areas as the mid-level ridge axis will be to e across the
plains leaving open the window for storms to flourish in/near the
mountains, possibly pushing into the PB late evening (low-level
jet looks meager though). Mid-level flow remains backed through
mid week which means that moisture will not move out of the Trans
Pecos. The combination of daytime heating, steep LRs, and the
likelihood of periodic shrtwv trofs within long duration sw flow
will result in scattered tstms, sometimes greater coverage. GFS
indicates 0-6km bulk shear will decrease after Sat and mostly
remains marginal for severe storms thereafter. High temps will
edge up slowly into Sunday then level off, no hot weather is
foreseen this week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     62  81  66  84 /  40  40  30  30
Carlsbad                       61  84  64  87 /  30  40  50  50
Dryden                         68  84  70  86 /  60  40  30  20
Fort Stockton                  65  83  67  86 /  60  50  40  40
Guadalupe Pass                 59  80  63  83 /  30  30  40  50
Hobbs                          58  81  62  83 /  30  40  50  50
Marfa                          56  83  58  86 /  50  40  40  50
Midland Intl Airport           62  81  67  85 /  40  40  40  40
Odessa                         62  81  66  85 /  40  40  40  40
Wink                           62  83  66  86 /  50  50  40  40

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 3:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
301 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-312015-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
301 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019 /201 PM MDT Thu May 30 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon through tonight. Any storm
will be capable of producing frequent lightning, hail, gusty winds,
and brief, heavy rainfall. Some storms could become strong to severe
with large hail and damaging winds the primary concern.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT..

Spotter activation is possible.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 30, 11:59 AM CDT, 4 hours 16 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1159 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

TXZ068-069-301745-
Crane TX-Upton TX-
1159 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CRANE AND SOUTHERN UPTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 PM CDT...

At 1159 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
McCamey, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
McCamey, Rankin and Upton County Airport.

LAT...LON 3108 10224 3108 10228 3122 10238 3151 10189
      3126 10177 3124 10177
TIME...MOT...LOC 1659Z 241DEG 21KT 3117 10228

Goudsward

Special weather statement, May 30, 1:11 PM CDT, 3 hours 4 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
111 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

TXZ075-082-301900-
Pecos TX-Terrell TX-
111 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL PECOS AND NORTH
CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM CDT...

At 110 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 20
miles southwest of Sheffield, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sheffield, Iraan and Iraan Municipal Airport.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 302 and 327.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3039 10202 3049 10237 3096 10218 3091 10188
      3089 10189 3087 10186 3083 10185 3080 10183
      3076 10184 3074 10181 3070 10181 3067 10177
TIME...MOT...LOC 1810Z 204DEG 21KT 3057 10213

87

Special weather statement, May 30, 2:01 PM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
201 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

TXZ075-278-279-301945-
Pecos TX-Central Brewster County TX-Davis Mountains Foothills TX-
201 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PECOS AND NORTH CENTRAL
BREWSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

At 200 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 23
miles south of Fort Stockton, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sierra Madera.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 273 and 284.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3027 10290 3040 10323 3099 10255 3061 10233
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 225DEG 29KT 3057 10277

87

Special weather statement, May 30, 2:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
242 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

TXZ276>278-302030-
Marfa Plateau TX-Davis Mountains TX-Davis Mountains Foothills TX-
242 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL JEFF DAVIS COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM CDT...

At 241 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles north of Valentine, or 29 miles southwest of Kent, moving east
at 40 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
McDonald Observatory, Buffalo Trail Scout Camp and Black Mountain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3059 10453 3076 10459 3097 10394 3067 10384
TIME...MOT...LOC 1941Z 254DEG 34KT 3070 10448

Goudsward

Local storm report, May 30, 3:11 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
311 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0309 PM     HAIL             20 SSW BAKERSFIELD      30.62N 102.43W
05/30/2019  E1.00 INCH       Pecos              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SCOTT.KLEEBAUER

Special weather statement, May 30, 3:50 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
350 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

TXZ276-277-302130-
Marfa Plateau TX-Davis Mountains TX-
350 PM CDT Thu May 30 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN JEFF DAVIS AND NORTH
CENTRAL PRESIDIO COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

At 350 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Valentine, or 29 miles north of Candelaria, moving northeast at 40
mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Valentine, McDonald Observatory and Black Mountain.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southwestern
Texas.

LAT...LON 3038 10449 3060 10467 3092 10410 3067 10392
TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 238DEG 33KT 3054 10450

Goudsward

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 9:08 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward	37 min
May 30, 9:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Reeves, Ward	60 min
May 30, 9:18 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	42 min
May 30, 10:02 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Crane	43 min
May 30, 10:07 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward	38 min
May 30, 10:35 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	40 min
May 30, 10:37 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Upton	53 min
May 30, 11:02 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Upton	43 min
May 30, 11:28 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Crane	47 min
May 30, 11:59 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Upton	46 min
May 30, 12:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Reagan, Upton	38 min
May 30, 12:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Reagan, Upton	24 min
May 30, 1:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Terrell	49 min
May 30, 2:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	44 min
May 30, 2:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	59 min
May 30, 2:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	39 min
May 30, 2:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	48 min
May 30, 2:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Presidio	39 min
May 30, 2:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson, Jeff Davis, Reeves	32 min
May 30, 3:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	61 min
May 30, 3:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	40 min
May 30, 4:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Jeff Davis, Presidio	71 min
May 30, 5:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Jeff Davis, Presidio	59 min
May 30, 5:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Presidio	58 min
May 30, 6:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	42 min
May 30, 6:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews	47 min
May 30, 6:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	41 min
May 30, 6:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Presidio	36 min
May 30, 6:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Presidio	35 min
May 30, 6:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	19 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2019 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.