Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 224, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 30, 2019Reagan County, Upton County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 30, 2019, 12:29 PM CDT for Reagan County, Upton County, Texas. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2019, 12:29 PM CDT (17:29 UTC)
Expired: May 30, 2019, 12:53 PM CDT
In force: 24 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Reagan County, TX, Upton County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 30, 5:52 AM CDT, 6 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 5:52 AM CDT, 6 hours 37 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
552 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019

.DISCUSSION...

See 12Z Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Sat fog imagery shows stratus has developed along the dryline
overnight, and is growing in area, especially south. Postfrontal
winds will continue veering to the east today, and this upslope
flow will maintain/exacerbate stratus development, especially
higher terrain, all terminals for most of the forecast period.
Cigs should stay MVFR. Models bring a shortwave thru the region
overnight, and hint at developing a MCS over the Stockton
Plateau/Permian Basin, and we'll insert a mention of convection
KMAF/KFST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 349 AM CDT Thu May 30 2019/

DISCUSSION...

KMAF radar is pretty quite tonight (it needs a rest) with only a
few storms in Terrell County. Currently, a cold front stretches
from GDP southeast into Terrell County with a dryline extending
N-S from the Davis Mtns into the Big Bend area. Dewpoints are in
the U50s/L60s with ENE winds behind the front. This front will
continue to advance east throughout the morning as a shortwave
rides along the base of a broad trough over the southwestern U.S.
Energy from this shortwave should arrive over the region between
12-15Z and help kick off convection over the mountains areas. The
HRRR depicts numerous storms today with coverage expanding into
southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin late this afternoon,
while the latest 3km NAM NEST indicates storms will remain over
the lower Trans Pecos and southeast New Mexico closer to the
frontal boundary. Decided to go with likely PoPs across the
mountain areas today with the axis shifting north after 00Z.
SPC DY1 convective outlook has most of the CWA outlined in a
SLIGHT risk. All hazards will be possible (large hail, damaging
winds, isolated tornado) including heavy rainfall and localized
flash flooding due to PWATs 1-2 sd above normal. Temperatures will
be well below normal today across the region mainly in the upper
70s to lower 80s.

As the first 500 mb shortwave exits the region, another will follow
in its wake and provide support for more showers and t-storms across
the region by early Friday morning. Flooding will become a concern
if storms redevelop over the same areas. Kept likely PoPs going past
12Z Friday over the S Permian Basin and lower Trans Pecos. High
temperatures will be well below normal again on Friday as sfc
winds remain easterly and clouds/precip prevent sufficient
insolation.

Temperatures will remain below normal this weekend (normal high for
MAF on June 1 is 91F) as cool, moist southeast flow continues. The
region will be stuck between the trough/ridge axis w/sw flow
aloft through middle of next week until the highly amplified 500 mb
pattern begins to flatten out. In the mean time, storm chances will
continue each day/night with the 45-50% PoP axis shifting west Sat-
Tue.

-Salerno

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     78  62  80  66 /  30  60  50  40
Carlsbad                       78  62  81  66 /  50  50  40  50
Dryden                         86  70  87  71 /  60  60  60  40
Fort Stockton                  77  64  81  68 /  60  60  60  50
Guadalupe Pass                 72  59  74  62 /  40  40  40  50
Hobbs                          75  58  78  63 /  50  50  40  50
Marfa                          80  53  81  56 /  40  40  50  40
Midland Intl Airport           78  63  80  67 /  40  60  60  40
Odessa                         78  63  80  67 /  50  60  60  40
Wink                           79  64  82  67 /  60  60  60  50

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

44/24/44

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 11:45 AM CDT, 44 minutes before

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In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 30, 10:07 AM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 30, 10:35 AM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 30, 10:39 AM CDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 30, 11:02 AM CDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 30, 11:28 AM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

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Special weather statement, May 30, 11:59 AM CDT, 30 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 9:08 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward	37 min
May 30, 9:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Reeves, Ward	60 min
May 30, 9:18 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	42 min
May 30, 10:02 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Crane	43 min
May 30, 10:07 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward	38 min
May 30, 10:35 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	40 min
May 30, 10:37 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Upton	53 min
May 30, 11:02 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Upton	43 min
May 30, 11:28 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Crane	47 min
May 30, 11:59 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Upton	46 min
May 30, 12:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Reagan, Upton	38 min
May 30, 1:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Terrell	49 min
May 30, 2:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Pecos	44 min
May 30, 2:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	59 min
May 30, 2:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	39 min
May 30, 2:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	48 min
May 30, 2:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Presidio	39 min
May 30, 2:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson, Jeff Davis, Reeves	32 min
May 30, 3:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	61 min
May 30, 3:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	40 min
May 30, 4:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Jeff Davis, Presidio	71 min
May 30, 4:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	44 min
May 30, 5:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Jeff Davis, Presidio	59 min
May 30, 5:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Presidio	58 min
May 30, 6:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	42 min
May 30, 6:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews	47 min
May 30, 6:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	41 min
May 30, 6:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Presidio	36 min
May 30, 6:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Presidio	35 min
May 30, 6:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	19 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2019 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.