Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2019

River Flood Warning 161, NWS St. Louis, MO

May 26, 2019Marion County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at May 26, 2019, 2:59 AM CDT for Marion County, Missouri. It took effect at May 26, 2019, 11:51 AM CDT. It was in force for 51 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 26, 2019, 2:59 AM CDT (07:59 UTC)
In effect from: May 26, 2019, 11:51 AM CDT
Expired: May 28, 2019, 2:50 PM CDT
In force: 51 hr
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Moderate

County Marion County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point North River (MO) at Palmyra (PALM7). The gauge peaked at 19.62 ft at May 29, 2019, 2:00 PM CDT.

Action stage: 11 ft
Minor stage: 13 ft
Moderate stage: 16 ft
Major stage: 22 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05501000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

358 
WGUS43 KLSX 260759
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
259 AM CDT Sun May 26 2019

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Missouri... 

  North River at Palmyra

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-270758-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0161.190526T2003Z-190528T1950Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190526T2003Z.190527T0600Z.190527T1950Z.NO/
259 AM CDT Sun May 26 2019

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the North River at Palmyra
* from this afternoon to Tuesday afternoon.
* At  2:30 AM Sunday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and crest near 17.0 feet. The river is forecast to
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31

North River
  Palmyra         13.0    5.78       7.3   15.2    9.1    6.1    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

5 follow-up statements

681 
WGUS83 KLSX 261341
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
841 AM CDT Sun May 26 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  
  North Fabius River near Ewing
    
  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  North River at Palmyra



River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-271340-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0158.000000T0000Z-190530T0000Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.190526T0625Z.190526T1800Z.190529T0000Z.NO/
841 AM CDT Sun May 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 15.5 feet by this afternoon, 
  then fall below flood stage Tuesday evening.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
  be flooded at this height.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   15.05      12.4   11.6    9.9    7.8    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-271340-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0159.000000T0000Z-190529T1630Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.190526T0554Z.190526T1800Z.190528T1630Z.NO/
841 AM CDT Sun May 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  8:01 AM Sunday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 17.5 feet by this afternoon, 
  then fall below flood stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact:  At 17.8 feet...Olive Avenue (Lewis County Road 587) north 
  of Maywood begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 17.7 feet...Lewis County Road 508 will begin flooding 
  near this height.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   17.27      16.2   12.9    7.9    6.0    5.1


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-271340-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0161.190526T1651Z-190528T1732Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190526T1651Z.190527T0000Z.190527T1732Z.NO/
841 AM CDT Sun May 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* from this morning to Tuesday afternoon.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  morning and to crest near 17.0 feet by this evening. The river is 
  forecast to fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   11.09      14.2    9.4    6.7    5.9    5.6


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

566 
WGUS83 KLSX 270055
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
755 PM CDT Sun May 26 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

  North River at Palmyra

  Cuivre River at Old Monroe

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-280054-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.190319T1215Z.190530T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
755 PM CDT Sun May 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 32.0 feet by early Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.
* Impact:  At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is 
  reached.
* Impact:  At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street 
  is flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   30.30      30.5   31.1   31.7   32.0   31.8

&&

LAT...LON 3892 9081 3894 9070 3892 9070 3890 9080

$$

MOC111-280054-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0158.000000T0000Z-190529T1800Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.190526T0625Z.190526T1346Z.190528T1800Z.NO/
755 PM CDT Sun May 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday early afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   14.56      12.0   11.2    9.5    7.6    6.3

&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154

$$

MOC111-280054-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0159.000000T0000Z-190529T1832Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.190526T0554Z.190526T2330Z.190528T1832Z.NO/
755 PM CDT Sun May 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 17.9 feet by early
  Monday morning, then fall below flood stage Tuesday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact:  At 18.3 feet...Oak Avenue (Lewis County Road 582) begins 
  flooding.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   17.76      17.1   12.8    8.2    5.6    4.8

&&

LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162

$$

MOC127-280054-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-190530T0351Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.190526T0715Z.190527T1800Z.190529T0351Z.NO/
755 PM CDT Sun May 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 14.6 feet by Monday early 
  afternoon, then fall below flood stage Tuesday before midnight.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Cornfield just south and downstream of the 
  County Road 315 bridge at the gage begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.7 feet...County Road 319 just north of the gage 
  begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.6 feet...Missouri State Route M west of Route D 
  begins flooding near this height.  This road closed during South 
  Fabius River flood of September 11, 2014.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   13.07      14.1   13.0    7.2    3.6    3.3

&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       

$$

MOC127-280054-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0161.000000T0000Z-190528T1600Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190526T1624Z.190527T0600Z.190527T1600Z.NO/
755 PM CDT Sun May 26 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 16.0 feet by early Monday 
  morning, then fall below flood stage Monday late morning.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/27  05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   15.17      14.0    8.9    6.2    5.3    4.9

&&

LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170

$$

393 
WGUS83 KLSX 270922
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
422 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Illinois...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  La Moine River at Ripley

  North River at Palmyra

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri..
  Cuivre River at Old Monroe

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-280921-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.190319T1215Z.190530T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
422 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At  3:30 AM Monday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 32.0 feet by early Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.
* Impact:  At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is 
  reached.
* Impact:  At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street 
  is flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   30.31      30.3   31.1   31.7   32.0   31.8


&&


LAT...LON 3892 9081 3894 9070 3892 9070 3890 9080




$$

MOC111-280921-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0158.000000T0000Z-190531T0712Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.190526T0625Z.190526T1346Z.190530T0712Z.NO/
422 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until late Thursday night.
* At  3:30 AM Monday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to fall below flood stage early Thursday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   14.59      14.7   12.0   11.8   10.6    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

ILC009-280921-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0154.000000T0000Z-190602T1048Z/
/RIPI2.2.ER.190526T0631Z.190528T1200Z.190601T1048Z.NO/
422 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the La Moine River at Ripley
* until late Saturday night.
* At  3:45 AM Monday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 26.7 feet by tomorrow morning, 
  then fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact:  At 26.0 feet...Extensive pasture flooding downstream of the
  gauge along Highway 103 east of U.S. Highway 24.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

La Moine River
  Ripley          22.0   26.09      26.3   26.7   26.5   25.7   24.0


&&


LAT...LON 4013 9074 4013 9068 4000 9051 3996 9052
      3998 9064                       



$$

MOC127-280921-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0161.000000T0000Z-190529T0703Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190526T1624Z.190527T1200Z.190528T0703Z.NO/
422 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  3:30 AM Monday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 17.0 feet this morning, then
  fall below flood stage after midnight tonight.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   16.68      17.0   11.6    7.2    5.9    5.2


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

816 
WGUS83 KLSX 271431
FLSLSX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
931 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

  North River at Palmyra

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-281431-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0158.000000T0000Z-190602T0500Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.190526T0625Z.190526T1346Z.190601T0500Z.NO/
931 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until late Saturday night.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to 14.8 feet by this 
  afternoon, then fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   14.70      13.3   11.7   11.3   12.1   10.3


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC127-281431-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0161.000000T0000Z-190529T0738Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190526T1624Z.190527T1800Z.190528T0738Z.NO/
931 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  8:30 AM Monday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 17.5 feet by this afternoon, 
  then fall below flood stage after midnight tonight.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   17.10      11.4    6.8    7.4    6.7    5.0


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC111-281431-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0159.000000T0000Z-190601T0000Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.190526T0554Z.190526T2330Z.190531T0000Z.NO/
931 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Friday evening.
* At  8:30 AM Monday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Thursday evening.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   16.70      13.6   11.5   12.4   11.4    6.7


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-281431-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0160.000000T0000Z-190530T0600Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.190526T0715Z.190527T1101Z.190529T0600Z.NO/
931 AM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until late Wednesday night.
* At  8:30 AM Monday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  early Wednesday morning.



&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   13.97      12.8    9.1    8.6    6.7    4.7


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

357 
WGUS83 KLSX 280039
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
739 PM CDT Mon May 27 2019

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North River at Palmyra

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  Cuivre River at Old Monroe

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-290038-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.190319T1215Z.190603T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
739 PM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At  6:30 PM Monday the stage was 30.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 31.6 feet by Wednesday morning.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.
* Impact:  At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is 
  reached.
* Impact:  At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street 
  is flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   30.47      30.8   31.6   31.6   31.2   32.1

&&

LAT...LON 3892 9081 3894 9070 3892 9070 3890 9080

$$

MOC111-290038-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0158.000000T0000Z-190602T1630Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.190526T0625Z.190526T1346Z.190601T1630Z.NO/
739 PM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Sunday morning.
* At  6:30 PM Monday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 14.7 feet by early 
  Friday morning, then fall below flood stage late Saturday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   13.11      11.8   11.6   12.6   14.6   11.6

&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154

$$

MOC111-290038-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0159.000000T0000Z-190601T2007Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.190526T0554Z.190526T2330Z.190531T2007Z.NO/
739 PM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At  6:30 PM Monday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  Friday afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   16.08      15.0   12.0   13.6   13.4    7.8

&&

LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162

$$

MOC127-280109-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0161.000000T0000Z-190529T0738Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.190526T1624Z.190527T1345Z.190527T2228Z.NO/
739 PM CDT Mon May 27 2019

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the North River at Palmyra.
* At  6:30 PM Monday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  5:28 PM Monday.
* The river will continue falling to 6.3 feet by Wednesday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     05/28  05/29  05/30  05/31  06/01

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   11.88       7.6    6.3    8.5    7.6    6.0

&&

LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 26, 1:01 AM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 26, 1:01 AM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
101 AM CDT Sun May 26 2019

.SHORT TERM... (Through Late Monday Night)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

CAMs are indicating another round of strong to severe storms
developing, especially over northern portions of forecast area
early this evening through the overnight hours along an old
outflow boundary. With 0-6km shear 40+ kts, ML CAPES around 3000
J/kg, SCP values over 10, expect scattered supercell development
with main threats being large hail and damaging winds. In the
meantime, as an upper level shortwave lifts out of a trof to our
west with decent moisture convergence on nose of LLJ, will see
another thunderstorm complex develop and track east, mainly along
and north of I-70 corridor, moving into the forecast area after
09z Sunday. This complex will gradually weaken as it tracks to the
east, laying out numerous boundaries. These boundaries will be
the focus of activity that could fire up during the afternoon
hours on Sunday.

Once again activity will then shift back to the north as upper ridge
builds back into region. So for Sunday night through Memorial Day,
the best chances of showers and storms will be across portions of
northeast MO and west central IL.

Lows tonight will be at least 10 degrees above normal, in the mid
60s to low 70s. Highs on Sunday will be a bit lower than today due
to cloud cover and precipitation, in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Lows
Sunday night will be in the mid to upper 60s. Then hot and humid
conditions expected on Memorial Day with highs in the 80s. Dry and
mild weather expected Monday night with lows between 65 and 70
degrees.

Byrd

.LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Next Saturday)
Issued at 321 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

Unsettled weather will persist into the middle of next week. Models
are still indicating that the upper level ridge will break down once
again allowing a developing system over the Central Plains to slide
through region. However, the models are a bit slower with this
system as it deepens over the Central Plains and is slowly ejected
out towards the Great Lakes. Beginning Tuesday afternoon decent
instability, low level moisture and convergence increase over region
ahead of pre-frontal trof, so will see strong to severe storms
develop by late afternoon and through the overnight hours Tuesday
night. Another round of showers and storms are expected Wednesday
night through Thursday morning as main cold front slides through.

Beyond Thursday morning, dry and mild weather expected through
Friday before next system moves in for the first part of next
weekend.

Temperatures will remain rather mild through the extended period.
Tuesday will be the warmest day with highs in the 80s, then a bit
cooler in the mid 70s to low 80s for the rest of the extended period.

Byrd

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1242 AM CDT Sun May 26 2019

The primary concern for the next 6-12 hours will be thunderstorms.
Storms will likely continue to affect northeast Missouri and west
central Illinois for much of the rest of the night. Additional
thunderstorm development could occur further south across central
and eastern Missouri into southwest Illinois toward 12Z this
morning. Current thinking is this convection further south will
not be as strong or concentrated as the current storms are over
northeast Missouri. Guidance then shows rain ending from west to
east from late morning through the early afternoon, and then quiet
weather for the evening. VFR flight conditions are expected
outside of thunderstorms.

SPECIFICS FOR KSTL:

Scattered thunderstorms may develop over east central Missouri
toward 12Z and continue in the vicinity until mid or late morning.
Quiet weather is expected thereafter. VFR flight conditions are
expected to prevail outside of any potential thunderstorms.

Carney

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Saint Louis     68  89  70  88 /  10  20   5   5
Quincy          65  84  67  83 /  60  40  10  30
Columbia        66  86  67  84 /  20  20   5  20
Jefferson City  66  87  68  85 /   5  10   5  20
Salem           65  87  69  87 /  10  10   5   5
Farmington      65  87  67  86 /   5  10   5   5

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch until 9 AM CDT this morning for Knox MO-Lewis
     MO-Marion MO-Shelby MO.

IL...Flash Flood Watch until 9 AM CDT this morning for Adams IL-Brown
     IL.

&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous weather outlook, May 25, 4:08 PM CDT, 10 hours 51 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
408 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-261200-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
408 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a chance for thunderstorms, especially across portions of
central and northeast Missouri and west-central Illinois.
Scattered severe storms are possible, mainly in northeast Missouri
and west-central Illinois. The primary severe weather threats are
large hail and damaging wind gusts.

Major river flooding is ongoing along parts of the Missouri,
Mississippi, and Illinois Rivers.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Major river flooding is expected to continue along the Mississippi,
Missouri, and Illinois Rivers.

The chance for thunderstorms will continue across portions of the
area each day. A few strong to severe storms are possible on
Sunday afternoon and early evening, with a more organized severe
weather threat for late Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed tonight, especially for portions
of northeast Missouri and west-central Illinois.

Byrd/TES

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 25, 7:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Knox	39 min
May 25, 7:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Knox, Lewis	47 min
May 25, 8:09 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Lewis	7 days
May 25, 8:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Lewis	72 min
May 25, 8:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Knox, Marion, Shelby	55 min
May 25, 9:15 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Shelby	45 min
May 25, 9:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Marion, Shelby	48 min
May 25, 11:29 PM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	LSX	Knox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby	10 hr
May 26, 12:30 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	LSX	Knox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby	6 hr
May 26, 2:21 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LSX	Knox, Lewis, Shelby	7 hr
May 26, 2:45 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Lewis	7 days
May 26, 2:45 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Marion	7 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2019 Every river flood warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.