Severe Thunderstorm Warning 44, NWS Lake Charles, LA

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
318 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2019

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
182030-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
318 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A squall line of showers and thunderstorms will begin to move into
Southeast Texas late overnight and before daybreak. There is a
Marginal Risk (5 percent) that severe weather in the form of
damaging winds and/or large hail may occur along the squall line
northwest of a Leesville to Beaumont line.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

On Thursday an upper level storm system along with a cold front
will clash with a moist and unstable air mass to produce showers
and thunderstorms with the potential for severe weather.

An Enhanced Risk (30 percent) that severe weather will occur
within 25 miles of a point is outlined roughly east of a
Leesville to Cameron line. This is for the potential of super
cell thunderstorms to develop ahead of a squall line late Thursday
morning into Thursday afternoon. The risk will include a 10
percent chance of significant tornadoes, along with damaging
winds and/or large hail. Also, the squall line itself will bring
a risk of damaging winds and/or large hail, along with a few quick
spin ups embedded within the line.

West of a Leesville to Cameron line to the Sabine River, a Slight
Risk (15 percent) of severe weather is outlined, mainly from
damaging winds and/or large hail along a squall line.

Also, during Thursday, there is a Slight Risk (10-20 percent) of
excessive rainfall leading to flooding east of a Leesville to
Abbeville line, and a Marginal Risk (5-10 percent) of excessive
rainfall leading to flooding west of a Leesville to Abbeville line
to the Sabine River. This will be mainly from street flooding due
to high rainfall rates falling in poor drainage areas. Also, high
tides along the coast may back-up some drainage systems in lower
Acadiana that run into the Gulf.

Due to strong south winds ahead of the front, tides will run about
1 to 2 feet above predicted levels that may cause some water run
up along the coast and minor coastal flooding for lower Acadiana
and the lower Atchafalaya Basin.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-182030-
Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermilion Bay-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City
LA out 20 NM-
Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from  Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from
20 to 60 NM-
318 PM CDT Wed Apr 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

South winds will increase with speeds over 20 knots. A small craft
advisory will be in effect.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Strong south winds will continue on Thursday east of Cameron with
a small craft advisory continuing.

Strong and gusty offshore winds will develop behind a cold front
late Thursday and persist into Friday. Wind speeds will be 25 to
30 knots with some gusts to gale force.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

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