Special Weather Statement, NWS North Platte, NE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
406 PM CDT Sun Aug 4 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 352 PM CDT Sun Aug 4 2019

The main concern this forecast period is thunderstorm development
this afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms will continue to
develop across northwest Nebraska this afternoon. There is some
inconsistencies with the models in how far eastward the
thunderstorms will sustain themselves. Leaned more with HRRR and
HREF where storms will form into a cluster across northern
Nebraska and drop southeastward but should enter a less favorable
environment and will begin to diminish before reaching portions
of southwest and central Nebraska.

Storms that occur late this afternoon and evening have the
potential to become strong to severe, with the main hazards being
strong winds, large hail and heavy rain potential. The best chance
for severe thunderstorms will be across northwestern Nebraska,
mainly along and west of a line from Kilgore to Ellsworth.

A cold front will push through the area on Monday. There is a
chance of thunderstorms Monday afternoon and evening in
association with the cold front. At this time the severe threat
looks to be marginal as storms may develop behind the cold front
in a less favorable environment for severe storms but with the
amount of moister in the area could have the potential for heavy
rainfall.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 352 PM CDT Sun Aug 4 2019

Surface high pressure will sit over the Central Plains Tuesday
into Wednesday before a frontal boundary moves through the area
Wednesday evening. Highs will remain seasonal in the 80s, with
slight chances of thunderstorms on Tuesday afternoon and evening.
A better chance of widespread thunderstorms will be Wednesday
afternoon in association with the cold front. Cooler temperatures
on Thursday and Friday with highs only in the upper 70s to low
80s. There will be a chance of thunderstorms Thursday through
Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Sun Aug 4 2019

VFR conditions forecast at the KLBF and KVTN terminals through 18Z
Monday. There will be scattered thunderstorms late this afternoon
across the northwest Sandhills. The thunderstorms to move
southeast with coverage to diminish late evening and overnight.
Included VCTS at KVTN from 00Z until 04Z. At KLBF, VCSH after 05Z.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Roberg

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
221 PM MDT Sun Aug 4 2019

NEZ004-042100-
Sheridan NE-
221 PM MDT Sun Aug 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN SHERIDAN COUNTY
UNTIL 300 PM MDT...

At 221 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hay Springs, moving east at 15 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Rushville, Hay Springs, Intersection of Beaver Creek Road and White
Clay Creek Road, Highway 250 crossing the Niobrara River,
Intersection of Highway 87 and Antelope Road and Walgren Lake State
Recreation Area.

This includes the following highways...
 Highway 20 between mile markers 74 and 91.
 Highway 250 between mile markers 31 and 46.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4289 10250 4246 10241 4252 10277 4277 10278
      4278 10277 4279 10279 4281 10279
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 260DEG 13KT 4269 10267

Roberg

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service North Platte NE
347 PM MDT Sun Aug 4 2019

NEZ004-094-042230-
Sheridan NE-Western Cherry NE-
347 PM MDT Sun Aug 4 2019

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHERRY AND EAST
CENTRAL SHERIDAN COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM MDT...

At 347 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 21
miles southeast of Rushville, moving east at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Whitman Road crossing the North Branch of the Middle Loup River,
Round Lake, Big Hill, Intersection of Highway 61 and Survey Valley
Road, Billys Lake and Morgan Lake.

This includes Highway 61 between mile markers 176 and 193.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
the Panhandle of and north central Nebraska.

LAT...LON 4236 10237 4253 10232 4247 10153 4217 10147
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 286DEG 24KT 4243 10226

Roberg

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