Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Warnings in 2019

Tornado Warning 23, NWS Jackson, MS

March 14, 20194 counties in Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this tornado warning at Mar 14, 2019, 2:38 PM CDT for 4 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 14, 2019, 2:38 PM CDT (19:38 UTC)
Expired
Mar 14, 2019, 3:22 PM CDT
In force
44 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
1.25 in

Counties Covington County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-03-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 415 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-03-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 341 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
415 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-79 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
827 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
341 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
423 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
3.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

488 
WFUS54 KJAN 141938
TORJAN
MSC031-065-127-129-142045-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0023.190314T1938Z-190314T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
238 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southeastern Simpson County in central Mississippi...
  Southern Smith County in central Mississippi...
  Northern Covington County in southeastern Mississippi...
  Northwestern Jefferson Davis County in south central Mississippi...

* Until 345 PM CDT.
    
* At 238 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Hebron, or 11 miles south of Pinola, moving east
  at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Clem around 255 PM CDT.
  Magee around 305 PM CDT.
  Mount Olive around 310 PM CDT.
  Taylorsville and Center Ridge around 335 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Mize.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3172 8998 3176 8997 3176 8999 3183 9002
      3210 8950 3180 8935 3180 8940 3177 8940
      3165 8995
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 250DEG 29KT 3171 8994 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.25IN

$$

JM
4 follow-up statements
814 
WWUS54 KJAN 141952
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
252 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

MSC031-065-142002-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-190314T2045Z/
Covington MS-Jefferson Davis MS-
252 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHERN COVINGTON AND NORTHWESTERN
JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3185 8990 3210 8950 3180 8935 3177 8989
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 250DEG 29KT 3175 8982 

$$

MSC127-129-142045-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-190314T2045Z/
Simpson MS-Smith MS-
252 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN SIMPSON AND SOUTHERN SMITH COUNTIES...
    
At 252 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Clem, or 9 miles southwest of Magee, moving east at
35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Magee around 305 PM CDT.
  Taylorsville and Center Ridge around 335 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Mize.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3185 8990 3210 8950 3180 8935 3177 8989
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 250DEG 29KT 3175 8982 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.25IN

$$

JM
168 
WWUS54 KJAN 142001
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
301 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

MSC127-129-142045-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-190314T2045Z/
Simpson MS-Smith MS-
301 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN SIMPSON AND SOUTHERN SMITH COUNTIES...
    
At 301 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Mount Olive, or near Magee, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Magee around 305 PM CDT.
  Taylorsville and Center Ridge around 335 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Mize.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3191 8978 3203 8949 3180 8935 3178 8976
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 250DEG 29KT 3178 8974 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.25IN

$$

JM
347 
WWUS54 KJAN 142007
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
307 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

MSC127-142017-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-190314T2045Z/
Simpson MS-
307 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SIMPSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3196 8965 3203 8949 3180 8935 3179 8965
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 245DEG 39KT 3183 8963 

$$

MSC129-142045-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-190314T2045Z/
Smith MS-
307 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
SMITH COUNTY...
    
At 307 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Mount Olive, or near Magee, moving northeast at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Taylorsville and Center Ridge around 320 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Mize.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3196 8965 3203 8949 3180 8935 3179 8965
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 245DEG 39KT 3183 8963 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.25IN

$$

JM
142 
WWUS54 KJAN 142022
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
322 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

MSC129-142032-
/O.CAN.KJAN.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-190314T2045Z/
Smith MS-
322 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHERN SMITH COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3196 8965 3203 8949 3180 8935 3179 8965
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 250DEG 29KT 3187 8949 

$$

JM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 14, 12:44 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 14, 12:44 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1244 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

.UPDATE...
Updated for 18Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF discussion:
A few areas of MVFR ceilings have hung on into the early afternoon
across the area but most locations have lifted to VFR. The main
concern, however, is a line of showers and thunderstorms slowly
pushing east through the area. This line is currently, as of 18z,
located from CBM to JAN to HEZ. It will continue east through the
afternoon and into the early evening hours with VCTS/VCSH as
GTR/JAN/HKS/MEI/HBG/PIB. Clouds will clear from west to east
through the evening and most locations will return to VFR. /TW/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A compact cyclone continues to lift northeast through the Midwest
and into the Great Lakes region today. A stalled frontal boundary
has begun to slowly push east again today and is currently located
across eastern Arkansas and Louisiana. Earlier convection that
prompted a tornado watch, which has now been canceled, has
weakened and become elevated above the respective cold pool.
Showers and storms will continue to push east/northeast through
the rest of today into tonight and will become reinvigorated this
afternoon as instability increases across the region. Shear will
be plentiful, however forcing will be confined to the surface
front as mid-level heights begin to rise across the area. This,
along with boundary parallel flow, will limit the overall coverage
and severity of severe weather the rest of today. The greatest
severe potential will be across northeast portions of the area
generally along a line from Meridian to Columbus. The wind
advisory will continue through this afternoon for locations across
the Delta and Hwy 82 corridor where winds continue to remain
gusty. Will also keep the flash flood watch going across the
backwater flooding areas of the Delta as any additional heavy
rainfall will only exacerbate the ongoing flooding. Once precip
exits the backwater area later this morning the flash flood watch
will be canceled. /TW/

Prior discussion below:

Today and tonight: One more day of "busier" weather is on tap
during this midweek stretch, so let's get after it. Right now,
isolated showers dot the radar scope across the forecast area. The
line of convection that moved into the Delta last night stalled
and fell apart as the driving upper level support pulled northward
and away from the region. Now a new line of storms has developed
along the front itself and is currently moving across the ArkLaTex
this morning. Some of these storms are severe, producing strong
wind gusts and small hail. An overall weakening trend is
anticipated with this line as it continues eastward. This
convection may bring a few bands of locally heavy rainfall into
the flooded Yazoo Backwater area. Given the ongoing situation
there, we extended the Flash Flood Watch shortly for a very
limited area most impacted by current flooding out of an abundance
of caution.

Through the day as the front continues eastward, a band of
showers and perhaps isolated storms will accompany it across
central portions of the area. With instability building through
the day convection is expected to become reinvigorated as it moves
into eastern MS and approaches AL. Much like yesterday, though
there will be respectable parameter spacing for severe weather,
other negating factors will come into play. Most notably, upper
level forcing will be negligent as mid level heights begin rising
through the day. This doesn't suggest there will be no severe
weather, but it often indicates it won't be as widespread as it
might otherwise be with better forcing. We will tweak our
HWO/graphics to show the greater severe threat more limited to
East MS, but otherwise our expectations have not substantially
changed. Much of the area will be dry by sunset following the
passage of the front, but showers and a few storms will hang up
near the Pine Belt into the evening hours, with rain chances
generally decreasing overnight.

Strong gradient winds have persisted through the night as the
strong surface cyclone lifts across the Central Plains, with GLH
recently reporting a 25 mph sustained wind. This will continue
ahead of the front today and increase with daytime mixing,
especially over the northern portion of the area where the
pressure gradient will be tightest. Thus, we have extended/
expanded the Wind Advisory for the Delta and North MS through the
daytime hours. Wind will subside from west to east with the
passage of the front. /DL/

Friday through Wednesday:

A chance for showers will continue into the day on Friday across
the Pine Belt as the front continues to slowly push south and east
of our forecast area, but drier air moving in at the surface
should greatly limit chances by the afternoon and evening. The
remainder of the forecast should remain mostly quiet with near
normal temperatures as the upper-level trough axis orients more
over the East Coast and flow aloft becomes progressively more
northwesterly. Some of the model guidance hint at some light QPF
with a quick moving shortwave sometime early to middle of next
week, but expect dry conditions to prevail.

Temperatures may be able to radiate cool enough on Saturday night
for some frost to develop as a surface high pressure settles over
the region. Will hold off on including in the Hazardous Weather
Outlook text and graphics for now as there is some uncertainty
whether cloud cover or wind will be the most favorable for frost.
A mention of patchy frost has been added to the forecast however.
/NF/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       81  49  61  39 /  50  16   5   1
Meridian      81  53  61  40 /  69  63  19   5
Vicksburg     78  47  61  40 /  69   3   2   1
Hattiesburg   82  56  60  43 /  35  67  38  19
Natchez       79  49  59  41 /  66   6   4   3
Greenville    75  44  58  37 /  76   0   0   0
Greenwood     78  44  58  36 /  75   2   1   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for MSZ026>033-
     036>039.

LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

TW/NF/DL
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 14, 10:32 AM CDT, 4 hours 6 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1032 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

ARZ074-LAZ007-015-023>026-MSZ047-060-151545-
Ashley-Morehouse-Richland-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-
Warren-Adams-
1032 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, southwest Mississippi, and west
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of today

Gusty southerly winds are expected through early this afternoon,
with sustained winds of 20 to 25 mph and gusts of 25 to 35 mph
possible. Weak trees and tree limbs may fall. High profile
vehicles may become unsteady in gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

ARZ075-LAZ008-009-016-MSZ018-019-025-026-034-035-040-041-151545-
Chicot-West Carroll-East Carroll-Madison LA-Bolivar-Sunflower-
Leflore-Grenada-Washington-Humphreys-Issaquena-Sharkey-
1032 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...remainder of today

Gusty southerly winds are expected through early this afternoon,
with sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph and gusts up to 40 mph
possible. Weak trees and tree limbs may fall. High profile
vehicles may become unsteady in gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

MSZ027>029-032-036-037-042-151545-
Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Choctaw-Holmes-Attala-Yazoo-
1032 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and north central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...remainder of today

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...remainder of today

Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind
gusts and hail up to quarter size are possible through this
afternoon. Tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Gusty southerly winds are expected through early this afternoon,
with sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph and gusts up to 40 mph
possible. Weak trees and tree limbs may fall. High profile
vehicles may become unsteady in gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region the rest
of today.

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-151545-
Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-
1032 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...remainder of today through Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...remainder of today

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
hail up to quarter size are possible late this afternoon through
early this evening. Tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Gusty southerly winds are expected through early this afternoon,
with sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph and gusts up to 40 mph
possible. Weak trees and tree limbs may fall. High profile
vehicles may become unsteady in gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

MSZ044-049>051-055-056-151545-
Leake-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Simpson-Smith-
1032 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and east central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...remainder of today through Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of today

Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind
gusts and hail up to quarter size are possible through this
afternoon. Tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Gusty southerly winds are expected through early this afternoon,
with sustained winds of 20 to 25 mph and gusts of 25 to 35 mph
possible. Weak trees and tree limbs may fall. High profile
vehicles may become unsteady in gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

MSZ045-046-052-151545-
Neshoba-Kemper-Lauderdale-
1032 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...remainder of today through Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of today

Severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
hail up to quarter size are possible late this afternoon through
early this evening. Tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Gusty southerly winds are expected through early this afternoon,
with sustained winds of 20 to 25 mph and gusts of 25 to 35 mph
possible. Weak trees and tree limbs may fall. High profile
vehicles may become unsteady in gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

MSZ043-048-053-054-059-061-151545-
Madison MS-Hinds-Claiborne-Copiah-Jefferson-Franklin MS-
1032 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...remainder of today

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...remainder of today

Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind
gusts and hail up to quarter size are possible through early this
afternoon. Tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Gusty southerly winds are expected through early this afternoon,
with sustained winds of 20 to 25 mph and gusts of 25 to 35 mph
possible. Weak trees and tree limbs may fall. High profile
vehicles may become unsteady in gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region the rest
of today.

MSZ057-058-062>066-072>074-151545-
Jasper-Clarke-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
1032 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of east central
Mississippi, south central Mississippi, and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...The rest of Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...remainder of today through Tonight

Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind
gusts and hail up to quarter size are possible through early this
afternoon. Tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region rest of
today through tonight.

1

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Extreme...Sustained winds 50 mph or greater or wind gusts 65 mph
 or greater.
Significant...Sustained winds 40-49 mph or wind gusts 58-64 mph.
Elevated...Sustained winds 30-39 mph or wind gusts 45-57 mph.
Limited...Sustained winds 20-29 mph or wind gusts 30 to 44 mph.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

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   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
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   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 14, 12:22 PM CDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1222 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

MSZ032-033-141745-
Oktibbeha MS-Choctaw MS-
1222 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN CHOCTAW AND WEST
CENTRAL OKTIBBEHA COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 PM CDT...

At 1222 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Chester, or 20 miles northwest of Louisville, moving northeast
at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Chester around 1225 PM CDT.
  Reform around 1235 PM CDT.
  Sherwood around 1240 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for central, north
central and northeastern Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3339 8895 3328 8932 3337 8938 3355 8907
TIME...MOT...LOC 1722Z 240DEG 38KT 3334 8929

TW
Special weather statement, Mar 14, 12:35 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1235 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

MSZ032-033-037-141800-
Oktibbeha MS-Attala MS-Choctaw MS-
1235 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CHOCTAW...SOUTHWESTERN
OKTIBBEHA AND NORTHEASTERN ATTALA COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM CDT...

At 1235 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles southwest of Chester, or 17 miles northeast of Kosciusko,
moving northeast at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Ackerman and Chester around 1250 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Mccool, Sturgis and
Weir.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for central,
northeastern and east central Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3329 8905 3328 8911 3326 8911 3316 8941
      3324 8949 3345 8911 3330 8901
TIME...MOT...LOC 1735Z 235DEG 42KT 3324 8938

TW
Special weather statement, Mar 14, 1:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
137 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

MSZ054-062-063-141900-
Lawrence MS-Copiah MS-Lincoln MS-
137 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN LINCOLN...WEST CENTRAL
LAWRENCE AND SOUTH CENTRAL COPIAH COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM CDT...

At 136 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near West Lincoln, or 8 miles southwest of Brookhaven, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Brookhaven around 150 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Beauregard.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3142 9050 3148 9059 3177 9039 3160 9014
TIME...MOT...LOC 1836Z 235DEG 33KT 3148 9051

JM
Special weather statement, Mar 14, 1:39 PM CDT, 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
139 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

MSZ049-054-055-141915-
Copiah MS-Rankin MS-Simpson MS-
139 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN RANKIN...
NORTHWESTERN SIMPSON AND NORTHEASTERN COPIAH COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM
CDT...

At 139 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Crystal Springs, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Whites around 150 PM CDT.
  Florence around 155 PM CDT.
  Star, Monterey and Piney Woods around 200 PM CDT.
  Cato around 205 PM CDT.
  Brandon around 210 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Braxton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3188 9033 3199 9043 3205 9035 3205 9023
      3209 9023 3209 9025 3210 9024 3211 9025
      3213 9024 3230 9001 3208 8982
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 237DEG 48KT 3198 9032

JM
Special weather statement, Mar 14, 2:05 PM CDT, 33 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
205 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

MSZ044-141930-
Leake MS-
205 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL LEAKE COUNTY UNTIL 230
PM CDT...

At 205 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Tuscola, or near Carthage, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Carthage around 210 PM CDT.
  Madden around 220 PM CDT.
  Edinburg and Renfroe around 225 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Lena, Standing Pine
and Redwater.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for central
Mississippi.

LAT...LON 3258 8950 3258 8962 3267 8971 3293 8938
      3293 8932 3268 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 1905Z 231DEG 44KT 3265 8958

JM
Special weather statement, Mar 14, 2:09 PM CDT, 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
209 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

MSZ050-056-141945-
Smith MS-Scott MS-
209 PM CDT THU MAR 14 2019

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN SMITH AND SOUTHERN
SCOTT COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

At 209 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Pulaski, or 7 miles south of Morton, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Homewood around 220 PM CDT.
  Forest around 225 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3213 8965 3225 8973 3231 8973 3255 8932
      3226 8933
TIME...MOT...LOC 1909Z 239DEG 36KT 3225 8964

JM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 13, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Washington36 min
Mar 13, 8:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANBolivar45 min
Mar 13, 8:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower37 min
Mar 14, 7:58 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANIssaquena32 min
Mar 14, 11:02 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAttala28 min
Mar 14, 11:25 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANChoctaw50 min
Mar 14, 12:01 PM CDTTornado WarningJANClay, Oktibbeha39 min
Mar 14, 12:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANAttala52 min
Mar 14, 12:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANChoctaw23 min
Mar 14, 12:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANChoctaw25 min
Mar 14, 12:59 PM CDTTornado WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha49 min
Mar 14, 1:02 PM CDTTornado WarningJANChoctaw, Noxubee, Oktibbeha, Winston58 min
Mar 14, 1:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLincoln23 min
Mar 14, 1:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin36 min
Mar 14, 1:55 PM CDTTornado WarningJANLowndes, Oktibbeha39 min
Mar 14, 2:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Lincoln, Simpson42 min
Mar 14, 2:05 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLeake25 min
Mar 14, 2:09 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANScott36 min
Mar 14, 2:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Neshoba39 min
Mar 14, 2:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Noxubee32 min
Mar 14, 2:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNewton, Scott36 min
Mar 14, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNewton, Scott53 min
Mar 14, 3:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke, Jasper, Newton, Smith54 min
Mar 14, 3:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANKemper41 min
Mar 14, 3:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANLauderdale44 min
Mar 14, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Lauderdale49 min
Mar 14, 4:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke44 min
Mar 14, 4:59 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANClarke31 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Mississippi, 2019Every tornado warning in 2019Tornadoes in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.