Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 183, NWS Jackson, MS

April 25, 20194 counties in Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 25, 2019, 9:36 AM CDT for 4 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 10 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 25, 2019, 9:36 AM CDT (14:36 UTC)
Expired
Apr 25, 2019, 9:46 AM CDT
In force
10 min
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Scott County, MS, Smith County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Apr 25, 8:06 AM CDTTornado WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 72 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-04-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 260 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2019-04-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 229 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
260 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-115 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
698 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
229 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
264 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 25, 7:08 AM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 25, 7:08 AM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
708 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2019

.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
Deteriorating flying conditions are occurring this morning as a
line of showers and storms moves into the area. While VFR
conditions continue to occur at many TAF sites, these should
decrease as storms move through. MVFR to IFR ceilings are expected
this afternoon. VFR ceilings will return from west to east as
storms and rain move out of the region. Winds will be gusty out of
the south to west ahead of the front with sustained speeds around
10-15kts and gusts to 20kts. Winds will shift out of the north
behind the frontal passaged but speeds will still be around 10kts.
VFR and some MVFR ceilings will linger into the overnight hours.
/28/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today and tonight...

Showers and storms have developed across the region this morning and
pushed into portions of the Delta. These storms have had a history
of tornadoes and damage across Louisiana but the severity has
seemingly decreased some as it pushes east. Nevertheless, there
remains a risk for damaging winds and even a tornado. Thus, a Severe
Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect for portions of the region
through 9am. As this line moves east, it is possible or likely that
this watch will need to be extended to cover additional counties.
This activity, as depicted on several hi-res model solutions, will
continue to push east through the morning and will continue the
potential for severe weather through the afternoon hours. Flash
flooding will also be of a concern as rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches
will occur in a short period of time.

Much of the convective line will push east of the state border by
early evening. However, another band of isolated storms will follow
as the main upper level trough pushes through. Rain should taper off
from west to east  through the evening, if not before, and drier
weather should start Friday. /28/

Tomorrow through mid next week (Friday - next Wednesday):

As the trough digs through the Appalachians, this will help the
surface low & cold front to continue to swing into the mid-Atlantic.
Our area will remain on the eastern side of the mid-level & surface
ridge of high pressure building in. Due to north-northwesterly flow
aloft, we should continue to have some drier air, with PWs around or
less than a half inch, filtering in. This will help clouds to clear
out & slightly cooler temperatures to filter in on Friday.

Expect mid-level ridging & increasing thermal warmth to increase
through the weekend, with a trough & mostly dry cold front to filter
in across the Highway 82 corridor. This will lead to some increase
in very light rain chances & possibly a rumble of thunder or so in
this region Sunday morning. Expect strong ridge to build over the
western Gulf of Mexico into early next week, leading to increasing
thermal warmth (i.e. 925mb temperatures around upper teens) &
humidity. Highs will be above normal temperatures into the mid-upper
80s by early through middle of next week (i.e. Monday-Wednesday).
Due to strengthening ridge to the south & east, the warmest should
be across our central & eastern zones. As a trough ejects out of the
Rockies & another digs into the Pacific northwest, southwesterly
flow aloft will help rain & storm chances to increase across the
Plains. Our area should remain mostly capped & drier air aloft,
keeping the best rain & storm chances off the west. Majority of the
increasing rain & storm chances will be at the end & just after the
period into late next week, as better ascent, moisture & lapse rates
become juxtaposed over the area. For now, kept some diurnal rain &
storm chances across the west on Wednesday, with better chances into
late week. Due to the "summer-like" pattern, some microburst &
stronger organized convection is possible into late next week. /DC/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       75  58  76  52 /  99  38   4   2
Meridian      74  59  77  50 / 100  59   6   2
Vicksburg     76  58  75  52 /  98  19   3   2
Hattiesburg   75  59  78  51 / 100  42   6   2
Natchez       76  59  76  52 /  99  20   3   1
Greenville    74  58  73  53 /  84  26   3   2
Greenwood     73  57  74  52 /  84  44   4   2

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.

&&

28
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 25, 5:13 AM CDT, 4 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
513 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-MSZ018-261015-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-Bolivar-
513 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and northwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Wednesday.

LAZ008-009-015-016-MSZ019-025>042-044>046-261015-
West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-Madison LA-Sunflower-Leflore-
Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-
Sharkey-Yazoo-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-
513 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and north central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible
today. The main threat with storms will be damaging straight line
winds gusts with hail up to quarter size. A tornado cannot be
ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

LAZ023>025-MSZ043-047-261015-
Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Madison MS-Warren-
513 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible today. The main
threat with storms will be damaging straight line winds gusts with
hail up to quarter size. However, a tornado cannot be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Flash flooding is possible for areas mainly along and south of
the Interstate 20 corridor today. Rainfall totals could approach
1 to 3 inches, with locally higher amounts, over short periods of
time. This could lead to localized flash flooding.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

LAZ026-MSZ048>066-072>074-261015-
Concordia-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
513 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Today

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Today

Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds up to 60 to 70mph
and quarter sized hail are possible and a tornado or two cannot
be ruled out.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Flash flooding is possible for areas mainly along and south of
the Interstate 20 corridor Thursday afternoon through late
Thursday evening. Rainfall totals could approach 1 to 3 inches,
with locally higher amounts, over short periods of time. This
could lead to localized flash flooding.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region today.

28

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 25, 9:11 AM CDT, 25 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Apr 25, 9:22 AM CDT, 14 minutes before
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Local storm report, Apr 25, 9:23 AM CDT, 13 minutes before
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Local storm report, Apr 25, 9:24 AM CDT, 12 minutes before
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Local storm report, Apr 25, 9:26 AM CDT, 10 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 25, 3:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANIssaquena, Washington50 min
Apr 25, 3:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Issaquena, Sharkey, Washington, Yazoo58 min
Apr 25, 4:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Issaquena, Warren, Yazoo59 min
Apr 25, 4:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Holmes, Humphreys, Leflore42 min
Apr 25, 4:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHolmes, Humphreys, Madison, Yazoo59 min
Apr 25, 5:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Holmes, Montgomery61 min
Apr 25, 5:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds, Issaquena, Madison, Warren, Yazoo61 min
Apr 25, 6:04 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANWebster56 min
Apr 25, 6:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANMadison54 min
Apr 25, 6:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams, Jefferson57 min
Apr 25, 6:56 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANWarren34 min
Apr 25, 7:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningJANIssaquena, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo3 hr
Apr 25, 7:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Franklin, Jefferson51 min
Apr 25, 7:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Hinds55 min
Apr 25, 8:33 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANRankin57 min
Apr 25, 8:34 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNeshoba26 min
Apr 25, 9:14 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNoxubee31 min
Apr 25, 9:22 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANNewton, Scott23 min
Apr 25, 9:49 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANCarroll, Leflore48 hr
Apr 25, 10:19 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANSmith26 min
Apr 25, 10:28 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake7 days
Apr 25, 10:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAdams19 min
Apr 25, 11:03 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementJANJasper27 min
Apr 25, 2:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse, Richland, West Carroll55 min
Apr 25, 2:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMorehouse32 min
Apr 25, 3:36 AM CDTTornado WarningJANCatahoula, Franklin, Tensas39 min
Apr 25, 4:12 AM CDTTornado WarningJANFranklin, Madison, Tensas63 min
Apr 25, 6:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCatahoula, Concordia, Franklin81 min
Apr 25, 8:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANConcordia24 min
Apr 25, 3:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAshley20 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2019Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.