Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2019

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Northern Indiana

June 1, 2019Fulton County, Williams County, Ohio

NWS Northern Indiana issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 1, 2019, 5:46 PM EDT for Fulton County, Williams County, Ohio. It was in force for 59 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 1, 2019, 5:46 PM EDT (21:46 UTC)
Expired: Jun 1, 2019, 6:45 PM EDT
In force: 59 min
Issued by: NWS Northern Indiana
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Fulton County, OH, Williams County, OH

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 1, 6:48 PM EDT	HAIL 1	Elmira, OH

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 1, 5:37 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 42 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -299 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1845 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 101 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

097 
WUUS53 KIWX 012146
SVRIWX
OHC051-171-012245-
/O.NEW.KIWX.SV.W.0079.190601T2146Z-190601T2245Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
546 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana  has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Western Fulton County in northwestern Ohio...
  Central Williams County in northwestern Ohio...

* Until 645 PM EDT.

* At 546 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Montpelier,
  moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Wauseon, Montpelier, Delta, West Unity, Pioneer, Fayette, Edon,
  Holiday City, West Jefferson, Pulaski, Lyons, Blakeslee, Oakshade,
  Alvordton, Zone, Seward, Bridgewater Center, Denson, Winameg and
  Elmira.

This includes Interstate 80 in Ohio between mile markers 2 and 40.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4148 8475 4163 8477 4171 8444 4172 8403
      4157 8403
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 254DEG 29KT 4157 8463 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MARSILI

2 follow-up statements

419 
WWUS53 KIWX 012212
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
612 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

OHC051-171-012245-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-190601T2245Z/
Fulton OH-Williams OH-
612 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN FULTON AND CENTRAL WILLIAMS COUNTIES...

At 612 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Pioneer to near Bryan, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wauseon, Montpelier, Delta, West Unity, Pioneer, Fayette, Edon,
Holiday City, West Jefferson, Pulaski, Lyons, Blakeslee, Oakshade,
Alvordton, Zone, Seward, Bridgewater Center, Denson, Winameg and
Elmira.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4148 8475 4163 8477 4171 8444 4172 8403
      4157 8403
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 256DEG 32KT 4166 8461 4151 8459 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MARSILI

582 
WWUS53 KIWX 012221
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
621 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

OHC051-171-012245-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-190601T2245Z/
Fulton OH-Williams OH-
621 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN FULTON AND NORTHEASTERN WILLIAMS COUNTIES...

At 621 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Pioneer to near Bryan, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wauseon, Montpelier, Delta, West Unity, Pioneer, Fayette, Holiday
City, West Jefferson, Pulaski, Lyons, Oakshade, Alvordton, Zone,
Seward, Denson, Winameg, Elmira, Tedrow, Hallock and Ottokee.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4150 8459 4166 8463 4171 8444 4172 8403
      4157 8403
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 254DEG 29KT 4167 8455 4152 8453 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MARSILI

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 1, 2:59 PM EDT, 2 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 1, 2:59 PM EDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
259 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 259 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

Showers and storms are possible through the late evening. Some of
these storms may be severe with hail and damaging winds. Cool and
dry conditions are expected Sunday through Tuesday but additional
rain is expected thereafter.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tonight)
Issued at 259 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

Continue to focus primarily on severe chances this afternoon and
into the late evening. Our CWA continues to destabilize this
afternoon with surface temps around 80F and relatively cold temps
aloft. Surface dewpoints continue to run a few degrees lower than
guidance but excellent low/midlevel lapse rates still yielding
around 2K J/kg 0-1km MLCAPE per SPC/RAP mesoanalysis. Still waiting
on a trigger though with general AVA/subsidence/capping over IN.
Elevated WAA supporting convection across Michigan but this forcing
remains just north of our CWA. Guidance suggests enough heating late
this afternoon to erode lingering cap (particularly NE) and old
outflow/differential heating boundaries/lake breeze could generate a
few isolated storms during the afternoon/early evening as suggested
by the RAP. If this occurs...there will be a marginal severe risk
for wind and hail due to instability but storms will remain "pulsey"
given complete lack of deep layer shear over our area this afternoon
and little/no forcing for organization.

Much better forcing (and shear) arrives later this evening with
approach of fairly vigorous shortwave currently entering northern IL.
Associated cold front won't cross our area until 01-05Z tonight. Two
areas for concern with this later activity. One...potential for a
few isolated storms to develop ahead of the main front. Similar to
this afternoon...this would tap into better diurnal instability but
lack better forcing/shear. Two...with primary shortwave/cold front.
Diurnal timing is not favorable but healthy midlevel CVA and lapse
rates aloft could maintain stronger updrafts into the late evening.
Hail and damaging winds would be the primary concern. Very wet
antecedent conditions always lead to some flooding concern with
thunderstorms but expect storms will move fairly quickly and remain
more on the scattered side. Bottomline...several lower-end chances
for severe storms through the late evening across much of the CWA.
The risk is certainly there but delineating any particular location
and exact timing is difficult in this scenario.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Saturday)
Issued at 259 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

Sun/Mon/Tue still looking dry and pleasant with brief period of
highly amplified flow leaving our region in cool/dry NNW flow.
Incoming airmass is relatively chilly with 850mb temps around 0C
across MI and only mid-single digits over Indiana. This yields highs
in the mid/upper 60s and lows Mon morning near 40F. Will still
likely be a fair amount of cu on Sunday and even an outside chance
for a shower in our far east with trough axis swinging through the
eastern Lakes but will hold with silent 10 PoP.

Our reprieve will be short-lived though. Westerly flow returns high
theta-e plume to the area Tuesday night with an upper low meandering
into the region by the weekend. This leads to several periods of
rain and cloudy skies.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 126 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

Atmosphere becoming very unstable but still capped. Area of storms
have moved by to our north where less capping and better forcing
exists. Cannot rule out an isolated tsra through the afternoon
near terminals but chances too low for inclusion. Better chances
arrive this evening ahead of cold front and stronger forcing
aloft. Expect better coverage with scattered tsra at that time and
made only minor adjustments to timing, mainly pushing start time
back a bit. Front passes bringing end to pcpn and northwest winds
for Sunday. Models bringing MVFR cigs into KFWA so added a group
for this overnight.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...AGD
SHORT TERM...AGD
LONG TERM...AGD
AVIATION...Lashley

Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx

Follow us on Facebook...Twitter...and YouTube at:
www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
www.twitter.com/nwsiwx
www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndiana

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 1, 3:09 PM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
309 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-021915-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Berrien-
Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-
Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
309 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019 /209 PM CDT Sat Jun 1 2019/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest
Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms through late evening. Some of
these storms may be severe with hail and damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Dangerous swimming conditions are possible Sunday along the
southeast shore of Lake Michigan.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this evening.

LMZ043-046-021915-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
309 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for The Nearshore Waters of
Southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected late this afternoon into early
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 1, 5:21 PM EDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
521 PM EDT SAT JUN 1 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             2 SSE MISHAWAKA         41.64N 86.16W
06/01/2019  E0.88 INCH       ST. JOSEPH         IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MCD

Local storm report, Jun 1, 5:27 PM EDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
527 PM EDT SAT JUN 1 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0514 PM     HAIL             MONTPELIER              41.58N 84.60W
06/01/2019  E1.75 INCH       WILLIAMS           OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKLE TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL
            OBSERVED-SEVERAL REPORTS.

&&

MCD

Local storm report, Jun 1, 5:29 PM EDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
529 PM EDT SAT JUN 1 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0456 PM     HAIL             COLUMBIA                41.63N 84.79W
06/01/2019  E1.75 INCH       WILLIAMS           OH   911 CALL CENTER

&&

MCD

Local storm report, Jun 1, 5:30 PM EDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
530 PM EDT SAT JUN 1 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0436 PM     HAIL             1 SE GOLDEN LAKE        41.59N 85.05W
06/01/2019  E1.50 INCH       STEUBEN            IN   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

MCD

Local storm report, Jun 1, 5:31 PM EDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
531 PM EDT SAT JUN 1 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     HAIL             3 N GOSHEN              41.62N 85.83W
06/01/2019  E1.00 INCH       ELKHART            IN   PUBLIC

&&

MCD

Local storm report, Jun 1, 5:34 PM EDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
534 PM EDT SAT JUN 1 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0523 PM     HAIL             3 NW GOSHEN             41.60N 85.88W
06/01/2019  M1.00 INCH       ELKHART            IN   PUBLIC

&&

MCD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 1, 11:16 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	IWX	Defiance, Fulton, Williams	11 days
Jun 1, 3:45 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Henry	45 min
Jun 1, 4:51 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Williams	54 min
Jun 1, 4:58 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Fulton	32 min
Jun 1, 5:21 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Defiance, Fulton, Henry, Williams	54 min
Jun 1, 5:34 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Fulton, Henry	41 min
Jun 1, 5:59 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	IWX	Fulton, Henry, Williams	4 hr
Jun 1, 6:04 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Williams	41 min
Jun 1, 6:16 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Henry	44 min
Jun 1, 6:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Fulton, Williams	46 min
Jun 1, 6:52 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Fulton, Henry	38 min
Jun 1, 7:04 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Williams	56 min
Jun 1, 7:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Defiance	46 min
Jun 1, 7:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Henry	37 min
Jun 1, 7:31 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Putnam	29 min
Jun 1, 7:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Fulton, Williams	51 min
Jun 1, 7:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Defiance, Henry, Williams	77 min
Jun 1, 7:46 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	IWX	Defiance	44 min
Jun 1, 7:57 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Fulton, Williams	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Ohio, 2019 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2019

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.