Severe Thunderstorm Warning 34, NWS Indianapolis, IN

519 
WWUS53 KIND 192256
SVSIND

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
656 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

INC011-057-059-063-081-097-109-145-192306-
/O.EXP.KIND.SV.W.0034.000000T0000Z-190519T2300Z/
Shelby IN-Hancock IN-Morgan IN-Johnson IN-Hendricks IN-Marion IN-
Boone IN-Hamilton IN-
656 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN SHELBY...WESTERN
HANCOCK...NORTHEASTERN MORGAN...NORTHERN JOHNSON...EASTERN
HENDRICKS...MARION...SOUTHEASTERN BOONE AND SOUTHERN HAMILTON
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
central Indiana.

LAT...LON 3994 8586 3994 8583 3962 8576 3959 8651
      3995 8653 4005 8586
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 263DEG 41KT 3993 8605 

$$

AW/50

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
451 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

.UPDATE...
The AVIATION Section has been updated below.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 310 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

A cold front will move through central Indiana tonight.
Thunderstorms are possible along and ahead of the front. Much cooler
weather moves in for the start of the work week. A front will
meander across the area mid to late week, bringing chances for rain
at times mid-week into next weekend. Temperatures will rebound to
above normal mid-week and then remain there.

&&

.NEAR TERM...(Rest of This Afternoon and Tonight)
Issued at 310 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

Early this afternoon a dry slot was moving into central Indiana,
ending the widespread rainfall. However, a line of storms had
developed in central Illinois ahead of a cold front.

The line of storms will move across central Indiana during the rest
of the afternoon and into the early evening hours before 00Z. Will
handle with a pre-first period in the text products to cover this.
Severe storms remain possible with building instability and some
decent shear, but at the moment am not expecting widespread severe
weather.

HRRR and some other models indicate still some shower or
thunderstorm potential with the front itself as it moves across the
area after 00Z. Will have some low PoPs this evening.

Colder air will move in overnight, and some stratocumulus will
accompany it. Will keep skies partly cloudy.

The model blend looks reasonable for temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Monday through Wednesday)
Issued at 310 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

Models are close enough that the model blend initialization
was accepted for most items.

The colder air and stratocumulus will stick around on Monday,
keeping skies partly cloudy and high temperatures only in the 60s
most areas.

Dry and cool conditions will continue into Tuesday with some upper
ridging briefly working into the area.

A large upper system across the western part of the country will
send some energy just to the northwest of the area Tuesday night
into Wednesday. This will also bring a warm front through the area.
Forcing isn't that impressive with the strongest forcing remaining
out of central Indiana. Will go with mainly chance category PoPs.

The warm front will allow temperatures to return into the 80s for
highs on Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /Wednesday night through Thursday/...

Issued at 312 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

Accepted the initialization. An upper level high will sit over
the deep south for much of long term range. Models are showing a
couple of short waves that may affect the area during that time so
there are a couple chances for rain. The best chance looks to be
Memorial Day weekend as models are in agreement that there will be
precipitation but exact timing and location are still to be seen.

Temperatures will be above normal as highs are anticipated to be
in the 80s.

&&

.AVIATION /Discussion for the 19/21Z TAF Update/...

Issued at 446 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019

Update...
Narrowed VCTS into the Sun 22Z to Mon 01Z time frame for now...
will amend further with more detailed timing over the next few
hours.

Previous Discussion...
Generally VFR conditions expected through the period, with some MVFR
or worse conditions mainly in convection this afternoon into early
evening. Gusty winds will continue this afternoon.

Main area of rain will continue to move out of the sites early in
the period. Scattered convection will then move in ahead of an
approaching cold front.

There are some patches of MVFR clouds across Illinois that will move
into the area and may cause brief periods of MVFR ceilings even
outside of convection this afternoon.

Overnight will be dry with a stratocumulus deck moving in from the
north. For now kept this VFR but MVFR not out of the question.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...50
NEAR TERM...50
SHORT TERM...50
LONG TERM....KH
AVIATION...50/TDUD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
414 AM EDT Sun May 19 2019

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-201000-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
Including the cities of Delphi, Flora, Williamsport, West Lebanon,
Lafayette, West Lafayette, Frankfort, Kokomo, Attica, Covington,
Veedersburg, Crawfordsville, Lebanon, Zionsville, Tipton, Fishers,
Carmel, Noblesville, Anderson, Muncie, Winchester, Clinton, Newport,
Rockville, Greencastle, Plainfield, Brownsburg, Danville,
Indianapolis, Greenfield, Cumberland, New Castle, Terre Haute,
Brazil, Clay City, Spencer, Martinsville, Mooresville, Greenwood,
Franklin, Shelbyville, Rushville, Sullivan, Linton, Bloomfield,
Bloomington, Nashville, Columbus, Greensburg, Vincennes, Washington,
Loogootee, Shoals, Bedford, Mitchell, Seymour, Brownstown,
and North Vernon
414 AM EDT Sun May 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Outlook: Showers and thunderstorms. Severe storms possible this
afternoon and evening. Windy conditions.

Hazards: Damaging winds...large hail...heavy rain and lightning. A
few tornadoes possible as well. Non-thunderstorm wind gusts to near
40 mph at times.

Timing: Storms possible through this evening. The best threat for
severe weather from 2 pm through 9 pm. Gusty winds outside of storms
through early evening.

Discussion: Showers and thunderstorms are expected today ahead of a
cold front. Severe storms are possible this afternoon and evening.
Dry and cooler weather is expected overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Outlook: Thunderstorms will be possible at times late Tuesday
into next weekend. Some of the storms could be strong.

Discussion: After a dry and cooler start to the week...additional
chances for rain and thunderstorms will come for the second half of
the upcoming week as strong low pressure tracks from the central
Plains into the upper Midwest with a frontal boundary lingering
across the Ohio Valley.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

Ryan

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
613 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0608 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SSW WINDFALL          40.34N 85.97W
05/19/2019  E60 MPH          TIPTON             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
614 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0606 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSW GOLDSMITH         40.24N 86.18W
05/19/2019                   TIPTON             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            16 INCH PARTIALLY DEAD TREE BLOWN DOWN.
            MEASURED 48 MPH GUST.

&&

50

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
618 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 SW SEELYVILLE         39.45N 87.31W
05/19/2019  M52 MPH          VIGO               IN   ASOS

&&

KH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
622 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SW LAFAYETTE          40.41N 86.88W
05/19/2019                   TIPPECANOE         IN   PUBLIC

            GAZEBO DESTROYED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

KH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
628 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0603 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW KOKOMO            40.49N 86.14W
05/19/2019                   HOWARD             IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HEALTHY 6 TO 8 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS
            DOWN.

&&

KH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
630 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0604 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE KOKOMO            40.49N 86.12W
05/19/2019                   HOWARD             IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES DOWN, BLOCKING ROAD.

&&

KH